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Author Topic: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions  (Read 405203 times)
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June 26, 2023, 07:33:36 PM
 #44541

According to transfermarkt there are two teams that want to hire Neymar for the next season and there is a high chance for him to leave PSG for Arabian teams because for players at this age and in this situation there won't be many offers from top-level teams. There is a chance for Neymar to return to Barcelona but I don't think Barcelona will accept hiring a player like Neymar to pay his high amount of salary.
That's why I'm waiting to see him playing for Arabian teams like Al Hilal

Barcelona signing Neymar wont be such a bad thing. He is still very good and still among the best in his position. The only problem Neymar has are his constant long term injuries. If he can stay fit for a whole season you'll see that very few players are better than him. He was among the best in form players before he got injured.
If there is a way he can reduce his salary significantly and PSG request for a low fee for Neymar then he can be signed.
There are people in Barcelona that want him back and there are those who do not. Neymar himself likes the idea of returning to Barca but its a very difficult thing to happen.

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June 26, 2023, 07:48:30 PM
 #44542

The fact that Modric decided to turn down an offer that size (assuming biggest ever means maybe like 200 million a year) was a stupid mistake. Think about it, Real already has a good young midfield right now, which means that Modric is less needed, and sure he is still good but he won't be getting that back again. So if he left, and played at SA league, Real would have still been fine, it is not like they need Modric to win otherwise they won't win situation. That is why if he accepted, both Real would have been fine, and he would have been rich.

I am not sure if he will get the same offer next season, there will probably some financial drop there. If it is a political reason, like cultural unfit situation, then I would understand, that's another thing than football reasons.
Modric will also have somehow a mentor role, isn't it? I know Madrid doesn't usually do that and they don't give contract to player who will not perform at the highest level. I admire and respect Modric very much. He is indeed a great player. But he has never been a xavi or iniesta if we are to speak realistically. The only thing he is better than xavi-iniesta is that he won the undeserved awards in the years when xavi retired and iniesta transferred to the japan league to relax, and on top of that, he became the ucl champion last year with a single season prime period. Modric was selected once, while xavi was named the best playmaker of the year four times, iniesta twice and even de bruyne twice. again, iniesta was selected for the 11 of the year nine times, modric was selected six times, while iniesta was selected for the uefa team of the year six times, modric was selected three times. Nevertheless, I wish he had a country cup in his career before he retires from football. He hasn't quit yet, but he's old enough to be 37 and not going to win probably. I don't know how many more years he will have active in football from now on. A football legend who lived the last years of his career and did not go to Saudi Arabia without selling his football for money.
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June 26, 2023, 07:53:00 PM
 #44543

I knew there would be a lot of interest in Gundongan but he never had his eye on his only goal to go to Barcelona and play there.
After they reached an agreement, Barcelona immediately released a very crazy clause of 400 million, of course with this Barcelona did not want other teams to snatch it in the middle of the season.
I understand that now Barcelona will always use this tactic with high and almost unrealistic payoffs for their players, because it is clear that even at its peak Gundogan will not be worth 400 million and now without the permission of the club he can not move anywhere until 2025.
It's the same with Gavi who has the highest clause at Barcelona because it's very natural that he is still 18 years old but his performance is very extraordinary so with clause 1B it is still very realistic in my opinion.
Gundongan is now 32 years old, a slightly old age with a contract until 2025, so it will end at 34, so his performance will not be good anymore, I don't know if he can defend well or not, what is clear is that the clause is too high.

On the one hand it is a very wise decision so that no one could poach the player, as in the situation with Mbappe, when a year before the end of his contract he no longer wants to play for PSG and now he will just work to keep his form.
But if all the clubs will do so, the transfer opportunities will be greatly narrowed, because now the player essentially signing a contract will be obliged to work it off or go wherever the club tells him to go. 
I know it's a wise decision but it would be more right on a younger player, I don't know about Mbappe's clause is it higher than Gundongan? Now there are more and more rumors that this season he will leave soon on the one hand PSG does not want him to be a free player next season so PSG must get money from selling Mbappe, there is still no clarity.

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June 26, 2023, 07:55:16 PM
 #44544

The fact that Modric decided to turn down an offer that size (assuming biggest ever means maybe like 200 million a year) was a stupid mistake. Think about it, Real already has a good young midfield right now, which means that Modric is less needed, and sure he is still good but he won't be getting that back again. So if he left, and played at SA league, Real would have still been fine, it is not like they need Modric to win otherwise they won't win situation. That is why if he accepted, both Real would have been fine, and he would have been rich.

I am not sure if he will get the same offer next season, there will probably some financial drop there. If it is a political reason, like cultural unfit situation, then I would understand, that's another thing than football reasons.
Modric will also have somehow a mentor role, isn't it? I know Madrid doesn't usually do that and they don't give contract to player who will not perform at the highest level. I admire and respect Modric very much. He is indeed a great player. But he has never been a xavi or iniesta if we are to speak realistically. The only thing he is better than xavi-iniesta is that he won the undeserved awards in the years when xavi retired and iniesta transferred to the japan league to relax, and on top of that, he became the ucl champion last year with a single season prime period. Modric was selected once, while xavi was named the best playmaker of the year four times, iniesta twice and even de bruyne twice. again, iniesta was selected for the 11 of the year nine times, modric was selected six times, while iniesta was selected for the uefa team of the year six times, modric was selected three times. Nevertheless, I wish he had a country cup in his career before he retires from football. He hasn't quit yet, but he's old enough to be 37 and not going to win probably. I don't know how many more years he will have active in football from now on. A football legend who lived the last years of his career and did not go to Saudi Arabia without selling his football for money.

I doubt that Real Madrid would have given him another year of contract if they did not assume he would play most of the time. I know you didn't say that, but when you bring up the mentor role I think yes, but not because he is sitting on the bench. Also who knows what Real Madrid plans are for Modric in the distant future. He is a down to earth person with a very solid character and an amazing career who actually got a world soccer player title to his name during the reign of Messi and Ronaldo. I can see how they are planning on keeping him close to the club or even involved in the operative business one day.

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June 26, 2023, 08:02:12 PM
 #44545


If there is a way he can reduce his salary significantly and PSG request for a low fee for Neymar then he can be signed.
There are people in Barcelona that want him back and there are those who do not. Neymar himself likes the idea of returning to Barca but its a very difficult thing to happen.
Barcelona can't sign Neymar because of his salary/wages and the transfer fee that PSG are going to ask for. It is obvious that PSG are very willing to sell Neymar, but they are going to sell him for the right amount, they are not going to make it cheap so that he can leave easily, remember that when PSG signed him it was for a world record transfer fee, worth over £200m, so they have to sell him for a good amount. Neymar is also not going to take a pay cut, coupled with FFP issues regarding Barcelona, all of these makes it impossible for them to sign him. There's rumors that Manchester United might be interested, now they are the sort of club that can afford to buy Neymar from PSG.

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June 26, 2023, 08:41:25 PM
 #44546

Chelsea are experiencing a massive exodus of players. Kalidou Koulibaly has officially become the property of Al-Ahly and Kante belongs to Al-Ittihad. And then the two Blues players will also follow in the footsteps of their compatriots, Ziyech and Mendy will most likely also anchor in Arab lands. The departure of a number of important players in the Chelsea squad will certainly cause a variety of new problems. But Todd Boehly must have thought carefully and he also wants to trim his squad because he made a big transfer in the last transfer market.

Chelsea under Pochettino will certainly start a new chapter, he will be inherited by a potential young squad and of course Boehly will have high hopes for them to be able to restore the glory of the Blues.

Since last season, Chelsea has received a lot of attention because of the behavior of its owner Todd Boehly.

Todd Boehly spent more than 600 million pounds to purchase players in the transfer market last winter. expenditure after expenditure made by Todd Boehly at Chelsea came under scrutiny from UEFA regarding potential violations of FFP or Financial Fairplay regulations. that is why, to prevent Chelsea from violating FFP regulations, management must carry out financial equalization by selling several players before the 30th of the 2023 betting.

The reason, Chelsea has to sell many players before 30th June 2023 is because it still uses the same financial recording system as most football clubs world. In essence, another factor that requires Chelsea to sell many players before June 30 2023 is the losses that have reached a fantastic amount. therefore, Chelsea is required to release many players in order to balance the club's balance sheet in the 2023/2024 season. so it's very natural, if Chelsea do it.
Now, several players have left. So Pochettino's next task is to develop plans and strategies for his new squad. setting up some of the most ideal systems, and achieving chemistry between coaches and players ahead of pre-season matches.

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June 26, 2023, 08:44:11 PM
 #44547

Mbappe's case become even more complicated as per some news that were coming from PSG. Even it's also involving mbappe's mother as reported by marca
https://www.marca.com/en/football/real-madrid/2023/06/23/6495b025ca4741095b8b45ce.html



It seems like that's become the main reason why there are rumors if PSG wants 250m for him. I don't even think PSG wanna give him that big amount of money.
Mbappe is now threatening PSG. PSG is in a big lose if PSG was not selling mbappe right now caused by he will be leaving from the club with a free agent but at the same time PSG must have paid very big compensation for him.

That makes me feel curious about what's agreements between mbappe and PSG in the past.

For a player like Mbappe, there are many teams that want to hire him and Real Marid is one of them, they are waiting for a chance when he is a free player or when he can accept offers from other teams. PSG is making mistakes when they don't give Mbappe enough respect to keep him in the team, however, they can't also force any play to stay for another season.

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June 26, 2023, 08:58:11 PM
 #44548

Barcelona can't sign Neymar because of his salary/wages and the transfer fee that PSG are going to ask for. It is obvious that PSG are very willing to sell Neymar, but they are going to sell him for the right amount, they are not going to make it cheap so that he can leave easily, remember that when PSG signed him it was for a world record transfer fee, worth over £200m, so they have to sell him for a good amount. Neymar is also not going to take a pay cut, coupled with FFP issues regarding Barcelona, all of these makes it impossible for them to sign him. There's rumors that Manchester United might be interested, now they are the sort of club that can afford to buy Neymar from PSG.
Not only about the salary, Barcelona actually doesn't need new wingers because they already have 4 wingers. The existing wingers are also much younger than Neymar and have good quality as well. So, what for a new winger? It just wastes money, Barcelona isn't a typical club that want to spend money for unnecessary players. Moreover, they just have a financial problem, they will be more careful to spend money. If they have money, I assume they prefer signing a striker than signing a winger like Neymar.

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June 26, 2023, 08:59:57 PM
 #44549



Through the Insta story, Barcelona officially announced its new player who was successfully brought in from Manchester City on a free agent status, namely Ilkay Gundogan. This is a good recruitment for Barcelona to strengthen its squad in various competitions starting next season and at this time there is still no clear information regarding what number Gundogan will wear. For Gundogan, the atmosphere at Camp Nou is certainly different from that at the Etihad stadium, it is clear that he will start a new challenge with Barcelona. After winning the treble winner with Manchester City, of course Gundogan wanted to try new things and he decided the right choice by joining Barcelona.
The transfer of Ilkay Gundogan to Barcelona certainly broadens their strategic options in midfield. However, I can't help but express some concerns about the terms of the contract. Fabrizio Romano disclosed that the agreement includes a duration up to 2025 and a staggering release clause of 400 million euros. Given that Gundogan is already 32 years old, I find the figures somewhat baffling. Barcelona's economic situation is not the most stable, and such an inflated clause for Gundogan appears impractical. Nevertheless, I hope he will deliver optimum performances for Barcelona in the coming seasons.

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June 26, 2023, 09:09:02 PM
 #44550

Ruben Neves' signing for Al-Hilal is one of the most interesting deals I have seen lately. Because he is still 26 years old and this is normally a quite early age for a European decent player to sign for an Arabian team. But Al-Hilal have newly signed him for €55m transfer fee. I haven't seen the contract details but it must be tempting for Neves for sure.

Still I guess this transferring players at early age thing would be seen for only average level of players. I wouldn't expect any top player at young age to say yes to such teams. Because it wouldn't be good for their career no matter how much money they are offered.

Playing competitive for the Champions League title is the dream for most of such players in the end.

Some players may value their playing time and the money that comes with signing and playing football for such teams more than others.

If every player who joins the Saudi Arabia league does so for the sake of money rather than for the love of the game, the league will be unable to raise its standing among other leagues in the long run. If they want to become a globally competitive league, they must pay attention to potential young players when scouting for good players to play in their league.

I don't see anything wrong with Ruben Neves joining Al-Hilal; perhaps he'll get more playing time and, as a result, improve his career there. People go where they are valued and where they can make sufficient income before retiring. Don't be surprised; there must be a tangible reason for his action.

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June 26, 2023, 09:11:08 PM
 #44551

The fact that Modric decided to turn down an offer that size (assuming biggest ever means maybe like 200 million a year) was a stupid mistake. Think about it, Real already has a good young midfield right now, which means that Modric is less needed, and sure he is still good but he won't be getting that back again. So if he left, and played at SA league, Real would have still been fine, it is not like they need Modric to win otherwise they won't win situation. That is why if he accepted, both Real would have been fine, and he would have been rich.

I am not sure if he will get the same offer next season, there will probably some financial drop there. If it is a political reason, like cultural unfit situation, then I would understand, that's another thing than football reasons.

I do not think it was a big mistake for Modric to reject the big offer from Saudi Arabia. Footballers are also humans, and my best bet is that Modric refused the offer for family. Another year in Europe, then a move to MLS would work fine for Modric i believe. In the other hand, Madrid gets a talisman to guide their youngpins in midfield. Recall that Kroos also extended for another year
Luka Modric is one of the best midfielders in the world right now. With his mesmerizing moves and his intimidating foot works has made him remain at the top as one of best midfielders of his generation
That been said I think he should have accepted the huge financial package from the Saudi Arabian club. He's achieved everything he should have achieved as a footballer excluding the FIFA world cup trophy which he has also played in the final. So going to Saudi Arabia and getting the big bag should been a better decision at this time of his career

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June 26, 2023, 09:16:30 PM
 #44552

The fact that Modric decided to turn down an offer that size (assuming biggest ever means maybe like 200 million a year) was a stupid mistake. Think about it, Real already has a good young midfield right now, which means that Modric is less needed, and sure he is still good but he won't be getting that back again. So if he left, and played at SA league, Real would have still been fine, it is not like they need Modric to win otherwise they won't win situation. That is why if he accepted, both Real would have been fine, and he would have been rich.

I am not sure if he will get the same offer next season, there will probably some financial drop there. If it is a political reason, like cultural unfit situation, then I would understand, that's another thing than football reasons.

No one knows for sure what is the reason Modric refused the offer all we know he wants to retire with Madrid and yeah there is nothing wrong with that
He knew that Madrid had prepared a replacement like Jude Bellingham but the fact is he still wants to stay for one more season so at least for now money is not a priority for him although some people say it's silly. Or maybe he has other plans to be part of Madrid even though he has retired like what Zidane did? who knows.
I believe that Modric declined the contract due to personal reasons. There are certain things in life that hold more importance than money. For example, he may have a family member who has been dealing with a health issue that requires proper management. This is just one hypothetical scenario, and it is unlikely to be publicized in the media. It seems probable that the reason behind his decision is related to a family matter

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June 26, 2023, 09:30:54 PM
 #44553

Modric and Kroos both will not be needed for Real Madrid after this new season ends. Both of them would stay for only one last season and after that Real Madrid would start to play with their young midfielders in every single match. Transfers like Camavinga, Tchouameni and Bellingham are all investments in the future of the club.

Real Madrid must be still intending to have some experienced midfielders in the squad on one hand. Modric and Kroos are still great midfielders both. Especially Modric is really amazing that he can still play amazingly no matter what age he is at. He must have already become one of the best Real Madrid players in club history.

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June 26, 2023, 10:08:07 PM
 #44554

Yes, I saw it. From Mbappe's side, the math is clear: he has a guaranteed 150m from PSG next year if he stays + a year later he becomes a free agent and can get a signing bonus of, say, 100m from any club. Thus, now he is ready to change his status (a player with an expiring contract) only if it will be no less profitable than 250 million (150 from PSG and 100 from Real - well, or with some kind of discount from this amount, since he saves a year). It's just logical.
Yes, from the outside it looks like greed and impudence, but from a business point of view, this is 100% correct.

It depends... From a business point of view, yes it is 100% correct regarding the legitimacy of his requirements. But is it the right choice or course of action for his future career? This is where it becomes interesting because in reality we know that he doesn't want to stay, but he wants to leave and kick off his way to become a Real Madrid legend. Both clubs know that as well. If PSG does not move an inch from their position, will Mbappe really stick to the contract, take the money and let two more years of his career go up in dust? I am even skeptical now that I thought this through whether this would make sense from a business point of view over the whole course of his career plus the time after the career. If Michael Jordan stayed with some meaningless basketball club only because of money, he wouldn't be a multi-billionaire today. Mbappe should take into account more than just the money he can make within the next two years. An Mbappe in Real Madrid could become a world soccer player multiple times and that could increase his income manyfold for a long time.

From a sporting point of view, Mbappe has already buried some of his golden years in a Parisian swamp. As for finances, it is difficult to argue here - last year his contract seemed transcendental. Now this is no longer the case. What will happen next? I fully admit that due to the crisis, Europe will somehow be able to introduce a salary/budget cap on salaries, and in this case, his contract will again become significant and "historical" because no one can repeat it under the new conditions. There are many options and it is difficult to argue how to do better, so most players in this field play short-term strategies.
But I hope to see him at Real Madrid this summer.

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June 26, 2023, 10:40:17 PM
 #44555

Barcelona signing Neymar wont be such a bad thing. He is still very good and still among the best in his position. The only problem Neymar has are his constant long term injuries. If he can stay fit for a whole season you'll see that very few players are better than him. He was among the best in form players before he got injured. If there is a way he can reduce his salary significantly and PSG request for a low fee for Neymar then he can be signed. There are people in Barcelona that want him back and there are those who do not. Neymar himself likes the idea of returning to Barca but its a very difficult thing to happen.
It seems that Neymar is ready to go for some salary reduction for the sake of returning to Barcelona, another question is what can be a significant salary reduction for Neymar can still remain unacceptably much for Barcelona, which has recently been showing miracles of financial resourcefulness and trying to save as much as possible on the salaries of its players and coaches. It is already getting to the point that, according to rumors, Xavi has not yet extended his contract with the club only for the reason that the club agrees to raise the salary of Xavi himself, but refuses to do this with respect to his assistants, offering Xavi to pay extra to the assistants from his own funds.
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June 26, 2023, 10:43:09 PM
 #44556

I know this sounds weird because he is still very young and there is no financial possibility of this, but I would have loved seeing Neymar at Inter Miami. Not just because he would be good, we all know he would be, and getting back together with Messi would be good too. However, it would mainly be to see two European top names, even at their older ages and not peak performance, take an American team that is at the very bottom, and bring them to the title race would have been amazing to see. But if he goes to Barcelona, that ain't bad neither if that happens, I do not see him having one healthy season ever again, if he was injured this much al his career, then after being 30+ there will never be a single season where he plays all the games and never gets injured, he will just keep this up.

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June 26, 2023, 10:46:35 PM
 #44557

Modric and Kroos both will not be needed for Real Madrid after this new season ends. Both of them would stay for only one last season and after that Real Madrid would start to play with their young midfielders in every single match. Transfers like Camavinga, Tchouameni and Bellingham are all investments in the future of the club.
In recognition of the good memories both of them have with the club, the club keeps them even when they are old, even though they occasionally display their talents and experience to win matches, and we all know that every team needs an experienced old player to control the other players in the right direction.

After next season, the young midfielders will have gained enough experience to operate the midfield without the need for an older player.


Quote
Real Madrid must be still intending to have some experienced midfielders in the squad on one hand. Modric and Kroos are still great midfielders both. Especially Modric is really amazing that he can still play amazingly no matter what age he is at. He must have already become one of the best Real Madrid players in club history.
The team can no longer rely on them since they lack the strength to manage the middle; all they have is experience.

Real Madrid requires an experienced midfielder of a higher caliber than the young players they currently have to replace Modric and Kroos, who are both aging and unable to perform at their best.

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June 26, 2023, 11:19:03 PM
 #44558

Recently, I saw in the news today that Man City wants Hakimi in the team. After Messi left, many players are being heard from PSG that they will leave the club among them Neymar, Mbappe, and today Hakimi's name came up. The newly won Man City must want to continue their victory. Gundogan will join Barcelona. More players are rumored to not be at Man City next season. Hakimi will perform better under Guardiola if he is at Man City. Is Hakimi going to come to Man City?
Hakimi is not yet deciding it. He is not quite interesting to join in manchester city. The different situation if it was madrid who has been putting interest to get him back again from PSG. Hakimi is very loyal to the real madrid but not for another club.
He was always opening his door for real madrid but he is not yet giving comment regarding city's interest to sign him. Im thinking if he may be trying to stay even longer in PSG rather than join in manchester city.
Hakimi potentially goes to the manchester city but it's not easy to say he will accept it caused by city was madrid's rival. Hakimi is not likely to accept such an offer from manchester city.

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June 26, 2023, 11:31:12 PM
 #44559

Chelsea wanting more than 60 million Pounds for a mediocre player like Mount who has been very average for the last two seasons meanwhile having one year left on his contract is absurd. I really don’t know why ETG is even going in for him at all. Man Utd transfers would be going on smoothly if it wasn’t for the Glazers delaying the sale of the club.
Chelsea wants his price as high as possible. Mount was a player from chelsea's academic. That's gonna be a huge profit from chelsea. He has no a lot of experience but he has won UCL. ETH may see something different from mount. that's why ETH is still trying so hard to get him from chelsea. Mount's age is stil very young at this moment. The sale of club needs to be processed first and it may take several weeks or even more. It makes the progress become even slowly than before. It was also affecting the transfer from another player too.

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June 26, 2023, 11:34:26 PM
 #44560

Hakimi is not yet deciding it. He is not quite interesting to join in manchester city. The different situation if it was madrid who has been putting interest to get him back again from PSG. Hakimi is very loyal to the real madrid but not for another club.
He was always opening his door for real madrid but he is not yet giving comment regarding city's interest to sign him. Im thinking if he may be trying to stay even longer in PSG rather than join in manchester city.
Hakimi potentially goes to the manchester city but it's not easy to say he will accept it caused by city was madrid's rival. Hakimi is not likely to accept such an offer from manchester city.
Hakimi like Real Madrid but what makes things more interesting is to play with Mbappe in the same team. Hakimi and Mbappe are friends and go along together, if Real Madrid manage to get both then it will be an interesting deal and we can say RIP PSG for real this time.
PSG have to find a way to attract top players and keep their best ones. It seems like it isn't an easy mission..

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