Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Just can't get a break. Dusseldorf got such a hammering you wonder about the inconsistency of some of these teams now.

Champions League arrives and Juventus will want to do all they can to overturn the 2 goal deficit, so we'll parlay that against Sheffield Utd and Leeds to continue their push for promotion in the Championship.

Game 1: Juventus vs Atletico Madrid. Juventus WIN @1.68. Betcoin: 1.70
Game 2: Sheffield United vs Brentford. Sheffield WIN @1.99. Betcoin: 1.95
Game 3: Reading vs Leeds Utd. Leeds WIN @1.72. Betcoin: 1.68
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.783. Betcoin parlay: 5.5692

Odds advantage: 3.84%
Units advantage: 21.38

I can't resist a Schalke victory at City @24.3482. Bitcoinrush odds: 21.3. Betcoin odds: 20.21.
Odds advantage: 14.31%
Units advantage: 304.82

Running advantage after 231 bets: +5,716.83 (+326.2 units)

Running units after 229 bets (53W|176L): +2,513.57 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

I thought Chelsea was going to be my most spectacular loss of the season (losing 6-0 to City) but Schalke had other ideas. Blew me out of the water by half time, ended the match 7-0. But Juventus and Leeds made sure my parlay was booked early... Sheffield United gave a scare, getting a penalty and then red carded in first half but still managed to end the game 2-0.

Only 1 game I'm ever going to bet on tonight, a Liverpool away win parlayed with Barca, to both advance after a 0-0 first leg.

Game 1: Bayern Munich vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN@3.6. Betcoin odds: 3.41
Game 2: Barcelona vs Lyon. Barca WIN@1.23. Betcoin odds: 1.25
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.4392. Betcoin parlay: 4.26

Odds advantage: 4.21%
Units advantage: 17.92

Running advantage after 232 bets: +5,734.75 (+17.92 units)

Running units after 231 bets (54W|177L): +2,891.87 (+378.3 units)

[buwaytress]

Feels good to get two parlays in a row right, takes our total past 30% of bankroll, looking good to end the season with a small profit, with only about 2 months and a half left to bet on. Hope that's not spoken too soon.

Gives me good vibes for a tricky Europa parlay, for away wins for the favourites from England (Chelsea), Spain (Sevilla) and Italy (Napoli), where they are all want to salvage their seasons.

Game 1: Dynamo Kiev vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.05
Game 2: RB Salzburg vs Napoli. Napoli WIN @2.86. Betcoin odds: 2.86
Game 3: Slavia Prague vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.04. Betcoin odds: 2.02
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @12.0772. Betcoin parlay: 11.84

Odds advantage: 2%
Units advantage: 23.72

Running advantage after 233 bets: +5,758.47 (+23.72 units)

Running units after 232 bets (55W|177L): +3,235.79 (+343.92 units)

[buwaytress]

The gods weren't kind. Sevilla are out of the competition they've owned for the past 5 years, and Napoli knew Salzburg couldn't possibly score 5 goals after they got their early away goal, so they just sat back and soaked up the pressure.

Doncaster haven't won in the past 5 games while high-flying Barnsley will want to secure Championship promotion so that's where tonight's parlay starts with. And then what should be a simple home win for Borussia

Game 1: Doncaster vs Barnsley. Barnsley WIN@2.39. Bitcoinrush odds: 2.35
Game 2: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Freiburg. Monchengladbach WIN @1.62. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.8718 BCR parlay: 3.76

Odds advantage: 2.97%
Units advantage: 11.18

Running advantage after 234 bets: +5,769.65 (+11.18 units)

Running units after 233 bets (55W|178L): +3,135.79 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Draws for both legs of the game, really annoying that I keep picking these draws when I might as well have gone under 2.5 for almost the same odds for some of them.

Missed the kickoff for most of EPL games today, but probably a good thing as I was going to include West Ham in a parlay but they're down a goal to Huddersfield hah!

We'll do just the 1 FA Cup game tonight then, backing an underdog victory against the Red Devils parlayed against a must-win Atletico Madrid game in La Liga as they chase Barca.

Game 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Man Utd. Wolves WIN @3.41. Betcoin odds: 3.37
Game 2: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid. Atletico WIN @2.41. Betcoin odds: 2.37
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.2181. Betcoin parlay: 7.99

Odds advantage: 2.85%
Units advantage: 22.81

Running advantage after 235 bets: +5,792.46 (+22.81 units)

Running units after 234 bets (55W|179L): +3,035.79 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

What do you know? Backed the right underdog, but ruined it my totally midjudging the performance of Atletico. I know they lose cruelly in the Champions League, but I'd have thought that would galvanise a reaction, especially with the La Liga at stake. Oh well.

Liverpool have a must-win game, so that naturally forms the first leg of today's parlay. Then we'll pick all the big favourites in a multi-league selection.

Game 1: Fulham FC-Liverpool FC. Liverpool WIN @1.27. BCR: 1.25
Game 2: Everton FC-Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.86. BCR 1.87
Game 3: Real Betis -FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.49. BCR: 1.47
Game 4: Genoa -Juventus. Juventus WIN @1.66. BCR: 1.65
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.8427. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.673

Odds advantage: 2.99%
Units advantage: 16.97

Running advantage after 236 bets: +5,809.43 (+16.97 units)

Running units after 235 bets (55W|180L): +2,935.79 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

And I thought I was good at picking out unexpected results. Juventus losing should have been on the cards though as Ronaldo wasn't playing (yes, it really is all about him, as it was all about Messi yesterday as he picked up another career hattrick to an unprecedented ovation by Betis fans)... but Chelsea dropping like flies to Everton was probably what we should have predicted.

We'll dip into the 3rd tier of English and Spanish football today, where the slight underdogs are in fact in higher league positions, but probably get tougher odds because they're away. League 2 leaders Lincoln have won 4 and drawn 1 their past 5 games, while Mansfield have lost 2 and won 2.

In Segunda, Malaga have struggled but have a 4-game unbeaten streak, so I think they can continue this form against Numancia who's still got a negative goal difference.

Game 1: Lincoln City at Mansfield. Lincoln WIN@2.71. Betcoin odds: 2.71
Game 2: Malaga at Numancia. Malaga WIN @3.05. Betcoin odds: 2.99
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.2655. Betcoin parlay: 8.1

Odds advantage: 2.04%
Units advantage: 16.55

Running advantage after 237 bets: +5,825.98 (+16.55 units)

Running units after 236 bets (55W|181L): +2,835.79 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Both ended in 1-1 draws, but then as both picks were underdogs and away, I suppose the bookies knew what they were doing. Idiot me for picking the teams with better form and overall league standings!

I'll stick with the same today, we should see this even out, with Barnet in English National League and Dundee Utd in the Scottish Championship.

Game 1: Barnet vs Harrogate Town. Barnet @2.32. Betcoin: 2.33
Game 2: Dundee Utd vs Ross County. Dundee @2.56. Betcoin: 2.46
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.9392. Betcoin parlay: 5.73

Odds advantage: 3.65%
Units advantage: 20.92

Running advantage after 238 bets: +5,846.9 (+20.92 units)

Running units after 237 bets (55W|182L): +2,735.79 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

1-0 wins for both legs of our parlays, great way to recover from a string of losses. Both matches were rather dull, not even a single card and both goals scored in the first third of the game. Boring is how we like it when it comes to betting!

Today, there's a slew of internationals and I'm going to back Serbia to upstage Germany, who've been on a steady decline for a while now. I hope the underdogs sense a weakness and continue to take advantage of Neuer's weakening ability between the posts (see Bayern's loss to Liverpool).

100 units at Fairlay on Serbia to WIN vs Germany @7.227. Bitcoinrush odds: 6.97

Odds advantage: 3.69%
Units advantage: 25.7

Running advantage after 239 bets: +5,872.6 (+25.7 units)

Running units after 238 bets (56W|182L): +3,229.71 (+493.92 units)

[buwaytress]

That was close, Serbia leading all the way til the 69th minute after surviving an onslaught, but the game just dried up after that equaliser and no one went for the win, with the only flash of excitement at the last minute with the red card for Serbia.

So many great games today, but I'm going to go for a US friendly win, coupled with a Robbo-captained Scottish win and a Slovakian victory for their Euro qualifiers.

Game 1: USA-Ecuador. USA WIN @2.28. BCR odds: 2.25
Game 2: Kazakhstan-Scotland. Scotland WIN @2.01. BCR odds: 1.98
Game 3: Slovakia-Hungary. Slovakia WIN @1.77. BCR odds: 1.74
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.1115. BCR parlay: 7.7517

Odds advantage: 4.64%
Units advantage: 35.98

And I'll take an underdog bet on Thailand to prove to China they weren't a one-hit wonder at Asian Cup games. As you can see, while Fairlay usually has better odds on singles, it's not always the case. So, 100 units at Betcoin on Thailand to beat China @5.84. Bitcoinrush odds: 5.76. Fairlay odds: 5.42

Odds advantage: 1.39%
Units advantage: 8

Total units advantage: 43.98

Running advantage after 241 bets: +5,916.58 (+43.98 units)

Running units after 239 bets (56W|183L): +3,129.71 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Well, that parlay died unexpectedly on the first leg. I don't know which emotion is stronger. Pride that a Central Asian team hammered Scotland 3-0 or bemusement at what this new format could mean for the rest of the tournament. There weren't that many other surprises, though, I'd say.

But yay on Thailand smacking China for a sweet win! Takes us to a new bankroll high at just above 35% profit while only betting 1% on each bet!

We go for two slight favourites today in a simple parlay. Turkey have so much quality in them to go far anyway, while Bulgaria should pip Montenegro.

Albania vs Turkey. Turkey WIN @2.28. Betcoin odds: 2.19
Bulgaria vs Montenegro. Bulgaria WIN @2.32. Betcoin odds: 2.26
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.2896. Betcoin parlay: 4.95

Odds advantage: 1.39%
Units advantage: 33.96

Running advantage after 242 bets: +5,950.54 (+33.96 units)

Running units after 241 bets (57W|184L): +3,513.71 (+384 units)

[buwaytress]

Turkey won, but Bulgaria couldn't seem to get out of first gear so ended in a draw. Second consecutive EURO parlay to fold on a drab draw. No upsets really on the night, so it was good we didn't pick any of the underdogs, but that means tonight we want to see some surprises!

For me, that's Georgia, who's my underdog pick of the tournament. They served me well in Nations League and I happen to know a bit of their pride at having done so well, so I'll back them tonight against fancied opponents Switzerland.

100 units on Georgia to WIN vs Switzerland @5.9405. Bitcoinrush odds: 5.73

Odds advantage: 3.67%
Units advantage: 21.05


We'll look at other underdogs later, depending on odds, just look at the current vast difference (fairlay vs others):
Spain vs Norway: 19.7 vs 12.5
Liechtenstein vs Greece: 28 vs 22
Bosnia vs Armenia: 11.3 vs 10

But for now, we parlay a high-scoring Senegal match in the Africa Cup of Nations games with international friendlies (sorry Syria, but Jordan are at home):

Game 1: Senegal-Madagascar. Over 2.5 goals @2.06. BCR:2.08
Game 2: Jordan-Syria. Jordan WIN @2.34. BCR: 2.29
Game 3: Afghanistan-Malaysia. Msia WIN @1.92. BCR: 1.88
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.2551. BCR parlay: 8.9548

Odds advantage: 3.4%
Units advantage: 30.03

Total units advantage: 51.08

Running advantage after 244 bets: +6,002.62 (+51.08 units)

Running units after 242 bets (57W|185L): +3,413.71 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Yikes I completely midjudged Georgia's readiness for this kind of tournament. The Swiss weren't exactly lighting up the stage but that was enough to get 3 points because the Georgians even playing at home looked like deer in headlights.

And then of course, our parlay also failed... the one time I stop backing Syria is when they win!

Netherlands for once are the favourites against Germany, which is a shame as I'd have picked them otherwise. Let's go for Germany to cause a bump in the road for Oranje, and for Wales to get a home win.

Game 1: Netherlands vs Germany. Germany WIN @2.98. Betcoin odds: 3.0
Game 2: Wales vs Slovakia. Wales WIN @2.16. Betcoin odds: 2.12
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.4368. Betcoin parlay: 6.36

Odds advantage: 1.23%
Units advantage: 7.68

Our other parlay because we love Wales, and I'm backing a surprise win by Israel at home:
Game 1: Wales vs Slovakia. Wales WIN @2.13. BCR odds: 2.16
Game 2: Israel-Austria. Israel WIN @3.12. BCR odds: 3.09
Game 3: Slovenia-Macedonia. Slovenia WIN@1.85. BCR odds: 1.82
100 units parlay at Betcoin @12.2943. BCR parlay: 12.1474

Odds advantage: 1.21%
Units advantage: 14.69

We'll also top this up with Africa Cup of Nations parlay backing a slight underdog S Africa to get an away win.
Game 1: Benin-Togo. Benin WIN @1.97. BCR: 1.95
Game 2: Libya-South Africa. S Africa WIN @2.58. BCR: 2.56
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.0826. BCR parlay: 4.992

Odds advantage: 1.81%
Units advantage: 9.06

Running advantage after 247 bets: +6,034.05 (+31.43 units)

Running units after 244 bets (57W|187L): +3,213.71 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

Isn't it typical? The only leg in all 7 legs of 3 parlays we did yesterday to fail, was the one with the lowest odds, Slovenia actually led and hammered Macedonia with attacks, but the plucky Mediterannean team somehow survived, equalised and snatched a point. All the same, 2 parlays out of 3 is an excellent add.

Today, I'm going to go for a high-scoring Kosovo-Bulgaria match, and pad it up with what must be comfy wins for England and Portugal.

Kosovo-Bulgaria. Over 2.5   @2.51. BCR odds: 2.51
Montenegro-England. England WIN @1.37. BCR odds: 1.35
Portugal-Serbia. Portugal WIN @1.63. BCR odds: 1.62
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.605. BCR parlay: 5.4893

Odds advantage: 2.11%
Units advantage: 11.57

Running advantage after 248 bets: +6,045.62 (+11.57 units)

Running units after 247 bets (59W|188L): +4,065.65 (+851.94 units)

[buwaytress]

All that huffing and puffing and Portugal couldn't break the deadlock, they'll be worried at this stage, though I also fell on the Kosovo/Bulgaria leg. So much for that.

I haven't given up hope for Georgia to get a win in this league, and this may be a tough asking but the boys from Eire aren't the same stuff of Robbie Keane and co, so I will pick an underdog win for the Georgians.

100 units at Fairlay @6.703 for Georgia to WIN vs Republic of Ireland. Betcoin odds: 5.97

Odds advantage: 12.28%
Units advantage: 73.3

We'll also look at Asian friendlies today. Lots of good value bets for the home teams, so I'll go for Japan and South Korea to flex their muscles, and UAE to just about grab it all against Syria. I remember the one time I stopped backing Syria and they won a few days ago, but this time, the opposition should be too strong.

Game 1: Japan-Bolivia. Japan WIN @1.38. BCR odds: 1.34
Game 2: Korea Republic-Colombia. South Korea WIN @3.47. BCR odds: 3.38
Game 3: United Arab Emirates-Syria. UAE WIN @2.45. BCR odds: 2.44.
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.7320. BCR parlay: 11.0512

Odds advantage: 6.16%
Units advantage: 68.08

Running advantage after 250 bets: +6,187 (+141.38 units)

Running units after 248 bets (59W|189L): +3,965.65 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Not a good day at all. Won a great underdog leg with Japan, but went one friendly too far as UAE played out a scoreless draw with Syria (thanks Syria for making me lose again haha).

Georgia actually played commendably against Ireland but still left the losers.

It's actually a really poor day for pickings, but the Women's UEFA has brought me some joy before, so I'm going to go for a hard-fought home victory for the gritty Germans against silkier French opposition, and pair that up with an interesting Turkish friendly... where the current League 1 leaders are facing a Super League outfit currently in relegation zone. So, two slight underdogs.

Only Betcoin had the line, so I guess we don't have an odds advantage today.

Game 1: VfL Wolfsburg-Olympique Lyonnais. Wolfsburg WIN @2.58.
Game 2: Denizlispor-Goztepe SK. Denizlispor WIN @2.04
100 units parlay @Betcoin @5.2632

Running advantage after 251 bets: +6,187 (+-0 units)

Running units after 250 bets (59W|191L): +3,765.65 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

It's a mountain to climb every time we break 3k, I really almost feel like my history is performing to the tune of Bitcoin!

Anyway, the favourites Lyon won last night, so we lost the parlay.

I'll go again for the home teams tonight in lower league cup games, backing the slight underdogs Cornella to beat Mirandes, coupled with what looks like a straightforward victory for Chambly Oise:

Game 1: UE Cornella-CD Mirandes. Cornella WIN @2.91. BCR odds: 2.88
Game 2: FC Chambly Oise-Stade Olympique Choletais. Chambly WIN @1.62. BCR odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.7142. BCR parlay: 4.608

Odds advantage: 2.3%
Units advantage: 10.62

Running advantage after 252 bets: +6,197.62 (+10.62 units)

Running units after 251 bets (59W|192L): +3,665.65 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Now that we keep seeing draw break down parlays as with the Spanish leg of yesterday's, I'm wondering if I should just take small Asian Handicaps of +0.5 if the odds are still above 2/1. Only problem is Betcoin doesn't seem to let me do parlays like that only BCR does. I'll think about it.

I'm doing a simple Championship/Bundesliga one. West Brom are going to want to maintain steam at home for a path to the playoffs at least, and Leverkusen are my away pick.

Game 1: West Brom vs Birmingham. West Brom WIN @1.84. Betcoin: 1.81
Game 2: Hoffehheim vs Bayer Leverkusen. Leverkusen WIN @2.86. Betcoin: 2.84
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.2634. Betcoin parlay: 5.14

Odds advantage: 2.4%
Units advantage: 12.34

Running advantage after 253 bets: +6,209.96 (+12.34 units)

Running units after 252 bets (59W|193L): +3,565.65 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Should have gone for the home favourites. West Brom overcame some nerves to claw their way back to victory but Leverkusen were absolutely hammered after equalising... they just lost their mojo after crashing out of Europa it seems.

Thank God for EPL, here's to Wolves and Jimenez helping Burnley on the way to relegation (I think they'll still stay up though), and Palace and Leicester to score important home wins.

Game 1: Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @2.48. Betcoin: 2.47
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Huddersfield. Palace WIN @1.45. Betcoin: 1.44
Game 3: Leicester City vs Bournemouth. Leicester WIN @1.85. Betcoin: 1.83
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.6643. Betcoin parlay: 6.5089

Odds advantage: 2.39%
Units advantage: 15.54

Running advantage after 254 bets: +6,225.5 (+15.54 units)

Running units after 253 bets (59W|194L): +3,465.65 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

How many times have Wolves lost me parlays? I can't remember now, lost count. Big shame too, now I know why the odds weren't in their favour. Bookies knew something I didn't, and I underestimated Burnley's desire to remain in the EPL.

Today's a huge game for my beloved Reds, so there's no way to avoid them in my parlay, completed by Portsmouth grabbing a couple of goals against their rivals in League One, Sunderland. That's some nostalgia for me, as they were not too long ago in the Premier League.

Game 1: Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Liverpool WIN @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.57
Game 2: Portsmouth vs Sunderland. Portsmouth WIN @2.66. Betcoin odds: 2.62
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.1887. Betcoin parlay: 4.1

Odds advantage: 2.21%
Units advantage: 8.87

Running advantage after 255 bets: +6,234.37 (+8.87 units)

Running units after 254 bets (59W|195L): +3,365.65 (-100 units)