Been extremely busy the last few days, but hopefully I'm back now, and will be able to catch the UFC this weekend. However, the last two main events have been a let down. I thought Curtis looked good, despite there only being 15 seconds for footage. I do believe he gets underestimated a lot. Anyway, I know that's old news now, so I'll get my predictions out either tomorrow or Friday depending on my work load. I haven't taken a proper look at the card, and odds yet.
I'm seeing O'Malley, and Yan has been confirmed now, for me Yan takes that easily, and due to the hype behind O'Malley it might be decent odds too.
Bestfightodds has O'Malley at 4.00 - 4.30 depending on the bookie. Not sure but I think it's the first time for O'Malley to be lined as the underdog since he got into the UFC. https://www.bestfightodds.com/#Anyway here are my lottery tickets for the event. I kinda regret having Nunes at my top ticket now that I'm looking at it. Lol. But I do feel like she's gonna go out there more motivated. Nunes - Moreno at 2.06 Add: Pantoja - Ankalaev - Morales at 4.31 Add: Mayes - Dober - Semelsberger at 16.32 Add: Lewis - Garcia - Edwards at 174.89 Add: Negumereanu - Mathetha at 883.04 More vids... Enjoy. UFC 277: Embedded - Episode 3https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzWWiXmdd3sUFC 277 Free Fight: Moreno vs KKF 1https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HkPUPDQa-eoUFC 277 Free Fight: Pena vs Nunes 1https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D63GIWQXxuE
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SHIB is totally overvalued right now and I don't think there's more room for it to go up in market cap unless the whole space pumps. And even then it won't rise like it did when it was still an unknown micro cap. If you guys want an investment related to SHIB that could give you 100x, check out RYOSHI's VISION. Just under 30 million in market cap and made by the same people behind SHIB. They're at it again. Buy while it's still low. Lolol.
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Timo Werner can exit Chelsea this summer only if Juventus are ready to pull the deal. I think the Old Lady's really need a backup winger and Timo Werner falls in the category of players Allegri want. Morever Chelsea have plan a loan deal which will involve RB Leipzig player Mukiele, but since PSG first them opening bid with the player, and it's also a done deal for Mukiele to Paris. There's still possible move that might go on for the German this summer, it's never too late for Todd Boehly and Thomas Tuchel to decide on what to do with Timo Werner.
Yeah, Chelsea should sell him while there's still some value to be had. I think it's safe today that he's a flop at Chelsea. What would have been if he went to Liverpool and play under Klopp instead. If I remember it right Klopp had interest in acquiring him from RB Leipzig but he decided to go to Chelsea. Anyway I'm seeing lots of new names I'm not familiar with. Lol.
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Jai Herbert Muhammad Mokaev Marc Diakiese Nathaniel Wood Mason Jones Paddy the baddy
Mason Jones was the pie shitter of parlays. Lmaooo. Mokaev turned out to look really good. He didn't finish his opponent but he totally owned the guy's soul. And before 277 this weekend, we have the Contender Series 2022 week 1 in around 9 hours or so. I have a small parlay going. Pyfer - Turkalj - Buzukja - Costa at 5.35 Here's the roster of the event. They're mostly unknowns to me and I just followed the most likely winners the books are going for. So feel free to fade. Date: Tuesday, July 26, 8:00pm EST Venue: UFC Apex Center, Las Vegas, Nevada Middleweight: Joseph Pyfer vs Ozzy Diaz Light Heavyweight: Anton Turkalj vs Acácio dos Santos Featherweight: Dennis Buzukja vs Kaleio Romero Flyweight: Alessandro Costa vs Andres Luna Martinetti
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I agree with Ferrari this time,they did the best choice for Sainz,sure he would have been second as he would have passed also Hamilton with the pace he had but I am sure he would have had a puncture if he kept racing at that pace or if he would not get the pace the tire would degrade surely in the last 10 laps and everybody else would have surpassed him again.So Ferrari did for once the right call with Sainz,they even got the fastest lap of the race.
Leclerc made the mistake exactly where he needed the most not to do it,now Verstappen 62 points ahead and when Leclerc loses Verstappen extend the gap with minimum of 15-25 points,when Verstappen loses Leclerc closes the distance by just 6-12 points and this says a lot for the title fight.I agree that in 10 races is almost impossible to close the gap by 62 points unless bad things happen to Verstappen.
Ferrari may have the most performant car right now but Max is more solid at the moment. Keep also in mind Max is already in his 8th year in F1, even if he is so young he is still experienced, the rookie Max was the more exciting driver but too reckless. Another advantage in the second part of the season, Ferrari already got a penalty so they have some free parts for the cars, while if Redbull will need more they will take a penalty. So you think the Ferraris will be faster and the cars more reliable in Hungary? At first glance, I think the books will over adjust and line Verstappen a lot wider than they used to giving some value for betting on Leclerc. But what do you think? And I wonder what happened to the Haas. Just when I thought they're going to be regulars at the midtable, they have a bad race. Mick Schumacher near the bottom and Magnussen didn't finish. Lol. Fishy...
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Julian Draxler, a midfielder for Paris Saint-Germain, is a target for Newcastle United. The estimated price for the Germany international is around £25 million. Draxler may have advanced farther because he was left off of PSG's preseason roster for their recent trip of Japan, but it is still unclear whether Newcastle will be his final destination. The 28-year-old Draxler has played for the French powerhouses for the last six seasons, but his most recent campaign has been primarily from the bench, with 13 of his 18 Ligue 1 outings coming as a replacement.
I would like it if he played in Germany again. He will earn more money in England, but I think he play more games in Germany. He hasn't had good years lately and he needs more playing time, which he can get in Germany. At first I thought about a move to Leipzig, but I would like to see him at Frankfurt. They play in the Champions League and have brought in a lot of players in the offensiv, but he would be a great addition there. I'd love to see him play in the EPL, the toughest league in Europe. And it's not even open to debate. And I don't think he'll play less games if he went to Newcastle and play under Eddie Howe as I don't think the competition to play for first 11 spots would be as tough as clubs like say Chelsea or even West Ham which has a decent squad. Anyway with the transfer window coming to a close, which player transfer would you guys think will be a success and which will flop?
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The Ferrari pit wall is a joke. I mean seriously... Edit:
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There it is... Another throttle pedal issue for Leclerc according to the radio. You can really feel his pain. He doesn't deserve this. More memes from Formula Dank.
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Well well well , it seems RedBull has a problem with the wind as that's why Max couldn't finish top 1 but I don't bite that as wind was kinda the same in P3 and qualifiers. Now for race , all my strategies have been messed around so I don't know what to pick anymore. Maybe Fernando Alonso winning his group ? he has 15 odds and a fair chance to finish on 4th position What do you think guys about this bet ? That's good value imho and with Alonso starting behind Russel too. I'm thinking about Magnussen in group 4 at 3.00. Drivers in the group are Vettel at 1.83, Magnussen at 3.00, Albon at 4.35 and Mick Schumacher at 10.00. It feels like it's an easy bet for Kevin Magnussen as he's the best driver if without Vettel in the group but Magnussen having the fastest car in the group could give him the edge even if he's starting from behind these guys. What do you think?
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^ Close to impossible for a Ferrari 1 - 2 as Sainz is starting at the back of the grid now due to more parts replacements in his power unit. What has become more interesting tho is Sainz to finish top 6 which he could do. Anything more than 2.00 could be value imho. The lines aren't up as of now. It could take a couple more hours.
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^ Here's the thing.. Take a look at the market right now and see what's going on. It's red for now but a couple more days like today and we start seeing the same people who are bullish do a 180 turn and be bearish. I do it too. Lolol. But yeah, I think there's gonna be an interesting week coming as we'll soon find out if the monthly closes bullish or bearish.
I'm hoping the merge will get people to get in ETH but I think most of the people who aren't holding it are gonna be waiting it out first before aping in.
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^ Looks good. I picked exactly those guys too for my lottery tickets. Again let's cross our fingers for a Mokaev win. If there was a pie shitter in that list, it's him. And doing cross events for parlays isn't that bad esp if you aren't sure about some match ups for the current event. Maybe we should also do cross organization parlays and make picks at UFC and Bellator events next time. Anyway, UFC London starts in 35 minutes or so guys. Lock your bets in! Leeezzgooo and good luck!
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^ You know if Sainz had something to fight for in this qualifying I think he'd be getting the pole imho. Sainz is faster than Leclerc at FP2, FP3 and during Q2 at qualifying. It's too bad he'd be starting at the back of the grid no matter which spot he ended up with.
Anyway it's LEC - VER - PER. The first 10 laps should be interesting with two Red Bull cars behind Leclerc's tail. I feel like Verstappen will be in villain mode starting this weekend til the end of the season.
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Frenkie does not want to go - he doesn't feel moving to United is a great career move. The only reason why he's considering it is that Ten Hag is there - and the two of them worked great together at Ajax.
Barcelona does not want to sell him too - they have to though because he's one of the rare players they have that can generate 70-80 mil euros for them.
Just curious... Now I don't really follow Barca much or La Liga anymore, tho I should, but does De Jong really have a place under Xavi's system? Was he specifically hand picked by Xavi to play an important role in the club?
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^ The books would adjust right away and not make the same mistake right after it did. Same with Schnell and his match up vs the Tibetian guy. But the thing is there's lots more mispricing going on in MMA than a sport like say football. Lines in the EPL are pretty efficient overall imho.
Anyway, another event with no missed weight. That's like 5 events straight now. Far from how it was at the Covid era when we saw at least one guy missing weight every week.
UFC London: Weigh In Results
Curtis Blaydes (260) vs Tom Aspinall (251) Chris Curtis (186) vs Jack Hermansson (186) Jordan Leavitt (155) vs Paddy Pimblett (156) Alexander Gustafsson (205) vs Nikita Krylov (204) Hannah Goldy (125) vs Molly McCann (125.5) Paul Craig (206) vs Volkan Oezdemir (205.5) Marc Diakiese (156) vs Damir Hadzovic (156) Charles Rosa (145) vs Nathaniel Wood (145.5) Makwan Amirkhani (145.5) vs Jonathan Pearce (145) Charles Johnson (125.5) vs Muhammad Mokaev (126) Jai Herbert (155) vs Kyle Nelson (155) Mandy Bohm (125) vs Victoria Leonardo (125.5) Nicolas Dalby (170) vs Claudio Silva (170.5) Mason Jones (155.5) vs Ludovit Klein (155)
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^ Yup it's getting there. Pretty sure by Q1 at quali we get 1.31. Maybe lower as the teams seem to like to use the softs mostly in this track. And it's looking good for Sainz. It seems like Red Bull has no answer for the Ferrari upgrades. They better have one before Italy or Leclerc is gonna start running away and rack up more points. 2022 F1 French GP FP 2 Results1 Carlos Sainz ESP Scuderia Ferrari 1m32.527s 2 Charles Leclerc MON Scuderia Ferrari 1m32.628s 3 Max Verstappen NED Oracle Red Bull Racing 1m33.077s 4 George Russell GBR Mercedes AMG Petronas Formula One Team 1m33.291s 5 Lewis Hamilton GBR Mercedes AMG Petronas Formula One Team 1m33.517s 6 Lando Norris GBR McLaren F1 Team 1m33.607s 7 Pierre Gasly FRA Scuderia AlphaTauri 1m33.906s 8 Kevin Magnussen DEN Haas F1 Team 1m33.928s 9 Daniel Ricciardo AUS McLaren F1 Team 1m33.984s 10 Sergio Perez MEX Oracle Red Bull Racing 1m34.060s 11 Fernando Alonso ESP BWT Alpine F1 Team 1m34.259s 12 Valtteri Bottas FIN Alfa Romeo F1 Team Orlen 1m34.264s 13 Sebastian Vettel GER Aston Martin Aramco Cognizant Formula One Team 1m34.420s 14 Yuki Tsunoda JPN Scuderia AlphaTauri 1m34.540s 15 Lance Stroll CAN Aston Martin Aramco Cognizant Formula One Team 1m34.595s 16 Alexander Albon THA Williams Racing 1m34.653s 17 Guanyu Zhou CHN Alfa Romeo F1 Team Orlen 1m34.654s 18 Esteban Ocon FRA BWT Alpine F1 Team 1m34.660s 19 Mick Schumacher GER Haas F1 Team 1m35.195s 20 Nicholas Latifi CAN Williams Racing 1m35.412s
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You mean Mike Davis? That's the guy he lost to. I think Mason Jones came in that fight on short notice so it's fine. And if Jones can win vs Onama I think he has way more chances to win vs Klein with his forward pressure. Klein hates fighting off the back foot. Looking at my lottery ticket again, I should've placed Jones at my top ticket and Mokaev at the second one. I feel like Mokaev could spoil everything.
I was talking about Jack Shore (the other Welsh guy) losing to Ricky Simons last weekend. It was his first professional loss. Mason yeah came in on a short notice on that fight I believe, and obviously has only lost the one in his professional record. So, going pretty well I'd say for the welsh men in the UFC. Don't say that, I've already put Mokaev on a bet now. I've got it running with a few others on the night, and the Liverpool game today, which I don't usually like betting on friendlies, but here we go. I do like Klein though. He's a bit frantic at times, but a good fighter nonetheless. I've obviously got Mason on my betslip. I'll post my actual bets, this one's just for fun one at the moment. Oh right right... Somehow I got a tad confused. When I read 'Shore' this guy Shane Young from CKB popped in my head. He's the guy who Klein beat with a head kick KO at the first round. Lol. Anyway yeah, it sucks for Shore as I really like him too. But not as much as how the books lined him. I had Simon for that one because Simon could crack.. Which he did. And don't worry, it's just me. Mokaev is really good and he should win. It's just we haven't seen a lot in his UFC debut and there are some questions left unanswered. I guess we'll have to see. Ceremonial weigh ins in a couple of hours. UFC London: Ceremonial Weigh Inshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGhx3Gg7kdI
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^ It was already expected earlier this week after Sainz's car blew up at the Austrian GP last weekend. So if it's a 1 - 2 battle for Leclerc and Verstappen, it would be kinda safe to say Sainz gets third or fourth on the grid. That makes him 13th or 14th to start the race on Sunday. It makes for an interesting scenario for Sainz to finish on the podium lined at 4.00 at Stake. Finishing top 6 should be more possible but there isn't much value at 1.40. With the risks involved in F1 it's totally not worth it.. Even as a parlay piece.
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I had FP1 on in the background but it just looked like FP1 was mostly dull and uneventful. It felt like Verstappen wanted to make a statement esp after losing vs Leclerc in Red Bull's home turf. But Leclerc took it down and I really feel like it's him who's gonna make a statement by winning all free practices and qualifying to boot.
But the race will be a coin toss if it's a Leclerc - Verstappen 1 - 2. FP2 in a couple of hours...
Here are the results.
2022 F1 French GP FP1 Results
1 Charles Leclerc MON Scuderia Ferrari 1m33.930s 2 Max Verstappen NED Oracle Red Bull Racing 1m34.021s 3 Carlos Sainz ESP Scuderia Ferrari 1m34.268s 4 George Russell GBR Mercedes AMG Petronas Formula One Team 1m34.881s 5 Pierre Gasly FRA Scuderia AlphaTauri 1m34.979s 6 Sergio Perez MEX Oracle Red Bull Racing 1m35.174s 7 Lando Norris GBR McLaren F1 Team 1m35.232s 8 Alexander Albon THA Williams Racing 1m35.414s 9 Nyck de Vries NED Mercedes AMG Petronas Formula One Team 1m35.426s 10 Daniel Ricciardo AUS McLaren F1 Team 1m35.660s 11 Guanyu Zhou CHN Alfa Romeo F1 Team Orlen 1m35.676s 12 Lance Stroll CAN Aston Martin Aramco Cognizant Formula One Team 1m35.810s 13 Esteban Ocon FRA BWT Alpine F1 Team 1m35.828s 14 Sebastian Vettel GER Aston Martin Aramco Cognizant Formula One Team 1m35.851s 15 Fernando Alonso ESP BWT Alpine F1 Team 1m35.875s 16 Mick Schumacher GER Haas F1 Team 1m36.022s 17 Kevin Magnussen DEN Haas F1 Team 1m36.104s 18 Yuki Tsunoda JPN Scuderia AlphaTauri 1m36.127s 19 Robert Kubica POL Alfa Romeo F1 Team Orlen 1m36.332s 20 Nicholas Latifi CAN Williams Racing 1m37.043s
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