Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units

[buwaytress]

It wasn't even a close game by the stats, even if the scoreline seemed to flatter N Ireland. Patience, and persistence, should have bet on Conmebol upsets instead;) USA and Mexico scraped through on Nations League finals and those would have been good handicap bets if I actually play that style!

A dumb friendly, with Asian sleeping giant Kazakh to beat N Macedonia. 100 units at Fairlay @5.66. Other odds: 5.10
Units advantage: 56

Running advantage after 365 bets: +24,344 (+56)
All-time cumulative: +62,742
Running units after 364 bets (60W|304L): +14,785 (-100)

[1715283624]

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[buwaytress]

Whoops that was a really poor pick from me yesterday, and I missed the Estonian upset which was about 12/1 as I recall. Shall we choose another Caucasus upset after Georgia got us our win two days ago? I say why not? Armenian football seems to have generated some positivism after last year's upheaval.

100 units at Sportsbet on Armenia to WIN vs Sweden @9.80. Other odds: 9.10
Bet ID: 60bb632c9b465bbcc8228878

Running advantage after 366 bets: +24,414 (+70)
All-time cumulative: +62,812
Running units after 365 bets (60W|305L): +14,685 (-100)

[buwaytress]

2-0 down at half time, it wasn't going to happen was it? They did score a goal though, so no need to overlook them so quickly. Georgia won us an upset a few days ago, shall we still with my favourite Nations League dark horse and hope the Dutch experiment too much?

100 units at Fairlay on Georgia to WIN vs Netherlands @12.73. Other odds: 10.80

Units advantage: 193

Running advantage after 367 bets: +24,607 (+193)
All-time cumulative: +63,005
Running units after 366 bets (60W|306L): +14,585 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Ah, that'll teach me to go against the Dutch, who've actually given me really good returns as underdogs themselves. Sound whipping for the Georgians, reminding them why they've never qualified for the finals even with the Nations League format!

WC qualification, we backed Indonesia and they almost beat Thailand the other day, why not again to succeed against Vietnam? Plus a friendly against Faroe Islands please!

100 units at Sportsbet on Indonesia to beat Vietnam @9.58. Other odds: 9.32

100 units at Fairlay on Liechtenstein to beat Faroe Islands @7.72. Other odds: 7.40

Units advantage: 26+32 =58

Running advantage after 369 bets: +24,665 (+58)
All-time cumulative: +63,063
Running units after 367 bets (60W|307L): +14,485 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Yikes on both counts, small consolation is not one underdog found his way through yesterday, friendly or otherwise. Hit some nice bets in tennis but I wasn't expecting those. Live bets on the trailing favourites are the way to go for RG!

Another 2 underdogs for U21 and a friendly, then? Both at Fairlay:

100 units on Andorra U21 to beat Kosovo @9.81. Other odds: 9.20
100 units on Albania to WIN vs Czech Republic @6.80. Other odds: 6.40

Total units advantage: 61+40 = 141

Running advantage after 371 bets: +24,806 (+141)
All-time cumulative: +63,204
Running units after 369 bets (60W|309L): +14,285 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Nope, no luck on that one either, haha!

I'm bored and EURO starts Friday so instead of wasting more money on friendlies, why not take today's tennis special on Sportsbet? King of Clay is still at peak powers so it seems good value to me

100 units at Sportsbet on Nadal to WIN straight, get over 1.5 aces each set, and no tie breaks @15.0. Not sure how it works on other odds but 3:0 odds are only 1.5 so seems good to me!
Bet ID: 60c090ec611faad919f1d1eb

Running advantage after 372 bets: +24,806 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +63,204
Running units after 371 bets (60W|311L): +14,085 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Yeah, Nadal. We crashed out on the first set already as he only managed one ace there, and then he lost another set, so we were really far from this I'd say.

Tomorrow EURO kicks off, so pretty excited as I've got ALL kinds of bets riding on this thanks to Sportsbet's countdown promo. I'll list them out if you're watching this thread so you can take advantage:
Sportsbet: boosted winner outrights and freebets each time your team wins
FortuneJack: Free tourney long 1x2 comps for freebet prizes
Stake: Cashback on each win/goal from outrights on winner, golden boot, and MVP.

Copa de Brasil is our upset pick of the day;)

100 units at Sportsbet on Brasiliense to WIN vs Gremio Porto Alegrense @8.48. Other odds: 7.90
Units advantage: 58

Running advantage after 373 bets: +24,864 (+58)
All-time cumulative: +63,262
Running units after 372 bets (60W|312L): +13,985 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Ended up a scoreless draw, but the red card for the home team didn't help their chances either, so Gremio progress to the next stages.

Tonight we have a pretty bet on the EURO 2020 opener. Sportsbet gave out an awesome promo yesterday and value is written all over it.

So 500 units at Sportsbet on Italy to WIN vs Turkey @2.50. Other odds: 1.60
Bet ID: 60c1e22ef6b406086af0a38a
Units advantage: 90x5 = 450

Running advantage after 374 bets: +25,314 (+450)
All-time cumulative: +63,712
Running units after 373 bets (60W|313L): +13,885 (-100)

[Trofo]

Tonight we have a pretty bet on the EURO 2020 opener. Sportsbet gave out an awesome promo yesterday and value is written all over it.

Missed that one unfortunatly. Don't know how

But I took daily special now and it is one of a kind
France (EURO), Brazil (COPA), Djoko and Barty (Wimbeldon) all to win outright @300

Not gonna come, I know but you don't get better chance to earn a full bitcoin every day.

[buwaytress]

Tonight we have a pretty bet on the EURO 2020 opener. Sportsbet gave out an awesome promo yesterday and value is written all over it.

Missed that one unfortunatly. Don't know how

But I took daily special now and it is one of a kind
France (EURO), Brazil (COPA), Djoko and Barty (Wimbeldon) all to win outright @300

Not gonna come, I know but you don't get better chance to earn a full bitcoin every day.

My man, I took the exact same bet, and France wasn't even my pick (took Netherlands) but I'd easily pick Brazil, Djoko and Barty all so I thought, hell why not.

"Only" put 1.5mbtc on it though so just under half a Bitcoin if this hits. I'll come celebrate with you over a beer if we get it!

[buwaytress]

Thank you Italy. Looking back, I should have parlayed it with some picks I was mulling over yesterday, in tennis and in friendlies. But happy I just got out of this all the same.

OK, so, today's a very different game, UFC23. And why? Because Stake has got an awesome special on today -- bet on their Ambassador, Israel Adesanya (who's also the favourite) and if he loses, you get your money back. At 14/10, that's value I couldn't ignore. Who can? =D

500 units at Stake on Adesanya to WIN vs Vettori @1.40. Other odds: 1.34
Bet ID: sport:10997386 (if you paste that in Stake chat, you can see the slip)

Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 375 bets: +25,344 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +63,742
Running units after 374 bets (61W|313L): +14,635 (+750)

[buwaytress]

Another great win, at great odds, with no risk. Value doesn't get better than this. 5 rounds, Adesanya gets back to winning ways and he gets his revenge against Vettori.

A rare parlay today, but no friendlies, EURO, Copa and Brasil mix. Why not? Boosted and insured at Sportsbet:
100 units on Netherlands, Austria, England, Colombia and Fortaleza to WIN @14.43. Other odds: 13.35

Units advantage: 108

Running advantage after 376 bets: +25,452 (+108)
All-time cumulative: +63,850
Running units after 375 bets (62W|313L): +14,835 (+200)

[buwaytress]

It's not every day that I hit a parlay. Reasonably small one on favourites, and 4 slim wins to boot, so definitely one to celebrate, especially Netherlands I'd say who clawed back the victory from a potential booby trap that was Ukraine.

3 win days in a row too, to take us above 16,000 units of profit as the season end approaches. Very nice feeling!

Emboldened by favourites doing well, let's go for another parlay backing Scotland!

100 units at Sportsbet on Scotland, Spain, Poland and Argentina to WIN @10.81. Other odds: 10.21
Units advantage: 60

Running advantage after 377 bets: +25,512 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +63,910
Running units after 376 bets (63W|313L): +16,178 (+1,343)

[buwaytress]

Hmm, it seems I didn't update my bet yesterday here, was a simple boosted parlay on Portugal/France at 42/10 but no worries, I'm just happy I won with tight games (despite flattering scoreline for Port).

Day before yesterday was NOT good, only 1 leg out of 4 hit!

Another boosted one for EURO today.

100 units at Sportsbet on Russia, Italy and Turkey to WIN @7.00. Other odds: 6.50
Units advantage: 50

Running advantage after 378 bets: +25,562 (+50)
All-time cumulative: +63,960
Running units after 377 bets (63W|314L): +16,078 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Sigh. It wasn't so long ago I remember Turkey beating France in the WC qualifiers, and just not too long ago either Netherlands, and I'm thinking what good underdogs they are.

Apparently, not so good as slight favourites!

Anyway, more EURO favs and some tough home wins in Brasil?

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Netherlands, Ukraine, Belgium, Fluminense, America FC to WIN @20.22. Other odds: 19.10
Units advantage: 112

Running advantage after 379 bets: +25,674 (+112)
All-time cumulative: +64,072
Running units after 378 bets (63W|315L): +15,978 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Well we got the money back, insured as America didn't win their game. Big shame boo=) But what a EURO it's been for the favourites so far... only 2 upsets I can think of and they weren't that big. A bit lazy for tonight, wasted last night's parlays so another small outright.

100 units at Sportsbet on Slovakia to WIN vs Sweden @4.50. Other odds: 4.40
Units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 380 bets: +25,684 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +64,082
Running units after 379 bets (63W|316L): +15,978 (-0)

[buwaytress]

Pah. Upsets did not happen, I almost thought Scotland might take it too, actually had more shots on goal than England and I think the 3 Lions will feel absolutely let down by their performance.

It's been pretty good for favourites so far and I made a mistake of parlaying too many other legs so:

100 units on France, Portugal, Spain to WIN @6.40. Other odds: 6.10
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 381 bets: +25,714 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +64,112
Running units after 380 bets (63W|317L): +15,878 (-100)

[Trofo]

Pah. Upsets did not happen, I almost thought Scotland might take it too, actually had more shots on goal than England and I think the 3 Lions will feel absolutely let down by their performance.

I am very disappointed with England's performance. They were 2nd or 3rd favorite to take the EURO and they are playing like shit. Their wings are not allowed to go forward, they are playing with 2 defensive midfielders against teams like Scotland...Than Kane comes back to his own half to get the ball and England is left with just one action that looks dangerous. Long ball from mount behind defense and let Sterling run. Way too little for the squad Southgate has.

[buwaytress]

I am very disappointed with England's performance. They were 2nd or 3rd favorite to take the EURO and they are playing like shit. Their wings are not allowed to go forward, they are playing with 2 defensive midfielders against teams like Scotland...Than Kane comes back to his own half to get the ball and England is left with just one action that looks dangerous. Long ball from mount behind defense and let Sterling run. Way too little for the squad Southgate has.

Scotland draw or handicap was a value bet and that was one of my parlay legs yesterday (ruined by Czech Republic not winning though haha). I know I could be saying this as a biased Liverpool fan but the way his team was set up felt like he forgot he doesn't have Trent feeding in crosses from the right flank.

They broke their group hoodoo this year by winning their first game (5D 4L in their previous 9 tournaments) but this is the familiar England I've always remembered in WC and EURO. Overhyped and blunt, can't even really showcase their supposed Premier League physicality.

I know they're still probably progress but you're right. He's got Sancho (16 goals, 20 assists last season) whom every bloody club wants NOT playing. You've got Grealish (6 goals, 10 assists but missed a lot of games and well, plays for Villa) who only got 30 mins yesterday. I think Foden's great, but time to switch it up or hell, throw them all on! At least for me fefinitely time to try one game without damned Sterling.

[buwaytress]

Portugal, feel bad for them, but Germany deserved the win thoroughly. Pretty cool memories from the weekend, yeah? Hungary celebration, and that Ronaldo flick, I'm entertained even losing.

Got quite a few bets that will settle today, but for now, a boosted insured parlay at Sportsbet:

100 units on Italy, Switzerland, Colombia, Ecuador and Palmeiras to WIN @12.46. Other odds: 11.88
Units advantage: 58

Running advantage after 382 bets: +25,772 (+58)
All-time cumulative: +64,170
Running units after 381 bets (63W|318L): +15,778 (-100)