Boom and bust is a natural economic cycle that has existed in free markets since they began. It is like the sun rising and the sun setting. What you are describing with quantitative easing and quantitative tightening is government meddling in that process which usually ends up going wrong at some point. Quantitative easing, like you say, floods the market with cheap money which occurred after the financial crisis all the way back in 2008, it was jolt to bring the economy back to life which was helpful at the time. However giving away cheap money keeps people happy and makes it easier for politicians. It should have ended after a couple years, with maybe the next ten years paying back the original overspending to balance the budget. They left the money tap on for far too long though and just ended up blowing the balloon up for a bigger burst next time around.

It is almost impossible to predict the Fed’s policies in the coming period, especially during the second and third quarters of this year, but it seems that we will face it.

Either consider inflation as the problem and start withdrawing liquidity and raising interest rates, or trying to accelerate the economy to push it away from recession as the main problem.

In any case, we are facing a state of uncertainty and therefore a lot of markets will be very turbulent during the next few months, and some random variables such as closings in China, food and energy situation will complicate a lot of calculations.

Therefore, you cannot say that the scenario you mentioned will come true.

Yeah, we've all seen this before haven't we? Our parents have seen it before really, and since the 1970s was in the generation they were born in, even our grandparents have seen it before.

Don't even need to look so far away from home, in my tiny enclave in Southeast Asia it's the same old cycles of banking problems, followed by fiat printing, interest hikes, and relentless bailouts. Our most famous CEOs, politicians, corporate moguls have all bankrupted several times in the past decades. Whereas for the regular joe, bankruptcy is the end of adult life, for them it's a chance to give speeches about how they had to fail 10 times to succeed finally.

Bull run in 2023? Not so soon though I think. That'll be too little pain to bear (laughs+cries).

I've read a few articles explaining that a food crisis is coming, I want to tell you something about it. There will be no food crisis for me.
Price of pasta, price of cooking oil, rice or meat will increase 20%? 30%?

That's all right. I don't care much. I can handle it, just like most people in developed countries. We don't spend much on food, increasing that budget by a third is perfectly fine.

I imagine that we all had very high expectations in this respect, but on reflection, El Salvador does not seem to be a country where the population in general is massively adapted to new technologies, so it is normal that bitcoin adoption is slower despite being legal tender. If we add to that the volatility and the fact that the price has not gone as well as many of us expected, I think it is normal for things to be slow.

Regarding the Chivo wallet downloads, I think this has already been discussed in another thread. It is normal for them to decrease, as the population of El Salvador is finite and once practically everyone has downloaded the APP, it is normal for downloads to decrease.

Well many were expecting this month to be bearish because it’s when QT starts. However you need to understand that it was priced in a long time ago.

Look at the yields, everything is already priced in. So keep in mind when it’s very obvious that something is bearish and everyone is bearish the complete opposite can happen. That’s usually how the markets are. That’s why there are many bottom shorters and top longers out there.

Absolutely. For me, Lightning is about cheap and fast payments as well as privacy. It's definitely possible that you also have legal advantages when building something fully off-chain instead of using on-chain payments, but I'm not sure about that.

In general, it's been proven that crypto-only casinos are easier to run long-term and I believe it's actually the standard model today. I may be wrong, though, since I'm not a big betting man.

I've seen one site put in Lightning and then after a while remove it anyway despite most people there using BTC to play. Especially the past few years fees have really been cheap enough to send normally, I guess the demand isn't as much as we would have thought.

I think the concept can work properly for the bitcoin casino, but it needs further research because if the NFT does not have or give benefits to the members, it will have no use for them and will be just for collection without selling it at the market.

A dedicated community of collectors needs a market to buy and sell the stuff like NFT and if the casino accommodates it, the casino will be a place for the market and not just for a gambling place.

IIRC rollbit has this kind of NFT but in a form of Rollbot but the article shared on the link was NFT for the casino built on metaverse. Meaning the casino is running on blockchain which is easy them to implement NFT with benefits to its user unlike centralized casino like blackjack.fun. I think NFT idea is not easy to implement on our casino and as you said already, It really need to have proper research and devs to work on that particular area.

vy can launch missiles at Ukraine.

The ports where submarines regularly docked in Sevastopol’s Southern Bay (Crimea) were empty on the afternoon of 13 May, Crimea Realities, a local media outlet, has claimed.

The Russian Black Sea Fleet consists of six submarines of the “Varshavianka” class: B-261 Novorossiysk, B-237 Rostov-na-Donu, B-262 Stary Oskol, B-265 Krasnodar, B-268 Veliky Novgorod, and B-271 Kolpino.

https://eurasiantimes.com/russian-submarines-are-now-in-the-black-sea-as-moscow-ukraine/

People may have learned not to miss the accumulation phase.  The current Btc price is more than -50% from the last ATH, I guess that's almost 60% loss. So, this current region where Btc has been revolving might be the bottom of this bearish period.

Nevertheless, when Btc continue to dip, we are going to expect more accumulations. Bottom price wouldn't fall below $20k most probably, judging on how investors are reacting with the current Btc position.

The concept is new and from what I see is targeting a bigger user base because NFT-s can be sold and people have already paid nice amounts of money for a single NFT so far. That is I think the main selling point of this new concept. Personally I am extremely conservator when it comes to gambling so I like much more the traditional slots without added bonuses like the NFT-s but that is just me.I think most people will really like the concept and this will just boom even more with the passing of time.

I really like the concept, the fact that users can win NFTs on a slot machine is new for me, and for sure some of those NFTs have a nice value on the market.

The fact that we have to sell that NFT to make a profit from our bet makes me think how users will gamble more for the collectible than for money.

I thought it has de-coupled a week ago, when bitcoin goes ~$30k, stocks soars. But this is just short lived though as both market finally have a good break out run.

But yeah, bitcoin long term holders will always take advantage and whenever they can, will build their wallets again with this cheap bitcoins from those panic sellers. And so let's see if we can get the numbers at least $32k at the end of the week.

There are already some casinos that integrate lightning network which is really good to look at or make use of but the main issue is the trust that do connects with it that's why they aren't really able to get sufficient number of players due into that kind of problem which is something not surprising.

I've seen that this one is done well but not all would really be that confident on using LN yet they do say that it's still on developmental state and they do much prefer those older ways.

Implementing KYC is also not the most efficient way may be efficient to prevent bonus abuse but users don't like KYC
You probably know most gamblers avoid KYC if it is implemented here then Betlucy will lose to compete with casinos without KYC

But if it is applied to some suspicious users then it can be considered and must be explained in the T&C.

Not so fun fact: Ben Armstrong a.k.a. BitBoy Crypto (the first tweet) takes payment from crypto projects, then shills these projects on his YouTube channel. I wouldn't listen to anything that grifter says.

https://twitter.com/zachxbt/status/1478082010807742468?lang=en