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1141  Economy / Economics / Re: gold vs bitcoin and intrinsic value on: December 10, 2013, 11:03:57 AM

An object/ thing MUST! have intrinsic value in order to be MONEY! It also needs to be all the other things: divisible, scarce etc.

You can not SEPERATE golds pretty value and the fact that we like to touch it, FROM its money value. Without the its intrinsic value it would have NO money value.

The sooner you appreciate this fact the better, as the current PRICE of bitcoin will not last.

The story of the intrinsic value is the greatest BS ever. Repeating spreading BS doesn' make it better.

Stop diverting. If you agree with the term intrinsic doesnt matter.

Water has value, as it quenches my thirst.

Again I am talking about value in and of itself. Water has value in and of itself. I dont need to trade it. It HAS! value.


You are spreading BS again and again. Water has no value in itself. The external usage makes it valuable. Are you blind?
1142  Economy / Economics / Re: gold vs bitcoin and intrinsic value on: December 10, 2013, 10:55:05 AM

An object/ thing MUST! have intrinsic value in order to be MONEY! It also needs to be all the other things: divisible, scarce etc.

You can not SEPERATE golds pretty value and the fact that we like to touch it, FROM its money value. Without the its intrinsic value it would have NO money value.

The sooner you appreciate this fact the better, as the current PRICE of bitcoin will not last.

The story of the intrinsic value is the greatest BS ever. Repeating spreading BS doesn' make it better.
1143  Economy / Economics / Re: gold vs bitcoin and intrinsic value on: December 10, 2013, 10:46:35 AM
Well unlike bitcoins gold actually does have some intrinsic value. Gold is valued for its beauty in jewelry and its conductive properties in electrical/technological applications. A bitcoin on the other hand actually has no true intrinsic value. But neither does the dollar bill, and it is still a very successful currency.

This is false. The dollar is only successful because the US government forces it upon its citizens. Otherwise we would not accept nothing (paper) for something (goods).




Absolutely correct, in a stateless voluntary setting no one in their right mind would use paper as money.


In a stateless environment no one would use any money. They don't need money, because stateless people are self-sufficient.
Take a look in the rainforest. Still the same as 100'000 years ago. No state - no money.
1144  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 10, 2013, 10:28:34 AM
Quote
1) I think it is central. Without value, the medium of exchange will not be accepted

You're talking about "currency" here, which can be a very distinct definition from "money". Bitcoin is money - unlevered "base" money in the sense that it isn't backed by anything (which is what gives it it's value, same as gold). Currency is something which proxies for money and is traded on a day to day basis for goods and services.

That fact tends to put some people in a state of cognitive dissonance which is why they start threads like this on discussion forums. (The words "horse" and "stable door" spring to mind).

Bitcoin's future does not revolve around being accepted at retail outlets any more than Gold's does.

Maybe you should go and trade some Bitcoin on the open exchange markets for a while - you'll soon find out it has value ! Smiley


Lol.

Read the damn thread.

I have addressed this already. Bitcoin cant be a store of value as it has not value. Bitcoin cant be a media of exchange, as it has no value.

Again read the thread. Your arguments have been refuted already.

"Maybe you should go and trade some Bitcoin on the open exchange markets for a while - you'll soon find out it has value ! Smiley"

So the value of bitcoin is that I can dump it on the next guy?

Again reread the last few pages.  


You are a troll. Everybody knows that Bitcoin is already stored; it is already used as a media of exchange, because it has value.
1145  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 10, 2013, 08:43:58 AM
porc do you have anything positive to say about bitcoin?

Yes. It is one of the most successful pyramids that ever existed.

No, the Gold Pyramid existed a bit longer. Of everything that you are talking about in this thread, the opposite is true.
1146  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 10, 2013, 08:23:26 AM
porc -

Your appraisal of Bitcoin from the outset is flawed.

1) You've based your conclusions on the wrong observations - observations which are incidental to the fundamental nature of "money" and not central to it.

Cryptocurrencies are a *token*. A token of value. Their utility value to the economy is in functioning as a form of money. They have no other utility value. Conversely, there is no other technology available to man which can fulfil this function in an electronic trading environment. For this reason alone they have value.

The fact that they are not spendable in Tescos or Wallmart is incidental to this. I can't spend a lump of Gold either.

Lets now look at the non-electronic environment and see how it compares.

2) In the "physical" world, Gold is basically a physical Bitcoin. Its primary use is a "token" or "placeholder" for value. It has very little utility value other than this function - to operate as a peer to peer form of money that does not require a counterparty - i.e. the physical equivalent of a "Bitcoin". It is not backed by anything, has few industrial uses to speak of, but has certain properties (basically scarecity and resistence to counterfeiting) which allow it to function as money.

3) Since it is not backed by anything, we say it has "intrinsic value" - or put another way, it represents the last element in a call chain of trust.

4) In an electronic trading environment such as the internet, there is a need for a transmittable entity which can perform the function of money that gold did in the physical. Banks do not actually transmit "money" - they just increase a number in one account and decrease it in another. There's no sense in which anything is actually "transmitted" in this process and since the whole operation is so arbitrary it requires a huge amount of counterparty involvement to give "value" to those arbitrary numbers.

Bitcoin on the other hand is the genuine article - it is a uniquely identifiable electronic entity which is transmittable through the public network without the need for a counterparty.

If you don't appreciate the collosal implications of this for money, the banking system and the economy in general, then fair enough. Nobody realised that travel agents were dead in the water the day the World Wide Web was invented either. But those implications are academic - not a question of subjective value, market value, popularity or whether you can "spend" them or not.


1) I think it is central. Without value, the medium of exchange will not be accepted.
2) As I have said before: Without beauty it would never have become money. The money function is dependent on its beauty, as without beauty, nobody would have accepted gold in the first place. Bitcoiners want me to believe, that scarcity is enough.


1) It is accepted already.
2) Gold 2.0 is valued also for its cryptologic beauty and for many reasons more. (cryptology; from Greek κρυπτός, "hidden, secret")

Gold was accepted as money in the first place because it was demanded by organized violence of the state (priests and warlords).
It still has no value in the rainforest, where humans are not enslaved by the state mafia.
1147  Economy / Economics / Re: gold vs bitcoin and intrinsic value on: December 10, 2013, 08:16:51 AM
Well unlike bitcoins gold actually does have some intrinsic value. Gold is valued for its beauty in jewelry and its conductive properties in electrical/technological applications. A bitcoin on the other hand actually has no true intrinsic value. But neither does the dollar bill, and it is still a very successful currency.

Gold 2.0 is valued for its cryptologic beauty as well. (cryptology; from Greek κρυπτός, "hidden, secret")
Furthermore: The external usage of Gold gives the value. There is no such thing as an intrinsic value.
1148  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 10, 2013, 07:29:22 AM

1) Any widespread media of exchange that ever existed, always had inherent value (something). The reason for this is that people will only exchange something for something. NOBDODY! wants to exchange something for nothing. Bitcoin has no inherent value (examples of inherent value: water thirst, food hunger, house shelter, gold, art decoration/pretty/ industry). Thus bitcoin has already failed in this aspect.


Stop this 'inherent value' BS! There is no such thing. There is no value before these things (Water, Gold, Gold 2.0) are used by somebody/something external .

Peter Schiff is spreading the same BS, and most Bitcoiners have heard this BS for years.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mFcTJAQ7zc4
1149  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 10, 2013, 07:08:38 AM
To paraphrase Eric Voorhees,
Bitcoin is unfortunately the name of two things.

1) it is the name of the Bitcoin protocol, which describes how the block chain, mining, etc. works.
This protocol performs some useful functions that no other money system can currently match. (Fast cheap transfer to any where in the world, robust etc etc) The Bitcoin protocol clearly has a value, and the value comes from its utility.
2) The Bitcoin protocol has been implemented to allow transfer of a digital currency, this currency is also called Bitcoin. A Bitcoin has no intrinsic value and is commonly misuderstood to be what Bitcoin is all about.


The bitcoin protocol and bitcoins per se cannot be seperated when you talk about intrinsic value. Bitcoins cannot exist outside the protocol and the protocol has no meaning without bitcoins.

Yes.

And my question to bitcoiners is still unanswered: What can I do with bitcoin? What is its value?

In before: I can dump it on the next guy.

What can you do with Bitcoin? 1) Conduct trade with others 2) and/or hold onto them as a store of value. What is Bitcoin's value? 3) The value is determined by market demand.

4) There will only ever be 21,000,000 Bitcoins, so their value can never be diminished by inflation of the supply. 5) Trade conducted exclusively in Bitcoin isn't subjected to taxes. What is it worth to have a medium of exchange that can't be devalued and that some 3rd party doesn't feel entitled to help themselves to whatever share of that they want? 6) The day is coming when it's going to take a LOT of government fiat to convince anyone to part with their BTC.

1) Dumping BTC on the next guy does not give BTC value.
2) if there is no value, BTC can not function as a store of value.
3) price is not an indication of value. Over the long term the market will price value correctly. Over the short term wild fluctuations can lead to high prices for things with little (tulips) or no value (BTC).


1) Dumping Gold or Gold 2.0 on the next guy does give value.
2) Therefore both are functioning as a store of value
3) Price is an indication of value. Over the long term you will be quiet. Very quiet.
1150  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 09, 2013, 04:06:54 PM
USD only is accepted because of force. Why would you need force? Because a dollar is nothing.

Now a Bitcoin is nothing as well but without force.

If a merchant asks you: Why should I accept bitcoin? You: I dont know its worth nothing but maybe some other guy will accept nothing for something.

If a merchant asks me: Why should I accept your dollars? Me: Because if you dont government will lock you up.

See the difference.

You don't need force to agree something is worth something, otherwise what is the value of gold? Exactly as you say - it has value because it's pretty to look at, not because someone is forcing you to USE it. And we use fiat because we trust our government will ensure it stays a medium we can exchange for essentials to survive, not so much because we're FORCED to.

Read before you write! I am talking about dollars which are nothing and how they become something (by government force). Now gold is something because it looks pretty. Why is bitcoin something?

You are correct: I dont need force to agree that something is worth something. But I do need to be forced by government to agree to nothing (dollar) is worth something (goods). Get it? How is the bitcoin community going to convince me that nothing (bitcoin) is worth something??
Ah, I think I understand your point of view now. You're absolutely right, Bitcoin has zero value because on its own it isn't useful. But then if you value things only on their use, how 'useful' is gold to you when you can only survive on it if someone else gives it value? What if you had a bunch of gold and everyone decided they didn't think it was valuable? A farmer will not trade his crops with your gold and you would starve.

Bitcoin doesn't have value because it exists, it has value because it's useful. If you review the merchants accepting Bitcoin you will see how useful it is, thus why it has value.

Yes. Absolutely no difference between Gold and Gold 2.0
1151  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 07, 2013, 01:52:50 PM
Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Agree completely on this, fits with my timeframe projections as well.

All of these epic, once-in-a-lifetime super-bubbles (stocks, bonds, housing, crypto-currency, and more) will ultimately collapse. Comparing now to the end of the roaring 20s doesn't do today justice... you'd have to go all the way back to the South Sea bubble to find comparable financial psychology.

Yes, but as a bear since months you unfortunately could not participate in the main part of this super bubble.
Masterluc had a good call again now. But I would still bet 1 coin against his prediction that the recent top won't be topped before 2016/2017. I predict a new high 2014 and bet 1 coin.
If lucif is right you lose a couple of hundred bux, if not less. If you are right you gain >$1.2k. That's a good bet Cheesy

I can only gain or lose 1 coin. A Bitcoin is a Bitcoin is a Bitcoin. And furthermore, the chance of a new high is 20 percent only, according to the count of the maestro.
1152  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 07, 2013, 01:18:32 PM
Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Agree completely on this, fits with my timeframe projections as well.

All of these epic, once-in-a-lifetime super-bubbles (stocks, bonds, housing, crypto-currency, and more) will ultimately collapse. Comparing now to the end of the roaring 20s doesn't do today justice... you'd have to go all the way back to the South Sea bubble to find comparable financial psychology.

Yes, but as a bear since months you unfortunately could not participate in the main part of this super bubble.
Masterluc had a good call again now. But I would still bet 1 coin against his prediction that the recent top won't be topped before 2016/2017. I predict a new high 2014 and bet 1 coin.
1153  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 06, 2013, 10:07:51 PM

Exactly, utter bullshit. Predicting corrections, crashes etc.. is all OK if you have arguments for it but to claim such a huge thing on the top of Bitcoin's awareness is pathetic, lol.

It seems you have no idea of EWT. EWT does not analyse corrections and crashes only. It is an analysis of short and long waves and thus used as a basic for predictions, based on personal interpretations of the waves and the probabilities, which depends on how a waver is counting the waves.

Another argument to call it bullshit. As two weeks ago he was calling this wave 3 of EWT.

He just thinks this is the top of current rally/bubble and want people to follow him counting on some of his earlier good calls so he could reload cheaper Wink

He, of course might be right about the bubble, there is lot of people thinking the same and he made enough good calls so far, but only idiot could call this end of 3 years bullish trend, lol and say I'm out until 2016. If someone said that in April there might be lot of people who would buy it but now, when things around Bitcoin are happening as a storm, it's laughable.

As I said already: You don't have any arguments to call it bullshit. With your 'arguments' you are showing that you know nothing about EWT. EWT is not a tool to predict the waves on news and fundamentals.
1154  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 06, 2013, 10:58:19 AM

Exactly, utter bullshit. Predicting corrections, crashes etc.. is all OK if you have arguments for it but to claim such a huge thing on the top of Bitcoin's awareness is pathetic, lol.

It seems you have no idea of EWT. EWT does not analyse corrections and crashes only. It is an analysis of short and long waves and thus used as a basic for predictions, based on personal interpretations of the waves and the probabilities, which depends on how a waver is counting the waves.
1155  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 06, 2013, 09:02:37 AM

Also add daily MACD cross here. Taking all that I give 20% chance that rally will continue.

I bet 1 Coin on the 20% chance.
1156  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin a Pyramid or Ponzi scheme & what are the ramifications? on: December 01, 2013, 09:49:52 AM
"Here is the central fact of money. Money is the product of the market process. It arises out of an unplanned, decentralized process. This takes time. It takes a lot of time."

Thats both the dollar and Bitcoin ruled out.

The dollar was derived from a long process derived from a commodity money system that was originally fractionally debased by private banks ultimately leading to the public to support the notion of a central bank to back stop some of the frequent bank runs and depressions.

Arguing against the Austrian theory of the origin of money is inane.

The origin of money is debt. The origin of debt is collectivism. The origin of collectivism is organized violence. The origin of organized violence is disease.
Otherwise, stateless and self-sufficient communities in the rain forest would have money and markets as well. But they don't. They don't need it, because they are not taxed (indebted) by the state mafia. It's that simple.

We were talking about base money, one step above barter.

Debt is a derivative of base money.

No, base money is a derivative of debt. No debt - no base money. No organized violence - no debt.
1157  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin a Pyramid or Ponzi scheme & what are the ramifications? on: December 01, 2013, 08:54:15 AM
"Here is the central fact of money. Money is the product of the market process. It arises out of an unplanned, decentralized process. This takes time. It takes a lot of time."

Thats both the dollar and Bitcoin ruled out.

The dollar was derived from a long process derived from a commodity money system that was originally fractionally debased by private banks ultimately leading to the public to support the notion of a central bank to back stop some of the frequent bank runs and depressions.

Arguing against the Austrian theory of the origin of money is inane.

The origin of money is debt. The origin of debt is collectivism. The origin of collectivism is organized violence. The origin of organized violence is disease.
Otherwise, stateless and self-sufficient communities in the rain forest would have money and markets as well. But they don't. They don't need it, because they are not taxed (indebted) by the state mafia. It's that simple.
1158  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin a Pyramid or Ponzi scheme & what are the ramifications? on: November 27, 2013, 07:47:03 PM
Since when do gold, silver jewels etc have any intrinsic value?

The only thing that has any intrinsic value to me is drinking water, shelter, food and bullets.

That is the case when the world sinks into a Madmax dark age. But that is not the norm.

The historic norm is a non-collectivist, self-sufficient life where the only thing that has any intrinsic value was drinking water, shelter, food and hunting tools. That's still the situation in territories, where the state is absent.

All other things later got their value by collectivism (labor division) beyond Dunbars Numbers. Your arguments are the arguments of a collectivist.

The minimization of division-of-labor is economic retardation.

The end of division-of-labor is the end of the economy, which is a collectivist event. The end of the economy (collectivism) is the beginning of self-sufficiency, et vice versa.
1159  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin a Pyramid or Ponzi scheme & what are the ramifications? on: November 27, 2013, 07:07:18 AM
Since when do gold, silver jewels etc have any intrinsic value?

The only thing that has any intrinsic value to me is drinking water, shelter, food and bullets.

That is the case when the world sinks into a Madmax dark age. But that is not the norm.

The historic norm is a non-collectivist, self-sufficient life where the only thing that has any intrinsic value was drinking water, shelter, food and hunting tools. That's still the situation in territories, where the state is absent.

All other things later got their value by collectivism (labor division) beyond Dunbars Numbers. Your arguments are the arguments of a collectivist.
1160  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin a Pyramid or Ponzi scheme & what are the ramifications? on: November 24, 2013, 02:07:01 PM
...snip...

The notion that women are irrational all the time while men are only "like that" over money.  Is that your belief?

Not exactly. I am just saying that men will turn real nasty when they don't have money for that is their entire identity these days. They don't get women without it also.

I was using the irrationality of women as an example of how men will behave when they are really pissed off. Women tend to get pissed off about daily things such as when you don't give them some of your time. Men tend to get pissed off about dick strategy things. Being poor is going to be very hard on western men. They are not used to it.

I am used to it. I lived in Nipa hut and ate only rice and bananas when I wrote coolpage.com for million users. No problem for me. I can code any where.

You aren't helping yourself here.  Really, not helping yourself at all.

Women are rational within their home-community building goals. But their priorities seem quite irrational to a man at times, because our priorities are more competitive.

However, I probably don't speak for westerners any more, as men have become women there in some cases. We joke about that in the developing world where men are still men.

The women are happier here, because we let them be women. Not like all the birth control, abortion, equal crap in the west.

Sorry I am not a socialist. We will not agree.

If the belief that women are as capable of rational behaviour as men is your definition of socialism, you have every reason to apologise for not being a socialist.

We completely disagree.

Women are women. And men are men.

Women are rational yes, but not strategically rational. They base their decisions more on emotions of the small group centered around home and family which is very rational in terms of their evolutionary strategy.

If you deny this, you deny nature. Which most westerners do now deny nature. But the payback is coming 2016ish. Western civilization will collapse.

All civilizations do collapse, because to be civilized (enslaved) is against human nature, and therefore all civilized (collectivized, monogamized, taxed by the state mafia) men are not men anymore.  You even don't know such simple anthropologic facts. You are a story telling collectivist who knows nothing about nature, systems and money.
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