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stripykitteh
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May 07, 2013, 03:20:21 AM |
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This isn't to complain... in fact, I think that buying in at the current rates is a pretty decent deal considering what they have in the pipeline for the future, and I consider investing at this undervaluation as a reward for performing diligent research on the company.
I hope you're right. A BFL miner is what I bought when I was new to all this. Suffering buyer's remorse I decided to do my due diligence afterwards, and that convinced me to cancel the order and put the proceeds into AM. I guess if AM do as well as I think they might in a crazy way I'll have to thank BFL for scaring the bejeezus out of me.
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Transisto
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May 07, 2013, 03:22:59 AM |
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On PTs until lately there was almost nobody willing to buy shares even at 0.5 btc... Meaning that; Selling 60 shares would have dropped the price to 0.01BTC , Right now 130 share drop the price to 0.01
You can value AM at more than 50m$ if you want but only handful of BTC agree with that.
Nobody know of ASICMINER*, You may think everything is all so well detailed in this thread but nothing is further from the truth.
This thread is a complete clusterfuck to anyone but a few dozens early shareholders.
There are board members but they must be either clueless or NDA quiet.
The update are coming drop by drop, lost in these 230 pages, it's as if the whole operation was run by Friedcat alone,,, How will that thing scale ?
*relatively speaking
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philipma1957
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May 07, 2013, 04:02:11 AM |
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This isn't to complain... in fact, I think that buying in at the current rates is a pretty decent deal considering what they have in the pipeline for the future, and I consider investing at this undervaluation as a reward for performing diligent research on the company.
I hope you're right. A BFL miner is what I bought when I was new to all this. Suffering buyer's remorse I decided to do my due diligence afterwards, and that convinced me to cancel the order and put the proceeds into AM. I guess if AM do as well as I think they might in a crazy way I'll have to thank BFL for scaring the bejeezus out of me. just cancelled a 1300 dollar order with bfl and plan to buy shares of am with the 1300
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helixone
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May 07, 2013, 04:03:31 AM |
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C'mon what's wrong with this picture?
friedcat updates with fantastic news, stock prices on PT exchanges plummets. And by plummets, I mean a 10% drop in a week.
Volatility is fine, but except a slightly skeptical price reception on those bees, I have seen positive news only for the previous week. BFL is late as always, Avalon delayed, friedcat responding with perfection to inquiries (including mine)...
We should have started the weekly run-up to Wednesday already, but instead, sellers are popping out from every grain of sand on the beach. On BTCT there's basically no buy support until 1.14-1.15, and if that falls, there's nothing down to 0.9. Meanwhile, the sell side is heavy just a few bitcents above last sale.
More or less same situation on Bitfunder, no buy support of consequence until 1.09ish, with solid support as low as 1.03-1.05. The auction subforum is heavy with sellers of fairly large quantities.
At these levels we're looking at a yield of 28% or more and that's before the new hash rate earnings come in! I know the Bitcoin community loves their risk and all, but almost 30% dividend from a company as solid as ASICMiner? You're not getting 1/10 of that from Apple or Microsoft.
What the heck am I missing here? Is there a "Sorrry lolz we were just kidding about those ASICs lolz" update I haven't seen somewhere?
.b
PS: In case it's not bleeding obvious by now, I am an AM shareholder and I have an interest in seeing a high share price, but right now, I'm more interested in figuring out whether it's the world or me that's gone mad.
I'm going to quote the Oracle of Omaha here, and let you come to your own decision. Dec. 10, 2001: Warren Buffett on the stock market "To refer to a personal taste of mine, I'm going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the 'Hallelujah Chorus' in the Buffett household. When hamburgers go up in price, we weep. For most people, it's the same with everything in life they will be buying -- except stocks. When stocks go down and you can get more for your money, people don't like them anymore..." Full quote here: http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2001/12/10/314691/
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arklan
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May 07, 2013, 04:10:27 AM |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
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i don't post much, but this space for rent.
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Franktank
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May 07, 2013, 04:13:06 AM |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
USB miners has roughly the same hashing power at a fraction of the size and power usage. If they don't want them, they can stick with their GPUs and all their issues.
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arklan
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May 07, 2013, 04:14:33 AM |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
USB miners has roughly the same hashing power at a fraction of the size and power usage. If they don't want them, they can stick with their GPUs and all their issues. yea, i know. i'm not complaining about it. heck, i'm organizing a group buy of em. but you can't deny it surprised a lot of people, and not in a good way. that kind of thing strikes me as exactly the sort of thing that effects the sentiment around a stock.
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i don't post much, but this space for rent.
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Franktank
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May 07, 2013, 04:20:26 AM |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
USB miners has roughly the same hashing power at a fraction of the size and power usage. If they don't want them, they can stick with their GPUs and all their issues. yea, i know. i'm not complaining about it. heck, i'm organizing a group buy of em. but you can't deny it surprised a lot of people, and not in a good way. that kind of thing strikes me as exactly the sort of thing that effects the sentiment around a stock. Perhaps and there are folks trying to make their own USB miners via Avalon chips to sell at a cheaper price. Seeing as its DIY folks making them, there will be no set standard and a severe lack of quality control. Friedcat has taken time to help folks that have bought AM blades to set it up, I see no different with the USB miners. That support hasn't shown itself with any DIY'ers so far.
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redbeans2012
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May 07, 2013, 04:24:37 AM |
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Maybe people are selling their shares so they can buy the USB sticks. :p
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Transisto
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May 07, 2013, 04:35:41 AM Last edit: May 07, 2013, 04:59:32 AM by Transisto |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
USB miners has roughly the same hashing power at a fraction of the size and power usage. If they don't want them, they can stick with their GPUs and all their issues. It is completely ridiculous to compare the AM USB miner to GPUs, I hope nobody is still mining bitcoin with their GPU while sCrypt alt coins have had 150%+ profitability for months.
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ex-trader
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May 07, 2013, 07:31:20 AM |
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The market on the PTs is tiny and illiquid, so small changes in supply/demand alter the price easily. Look at the volume graph, it has never traded over around 60 shares daily in recent months.
The big increase a few weeks back was started by me. I decided to buy some AM shares as I like the company and I spent an amount that would have bought a board seat at IPO, but now only buys a small amount of shares.
After this little spike, which was increased as some others followed this rise then some existing holders saw the opportunity to exit some of their positions and started the many auctions.
My view is that the recent and coming increases in hashrate will not affect the shareprice much until they feed through into noticeably higher dividends and that even then it may be dampened by a lack of natural demand. There are however a lot of natural sellers, as holders wishing to diversify do so.
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ex-trader
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May 07, 2013, 07:39:44 AM |
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This thread is a complete clusterfuck to anyone but a few dozens early shareholders. ......... The update are coming drop by drop, lost in these 230 pages, it's as if the whole operation was run by Friedcat alone,,, How will that thing scale ?
I think this is a concern to many. This is a great company that needs more of a 'management team' than one person alone who is achieving great things, but it potentially overwhelmed with the breadth of work required. I have offered to help, as a fan and shareholder of the company and with direct experience on Boards of similar and bigger companies, but as yet have had no reply.
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twobits
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May 07, 2013, 08:57:40 AM |
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What the heck am I missing here? Is there a "Sorrry lolz we were just kidding about those ASICs lolz" update I haven't seen somewhere?
Profit taking after a run up is not unusual.
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SebastianJu
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May 07, 2013, 11:06:14 AM |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
USB miners has roughly the same hashing power at a fraction of the size and power usage. If they don't want them, they can stick with their GPUs and all their issues. yea, i know. i'm not complaining about it. heck, i'm organizing a group buy of em. but you can't deny it surprised a lot of people, and not in a good way. that kind of thing strikes me as exactly the sort of thing that effects the sentiment around a stock. Its strange, yes. I mean the selling of the erupter blades shoot up the share price to 150% even though the earnings of this could only be some percent more the next week in overall. Now everyone thinks the USB erupter are priced too high... and the asicminer share price is slowly dropping. The stupid thing about this is... the hashrate doubled... we will get the double dividend tomorrow (except new investments have to be done). So the dividend doubles and the shareprice goes down? And the dividend will grow by some small percent and the shareprice goes to 150%? That doesnt sound thought through actually. Maybe many traders can think of Asicminer only as a seller of Asicminerhardware. The better for people that have spare bitcoins now...
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Please ALWAYS contact me through bitcointalk pm before sending someone coins.
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stripykitteh
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May 07, 2013, 11:19:05 AM |
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My view is that the recent and coming increases in hashrate will not affect the shareprice much until they feed through into noticeably higher dividends and that even then it may be dampened by a lack of natural demand. There are however a lot of natural sellers, as holders wishing to diversify do so.
Yes, for those like me who'd like to add to their small position but aren't in a position to do so yet I selfishly hope that AM flies under the radar for a while longer. I look at where AM is today and oscillate between: - This is too good to be true; and
- I've missed something and must be horribly mistaken.
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SebastianJu
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May 07, 2013, 11:52:07 AM |
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My view is that the recent and coming increases in hashrate will not affect the shareprice much until they feed through into noticeably higher dividends and that even then it may be dampened by a lack of natural demand. There are however a lot of natural sellers, as holders wishing to diversify do so.
Yes, for those like me who'd like to add to their small position but aren't in a position to do so yet I selfishly hope that AM flies under the radar for a while longer. I look at where AM is today and oscillate between: - This is too good to be true; and
- I've missed something and must be horribly mistaken.
Check out this for your nerves and confidence... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkPdXsQFT-vIdHRVUjQ5Ql9BQWR6OENLMkhyUktUblE#gid=7
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Please ALWAYS contact me through bitcointalk pm before sending someone coins.
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philipma1957
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May 07, 2013, 01:10:13 PM |
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i can't help but wonder if the share price is being effected by the reaction to the whole 1.99 usb miner thing. lot of people were caught of guard by that, to say the least.
USB miners has roughly the same hashing power at a fraction of the size and power usage. If they don't want them, they can stick with their GPUs and all their issues. I consider this to be wrong. I have a problem with the usb miners over gpus for a few reasons. First they encourage power theft this is bad for asicminer since they built a device that can steal power to make money. to me this may cause a lot of problems. Second i purchased a hd7790 for 113 usd the usb stick is about 220 usd 107 dollars cheaper for the gpu card. Third the 7790 pulls 80 watts to hash at 300Mh/s the usb stick pulls 2.5 watts so lets say 80 watts difference . this is 2 kwatts a day New Jersey cost = 32 cents for 2 kwatts. This will take about 334 days or 11 months to be 107 dollars. So the 'free' power of the stick in the usa will not help you for 11 months against the hd7790. Fourth if bitcoins crash the hd7790 is a working piece of gear with value. Fifth if bitcoins do not crash but the network goes to 300Th you can mine other coins. the usb can not mine other coins. Sixth the stick will cost more then 220usd since resellers will charge more to make profit. Resellers may ask 300 usd. So frankly The usb stick has lots of downside issues. It does have upside 1) It will bring in other miners and new people. 2) It is small I really fear people stealing power with it getting caught and giving bitcoins (asicminer) a black eye
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philipma1957
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May 07, 2013, 01:12:59 PM |
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My view is that the recent and coming increases in hashrate will not affect the shareprice much until they feed through into noticeably higher dividends and that even then it may be dampened by a lack of natural demand. There are however a lot of natural sellers, as holders wishing to diversify do so.
Yes, for those like me who'd like to add to their small position but aren't in a position to do so yet I selfishly hope that AM flies under the radar for a while longer. I look at where AM is today and oscillate between: - This is too good to be true; and
- I've missed something and must be horribly mistaken.
Yeah I think the same.
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