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2081  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 23, 2023, 01:24:18 PM
Tonight is the night for Tottenham,if they win this which they should and they should focus 100% on this game because after so many years now they have the chance to lead the Premier League in the standings and taking the first spot there.I don't think that Fulham would put a very strong fight against them although I think they should not at all under estimate this team and as I said fight for the victory which will make them the leaders of the Premier League.

I believe many people will bet on them tonight but I am not worried,I will bet myself as the odd is satisfactory near 1.50 while they are playing at home in front of their home stadium.

Quite good odds for a team that has not a single defeat and 6 wins in 8 games. If it were City the odds would be about 1.30. I am also tempted to bet on Tottenham, but I will refrain, it seems too incredible to me that after 9 rounds Tottenham will be in first place. But I won’t bet on Fulham either, not even a double chance, because Tottenham are rightfully the favorites, their game is really good and the result is not a coincidence or a series of “lucks”. I will watch the game as an outside observer.
2082  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 23, 2023, 12:35:55 PM
Some groups are easier than the others, while there are teams better than leaders of other groups end up being second or even third because they end up in a harder group. Like for example in group D, Turkey is great, Croatia is great and Wales is great, only two of the three will go out, whereas group H for example, Slovenia seems like the best one? That doesn't make sense, any of the three in the group D would lead that group easily if they draw the groups better.

This is why I keep saying that we need to have like some big league, like one league that everyone plays each other just once, I know that would be a lot of games but that would make it fair and everyone would show their true talents and nobody would be going up with just pure group draw luck.

I think Turkey's good performance after long-term failures is a surprise for everyone (not the same as in the case of Albania, but still) so I would say that all groups are +- equal.
As for a round-robin tournament for all teams, how do you imagine this? 53 teams play a round-robin tournament, let’s say even just one round (although this is unfair since playing at home and away are different things). In total, each team must play 52 games  Grin
In order for this to happen in an adequate time frame, other tournaments must be shortened (and significantly), for example, national championships must also be held in one round.
2083  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 23, 2023, 12:29:41 PM
I think it is too early to judge only 3 teams joining the race of the champion. It is still matchday 9, we are very far from the end of the competition. At least, we should be in the second half of the season to know which teams to be the strong candidates for the champion. So, I think al the current top 5 still have the same chance to be the champion.
~

9 games are quite a serious segment of the championship to evaluate the strengths of the teams. From a mathematical point of view, with a total of 38 games, it is more likely that the lead of the top three will grow rather than fall. In addition, if we now consider the chances of any team that is outside the top 3, we must consider the likelihood that it will be stronger (not just equal, but stronger) than each team from the top 3, since the first three already have an advantage. What is the likelihood of this? In my opinion no more than 10%. Tomorrow we will check the quotes and I think that my estimate will be very close to this figure.
2084  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: SINBAD.IO Mixer October Bitcoin Price Prediction Challenge on: October 23, 2023, 12:20:39 PM
Prediction 1: $30,107
bech32 address: bc1q0cahcke77x2pvcy59p5kuppyjryz5y8a23qe20
2085  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 23, 2023, 12:18:52 PM
Now Lionel Messi has denied the rumors circulating involving him with Barcelona. As we know, there are rumors that Barcelona wants Lionel Messi to return to the Blaugrana on loan from Inter Miami. But Lionel Messi feels he is having a good season with Inter Miami and he is very happy to be there. Lionel Messi also added that he wants to continue having a competitive season next season and wants to experience other extraordinary moments with Inter Miami.

I think with a statement like that it's quite clear that he won't be going anywhere even until February next year and he will stay at Inter Miami. I think Barcelona should give up and let Lionel Messi be happy with his new family at Inter Miami. Besides, what are they still looking for, will Barcelona, by being able to get a loan from Lionel Messi, be able to make money again and is that really their initial goal? What do you think?

Source: https://twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1716151482054001011

I don't think anyone in Barcelona was seriously thinking about bringing Messi back. It’s one thing to do PR to get the support of nostalgic fans and just create information noise, and another thing to do this unrealistic thing.
And I can make a prediction: such rumors will appear for several more years (maybe even after Messi retires), this is the same as the story with Elvis Presley - some fanboys still think that he is alive and is about to be found (although even just biologically he should be dead).
2086  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: October 23, 2023, 12:12:02 PM
I know this is Mens Champions League but does anyone watch Womens Champions League also going now, I heard some rumors that they will soon be sharing timeslots in the future with the new format.

Competitively none are worth watching on betting on, or does anyone actually watch and can say if there are good tips here?

From your message I found out that the Women's Champions League exists  Grin As for bets, it would be interesting to see the quotes offered by bookmakers. If they are similar to men’s competitions (including the bookmaker’s margin is no higher than in men’s competitions), then I would bet on outsiders since, in my opinion, the randomness in women’s competitions is higher.
2087  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024 on: October 23, 2023, 12:00:23 PM
the 8th matchday is over now with a spectacular 5-2 away win of augbsurg in heidenheim and with 19 points each we have two matchday winners with KTChampions (who is also the new table leader) and efialtis (aka BTCGOSU), who can now look forward to a free bet on sportsbet.io
congratulations from me - i have forwarded your nicknames immediately Smiley
general overwiev will follow...

Thank you! I have already received a free bet and I hope to implement it in the Champions League games (although I have not yet seen whether there will be convenient games there).
I'm very glad that I finally got the yellow cap - in the previous round I didn't get it because of just one point, but this time luck was on my side. I also congratulate BTCGOSU.
2088  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 22, 2023, 05:40:52 PM
I think to successfully fight the big four in Serie A you need to lead one of these clubs. Mourinho has already jumped over his head by winning the Conference League and reaching the Europa League final with Roma, but fundamentally the strength of the team does not change and it is difficult to count on such achievements in every season. Mourinho is clearly not the one who will sit in one club if he does not have the resources to progress. He is now 60 years old (many years ahead) and I hope that after working in Saudi Arabia (if it happens) he will return to Europe to lead one of the top clubs.
Yes, one of the problems Mourinho faces is that the composition he has is not that perfect, so it will make it difficult for him to be in a very tight competition. And I think when AS Roma change coaches it will not make significant progress, if the composition of the plyers they have cannot be changed. Maybe it's true that there are some clubs that have a squad that is not fancy they can compete and play very well, but it doesn't last long and in the following season they return to the game as usual. And if we see a club that can maintain its performance is a club that has a strong squad.

Yes, there is always an expected result that is assessed relative to the investment; in my opinion, Mourinho’s result is very high. It’s hard for me to name a coach who would have achieved more with Roma. But now both Mourinho and the club are stuck in the fact that a certain result has already been achieved and it is difficult to progress further (without significant investment), so it is likely that both sides will want to go their separate ways. But as I already wrote, the option that cooperation will continue also exists.
2089  Local / Разное / Re: Форум недоступен из России on: October 22, 2023, 05:33:21 PM
. Блокировка VPN видимо находится под особым контролем, т.к. эта инициатива реально выполняется.

Просто видимо у РФ нет никаких успехов на поле боя, вот они и взялись плотно за цензуру. Хорошо же с одной стороны. А с другой это значит что все темы, (даже те что представлены на бтт) крепко переплетены друг с другом

В экономике тоже жопа + переназначение пыни в марте 2024 с вероятной второй волной мобилизации к которой уже подготовились весьма основательно. В таких условиях я не удивлюсь не то что блокировкам ВПН а тому что введут белые списки, а все что за их предел будет выходить будет в бане. Как к такому подготовиться (если не брать вариант смены страны проживания) я не знаю.
2090  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 22, 2023, 05:25:05 PM
I don't understand what's happening to Napoli this season, they're playing inconsistently, they're not like last season which was consistent in their wins and kept them in first place in the table for a long time.
Today's win against Verona is a good thing for Napoli and keeps the position from getting worse, for the game shown by Napoli is still fairly good to this day but when compared to other teams that were below it last season it seems that Napoli has not progressed from its performance, instead I think they tend to decline from the beginning of this season.
~

Last season and this one are very different because last season there was a long break due to the “sudden” World Cup and because of this there is a possibility that the coaches planned the team’s peak shape at different times. Spalletti tried to get the most out of it right from the start, since then there was an inevitable decline due to the World Cup, perhaps the current coach has a different strategy.
Plus, I am sure that the scandal with Osimhen greatly affected his performance, and he was the main striking force of Napoli.
2091  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 22, 2023, 04:51:37 PM
Chelsea are slowly coming back to their senses. After the transfers made in the first six weeks and the change of manager, a good performance was expected from Chelsea, but after the seventh week Chelsea started to come back to their senses and started to make their fans happy. In yesterday's match against Arsenal, it was a pity that they ended the match with a draw despite leading 2-0. Although Chelsea increased their initial pressure and went 1-0 up, they managed to increase the difference to 2 in the second half in just 3 minutes. After scoring the goal, the home team slowly lost control and saw two goals in the goal after this minute and drew with in-form Arsenal, at least showing a resilient game, we can say that Chelsea is slowly starting to show everyone that it is recovering.

Yes indeed, I was quite surprised when Chelsea managed to lead with a score of 2-0 and I think, such a score will be difficult for Arsenal to equalize the score. But yes, in the end Arsenal could still make two equalizers score and managed to get 1 point in this match. But indeed, with results like this then at least Chelsea managed to show its improvement in this match. So it is very possible, for the next matches will make Chelsea able to consistently get points in each match, and it is still possible to happen and I am quite sure.

Chelsea has a rather interesting calendar of games. There is a home game with Brentford ahead and then games with Tottenham, City, Newcastle, Brighton and United  Grin
This is not to say that Brighton or United are super invulnerable opponents, but overall this series of games looks like a deadly one. Chelsea must beat Brentford because then the next victory may have to wait a long time.
2092  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: October 22, 2023, 12:27:51 PM
С импортозамещением еще вот какая проблемка есть: в условиях открытого рынка "импотозамещенный" товар не существует. Т.е. никто не купит процессор байкал если можно купить интел, так как у интела и цена и технические характеристики лучше. Поэтому либо продолжаем жить "в осаде" по заветам чучхе, либо открываем рынок и вся местное говно дохнет. До того чтобы не доводить ситуацию когда кроме говна ничего не производится конечно же местные царьки-папуасы додуматься не могут (да и не надо оно им).

Думать о каком-либо импортозамещении нужно было еще 20-30 лет назад, а не тогда, когда приспичило. Например, у того же байкала совсем скудный ассортимент процессоров на данный момент и они не способны конкурировать с интел и амд. Их процессоры Baikal-T и Baikal-M - это все, что они теоретически могли бы предложить массовому потребителю(народу) на данный момент. Поискав чуть-чуть в интернете, обнаружил, что есть даже какие-то ноунейм ноутбуки на базе этих процессоров: Таволга Компакт NBT115 на Baikal-T и BITBLAZE Titan BM15 на Baikal-M. Только есть нюанс, Baikal-T - это какой-то огрызок, сравнимый с Pentium и Athlon, а Baikal-M по производительности уступает intel i3 7 поколения с пониженным энергопотреблением, т.е. процессору 17 года выпуска. Кстати, цена на такие ноутбуки совсем не "народная", тот же bitblaze с Baikal-M стоит вроде бы в районе 110-120k рублей и выше. Grin

Я стесняюсь спросить, вам сколько лет? 30 лет назад это 1993 год. Всё что тогда рфия могла заместить это было говно на дерьмо.
И вообще я не понимаю зачем нормальной стране (я понимаю иронию рассуждений о рфии как о нормальной стране) думать об окукливании сейчас/20-30 лет назад/в любой другой момент времени? Часть никогда не будет лучше/сильнее/эффективнее целого. И непонятно почему вы смеётесь над высокой ценой местных поделок - она не может быть иной. В окуклившихся странах "замещенка" всегда будет хуже и дороже. Т.е в условиях открытого рынка замещенка просто не существует. Так зачем вы хотите в чучхе, да ещё и начиная с 20-30 лет назад?
2093  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 22, 2023, 12:18:56 PM
Real Madrid's match yesterday initially impressed me seeing the playing style of Vincius Jr and Bellingham and Rodrygo who were very enthusiastic about getting a win to beat Sevilla but all of that was just my hope and in fact Real Madrid had difficulty scoring more than 1 in that match when there were Sergio Ramos, who was in Sevilla's defense, became stronger and from the start I bet, I was actually a little doubtful because every match in LaLiga, Real Madrid only always 1 or 2 scores, even though they won, the score difference was very small and I lost the bet for Real Madrid.
With this incident I think is very important for Real madrid to get a reliable striker to help strengthen the attack line even though there are Vinicius and Bellingham but the strength of the attack line still very small for me.

The team statistics for this game are as follows:

Shots - 17:14
Shots on target - 7:5
Corners - 4:6

With almost equal ball possession. Obviously, in order to win such equal games you need to have someone who makes the difference and whose percentage of scoring chances is higher than average. If you have such a player, you can win games even those where your opponent has an advantage. Unfortunately, there is no such striker in Real Madrid now. There is Bellingham, but he is a midfielder and a top striker is still needed.
2094  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024 on: October 22, 2023, 12:10:03 PM
~snip
Last season I was also a newbie and things were going well for me, this year everything is much worse  Cheesy

yeah, experience does not make you smarter in this game, it is mostly based on luck (at least in beginning, if you are doing well after 3/4 season, than you can include tactics to stay up in the table)
~

Yes, luck (failure) is sometimes such that you simply can’t believe that this can happen. Last season, Serie A pole was the most unfortunate for me, but I literally fell behind the leaders only because I almost never guessed the exact score. Although in other pools this figure was normal.
As for the result of the Sevilla - Real game, I am surprised not only by the result itself, but also by the fact that statistically this is a fair outcome, since Sevilla was even a little better.
2095  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: October 22, 2023, 11:59:25 AM
What actions do you expect from Al-Hilal? What should they think about? I think in deals of this size/level, all options (including serious injury) should be covered.
Al hilal deserves compensation. Neymar injured during FIFA calender. So, fifa has to taken care of responsibility to pay his salary according to the rules. The injury of neymar has already covered but this is not what al hilal wanted from him.
The club was willing him to play and that's it. Having neymar play the game will also increase the engagement to the his fans as well. This is why losing him due to the injury is a big lose not only for al hilal but SPL too.
Neymar being recruited to increase the popularity of club and league.

The text of the contract is not available to us, so we can only guess what will happen next. Previously, such injuries (especially at that age) automatically meant the end of a career, now medicine has advanced far, but knowing Neymar, I’m not at all sure that we will see him on the field again (at least in adequate shape).
It's according to the rules of FIFA. The compensation was not that big but that's still worthy enough. The problem was not about neymar's career but al hilal feels like being scammed. The club paid a lot and it doesn't get worthy return

As far as I know, compensation from FIFA is more of a formality than a really significant amount.
As for Al-Hilal, on the one hand, they have reason to consider themselves deceived, but on the other hand, this is the well-known (in a bad sense) Neymar, the risks were known and understood in advance. It seems to me that many wrote here that this is a strange transfer, and given Neymar’s salary, it is unprofitable. But Al-Hilal decided to take risks and they were unfortunate in that these risks were realized.
2096  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 22, 2023, 11:49:07 AM
Chelsea - Arsenal game could have ended worse for Arsenal honestly. Because I wasn't really expecting Arsenal to play this poorly. After Chelsea got 2-0 ahead and kept the advantage for a long time I didn't have much hope about Arsenal to get even one point. Thanks to Robert Sanchez's errors Arsenal managed to get at least one point here.

However this result was surely not the kind of one they hoped to get. Arsenal should have been able to win this game considering their performance so far in the season. The season is still going on good for them in general. But if they want to be a title contender they should give their everything into each league game.

The Premier League is very competitive and an ordinary team like Arsenal cannot dominate like City, so losing points is inevitable. If you don’t think about City (more precisely, that they can go on a streak of 10 or more wins in a row), then Arsenal have excellent results: 66% wins, 33% draws, 0% losses. On average this is champion level, the question is how dominant City will be this year, now they have a series of difficult games and there is hope that they will also drop points.
2097  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 22, 2023, 11:11:17 AM
I think to successfully fight the big four in Serie A you need to lead one of these clubs. Mourinho has already jumped over his head by winning the Conference League and reaching the Europa League final with Roma, but fundamentally the strength of the team does not change and it is difficult to count on such achievements in every season. Mourinho is clearly not the one who will sit in one club if he does not have the resources to progress. He is now 60 years old (many years ahead) and I hope that after working in Saudi Arabia (if it happens) he will return to Europe to lead one of the top clubs.
Mourinho will leave Roma at the end of this season according to his contract. He has given a signal that he will leave after his contract ends with Roma. Mourinho will continue to focus on everything that is best for Roma this season where he will bring Lukaku et al to compete strongly in Serie A and in the European leagues. I see that several issues that are widely associated with Mourinho's departure at the end of this season are none other than because Roma did not make big improvements to improve their weaknesses by recruiting top players in the transfer window. so Mourinho will find it very difficult to bring Roma to compete strongly in Serie A.

Well, several big teams might be interested in signing him after his contract with Roma ends. One of the most interesting is Al Hilal, where the Saudi Arabian league team is interested in recruiting Mounrinho for be their coach, especially as news has spread that Al Hilal will provide a fairly large salary which Mourinho probably won't refuse.

I don't think Mourinho's departure is a foregone conclusion. At the moment, Roma, despite a terrible start, is only 2 points from 6th place, which gives a ticket to the Europa League, there is still a lot of time until the end of the season and they can rise even higher, roughly speaking, nothing has been decided this season yet. I think the previous two seasons were obviously successful. If this season is at least average, then the club will be interested in extending the cooperation (or they want him to win the Champions League for them lol). The question is what Mourinho wants.
2098  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 22, 2023, 11:00:16 AM
Quite a routine victory for PSG (I think we can already state this since the score is 3-0 in favor of PSG), it seems to me that even if Strasbourg were lucky and Motiba could score a goal without being offside, the result would be similar. Luis Enrique made 5 substitutions trying different combinations of players. By the way, Mbappe today is not as effective as usual, the penalty goal is good, but he missed several 100% chances.

Maybe I'm quite regretful because I'm not sure about PSG, even though PSG is very favored if we consider the odds that existed before. But for some reason, I felt that maybe it was a trap so I doubted PSG in this match. But the truth is, PSG managed to win big with the final score being 3-0 and yes, if I realized the final result would be like this then maybe I would still go ahead to bet on PSG with the asian handicap option of course. Also, with the three points that PSG got in this match, it make PSG at the top of the Ligue 1 standings for now, even though it is only temporary, but it will certainly boost the team's morale for the better.

Avoiding bets on PSG is quite reasonable, you have nothing to regret. Even after this victory, PSG have 5 wins out of 9 games, it turns out that before this game the winning percentage was only 50%. In such a situation (even expecting a return to normal), betting with odds of 1.24 is unprofitable. Imagine a situation where you add this outcome to a multi-bet and end up losing it all due to the fact that PSG did not exert much effort.
2099  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 21, 2023, 08:46:33 PM
In Tonali's case, Newcastle can't use this palyer in the next games in the Premier League and this can definitely damage Newcastle because Tonali could help them in the games in the Premier League and the Champion League but the fact about Tonali and Newcastle is they don't say Tonali any salaries during the time when he is suspended and that's how Newcastle can even save some money in this game about their player Sandro Tonali.




Fagioli received a suspension of only 7 months, while Tonali is expected to be suspended for no more than 12 months. I would say that these are very light punishments. And I’m not at all surprised why they are like that - the investigation is being conducted against 40 players, and it is assumed that hundreds (!!!) of players are involved in this. If everything is revealed (for example, there are very good reasons to believe that Milan was aware of Tonali’s problems, but instead of solving them they simply sold him to Newcastle), then football will be dealt a crushing blow. In general, we should expect the same thing as always: officials will try to quell the scandal and hide as many facts as possible.
2100  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 21, 2023, 08:37:57 PM
With Roma, Mourinho reached his maximum and maybe he should have left after his second season. Constantly getting good results with an average team is unrealistic (especially when the competitors are so strong). I don’t see anything wrong with him working in Saudi Arabia, I think when a good option appears in Europe, he will be able to return from there. In the end, Ancelotti was able to return to the top after his failure with Everton, so why can't Mourinho repeat this path (besides, it is too early to talk about his failure).
He hasn't failed, but he's struggled to bring AS Roma up to speed in Serie A especially. Yes indeed now the Serie A club can be said to be good, the big club clubs that the last few years like sinking, now they are starting to rise again and the impact is that the competition there is tighter, it will be difficult for clubs that do not have good strength.
I'm not saying AS Roma don't have good strength, but indeed when compared to some other big clubs maybe they can be said to be still below them with a comparison that is not too far away.

I think to successfully fight the big four in Serie A you need to lead one of these clubs. Mourinho has already jumped over his head by winning the Conference League and reaching the Europa League final with Roma, but fundamentally the strength of the team does not change and it is difficult to count on such achievements in every season. Mourinho is clearly not the one who will sit in one club if he does not have the resources to progress. He is now 60 years old (many years ahead) and I hope that after working in Saudi Arabia (if it happens) he will return to Europe to lead one of the top clubs.
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