Most people gambling now are doing that because they believe they can make money from it. That's why they are finding it difficult to stop after losing money because they are always having the mindset that they are going to win back the money they have wasted, which leads to addiction, selling of properties, stealing, and taking loans because they believe if they can stop gambling, they won't be able to win back their money. Gambling shouldn't be taken as a source of income, a gambler should have an alternative source of income, and they shouldn't depend on gambling for survival. If they win, they can make use of the money to do necessary things that they need to do at that particular time.
I wonder if these mental attitudes worked in relation to work and self-development, then what kind of success would these people who were stuck in gambling achieve? I think many will agree that if you show such perseverance in work/study and in any other creative activity that gambling addicts show in their desire to gamble, then the result will be much higher than average, the person will be successful. |
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Really bad luck for Newcastle, they have the most difficult group of all the competition, its gonna be hard to overcome the group stage and reach the 16 phase. Anyways they are gonna make good matches to see to everyone like us.
And yes its strange to not see Liverpool in UCL.
If it wasn't for Group F, which is overly strong and reminds me of the days when really champions played in the Champions League, I would be very disappointed. It would seem that only Liverpool is missing, but this greatly affects the overall picture. Young Boys, Antwerp, Copenhagen, etc. Can't say I'm very interested  As for Newcastle, I don't think it's that bad - all teams are strong so everyone will lose points, in such conditions sometimes luck is enough to qualify. |
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Forest led by 2 goals inside the first four minutes but gave it all up. That's how it goes, but I'd be looking for value bets all season against them and Chelsea.
~
United sucks (and even though I'm a fan of them, I wanted Forest to win so that TH would get another flick on his impudent nose). Maybe your plan against Chelsea is good, but it seems to me that the idea with United is not very good - the bookmakers already see the real strength of this team and the odds for their games are already fair. |
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It seems that the entire group stage exists only for the sake of us seeing one interesting group:
Group F: PSG Dortmund Milan Newcastle
This is a real group of death and here from the first round there will be a battle not for life but for death. The rest of the groups look like jokes compared to this one. Well, in principle, it's very good: in other groups you can watch when the first and second teams play each other (like Bayern vs United), but here all the games will be good.
It's a death group, okay, but this group is within reach. Dortmund is no longer the same as when it had Sancho and Haaland, and the last time Newcastle qualified for the Champions League was the 2003/04 season. The only team that can hurt PSG is AC Milan. And I think PSG and AC Milan will advance to the next round. You probably forgot to look at the composition of other groups? Name me at least one that would be at least a little close in terms of the average level (without pronounced favorites and underdogs)? You can even take last season if you want. I don't have time to dig deep right now, but I think this is the most interesting group in years. Groups of three interesting teams are obtained quite often (for example, Bayern - Inter - Barcelona last year), but here there are four of them at once. |
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I learned a funny thing just yesterday: it turns out that the Arab Champions Cup that Al-Nasr recently won is a friendly tournament (since FIFA does not recognize the existence of a football organization of Arab countries), so formally the title and goals scored in this tournament do not go to the "official" offset. It is clear that these are bureaucratic nuances that do not devalue this title in any way, but it was fun to watch the next wave of confrontation between haters and fanboys of Ronaldo on this topic.
I wondered why FIFA did not recognize this organization. Even though Cristiano Ronaldo is not considered an official match, he proved himself with the goals he scored. It continues to prove itself day by day. It's amazing to get such a performance from a 39-year-old actress. It still shows its quality. We are very lucky that he came to world football. Probably because this is really a "club of interests" (political) and it is unlikely that clubs that are suitable geographically (probably Israel) but not politically suitable can participate there. On the other hand, this is a serious competition of professional clubs. Why is it necessary to follow some delusional FIFA ideas in order for the competition to have official status? In my opinion, this is illogical. |
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It seems that the entire group stage exists only for the sake of us seeing one interesting group:
Group F: PSG Dortmund Milan Newcastle
This is a real group of death and here from the first round there will be a battle not for life but for death. The rest of the groups look like jokes compared to this one. Well, in principle, it's very good: in other groups you can watch when the first and second teams play each other (like Bayern vs United), but here all the games will be good.
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Слишком много проблем из за небольшого потребления, если о майнинге закон будет, то энергетики смогут с полицией домой прийти и у них будет на что ссылаться при проверке помещения. В деревнях это еще прокатит, если ты местный и со всеми знаешся, а в городе и контроллеры умнее и у них более современные приборы. У деревенского контролера я не видел инструментов.
И что контролеры прям так сразу постановление на обыск смогут раздобыть? Мне просто интересно кто их к себе в дом впустит до того как уберет все вызывающее вопрос оборудование. И вообще, вот например ко мне заходит контролер и видит что у меня на куче системников игра запущена. Я то знаю что это коммерческое потребление, но во-первых он откуда это знает (может я фанат-ебанат игр), а во-вторых как будет доказывать что я не фанат-ебанат, а злостный коммерсант (вор как видят это производители ЭЭ нынче)? Еще мысль в голову пришла: сидит реальный фанат-ебанат играет себе в свое удовольствие, ботоводит, чувствует себя королем в каком-нибудь виртуальном мире, тут фигакс! заваливают контролеры с полицией - оу, да вы вор! Вот вам квест на 5 лет с бесплатным питанием и возможностью на СВО поехать искупать преступление кровью |
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Easy, they're Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United.
Chelsea will not able to finish in the top four because Nkunku suffer long term injury and there are many players are currently injured too. I think it's already a big achievement if Chelsea can finish in 7th position because they're not that good.
West Ham, Newcastle, and Tottenham might look convincing, but they're not able to maintain their good performance for long term.
Not so easy as you think. For example, the probability that United will be in the top 4 is estimated by bookmakers as 2.20. Want to earn an easy 120% profit? Bet on them  Here are the quotes: Manchester City 1.02 Arsenal 1.44 Liverpool 1.53 Manchester United 2.20 Newcastle United 2.20 Chelsea 2.50 Tottenham Hotspur 3.75 Brighton And Hove Albion 5.00 As you can see, the odds of United, Newcastle and Chelsea are almost the same. In addition, even Tottenham and Brighton have their chances. If we do not take the race for the title, then we are in for an exciting fight. |
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For me the most "shocking" thing in this season its the performacne of Luton Town team, man they are playing really bad, they look like shit, they start the game and put their ass against the goal, how do you want to stay in Premier League playing in that way?
Everton seems like they are again in the same mood as the past season, not looking good. And Manchester United its another disaster, saved by the referee against wolves and for bad decissions take it by Nothingam Forest.
The Premier League is probably the strongest league in the world if you take the average level (or just discard the first 4 and last 4 teams), apparently Luton is not yet ready to compete at this level. Yes, it's too early to look at the league table, but I always look at the club and its "deviation from the average", where the average is the place that is "fair" for it. At the moment, West Ham are outdoing themselves. So are doing Tottenham (especially with the loss of Kane), although Tottenham's cup defeat yesterday brought them back a little to average, so I added their victory over Burnley to one of my multis.
West Ham avrage must be top 10 but below 6, this for me is Moyes effect. He can even chase Europa, but nothing more, you're right. Regarding Spurs, Madisson maybe replace Kane? Manchester United is the problem. I see them play sometimes it's terrible like Chelsea but they still get top5 how?? It never averages for that team. Even if Madisson replaces Kane, it's normal for Tottenham to be in 8th place  United are lucky so far, even before the season I was sure that this season would be less successful for them than the previous one (although many began to predict a fight with City for the title) and judging by the game United is showing, it will be so. |
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By the way, there is another huge disadvantage of going through the KYC in advance: if we are dealing with a dishonest casino, then they can make money by selling our data to third parties. Judging by the fact that there are a lot of similar goods on dark markets, many services earn money by this (I don’t believe that all of them were “hacked”).
Good point, but even legit casinos (or other businesses) can have customer data information "leaks" which I suspect, a lot of times, could be due to some rogue employees stealing and selling data on the dark market. This happens on all levels, including banks. Yes it's true. But we are talking about the KYC in the context of what it may be needed if we win big and then in order to withdraw the winnings the casino will ask us to pass the KYC to comply with the rules of the AML. Thus, the real need for the passage of the KYC arises when we have won big. Unfortunately, this rarely happens (and not with every gambler), so it’s not worth rushing through the KYC. |
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From the point of view of mathematics, if we know that the victory is 100% guaranteed, we must bet all our money plus borrow as much money as possible to earn as much as possible. The problem is that reality is different from mathematical reasoning and loss can happen even with a supposedly 100% chance of winning. Therefore, sober-minded people will limit their risk in any case and will not play with borrowed money.
The reality will often be different than what was said before, where a 100% guaranteed win will be difficult to get. It's still profitable if we can still win, say 40%, but it's not worth doing if we lose it all. For this reason, we have to think rationally that getting a 100% guaranteed win is difficult, so we better keep placing as big bets as we can afford. By doing that, even if we lose, that amount won't make us regret it and be sad because it's the amount we can really afford. The profitability of a bet depends not only on the probability of guessing the outcome, but also on what the win multiplier is. For example, if we guess with a probability of only 1%, but the multiplier is x500, then we are in a huge plus. But some people are tempted to hear offers of 100% guaranteed winning because they rarely get offers like that, so they will try to bet all in, plus borrow as much money from other people as possible. They really hope they can get a big win this time because they bet with big money. They don't predict what will happen if the bet is lost, and they lose all their money, including the borrowed money. Oh boy, they would be in very big trouble.
I think anyone who interacts with people (leads a socially active life) very often encounters such proposals. Fraudsters, advertisers, etc. always promise a lot. It seems to me that any adult should get used to weeding out such proposals immediately. |
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You say that like it's a bad thing to break the law You are too subjective in this matter. If you live in a civilized country that respects human rights, then this does not mean that everyone lives in such countries. Probably in most countries of the world people suffer from the oppression of groups that have seized power, so breaking the law is not something bad, but just a way to exercise their rights. Law is given by people with authority and in this industry those are gambling site owners or providers. If it is law in general then we would mostly be guilty given that gambling as an activity is prohibited to many countries so what makes us better than others? Also, those who are using Vpn are the ones at risk of being taken advantage of simply because of irregularities with network and overall accessibility to the site. Maybe our own opinion? If we want to fully trust the states, then why do we need decentralization and bitcoin? I myself determine what is normal for me, and if there is some kind of moronic law, then for me it does not represent something sacred - its violation is only the price for access to what I need. If I am willing to pay this price, then I take the risk, if not, then no. |
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Небольшой отчетец за август.
Для меня это насыщенный месяц (много дат + лето-отдых) поэтому Игру №2 даже не открывал, особо не активничал.
Но тем не менее в работу введен новый системник xeon e5 2680 v4, 32 Gb оперативки, 512 ssd, rx 570 8 Gb + монитор к нему (запускаем новый куст, да) в затраты все внесено.
Вывел 70к, на руках 50к в венчуре (держать буду минимум до апреля, не знаю на какой точке хочу выйти), 80к в пыли (выходить по чуть-чуть начну когда курс превратит эту сумму в >100к), в вечном шмоте 50к, в оперативном обороте хз сколько >50к точно.
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It turns out that there is no dilemma. After all, if we play in a dishonest casino, then we won’t get our winnings even with KYC, even without KYC. But if we play in an honest casino, then we will receive our winnings after we pass the KYC. It turns out that if you look at it this way, then there is simply no point in going through the KYC in advance (including because the chances of a big win are low).
Dishonest casinos then in any game by the user will be cheated they only intend to highlight the customer's money so why KYC first if we already know even the casino is dishonest? I understand this statement, even if you win but play an unfair casino then the winnings will be withheld for various reasons as the user cannot do much even though he has passed the KYC. Yes we already know a fair casino here, so no need to worry even if we don't KYC the winnings will still be ours. By the way, there is another huge disadvantage of going through the KYC in advance: if we are dealing with a dishonest casino, then they can make money by selling our data to third parties. Judging by the fact that there are a lot of similar goods on dark markets, many services earn money by this (I don’t believe that all of them were “hacked”). |
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Maybe I will say irrational things, but this is how I see the situation: West Ham after 4 rounds 10 points and second place (along with Arsenal, etc.)? I do not believe. Tottenham is similar, although the bet on them seems to me more reliable (even despite the fact that their odds are higher). The rest of the picks look in line with their odds, and PSG even looks profitable.
I get you, the table makes zero sense if you look at it this early, except for City and Luton Town, even Everton being in their bad spot makes no sense to me but I see the odds as good returns when you make calculations of expected point return. That to me is the beauty of draws (easy vs hard). PSG have Mbappe back, it will get lower and lower odds from now on. Yes, it's too early to look at the league table, but I always look at the club and its "deviation from the average", where the average is the place that is "fair" for it. At the moment, West Ham are outdoing themselves. So are doing Tottenham (especially with the loss of Kane), although Tottenham's cup defeat yesterday brought them back a little to average, so I added their victory over Burnley to one of my multis. |
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Interesting events tonight in the English premier league carabao cup. Follow me!
Fulham 1-1 Tottenham - Fulham has knocked out Tottenham Hotspur from the carabao cup on penalties
Plymouth 2-4 Crystal Palace - Palace thrash plymouth away from home to qualify for the next round.
Swansea 2-3 Bournemouth - Bournemouth also qualify to the next round after winning away from home.
Newport 1-1 Brentford - brentford also qualified for the next round on penalties
My take; why do you think the premier league sides struggled so much against league one and championship clubsideS?
The usual picture for the Cup of any national championship. This is the third (at best) priority for clubs from the Premier League, therefore, in games with obvious outsiders, it is mainly the squad of the rotation that plays. But the closer the final stages are, the fiercer the fight becomes and in fact the best clubs always take the title - if you look at history, there are almost all the winners from the Premier League, and the first three in terms of the number of trophies are Liverpool - City - United. |
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I learned a funny thing just yesterday: it turns out that the Arab Champions Cup that Al-Nasr recently won is a friendly tournament (since FIFA does not recognize the existence of a football organization of Arab countries), so formally the title and goals scored in this tournament do not go to the "official" offset. It is clear that these are bureaucratic nuances that do not devalue this title in any way, but it was fun to watch the next wave of confrontation between haters and fanboys of Ronaldo on this topic.
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Close results are not always evidence of equal strength of the teams. For example, PSV made no sense to strain against the Rangers, given the fact that they had a return game at home where they could comfortably resolve the issue. It's like City vs Leipzig - 0-0 away and 7-0 at home. Here the balance of power is different, but I think that the situation is similar. And by the way, I think that betting on PSV with odds of 1.52 is a good choice.
Indeed. Champions League results are more tricky than domestic leagues, sometimes they are just random. Three games were played tonight and as expected Galatasaray, Young Boys and Braga all qualified. We will see if the rest will qualify or not by tomorrow. Especially if it's a group stage where the separate game isn't that important and some big clubs (seeded in Pot 1 and Pot 2) are fielding some players in the rotation. Remembering last season, I think that in the first two games of the group stage it makes sense to make a lot of small bets on outsiders - on average this can be profitable. |
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@Sithara007 if there was ever a real fight Elon would have no advantage at all because he’s not trained as Mark is and while there’re some past records of his training I sincerely doubt that he could take on Mark. Furthermore I believe that this was a coordinated story to drive up their user engagement and they both have succeeded in that attempt however since there’s no fight maybe it’s time to close this topic till new news about the fight come out?
I wonder what user involvement has increased after this story? In an updated twitter or instagram? Elon definitely has no problems with the attention of the public and he has a bunch of other ways to once again raise some kind of noise. I think that he was trolling Zuckerberg (maybe not entirely successful), but in my opinion the trolling was successful in a certain sense and Zuckerberg behaved more like a caveman than like a solid businessman. At least Elon lives up to his image in this story, but Zuckerberg does not. |
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I think you cut the better part of the statement, It would probably be a better fight if Usyk and AJ fought me both together, like a tag-team. Just keep switching between rounds. I’d actually batter them both on the same night, that’s how easy they are.” So not sure if we would to take that statement seriously though, I mean it's obvious that he just wanted some media attention because everything is on Usyk right now as he won over Dubois. And as you have said, it's just pure boast on his side, nothing else. I didn't cut anything. You yourself admit that this is boasting, and I directly wrote about it too: The cowardly Fury is so stupid that in the stream of his boasting he told the pure truth:
The funniest thing is that either he's not very smart, or his PR manager, so in a stream of bragging (which is probably nothing bad for a media person), he let it slip and told the truth. Everyone understands this, here is Ruiz’s recent opinion: “Is Fury ducking Usyk? I think so. Everybody right now wants the easy fights.” https://boxing-social.com/news/former-champ-fury-ducking-usyk/ |
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