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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +98424 units  (Read 39048 times)
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May 03, 2021, 07:10:45 AM
 #1061

Utd/Liv match was called off so I'm scrapping all of these from yesterday, will return them if bets aren't voided when the new date for the game is decided. Barca last min bet was ill-advised ha!

Returning to Prem League, I'll take a Wolves away win and pair it with Bundesliga 2.

100 units at Sportsbet on Wolves and Fortuna Dusseldorf @4.85. Other odds: 4.70
Bet ID: 608fa06f9b465bbbc4023963

Units advantage: 15

Running advantage after 328 bets: +22,169 (+15)
All-time cumulative: +59,727
Running units after 327 bets (401W|276L): +11,888 (-100)

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May 04, 2021, 01:33:52 PM
 #1062

Wolves, why couldn't you just hold on for a little while more eh? Dusseldorf took us home but relegation strugglers hit back after weathering a storm of 9 shots on goal from Wolves. Ah well;)

Boosted odds for PSG to win is 5/1, too good to ignore. So that's our pick for today. 100 units at Sportsbet on PSG to win @5.07. Other odds: 4.80

Units advantage: 27

Running advantage after 329 bets: +22,196 (+27)
All-time cumulative: +59,754
Running units after 328 bets (401W|277L): +11,788 (-100)

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May 06, 2021, 06:07:24 AM
 #1063

It's a rare day that I forget to put my picks in for this thread. Could have sworn I actually was typing it out and maybe just forgot to post, closing the tab instead. Happens.

Let's do a cocktail of Europa, Germany, Armenia, Chinese and Egypt today, shall we? Would go Roma but only 35/10? Pfft.

100 units insured, boosted at Sportsbet on Arsenal, Hertha, Alashkert, Nantong Zhiyun, Zamalek to WIN @20.88. Other odds 19.56
Units advantage: 132

Running advantage after 330 bets: +22,328 (+132)
All-time cumulative: +59,886
Running units after 329 bets (401W|278L): +11,688 (-100)

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May 06, 2021, 06:16:36 PM
 #1064

Boosted odds for PSG to win is 5/1, too good to ignore. So that's our pick for today. 100 units at Sportsbet on PSG to win @5.07. Other odds: 4.80
PSG was really disappointing against City, sort of same as Real against Chelsea. I am only a bit sorry that Mbappe was not fit to play, maybe we would have had a much better game then. Kante was a beast for Chelsea and he made Real midfield look mediocre, I don't know if I would pick Hazard when playing with my mates Smiley

It seems Premier League will prove its dominance this season. We could have all PL finals both in Champions League and Europa league. Villarreal only club that can maybe spoil English party.

GL man, I am on United and Arsenal BTTS today.

 

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May 06, 2021, 06:59:35 PM
 #1065

PSG was really disappointing against City, sort of same as Real against Chelsea. I am only a bit sorry that Mbappe was not fit to play, maybe we would have had a much better game then. Kante was a beast for Chelsea and he made Real midfield look mediocre, I don't know if I would pick Hazard when playing with my mates Smiley

By mid second half, I was already just almost giving up watching because PSG were just pooh until the red card moment because then it became interesting for the Blackjack special;) Neymar's pre-match promise turned low but yeah, I was really hoping for Mbappe to be on the pitch, seems like the whole team played so slow like they had a weight on their shoulders because of that

It seems Premier League will prove its dominance this season. We could have all PL finals both in Champions League and Europa league. Villarreal only club that can maybe spoil English party.

GL man, I am on United and Arsenal BTTS today.

I'm as you can see, just 2 legs away from today's acca heh, so am hoping for Arsenal win (also got a correct score for 10/1 on 2:1 on Gunners).

And of course, since I like to throw stuff into the air I put a small bet on Roma to qualify and both teams over 9.5 booking points at 111/1;)

GL! Tw all-English European finals, with 1 team not even in European spot, says a lot, doesn't it?

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May 07, 2021, 06:40:03 AM
 #1066

So, Arsenal let us both down Trofo, and killed what would have been a nice acca for me. Small consolation is to get insurance back, but I really didn't expect Arsenal to be the one losing leg. I should have known better, I guess.

I'll do a simple Newcastle HT win today, why not? Vardy should creep up to win the day but Toons have been weirdly seesawing, and need 3 more points to secure safety.

100 units at Fairlay on Newcastle HT WIN @7.03. Other odds: 6.30
Units advantage: 73

Running advantage after 331 bets: +22,401 (+73)
All-time cumulative: +59,959
Running units after 330 bets (401W|279L): +11,688 (-0)

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May 08, 2021, 07:54:35 AM
 #1067

Well, there you go, Newcastle secured themselves safety from relegation, but in fact won both halves scoring FOUR goals against Leicester (up 2-0 at half time). Would have been 78/10 had I gone for the full time result, but a win's a win!

Let's do a simple Atletico win parlayed with Liverpool?

100 units at Sportsbet on Atletico, Liverpool to WIN @6.16. Other odds: 5.80
Units advantage: 36

Running advantage after 332 bets: +22,437 (+36)
All-time cumulative: +59,995
Running units after 331 bets (402W|279L): +12,291 (+603)

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May 09, 2021, 06:06:45 AM
 #1068

Real Madrid will be licking their chops to get in a win and start their belated charge to the title after last night's hugely disappointing scoreless draw between the other two La Liga frontrunners. Killed our bet.

Newcastle HT win served us well, so maybe we can count on Sevilla doing us the honours today?

100 units at Fairlay on Sevilla HT WIN @4.58. Other odds: 4.20

Units advantage: 38

Running advantage after 333 bets: +22,475 (+38)
All-time cumulative: +60,033
Running units after 332 bets (402W|280L): +12,191 (-100)

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May 10, 2021, 06:20:32 PM
 #1069

Right, I don't really have a pick either way for today's matches but as I stumbled around, there's a Fulham 2:0 value bet on correct score at Sportsbet. Why, you ask, when they've not scored 2 goals for a stretch of many games?

I say: because I like to bet on a streak breaking;)

100 units at Sportsbet on Fulham 2:0 correct score @11.79. Other odds: 9.90.
Units advantage: 189

Running advantage after 334 bets: +22,475 (+38)
All-time cumulative: +60,033
Running units after 333 bets (402W|281L): +12,091 (-100)

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May 10, 2021, 09:22:43 PM
 #1070

100 units at Sportsbet on Fulham 2:0 correct score @11.79. Other odds: 9.90.
At lest you got the result right, just missed the team  Grin

You should have placed a bet on Betis today to break streak, they had a bunch of draws it was time they get full points somewhere with the quality of football they bring to pitch in every game. I know the odds were way too small for you. I was sure I placed the bet on Betis but it seems I screwed something so no bet  Undecided

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May 11, 2021, 07:00:34 AM
 #1071

Indeed, Trofo, I misjudged a team who had no choice but to win, to buckle under pressure. I don't recall there ever being an EPL season where all relegated teams were known with 3/4 matches remaining. Can't really remember but oh well!

We turn to a tennis bet today, Has Fritz been punching way, way above his category?

100 units at Sportsbet Djoko to win any set to nil @8.83. Other odds: 7.90
Units advantage: 93

Running advantage after 335 bets: +22,568 (+93)
All-time cumulative: +60,966
Running units after 334 bets (402W|282L): +11,991 (-100)

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May 12, 2021, 07:34:05 AM
 #1072

Game was called off, interrupted but I'm going to call this a loss and it was headed to a straight set win with no to-nil;)

Let's do it real simple today and go for an Arsenal upset at Chelski. Only because I do need them to win so we have more chances to get into top 4 (damn United losing to Leicester and City losing to Chelsea haha). And hey, Auba needs to remind people why he gets paid!

100 units at Sportsbet on Arsenal to WIN vs Chelsea @5.40. Other odds: 5.10
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 336 bets: +22,598 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +60,996
Running units after 335 bets (402W|283L): +11,891 (-100)

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May 13, 2021, 07:35:12 AM
 #1073

Oh that's so good, yummy in my tummy. Arsenal were lucky, though, Chelsea dominated throughout, but again both teams found it a real struggle to score, and I'm be counting on more of that from Chelsea for their final two games, so we can creep up behind them (and they can try and qualify by winning Champs League).

Boosted insured parlay coming up!
100 units at Sportsbet on Liverpool, Hellas Verona, Godoy Cruz, Gent, Club Brugge @23.58. Other odds: 21.88
Units advantage: 170

And we go big on Liverpool with 1000 units at Fairlay on Liverpool to WIN@2.45. Other odds: 2.30 (Can probably wait for a big boost tonight on Sportsbet but I took an early one).
Units advantage: 150

Total units advantage: 320

Running advantage after 338 bets: +22,918 (+320)
All-time cumulative: +61,316
Running units after 336 bets (403W|283L): +12,331 (+440)

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May 14, 2021, 09:44:46 AM
 #1074

The joys of a big Liverpool win, and even more joyous that it was against United, even if we know they already guarantee top four, they still played their strongest squad so it was a good win after all. Brugge and Verona drew/lost, so we lost our multi. No matter!

City nothing to play for, Newcastle form hot and heavy, good odds, why not?

100 units at Fairlay on Newcastle to win @11.62. Other odds: 10.60
Units advantage: 102

Running advantage after 339 bets: +23,020 (+102)
All-time cumulative: +61,418
Running units after 338 bets (404W|284L): +13,681 (+1450-100=+1350)

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May 15, 2021, 02:24:26 PM
 #1075

Well, what do you know, Newcastle almost gave me a second straight big win, and when they actually led, I thought it was going to be a nice night. 2-2 at HT wasn't too bad either, imagine if they could play like this every time?

Going to go for two 2-leg parlays, 100 units each at Sportsbet. Latter odds are actually worse but I just wanted to use SB;):
Saints (live)/Brighton @6.87. Other odds: 6.00
Bet ID:609fd77b338b0b239c0403a5
Inter/Spurs @5.26. Other odds: 5.40
Bet ID: 609fd7a99b465b73630f55e2

Units advantage: +87-14 =73

Running advantage after 340 bets: +23,093 (+73)
All-time cumulative: +61,491
Running units after 339 bets (404W|285L): +13,581 (-100)

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May 16, 2021, 08:26:51 AM
 #1076

No joy for our parlays yesterday, pity about Brighton as they actually led with the goal with 10 mins to go, but then eventually caved in to pressure. Hammers may yet snatch a coveted Top 4 spot but Europa will be as attractive to them, no doubt.

We go for bottom club upset today. No pressure to win, relegated Blades will play freely, Everton need to win.

100 units at Sportsbet on Sheffield Utd to WIN @8.04. Other odds: 7.20
Bet ID: 609fd889338b0b891f040538
Units advantage: 84

Running advantage after 342 bets: +23,177 (+84)
All-time cumulative: +61,575
Running units after 341 bets (404W|287L): +13,381 (-200)

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May 17, 2021, 05:53:40 AM
 #1077

Maybe I really should just stick to choosing the upsets. Nice win from Blades, and they were actually organised and Everton were a shambles. Sorry neighbours, but your misery is my joy. What a difference in mood from just 10 games into the season when Ancellotti looked like he'd really transformed them.

Boosted and insured 5-leg acca? Why not? And to pick who progresses in the C'ship playoff.

100 units at Sportsbet on Wuhan, Shanghai Shenhua, Sonderjske, Brentford, Swansea @71.26. Other odds: 67.49
Units advantage: 377

Running advantage after 343 bets: +23,554 (+377)
All-time cumulative: +61,952
Running units after 342 bets (405W|287L): +14,085 (+704)

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May 18, 2021, 08:44:35 AM
 #1078

Wow, as if to tell me I really should not look at these types of accas, the very first and second legs lost, and even Brentford got KO'd out. Shame, was really hoping to see them in Prem League next season.

Lesson is learnt, at least for now;)

100 units at Fairlay on Fulham HT win at Man Utd @7.89. Other odds: 7.20
Units advantage: 69

Running advantage after 344 bets: +23,623 (+69)
All-time cumulative: +62,021
Running units after 343 bets (405W|288L): +13,985 (-100)

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May 19, 2021, 09:11:28 AM
 #1079

Brighton actually won, but the odds were not nice at all at 5/1, though I wonder which brave fan would have backed their team live after going down 0-2? Should have been a tasty comeback win. Good for them!

We do another simple Spurs upset tonight, to fire them up for a win against Leicester eh? Wink I took bets and saw odds improve, but I'll take the hit!

100 units at Sportsbet on Villa to WIN vs Spurs @5.60. Other odds: 5.80
Bet ID: 60a401357b020833f847543a
Units advantage: -20

Running advantage after 345 bets: +23,603 (-20)
All-time cumulative: +62,001
Running units after 344 bets (405W|289L): +13,885 (-100)

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May 20, 2021, 09:11:52 AM
 #1080

Thank you Spurs. I do feel bad for you, but with the way you're playing, it's just impossible not to bet against you, plus Villa were actually well worth their win. Ollie Watkins, wow. Hope your Brentford guys come join us in EPL next season.

A bit of a form bet tonight, Argentinian and English lower leagues, thin today!

100 units on Sportsbet on Tranmere Rovers, Argentinos Jrs, Boca Jrs @5.73. Other odds: 5.55
Units advantage: 18

Running advantage after 346 bets: +23,621 (+18)
All-time cumulative: +62,019
Running units after 345 bets (406W|289L): +14,345 (+460)

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