While discussing about a NATO country joining the war and other fairy tales, Putin's war with Ukraine is stalled. Odessa's air defences and Belgorod's are quite active at the moment. Izum seems to be the last noticeable advance, but pincer movements are stalled. There seems to be an attempt to conduct an increased air warfare, but Ukraine is now a porcupine, bite it and you will bleed. Putin's psychos have decided that it is a great idea to destroy the Ukrainian infrastructure all over the country: hospitals, schools, bridges, industries, civil infrastructure,... There will be a permanent diplomatic cost on that. Firstly, Russia's assets may be seized across the world to pay reparations. Secondly, Ukraine will have even more reasons to look west for financing and prosperity and lastly, due to the atrocities and sub-human way of waging war of Putin's Chief Psycho, there will be a decades long hate to anything Russian right by their border. IMHO, the US does not want Putin to go - it would create chaos on a country that holds too many nukes. However they have stated that the policy is to ensure that Putin nor the RF possesses the means to wage another war against Ukraine or anyone else. This is now not just about a peace in Ukraine or if there will be any territorial loss, it is a permanent loss of diplomatic and commercial status. How is this going to be achieved? Playing with Putin's need to present some short of victory. Making him and his psychos believe that they are almost there, near some form of victory that somehow manages to elude them... but it will never be. Tactical Cannon Fodder battalions will suffer 20% losses over and over and become inoperative, Putin's air force will be loosing irreplaceable pilots and planes. Also, infrastructure in Russia can now be a legitimate target, and it will be targeted. But that is not the worst. The sanctions are not just an economic weapon, is also a technological one. Modern Russia is not the USSR, they do depend on components that are not locally sourced. The effects will be devastating for the industry. Putin's Russia a quite autonomous economy, but there is no way to avoid an 8% drop in GDP this year and that may only be the beginning of decades on depending on China for trade. I would not want to be in that position. Meanwhile, in Putin's controlled Donetsk... |
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La explicacion es mas sencilla que una "traicion". Los fondos de pensiones en general y mucho mas los regidos por instituciones publicas son de un perfil ya conservador de partida. Eso significa que en general tienen mandatos de inversion que limitan su exposicion a un activo y tambien limitan la cantidad que se puede invertir en renta fija. A nadie se le escapa que la rentabilidad de la deuda en la ultima decada ha sido entre baja y negativa por lo cual los fondos de jubilaciones, por mandato, han tenido que comprar estos activos de bajo rendimiento.
Por supuesto, en las ultimas decadas la renta variable y el bitcoin han barrido en rentabilidad asique ...
De todas formas, hay que comprar rentabilidades pero tambien volatilidades y los inversores a vista jubilacion son reacios a la volatilidad en general y no pueden pretender el mismo rendimiento de la gente que arriesga en variable u otros.
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Creo que Latinoamerica y en general todos los emergentes pueden mejorar un poco a raiz del conflicto si exportan gas, petroleo e incluso algunas materias primas, pero en general el contexto mundial es mas bien muy contrario a estas economias. Si la guerra ser prolongara se podria anular ese efecto positivo de las materias primas.
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Hola, bienvenido al foro. Por favor utiliza una tipografia menos barroca. Suerte.
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I also got information about a possible Polish invasion of Ukraine. (This could be a rumor). The information says Poland will send troops to western Ukraine as a peacekeeping mission, which will create a border between eastern and western Ukraine. That information also mentioned that this plan was made a long time ago. I cannot disclose the source of the info, but there is a 50-50 chance, I think. But this will divide Ukraine into two parts and could create a similar situation to the Vietnam War.
Zero percent |
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...........
And of course spontaneous combustion events continue:
................
Fires is some recent major issue. Over 20 food production and distribution centers destroyed in US .... Si, si, but none of those contribute to the war effort and are right by the border with Ukraine. But hey... sleep tight and repeat "I am safe in Putin's Russia, nothing bad will happen..., we can mass kill in Europe and nothing will come back to get us..." Meanwhile... reports of air defences being active at Belgorod. This must be unrelated to the "accidental fires" surely... "I am safe in Putin's Russia...." |
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OF course both USA and Russia will deny it but Ukraine is their playground for at least 20 years. USA would do better for Ukraine by investing all those billions into Ukraine economy instead in arms, maybe their GDP per capita would not be 1/3 of Russian Except Kosovo is recognized by most countries. So no.
If you meant "most USA colonies" then yes No, he means US colonies like Chad, Lybia, Colombia, Peru, Somalia, Egypt, Yemen... Branko, again discarding all the factual information that contradicts your views. ...
Do you think export sales of Ladas without ABS or airbags or tanks without fuel or oil pumps, or engines will make up for the expected losses?
...
Oh, and without chips. Tanks without fire control, planes without fly-by-wire, ... anything more complex than a smartphone is gone. |
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They did blame Ukraine for this one. But look at the second half of the news report. This copy-pasta is attached to some war-related articles to make sure Russian people know that despite numerous fiery incidents, "the combat potential of Ukraine" is "significantly reduced".
Now it also "reduced" with shipments of heavy artillery from the Dutch, effective range of 40 km - up to 50 with special loads and some technologically advanced fire control scary stuff...., armoured anti-air defences - cute last generation - from Germany and my personal favourite - the UK starstreak. Is it a radar guided SAM ... nop, is it an Infrared SAM you can fool... nope. It is laser guided - extremely difficult to detect, nearly impossible to fool ... my take is that pilots hit by it may not even know what happened to them. Russian guys you are not defending anything, your home country is not at threat - do not die for Putin or for the "chairborne" trolls that are lying to you. |
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Nazi bridge trying to stop the glorious Russian army... in Voronezh: Traffic jam on Prospekt Patriotov in Voronezh due to military equipment stuck under the bridge
 I hope they do not try that with a nuke. 3,2,1... denial coming from your six ... this is actually a disguised Ukrainian operation trying to kill the non-combatant pregnant Russian mothers travelling in that bus. Yes, it is a bus. |
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Australia have more gambling machines per person than anyone else in tbe whole world. Right now an interesting event is happening, there have been numerous calls now to remove all those machines from places like the PUBS and the CLUBS.
According to a news report, the slot machines are not just confined to any casino or any usual place, right now apparently in Australia there is no such law, the machines are everywhere an insight into what might be causing tbe leading probelms with increasing addiction there.
...
To be honest is not the only place where such a machines are not widely allowed outside specific spaces and always with an age control system of shorts. In UK, you will not see a slots in any pub, only in betting houses, in Spain, there is a limitation of 1 machine at bars and restaurants, in many EU countries, these are as well limited. I will not go into limitations in muslim countries and the like but... it is pretty much that way in most places. |
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In theory, anything certified is highly trustable. Just a physical slot machines get tested well, you should look for a good certification and a game friendly jurisdiction in which the authorities are used to deal with casinos and provide the swift and adequate solutions to certification, trusted inspection, right mechanics. So take always a look at where the casino is actually based and make sure is a good place for these business.
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snip
At least they know that there must be two possibilities behind the risk, namely success or failure. If they succeed, that is a good result for them, but if they fail, they need to think of other ways that might succeed. But most casino sites that promote on this forum have managed to get a lot of new members but they also use other promotional media such as social media. So the results they get can be greater. Whatever the promotion method, the casino will definitely use it in order to expand its network of users. No matter the expensive costs, if in the end the income is greater than the expenditure for promotion. In this case, many on social media have promoted by hiring influencers and this activity is the most effective way to attract followers to enter the casino. The tendency in many business is as you have described. It only pays if you reach a very large critical mass and you still need to get growing because at any moment competition may ramp-up their investment and catch up with your clients. They key here is to make this viral in so much as possible, that is, to use your clients to get new people joining - that allows cheap exponential growth. |
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I am not sure what casino owners think about the lightning networks. But, If they implement it, They also have to keep the main network on. Because only a few percent of players will understand what is lightning network and how to use it. But, yeah. If the platform implements the lightning network that I am using, I will use the lightning network since it's fast and cheap.
I don't think the lightening network is generally accepted by everyone because not everybody understand the concept of it although there are claims that it helps to reduce the network free and makes transactions faster than normal. The lightening network will limited gamblers maybe casinos owners in knowing the actual portfolio they have cause the transactions that are used through lightening network do not go to the wallet directly. I think that the fact that people do not fully understand the underlying technology, the use itself as user is not that difficult. Just take example of the regular bitcoin network - it is a very complex system with economic, software, hardware and many other sub-systems logical ans physical involved, and yet making a transaction is as easy as a couple of clicks. Complexity is not much of a problem. |
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Looks like a very difficult task with little chance of success. Like in every business you need to short our the strategy before getting into the meat of it so, what is going to be special about your place or site, how are you compete for the customers out there that other may not be able to copy, how much investment are you willing to make. You should not take a noob approach to this, it is costly and it is not easy because the space is very crowded. Is not just "setting a site".
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That's usual way how you conduct covert operations...government officially can't be blamed for involvement, but of course soldiers, UK government, and even Russia, all know UK government sent them. Just to be honest here, everyone do it the same way, it fools only domestic populations (and not even all of them) or people who want to be fooled Nah, this is just a vague attempt of making things look something they are not. The key point is that they do not carry heavy weaponry or are supported by the NATO structure and logistics. Do a few volunteers with light weapons make a real difference? Nah... Even in the case they were actually agents or some short of advisor, is mostly a moral support. A different thing would be to send a contingent of NATO troops with full fighting capabilities and arms (e.g. fighter pilots, artillery brigades,...) - that would be an involvement. Speaking of which: It is a different thing to basically have a branch of Putin's army under a false flag and arguing that "the residents voted XYZ". It took years to hear from Putin's own voice that there were people in the area "dealing with military matters". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_separatist_forces_in_DonbasIt is widely believed that the separatists are supported by the Russian Armed Forces.[13] Ukraine, the United States, and some analysts consider 1st and 2nd Army Corps to be Russian formations under the command of the 8th Combined Arms Army,[14][15][16][17] which was formed in 2017 in Novocherkassk, Rostov oblast. Although the Russian government often denies direct involvement, saying their soldiers were there voluntarily and not under orders, some of them have been captured with documents that said otherwise. This is in 2017: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/vladimir-putin/12054164/Vladimir-Putins-annual-press-conference-2015-live.htmlVladimir Putin admits: Russian troops 'were in Ukraine' - The Telegraph This is Putin, 2016: When we were forced, I want to stress, forced to defend the Russian-speaking population in the Donbass, ... Obviously, that is recognising intervention, in 2016, years ago. Now, Putin has never recognised there is actually a full corps dependant on the Russian Army, and that is never going to happen. There are several more references and news of Tanks and heavy artillery passing from Russia to the Donbas areas. Of course, you will not find a selfie of a Russian guy or anything like that saying "I am invading Ukraine mom", because Putin has denied that he is effectively waging war, but you can as yourself the question "who is to profit" and Where did the separatists get the funding for weapons on a region that is particularly poor, has no significant resources to sell and no significant economy to pay for them? There is only one answer. |
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can you think of a democracy that really prospered financially over last 20yrs? Russia was much more liberal before 2014, was not a threat to anyone, and was not aligned
...
Apologies for answering only this part of your post, but the rest is basically a re-statement of you views, so I would have to re-state mine and so on... Most seasoned democratic countries have experienced GDP growth, that you can take as a proxy of "financial prosperity" (what is that exactly for you? GPD, GPD per capita, disposable income, health, life expectancy?) https://news.mit.edu/2019/study-democracy-fosters-economic-growth-acemoglu-0307https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_and_economic_growthDemocratization of a country from a non-democratic regime is usually preceded by a fall in GDP, and a volatile but expected growth in the long run. On the other hand, authoritarian regimes experience significant growth at the beginning and decline in the long run.[4] The cause of such behavior is that non-democratic regimes, mainly authoritarian ones, are more effective at implementing decisive policies and choices as well as solving ethnic and sub-national conflicts, but are unsustainable in the long run as there is more incentive to extract money from society which in turn leads to less prosperity. |
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There are no US nor NATO soldiers in Ukraine, there are Putin's Russia soldiers.
... It's a false statement that US soldiers are not involved in this conflict: ... Russia has put forward their conditions about how Ukraine would need to act to avoid being invaded. That, in my hood's called a threat, not a negotiation. Ukraine has decided not to be bullied.
In fact, Ukraine and Russia tried to negotiate among themselves. Have you read the text of the Minsk agreements? On top of that, the Donbas conflict could not exist without the support from Putin's Russia. War is expensive - who is funding the separatists? We all know who.
How much money Russia sent to the military needs of the separatists in the Donbas, and what sources do you refer to? For example, judging by information from the official website of the US Congress, America has been sponsoring the military economy of Ukraine for several years in the amount of more than $4 billion.  Even prior to the start of the war, Ukraine was a leading
recipient of U.S. military aid in Europe and Eurasia.
From 2014, when Russia first invaded Ukraine,
through March 2022, the United States has committed
more than $4 billion in State Department- and DOD-funded
security assistance "to help Ukraine preserve its territorial integrity, secure its
borders, and improve interoperability with NATO".
And this ''civilian war'' was started by Russia 8 years ago.
Are you sure you know the origins of the conflict? In late 2013, Ukrainian President Yanukovych suspended negotiations with the EU in favor of strengthening relations with Russia. After that, mass protests began in Kyiv. In February 2014, Yanukovych was ousted from the presidency. In April 2014, the residents of Donetsk and Lugansk declared their independence. In response, Acting President in Ukraine Aleksandr Turchynov announced the start of an "anti-terrorist operation" in eastern Ukraine. You can read a brief background of the conflict, at least in the Britannica. NATO or US soldiers are not involved as such (thanks to suchmoon for stating the obvious), some of them have left their countries to fight in Ukraine. In fact, some of them are now deserters in their own countries because they left their countries' armies without permission.The Minsk agreements are effectively the type of bulling I refer to, pretty much the equivalent to signing a contract with a gun to your head. Including the second set that was signed of after Putin annexed Crimea. No country likes to be forced into a unfavourable agreement - you could argue that since Germany had signed the peace agreements after WW I, they could not break them and would need to still be paying reparations of war. Those agreements are generally admitted as being one of the reasons for WW II and, in my view, the Minks Agreements are the basis for the current war. Elaborating on that, you mention that the US has been sending funds to Ukraine. The US is of course interested in having closer links to Ukraine, but it is only thanks to Putin's policies that Ukraine has been pushed towards the west - and you cannot honestly blame them, there seems to be opportunity and development in that alliance, but certainly Ukraine has tasted Putin's cookies and they find them sour. Putin is a Russian supremacist and, in general, Russia has historically seen Ukraine as the land they get the food from and burn and use so that the enemies supply lines are no longer sustainable. Can you blame Ukraine for wanting to try something different? Re Donetsk and Luhansk, it is impossible to hold a serious referendum under such as strong funding and interference from Russia - with the internationally recognised guarantees, that could (at least IMHO) set a path for independence if that is the will of the people. RE how much money has sent Russia to the separatist - I would like to return the question: how have the separatist fund their armed militias? War is expensive and the region is poor even for eastern standards, so ... who is to gain that would provide funds? Anyway, I will give you some links, although I expect the usual "those sources are wrong" etc... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_separatist_forces_in_DonbasIt is widely believed that the separatists are supported by the Russian Armed Forces.[13] Ukraine, the United States, and some analysts consider 1st and 2nd Army Corps to be Russian formations under the command of the 8th Combined Arms Army,[14][15][16][17] which was formed in 2017 in Novocherkassk, Rostov oblast. Although the Russian government often denies direct involvement, saying their soldiers were there voluntarily and not under orders, some of them have been captured with documents that said otherwise. You can go to the Wikipedia references... plenty of evidence. RE the picture of the sunken Moskva, adds nothing - that ship has sailed... I mean it did sail for the last time... regardless of the creativity. RE latest developments, UK and US are now speaking of supporting Ukraine to the point that Putin is no longer able to repeat this aggression in the future. That is certainly a sign of them being extremely angry. Empires rarely fall gently. |
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This article compares a lot with India, certainly not with US. So basically you are choosing Chomsky and his "methodology", which is already quite biased, and, you are using a comparison between India and China to come to a conclusion about the US.
460,000 deaths in Iraq, 241,000 people killed in Afghanistan, 2 million civilians on both sides in the Vietnam war, in the Syrian war, between 499,657 and about 610,000 deaths because of the conflict. I am not asking about which side killed how many, but all of these wars have been ignited by the direct involvement of the USA. They spent billions of dollars to provoke people from this country to take up arms against their government. USA, Russia, and NATO are all of them just one thing and that is the elimination of any power that is opposing their will. So, Russia has never been in Syria & Afaghanst,... Russia was never involved in the cold war, Russia was never present in Irak and as of today is not in deals with Iran.... I see, it is all the US... You are not even pretending to be objective are you? |
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Of course, I forgot that you are the owner of the truth and the knower of all objective information - for example Chomsky speaking about communism. You have to be kidding. Anyway, please, give your version, how many people died under Stalin's regime (please include Holomordor, dying of hunger is a violent death IMO)? How many people died as a result of the invasion of France, Poland and the USSR by Nazi Germany? Hint: You will have to make some assumptions, none of that data is really uncontested. Feel free to compare these, in reasonable terms with US wars or even US induced wars. Bottom line, authoritarian regimes are much more prone to enter into wars. Most people by default do not want war, if given a voice, they would tend to request peaceful solutions. Tyrants need wars, countries ruled with strong military influence tend to like large armies and these tend to like waging war. Collosally failed experiment of capitalism killed around 650 million people so far Communism killed around 100 million (I don't support either number, but you get those numbers when you apply same methodology of counting bodies used by authors of "Black book of Communism" to both capitalism and communism) Your "Bottom line, authoritarian regimes are much more prone to enter into wars." suggest USA is the most authoritarian regime ever For me is not Capitalism of Communism, is participative regimes vs others. This article compares a lot with India, certainly not with US. So basically you are choosing Chomsky and his "methodology", which is already quite biased, and, you are using a comparison between India and China to come to a conclusion about the US. Your own source mentions figures in the range of 100 millions in China. Not only that, there is no accountability for it: China's totalitarian regime suffered from "misinformation" that undercut a serious response, and there was "little political pressure" from opposition groups and an informed public And, as I mentioned, another totalitarian regime gets ignored by you, even in your own source: Although "the body count tips the scales against Communism," Ryan concludes that Nazism nevertheless sinks to the lower depths of immorality. Branko, you are suffering from confirmation bias. You only accept information that appears to prove your existing beliefs and disregard anything that may disprove it. Ways you can avoid that: Seek contrary opinions, even if those opinions may seem uncomfortable to you at first.
Try to understand the rationale behind the contrarian opinions.
Do not rely on just one source of information to form opinions [...]. Look at multiple sources of information.
Knowledge is your biggest friend in overcoming [...] biases.. https://www.miraeassetmf.co.in/knowledge-center/confirmation-bias |
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