Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Unsurprisingly, my 5-leg acca buried so we're off to a negative bankroll balance.

Super Cup tonight! I had a grand time with Villareal beating Man Utd in the Europa League, so I'll be so looking forward to them taking it off Chelsea too. But a full time victory, this time, please yellow submarine?

100 units at Sportsbet on Villareal to WIN vs Chelsea @6.28. Other odds: 5.95
Units advantage: 33

Running advantage after 3 bets: +200 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +68,578
Running units after 1 bet (0W|1L): -100

[buwaytress]

So close, and yet so far. Didn't go the way I wanted, they seemed to just want to try their luck at penalties, and then of course, found a way to lose despite Chelsea missing the first kick. Still. 50/50 penalties, I'd take the underdog any day.

Some favourites at Europa tonight. I'll check later to see if I add Conference.

100 units at Sportsbet on Galatasaray, Celtic and Rapid Wien to WIN @6.20. Other odds: 5.75
Units advantage: 45

Running advantage after 4 bets: +245 (+45)
All-time cumulative: +68,623
Running units after 2 bets (0W|2L): -200 (-100)

[Trofo]

So close, and yet so far. Didn't go the way I wanted, they seemed to just want to try their luck at penalties, and then of course, found a way to lose despite Chelsea missing the first kick. Still. 50/50 penalties, I'd take the underdog any day.

I had both to score and was quite certain my bet will pass towards the end of first half when Villareal hit the woodwork twice. That game was full of swings and both teams had parts when they were totally dominant. I guess it was to be expected since the teams have not hit their working temperature yet. If Villareal continued to play like they did while loosing they could have won this one.

[buwaytress]

@Trofo. Yeah, these pre-seasons are really just friendlies, despite a cup and prize money attached to it. Villareal, an amazing piece of work honestly

Brentford to win, because well. Arsenal haha. And let's parlay that with Monaco to continue their resurgence from last season? We always get one surprise team in all the leagues and I have a feeling Brentford and Monaco could be those two this season.

100 units at Sportsbet on Brentford and Monaco to WIN @9.12. Other odds: 8.90
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 5 bets: +267 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +68,645
Running units after 3 bets (0W|3L): -300 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Can't believe Monaco lost, and they were actually all over Lorient, totally dominated but couldn't find a goal. Stats wise anyway, they should have won, but my eyes were on Arsenal losing to Brentford.

Let's book another upset today on Leeds to trump big spenders United, and parlay that with a Liverpool hungry to prove their doubters wrong.

100 units at Sportsbet on Leeds and Liverpool to WIN @7.47. Other odds: 7.10
Bet ID: 6116b08b411413408a1442ab
Units advantage: 37

Also edited a forgotten loss in the stats:

Running advantage after 6 bets: +304 (+37)
All-time cumulative: +68,682
Running units after 5 bets (0W|5L): -500 (-100)

[Trofo]

Told you, you are best when betting against favorites. Nice hit on City misfortune Doubly so when I now you are a red supporter. Did not have the balls to go for Spurs win today but I took nice 1x @2.2 which is more then enough for me. Thought this one would end as draw and that would maybe be the most fair result, not to mention 3 points for me in our pool.

[buwaytress]

Told you, you are best when betting against favorites. Nice hit on City misfortune Doubly so when I now you are a red supporter. Did not have the balls to go for Spurs win today but I took nice 1x @2.2 which is more then enough for me. Thought this one would end as draw and that would maybe be the most fair result, not to mention 3 points for me in our pool.

Yeah, even 3-leg and 4-leg parlay with favourites since last week have not hit, while the tough ones like Watford (almost 4/1 with a boost) ended up hitting so early. Leicester and Spurs were about 4/1 and 5/1 but watching both games, it really looked much closer than that, huh? Citeh without strikers I think are really, really going to mess up with them every few games. Sad that we won't be getting big odds anymore against City. Could be wrong though.

Super week for me for sure, and happy to book the first win!

Anyway, a simple underdog. Ajax youth lost their opener in Dutch 2nd tier, while Dordrecht drew, so this is a form bet.
100 units at Fairlay on Dordrecht to win vs Jong Ajax @7.71. Other odds 6.70
Units advantage: 101

Running advantage after 7 bets: +405 (+101)
All-time cumulative: +68,783
Running units after 6 bets (1W|5L): +1,707 (+2,207)

[buwaytress]

I would love to say I saw this coming, but Ajax actually dominated the game with 66% possession and until 85th minute, were leading 1-0 with just about more shots than Dordrecht. Then their hero scored 5 mins from time, and hit again in 91st min. So we get our second win of the season, fantastic.

Not so interesting picks tonight but let's do a BVB slight upset in the German Super Cup and pair that with next week's Liverpool win against Chelsea?
100 units at Sportsbet on BVB tonight and Liverpool to WIN vs Chelsea @6.15. Other odds: 6.10
Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 8 bets: +410 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +68,788
Running units after 7 bets (2W|5L): +2,378 (+671)

[Trofo]

Not so interesting picks tonight but let's do a BVB slight upset in the German Super Cup...

I am actually thinking this should be expected result. BVB started the season firing on all cylinders with Haaland already scoring a shitload of goals. Bayern on the the other hand started with mediocre performances and has some injury problems. I am playing something on BVB for sure today. Still undecided between their win or maybe 1x and both to score.

[buwaytress]

Not so interesting picks tonight but let's do a BVB slight upset in the German Super Cup...

I am actually thinking this should be expected result. BVB started the season firing on all cylinders with Haaland already scoring a shitload of goals. Bayern on the the other hand started with mediocre performances and has some injury problems. I am playing something on BVB for sure today. Still undecided between their win or maybe 1x and both to score.

Yeah Haaland is reaching new levels I didn't think was possible, but that's what you get when you stay in your team and league and continue to develop. So glad he didn't move (yet). He has bigger things in store for him but there's a lot more to develop yet at Dortmund.

Also thinking of taking ML or Betbuilder if a superboost comes on, which I'm sure it will. BVB win and BTTS would be close to 5/1 I'm sure if 20% boost.

[Trofo]

Also thinking of taking ML or Betbuilder if a superboost comes on, which I'm sure it will. BVB win and BTTS would be close to 5/1 I'm sure if 20% boost.

SuperBoost is now active, just took similar bet to what you wrote. I guess today we are cheering for same outcome, not something that happens very often.

Also I am surprised you did not put money on S. Donetsk, Monaco has started the season badly and I am expecting visitors to take at least a draw home if not a victory.

[buwaytress]

Also thinking of taking ML or Betbuilder if a superboost comes on, which I'm sure it will. BVB win and BTTS would be close to 5/1 I'm sure if 20% boost.

SuperBoost is now active, just took similar bet to what you wrote. I guess today we are cheering for same outcome, not something that happens very often.

Also I am surprised you did not put money on S. Donetsk, Monaco has started the season badly and I am expecting visitors to take at least a draw home if not a victory.

Indeed! I did those two options and added Over 7.5 corners too... 53/10. Lewie just scored his customary goal so we're getting there... and already 6 corners...

I'm backing Monaco in a separate parlay with Dinamo only 4/1, we definitely don't agree on Monaco I think they're getting bad results playing okay (but they lost me money already losing their opener). Also picked a Broendby HT win at 13/1 as they seem to be giving up on domestic and playing for UCL haha. Should have picked that for this thread but I thought I got bad odds as I saw it was 15/1 at Fairlay later on.

Edit: Monaco are being outplayed badly right now though so you might have a point!
Edit2: And are now behind a goal ha!

[buwaytress]

See what happens when you do a "simple" acca? both underdogs win, and pretty convincingly even for one leg. Monaco deserved at least a draw for effort though, I'd say. But then again, football's not about deserving.

Derby are dire, I can't defend how they're playing especially after their last gasp relegation survival last season. Rooney to find a way to galvanise his team tonight? And parlay with a Swiss win against Hungarian opposition in UCL qualifiers?

100 units at Sportsbet on Young Boys and Derby to WIN @6.99. Other odds: 6.70
Units advantage: 29

Running advantage after 9 bets: +439 (+29)
All-time cumulative: +68,817
Running units after 8 bets (2W|6L): +2,278 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Well, well, well, Rooney bagged us the goods, held on for the win which will boost their hopes to avoid another battle against relegation. Young Boys proved to be superior throughout, even after trailing 0-1, getting a player sent off, and then conceding a penalty... they managed to scramble everything together and lead 3-1, before things got nervy but it all ended up 3-2.

Let's do another 2-legger with an upset and a fav. LDU Quito were not favoured in the 1st leg of Copa Sudamerica and still dominated the match against Brazilian outfit Paranaense. They defend a solitary goal on the away leg but I love their 6/1 odds. We'll pair that up with Rapid Wien in Europa play offs, as they are strong winners when playing at home.

100 units at Sportsbet on Quito and Rapid Wien to WIN @11.05 Other odds: 10.70
Units advantage: 35

Running advantage after 10 bets: +474 (+35)
All-time cumulative: +68,852
Running units after 9 bets (3W|6L): +2,877 (+599)

[buwaytress]

Quito, poor Quito. Lost 4-2 as the bookies expected, and they probably got a slightly unfair result but then a draw also wasn't going to be enough for us.

Shame on me also for missing out on Paco's 6/1 upset over an understrength Spurs -- surprised that Nuno took such a risk.

Let us return to a simple ML in Bundesliga:

100 units at Sportsbet on Stuttgart to WIN vs Leipzig @7.38. Other odds: 6.95
Units advantage: 43

Running advantage after 11 bets: +517 (+43)
All-time cumulative: +68,895
Running units after 10 bets (3W|7L): +2,777 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Yikes Stuttgart, scrambling all over the place and showing nothing for their troubles, letting in 4 against them instead.

EPL is where my heart is, and Watford looked really good last week, while Brighton are starting bright too, but I wonder if the Hornets can snag a tight game? Tie that into a HT lead for Liverpool.

100 units at Sportsbet on Watford WIN and Liverpool HT WIN @10.62. Other odds: 9.90

And there's this huge boosted special at Stake of double winnings on this acca, so while actual odds are a tad lower, the special double is impossible to ignore.

100 units at Stake on Liverpool, Man Utd, Chelsea WIN @6.98. Other odds: 3.89.
Bet ID: sport:14188283


Edit: How could I forget?! 100 units at Fairlay on Norwich to WIN vs Manchester City @26.00. Other odds: 21.80.

Total units advantage: 72+311+420 = 803

Running advantage after 14 bets: +1320 (+803)
All-time cumulative: +69,698
Running units after 11 bets (3W|8L): +2,677 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Right, Norwich 2021 is not Norwich 2019 at all, I got that now. And City could have easily scored a few more. Also, Watford, some brave chances but Brighton continued their bright start. Liverpool got the win, but we're still looking at Chelsea and United to continue getting their wins.

Hedging the bets, let's take a single, 100 units at Sportsbet on Arsenal @4.70. No odds advantage.
Bet ID: 61212d9a76da0f345cec2942

And then Koln, we've loved them before for great upsets, so 100 units at Fairlay on Koln to win vs Bayern @16.5. Other odds: 14.7
Units advantage: 180

Running advantage after 16 bets: +1500 (+180)
All-time cumulative: +69,878
Running units after 13 bets (3W|10L): +2,477 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Well, that was that. I had hedged Arsenal in case the Liv-Utd-Chelski acca didn't hit but did NOT at all expect Southampton to be able to extract those points from United. What a way to go in the end, though!

I'm going to ignore my best side and go for a 5-leg boosted.

100 units at Sportsbet on Leicester, Sevilla, Milan, Nordsjaelland and AL Salt to WIN @40.32. Other odds: 37.15
Units advantage: 317

Running advantage after 17 bets: +1817 (+317)
All-time cumulative: +70,195
Running units after 16 bets (3W|13L): +2,177 (-300)

[buwaytress]

Funny thing, Leicester. And full credit to West Ham, even without Lingard, they've found a way to get the most out of their midfield to supply chances. Foxes were under strength but deserved to lose. Everything else won too, what a damned shame.

EFL cup and I like the looks of this Premier League wins special, whopping boosted odds.

100 units at Sportsbet on Norwich, Villa, Everton, Leeds, Watford, Newcastle to WIN @40.00. Other odds: 26.38
Units advantage: 1362

Add in 100 units at Sportsbet on Derby to win over miserable Sheffield @7.23. Other odds: 6.40
Units advantage: 83

Running advantage after 19 bets: +3262 (+1362+83)
All-time cumulative: +71,640
Running units after 17 bets (3W|14L): +2,077 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Ah Derby actually led but Blades pulled back two goals and killed that outright. On the other hand, Newcastle is the final game today of yesterday's acca, and at just over 2/1 to win, I'm really happy we have them left to play to win 40/1!

Let's do a long one for now too, settling only 18 days from now it's a bit silly but odds will change if Liverpool win, so let's double the units on this bet starting with tonight's UCL:
200 units at Sportsbet on Salzburg, Liverpool (Chelsea), and Liverpool (Leeds) @6.39. Other odds: 6.12
Units advantage: 27

Running advantage after 20 bets: +3289 (+27)
All-time cumulative: +71,667
Running units after 18 bets (3W|15L): +1,977 (-100)