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Author Topic: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread  (Read 85863 times)
YuginKadoya
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March 13, 2023, 10:40:59 AM
 #9401


UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3



MAIN EVENT

Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman

CO-MAIN EVENT

Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev

MAIN CARD

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

PRELIMINARY CARD

Muhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel Filho

WOW! I never thought that the next event will be this one in this event I think the main event is surely a juicy one for me I will breakdown the cards for this event and then I would like to add up the next event after this because for me all event after this one will be juicier, starting with

Leon Edwards VS Kamaru Usman

We all know that the following rounds 2 - 4 were all for Kamaru Usman the 1st round was for Leon Edwards in their 2nd bout while that nasty kick was from the 5th round that shocked everyone even Kamaru Usman has seen stunned and can not play his words that he lost now in this 3rd fight we could see if Leon Edwards could win another great KO/TKO of Kamaru Usman will retain his title with some shocking comeback,

Justin Gaethje VS Rafael Fiziev

I would see another Justin Gaethje technical performance for sure this is going to be exciting while Rafael Fiziev might get the power in his punch while Gaethje will surely rely on his fight IQ the most, I really want to watch Justin Gaethje in this epic performance and what he can do against Fiziev,

Marvin Vettori VS Roman Dolidze

Now this is really interesting I don't really see some technical aspect between these two fighters but I am surely interested in this aswell if Marvin Vettori defeated Paolo Costa that is much huge and have a weight advantage over him then I think he can surely pummel Dolidze, but I will check the previous fights of Roman Dolidze, I might have missed something,

Muhammad Mokaev VS Jafel Filho

The Kid Khabib is what I am looking forward to seeing here, that incredible suplex that he is doing is what I am expected to see but Filho is not a push that is why I would really like to see him in a hard fight and this one is a great one to try what Kid Khabib can do,
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March 13, 2023, 11:31:14 AM
 #9402

Kamaru Usman is likely going to be much safer this time, he'll likely look to chain wrestle, while Leon has good take down defense, he still isn't the best at wrestling. Obviously, it was a bit of a shock moment last time when Leon manged to knock him out, but I can't see that happening again. The good thing is, Usman was at 1.40 which is decent odds considering he pretty much dominated that fight up until he was knocked out. We'll have to get closer to the event to see what the odds are on him winning a decision, which is what I think will be the value bet here.
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March 13, 2023, 12:07:29 PM
 #9403

This year we have a tendency of underdogs winning big fights. This only makes UFC more interesting to watch, as you never know what a surprise move would a fighter perform. I would not be surprise if Edwards manages to upset Usman for the second time. Besides, Edwards is fighting on his motherland, that is a little extra help for him.

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March 13, 2023, 12:25:38 PM
 #9404


UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3



MAIN EVENT

Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman

CO-MAIN EVENT

Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev

MAIN CARD

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

PRELIMINARY CARD

Muhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel Filho

WOW! I never thought that the next event will be this one in this event I think the main event is surely a juicy one for me I will breakdown the cards for this event and then I would like to add up the next event after this because for me all event after this one will be juicier, starting with

Leon Edwards VS Kamaru Usman

We all know that the following rounds 2 - 4 were all for Kamaru Usman the 1st round was for Leon Edwards in their 2nd bout while that nasty kick was from the 5th round that shocked everyone even Kamaru Usman has seen stunned and can not play his words that he lost now in this 3rd fight we could see if Leon Edwards could win another great KO/TKO of Kamaru Usman will retain his title with some shocking comeback,

Justin Gaethje VS Rafael Fiziev

I would see another Justin Gaethje technical performance for sure this is going to be exciting while Rafael Fiziev might get the power in his punch while Gaethje will surely rely on his fight IQ the most, I really want to watch Justin Gaethje in this epic performance and what he can do against Fiziev,

Marvin Vettori VS Roman Dolidze

Now this is really interesting I don't really see some technical aspect between these two fighters but I am surely interested in this aswell if Marvin Vettori defeated Paolo Costa that is much huge and have a weight advantage over him then I think he can surely pummel Dolidze, but I will check the previous fights of Roman Dolidze, I might have missed something,

Muhammad Mokaev VS Jafel Filho

The Kid Khabib is what I am looking forward to seeing here, that incredible suplex that he is doing is what I am expected to see but Filho is not a push that is why I would really like to see him in a hard fight and this one is a great one to try what Kid Khabib can do,


The match between Gaethje and Fiziev excites me more than the main event.  Fiziev has been one of my favorite fighters in the roster since his win vs Marc Diakiese...  I bet for Diakiese in that one.  Cheesy  But I was pretty impressed with Fiziev.

For Vettori vs Dolidze, I feel like Dolidze is a live dog.  Would I bet it or put in my lottery ticket?  I don't know...  :/  

As for Mokaev, remember that Malcom Gordon gave him a hard time on the ground during Mokaev's last time in the cage.  If it went the distance, it could've been a split decision that would've gone either way.  I'll watch it again at MMACore.

Kamaru Usman is likely going to be much safer this time, he'll likely look to chain wrestle, while Leon has good take down defense, he still isn't the best at wrestling. Obviously, it was a bit of a shock moment last time when Leon manged to knock him out, but I can't see that happening again. The good thing is, Usman was at 1.40 which is decent odds considering he pretty much dominated that fight up until he was knocked out. We'll have to get closer to the event to see what the odds are on him winning a decision, which is what I think will be the value bet here.

I think Usman is going to try and finish it early via ground and pound or just like what he did Masvidal via KO and give one back to Edwards.

R


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March 13, 2023, 12:48:52 PM
 #9405

This card gonna be fire. Main card looks like there will be so many fireworks. Beside main card I'm interested in Dusko Todorovic fight. That fight won't go full distance I think. Both of the guys need a win.

Man! just after Jones, we have this great fight next Saturday? wow that's amazing the main card really deserves a trilogy and it is exciting, I wonder how will Usman regain his honor this time and will he be able to block those kinds of kicks from Edwards?

He just got by surprise with that kick and it would be an amazing upgrade for him if he will able to win this fight maybe we might see another fight if that happens. that would be the first Quadrilogy in the UFC and I tell you, that would be worth watching as well.

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March 13, 2023, 07:50:30 PM
 #9406


Here we go again with a very dominant fighter who had been a champ for a very long time and is still young compare to Edwards who has a low KO rate.

Will we be seeing a new Usman? The last fight could be traumatic for him and his fight might not be the same anymore.
If this ends to be a loss for Usman again, he needs to move to LHW and fight someone else there. It's not his space anymore.

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March 13, 2023, 09:05:53 PM
 #9407

UFC 286 - Multi Master Challenge
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5444732.0

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March 13, 2023, 11:36:04 PM
 #9408

The match between Gaethje and Fiziev excites me more than the main event.  Fiziev has been one of my favorite fighters in the roster since his win vs Marc Diakiese...  I bet for Diakiese in that one.  Cheesy  But I was pretty impressed with Fiziev.
Yeah, I'm not sure why Justin is getting overlooked so much. He's currently sitting around 2.90 for a straight out win, which in my opinion is way too wide. I think the fights far more competitive than the bookies are putting out.

For Vettori vs Dolidze, I feel like Dolidze is a live dog.  Would I bet it or put in my lottery ticket?  I don't know...  :/  
Vettori grinds out a win for me. I'll probably be going for a decision win by him, as I think he hasn't got enough to finish the fight, but he's a dog, and definitely knows how to grind fights out. Depending, highly on the value the bookies give on the decision win.

As for Mokaev, remember that Malcom Gordon gave him a hard time on the ground during Mokaev's last time in the cage.  If it went the distance, it could've been a split decision that would've gone either way.  I'll watch it again at MMACore.
Yeah, as far as I remember Mokeav did get the takedown quite a bit, but he couldn't keep him down. Mokeav is obviously very talented, but he's just not a finisher, at least when he starts fighting against better competitors than he has done previously.


I think Usman is going to try and finish it early via ground and pound or just like what he did Masvidal via KO and give one back to Edwards.
I think he'll be playing a risky game if he does that. Obviously, he's good enough, but Leon will be hoping Usman comes in reckless, and could very well get caught again. Leon's kicks are elite, and incredibly quick. If Usman goes in there, and plays safe he probably gets the win 9 times out of 10. He was dominating that fight up until that head kick, I don't want to take anything from Leon because it was executed perfectly, but it was likely just the stars aligning for him. Usman, clearly had him beat, and to be honest I don't see anything different happening from the first fight, except Usman managing to stay safe up until the end.

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March 13, 2023, 11:41:19 PM
 #9409

I love UFC design of new poster for upcoming UFC 286 event, and I think this can be one of the best events in this year.
This poster looks like a paper money bills design with Usman, Edwards, Gaethje and Fiziev Smiley
My early prediction is that Kamaru Usman will win this time, but I want to wait few more days and watch prefight interviews.
It's crazy that bookmakers made Usman such a big favorite when we know how Edwards won last time, so there is value for betting on Edwards again, and maybe this time we see longer fight.

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March 13, 2023, 11:53:48 PM
 #9410

I love UFC design of new poster for upcoming UFC 286 event, and I think this can be one of the best events in this year.
This poster looks like a paper money bills design with Usman, Edwards, Gaethje and Fiziev Smiley
My early prediction is that Kamaru Usman will win this time, but I want to wait few more days and watch prefight interviews.
It's crazy that bookmakers made Usman such a big favorite when we know how Edwards won last time, so there is value for betting on Edwards again, and maybe this time we see longer fight.
Love the design too.

Usman is the favorite, the champion Edwards is the underdog. Hmmm. Looks like the same thing as last time. Almost the same line before Edwards snatched the belt from the former champion.
I like it though. For high-risk-takers like me, these are the odds we look forward to.
I took the bet for Edwards last time and he made it happen in the last round with less than a minute remaining. I doubt he will repeat the same thing as last time, he should come out better or Usman will just take it back from him.
I am more inclined to bet for Edwards but I will be waiting too for changes in the odds. 5 more days.

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March 14, 2023, 05:01:51 AM
 #9411

I think this event is really worth to bet on the underdog, both Edwards and Gaethje are have higher position than Usman and Fisiev, but majority of people think Usman and Fisiev will likely to win. The fight between Edwards vs Usman, it's close enough and I think it will be 50/50, but since Usman have destroy everyone before, he looks more convincing. Gaethje is better than Fisiev IMO, his lost is because he fight with a good fighters e.g. Khabib, Oliveira, and Poirier.

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March 14, 2023, 07:23:50 AM
 #9412

Kamaru Usman is likely going to be much safer this time, he'll likely look to chain wrestle, while Leon has good take down defense, he still isn't the best at wrestling. Obviously, it was a bit of a shock moment last time when Leon manged to knock him out, but I can't see that happening again. The good thing is, Usman was at 1.40 which is decent odds considering he pretty much dominated that fight up until he was knocked out. We'll have to get closer to the event to see what the odds are on him winning a decision, which is what I think will be the value bet here.

Yup! I agree Kamaru Usman can be a safe bet, but because Leon Edward can also be unpredictable with the way he can place his kicks anything can surely happen, and I think that is acceptable odd for Usman because he was really dominating most of the rounds, but for me, I think we should give Edwards some credits for winning against Usman in the nick of time, just like what Alex Pereira did, because you can never know what unthinkable move he will do in their rematch so for me, it is an exciting match

This year we have a tendency of underdogs winning big fights. This only makes UFC more interesting to watch, as you never know what a surprise move would a fighter perform. I would not be surprise if Edwards manages to upset Usman for the second time. Besides, Edwards is fighting on his motherland, that is a little extra help for him.

And Leon Edwards seems pretty much durable which is why everything can surely happen with the fight and likely I may aswell bet for Edwards, but I will look for the weigh-in 1st, before making my decision for a pick, likely watching possible nook and cranny of a possible way for Leon Edwards to win again because all of the advantages were for Kamaru Usman, but maybe a home crowd could like give him moral support and could make him have that energy he needs,

~

The match between Gaethje and Fiziev excites me more than the main event.  Fiziev has been one of my favorite fighters in the roster since his win vs Marc Diakiese...  I bet for Diakiese in that one.  Cheesy  But I was pretty impressed with Fiziev.

For Vettori vs Dolidze, I feel like Dolidze is a live dog.  Would I bet it or put in my lottery ticket?  I don't know...  :/  

As for Mokaev, remember that Malcom Gordon gave him a hard time on the ground during Mokaev's last time in the cage.  If it went the distance, it could've been a split decision that would've gone either way.  I'll watch it again at MMACore.

Yes, actually I still don't know if I would go with Gaethje or Fiziev here, but I would be looking for other videos of Rafael Fiziev, while the same goes with Marvin Vettori VS Dolidze, actually, I am having a hard time with most of the fight in this events anything can happen it's just that everyone can develop some wrestling game and be good at it in just a small amount of time, While with Makaev I am still bullish for him even if he struggles in there, I think his camp will likely have a solution about this kind of issue,

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March 14, 2023, 08:40:47 AM
 #9413

I think this event is really worth to bet on the underdog, both Edwards and Gaethje are have higher position than Usman and Fisiev, but majority of people think Usman and Fisiev will likely to win. The fight between Edwards vs Usman, it's close enough and I think it will be 50/50, but since Usman have destroy everyone before, he looks more convincing. Gaethje is better than Fisiev IMO, his lost is because he fight with a good fighters e.g. Khabib, Oliveira, and Poirier.
Yes, this is a UFC fight that has been eagerly awaited and certainly very exciting to be able to watch it.
From that fight I actually have different thoughts and predictions about this weekend's fight because from some of my analysis and predictions say that the winner in this fight will be Leon Edwards as well as the UFC welterweight champion.
He has quite strong endurance and is not easily knocked down, even in the fight later, I'm sure Usman will be very tired against Edwards, the champion in his class.
Even from the predictions I made, I had prepared a certain amount of money to be able to bet on Edwards and later manage to profit from winning fights in the main event of the UFC.

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March 14, 2023, 09:28:14 AM
 #9414

Yes, actually I still don't know if I would go with Gaethje or Fiziev here, but I would be looking for other videos of Rafael Fiziev,

This might help you to make a right bet. Gaethje is a base wrestler that did not rely or use his skills lately. What we usually hear about Gaethje - ooohh he has vicious low kicks, watch for them. What I know about Fiziev - his current residence is Thailand and earn for a living by fighting and training with thai boxers. Yes, the guys who rely much on elbows and low kicks. Fizies is 10000% ready against Gaethje low kicks. I would say that Gaethje will be partly disarmed in this fight. Plus Fizies is fast. Fiziev previous fight against RDA, a black belt in BJJ, showed that Fiziev is able to defence against master of subs for 5 rounds, have enough stamina for 5 rounds.

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March 14, 2023, 11:30:45 AM
 #9415

Justin would probably be my underdog pick of the night. He's a tough fighter, and I think he has more of a chance than the odds suggest. He's definitely a contender for the title, and that's why I find the odds surprising. I'd have thought it'd be more even.

Yup! I agree Kamaru Usman can be a safe bet, but because Leon Edward can also be unpredictable with the way he can place his kicks anything can surely happen, and I think that is acceptable odd for Usman because he was really dominating most of the rounds, but for me, I think we should give Edwards some credits for winning against Usman in the nick of time, just like what Alex Pereira did, because you can never know what unthinkable move he will do in their rematch so for me, it is an exciting match
I'll give Leon credit for the win, obviously. However, Alex Pereira was a little different, he was always in that fight, and always looked dangerous. Leon, didn't even look competitive at certain stages of that fight. So, while there definitely was a element of luck to land that kick, at least to connect in the way it did. He had the technique, and patience to actually throw it. So, he made his own luck.

I'm quite liking the odds though, Usman at 1.40 is extremely good considering how dominant of a performance it was up until that kick. Whether or not he comes out guns blazing, I think he takes the win whatever way he wants. He's going to be extra motivated to get his belt back, and save himself from the embarrassment of the last fight. I think he's a good one to beef up anyone's accumulator, and should win.
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March 14, 2023, 12:16:52 PM
 #9416

The match between Gaethje and Fiziev excites me more than the main event.  Fiziev has been one of my favorite fighters in the roster since his win vs Marc Diakiese...  I bet for Diakiese in that one.  Cheesy  But I was pretty impressed with Fiziev.
Yeah, I'm not sure why Justin is getting overlooked so much. He's currently sitting around 2.90 for a straight out win, which in my opinion is way too wide. I think the fights far more competitive than the bookies are putting out.

For Vettori vs Dolidze, I feel like Dolidze is a live dog.  Would I bet it or put in my lottery ticket?  I don't know...  :/  
Vettori grinds out a win for me. I'll probably be going for a decision win by him, as I think he hasn't got enough to finish the fight, but he's a dog, and definitely knows how to grind fights out. Depending, highly on the value the bookies give on the decision win.

As for Mokaev, remember that Malcom Gordon gave him a hard time on the ground during Mokaev's last time in the cage.  If it went the distance, it could've been a split decision that would've gone either way.  I'll watch it again at MMACore.
Yeah, as far as I remember Mokeav did get the takedown quite a bit, but he couldn't keep him down. Mokeav is obviously very talented, but he's just not a finisher, at least when he starts fighting against better competitors than he has done previously.


I think Usman is going to try and finish it early via ground and pound or just like what he did Masvidal via KO and give one back to Edwards.
I think he'll be playing a risky game if he does that. Obviously, he's good enough, but Leon will be hoping Usman comes in reckless, and could very well get caught again. Leon's kicks are elite, and incredibly quick. If Usman goes in there, and plays safe he probably gets the win 9 times out of 10. He was dominating that fight up until that head kick, I don't want to take anything from Leon because it was executed perfectly, but it was likely just the stars aligning for him. Usman, clearly had him beat, and to be honest I don't see anything different happening from the first fight, except Usman managing to stay safe up until the end.



I'm not saying Usman goes out there with guns blazing.  He'll still be playing his game but he'll be looking to get the KO if the opportunity presents itself.  And remember, he had the last match in the bag if not for the head kick.  R2 to R5 would've been all Usman and he was on his way to a win.  I wasn't even watching anymore as it was already so clear that Edwards was mentally broken til the MMA gods gave him a miracle.  I don't think he'll get another chance imho. 

My lottery ticket...  Hope I get a better result after last event's disaster.  Lol.

Usman - Fiziev
Add:  Shore - Murphy - Mokaev
Add:  Vettori - Hadley - C Duncan
Add:  Klein - CL Duncan - Carolina
Add:  Miller - Nelson - Patterson
Add:  Maia

R


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March 15, 2023, 11:12:31 AM
 #9417

If Edwards goes into full defence, and be sort of a turtle in a shell, will judges give victory to Usman, if their previous fight scenario repeats? If Usman will work as number one, and Edwards acts more as a counter striker, will it be enough for Usman to win this fight as UD or split decision? I mean if this werent a fight for a belt, then no doubt judges would give Usman a win. But as Usman is a challenger, does he needs to show 200% to get his belt back? Or "usual Usman" will be enough ?

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March 15, 2023, 12:56:23 PM
 #9418

If Edwards goes into full defence, and be sort of a turtle in a shell, will judges give victory to Usman, if their previous fight scenario repeats? If Usman will work as number one, and Edwards acts more as a counter striker, will it be enough for Usman to win this fight as UD or split decision? I mean if this werent a fight for a belt, then no doubt judges would give Usman a win. But as Usman is a challenger, does he needs to show 200% to get his belt back? Or "usual Usman" will be enough ?
Usual Usman will be enough because odds on the bookies is representing of the overall people's opinion, Usman is favorited in this match so most people think Usman will able to beat Edwards. Usman only lost against Edwards after defending his belt for 5 times, so the judges will think about it and put more respect to Usman. Edwards still need to dominate the fight or KO'ed Usman, if it's 50/50 Usman will win via split decision.

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March 15, 2023, 01:18:34 PM
 #9419

If Edwards goes into full defence, and be sort of a turtle in a shell, will judges give victory to Usman, if their previous fight scenario repeats? If Usman will work as number one, and Edwards acts more as a counter striker, will it be enough for Usman to win this fight as UD or split decision? I mean if this werent a fight for a belt, then no doubt judges would give Usman a win. But as Usman is a challenger, does he needs to show 200% to get his belt back? Or "usual Usman" will be enough ?
This is difficult to answer as we don't know how judges will score everything but based on just watching fights, mostly the challenger will need to be aggressive and showcase his skills. But I understand where this is coming from, Edwards was supposed to lose on their last match if not for the KO kick in a minute remaining. Perhaps, that will also affect their decision-making as long as Usman is in front of the scorecards. It would be better though if he could put a big gap using his wrestling skills.

I already locked my bet for 5 fights in a parlay.
Vettori, Marvin - Dolidze, Roman
Maia, Jennifer - Oneill, Casey
Nelson, Gunnar - Barberena, Bryan
Gaethje, Justin - Fiziev, Rafael
Edwards, Leon - Usman, Kamaru
Total: @12.38
The fight is too early in our timeline, I guess I am back to just watching the full replays.

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TopTort777
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March 15, 2023, 01:37:48 PM
 #9420

If Edwards goes into full defence, and be sort of a turtle in a shell, will judges give victory to Usman, if their previous fight scenario repeats? If Usman will work as number one, and Edwards acts more as a counter striker, will it be enough for Usman to win this fight as UD or split decision? I mean if this werent a fight for a belt, then no doubt judges would give Usman a win. But as Usman is a challenger, does he needs to show 200% to get his belt back? Or "usual Usman" will be enough ?
Usual Usman will be enough because odds on the bookies is representing of the overall people's opinion, Usman is favorited in this match so most people think Usman will able to beat Edwards. Usman only lost against Edwards after defending his belt for 5 times, so the judges will think about it and put more respect to Usman. Edwards still need to dominate the fight or KO'ed Usman, if it's 50/50 Usman will win via split decision.

But in a close or even fight, judges usually dont give belt to a challenger. In Russian we say "jump out of the pants" when saying that someone must do something special while trying to achieve. Usman will have to either finish Edwards, or be so much better than Edwards, that no one would doubt that he is real champ. In their previous fight, people say that Usman was winning every round, but people might think that because he has 5 defences already. Like they get used to that he is winning all the time. In their previous fight it want like he was dominating. Edwards still looked fresh, no visual damage on his body. If not that high kick, Usman would win by UD, because Edwards failed to show something extra. In their next fight, if we see the same scenario, Edwads would win by UD if Usman did not jump out of the pants.

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