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2181  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 15, 2023, 03:17:10 PM
Without Kevin de Bruyne in the team, Haaland's performance on the pitch suffers. He makes a difference with his high performance and contributes to his teammates on the pitch. He is a very valuable player for Manchester City. Undoubtedly, his absence is felt a lot in the team. However, Manchester City and Pep Guardiola should have planned this. They should have brought in a good substitute who could be an alternative to Kevin de Bruyne. However, it seems that Manchester City and Pep Guardiola have not made any preparations in this regard. I think they should have calculated this before.

KDB is a top player, but I would not say that Haaland is in decline and that Haaland is dependent on KDB. There is no KDB in the Norwegian national team, but as you can see, Haaland is doing great there. As for the prospects, just yesterday I came across information that Guardiola personally (the damn rat who wants to buy all the top players) persuaded Bellingham to move to City within a few hours, but he chose Real. Guardiola knows his business, he is looking for new tops even before the old ones “ended” or fell into a period of decline.
2182  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How often is your luck in gambling? on: October 15, 2023, 03:08:36 PM
I had success in gambling, I won several thousand dollars at a time and for my country this is significant money. But I doubt that I will ever win really significant money that can change my life. It’s just that when the prize reaches a serious value, I make a withdrawal. To win much more you need to continue to take risks, but this does not suit me since I am responsible. Considering the fact that I don’t play the lottery or other games where there is a huge jackpot, I have no chance of getting it.
If thousands of dollars is a significant amount of money in your country, isn't this supposed to be a life changing amount already? i am just curious seeing that you said that you've won thousands of dollars, and still go ahead to say that you don't think you will ever win a life changing amount of money from gambling because you are a responsible gambler.

If you don't mind, then permit me to tell you that you don't have to win a million dollars in gambling before you know that you have won a life changing amount of money, for as little as $2000 dollars is enough to change a person's life, for example, with this money, one can go into a business that could turn out to become a multi hundreds of thousands of dollars, or even millions of dollars' worth business.

I myself here have never won an amount above $100 from gambling, this i believe can tell you how unlucky some people are with gambling.
 
In my country, the average salary is 400 dollars, so the amount of 2000 thousand dollars is serious, I cannot say that it is nothing. But this amount is not life-changing either. Because life is expensive and this bonus will disappear very quickly in daily spending. I have several jobs, so I didn’t spend these winnings and continue to save them (in Bitcoin), but I can’t open an offline business with either 2 or 10 thousand dollars (and frankly, in my country it’s pointless).
2183  Local / Новички / Re: Как я пришел в криптобизнес, и продолжаю зk on: October 15, 2023, 03:02:56 PM

Может Apytioh там что-то дельное пишет в тг? А то его позитивные прогнозы у него идентичны относительно всех проектов в которые он вошел, а конкретики нет. Я вот в Чиа вижу негативную конкретику, а позитивную нет, может она таки есть?

И еще вопрос: почему все с ипо носятся/носились как с писанной торбой? Как это на цену монеты должно повлиять?  Huh Я не вижу связи.

Тем временем скамина оттолкнулась от 20 бачей и достигла 24, очередной памп который будет теперь медленно сдуваться (как и все прочие).
2184  Local / Разное / Re: Форум недоступен из России on: October 15, 2023, 02:44:56 PM
Если они сумеют решить техническую сторону вопроса, то дело будет не в платности или бесплатности, дело будет в используемых технологических решениях. Тогда просто все работающие на определённых принципах VPN перестанут работать. Потенциально можно будет искать индивидуальные решения, и, думаю, для одного форума с не очень большим трафиком их как-то можно будет попытаться организовать, но это, скорее всего, потребует уже каких-то навыков в области айти, хотя бы даже элементарных, так что будет доступно очень немного кому.

Будем надеяться, что те, кто говорят, что VPN уже умеют в достаточной степени маскироваться под естественный трафик, правы, и не получится отключить все VPN вообще... это всё-таки более оптимистический сценарий. Иначе от российских пользователей локала останутся только те, кто уже успел воспользоваться уехать и, может, ещё пара-тройка самых прошаренных... Undecided

Самое жесткое что могут ввести (после полного обрубания внешних каналов) это белый трафик - типа если трафик не весь естественный а хотя бы с вопросиками какими-то то просто бан абонента. Не думаю что тут какие-то маскировки помогут.

Кстати, сегодня опять появились проблемчики с ПротонВПН (мобильным) - отвалились некоторые "секретные" сервера которые я в этой теме перечислял. Надеюсь временно (хотя на чем такая надежда может основываться хз). А ведь я использую их фельдеперсовый stealth протокол.
2185  Local / Майнеры / Re: NERDMINER: Bitcoin мини майнер on: October 15, 2023, 02:38:54 PM
Вот эта тема интересная. Одно время новости как из ведра сыпались про соломайнеров которые умудрились блок поймать, что лично у меня вызывало определенные подозрения.
В качестве лотерейки вполне пойдет себе устройство, почему нет, приятно греть себя мыслью что однажды из ничего возможен куш  Cool
2186  Local / Майнеры / Re: В РФ создана Ассоциация промышленного маl on: October 15, 2023, 02:35:47 PM
Ага, ничему safar1980 житие в рфии не учит (хотя по его постам я уже давненько сильно сомневаюсь что он тут живет). Вспоминая про любую местную ассоциацию почему-то на ум приходит только негатив, как с пошлинами на закупки зарубежом, пошлинами "на флешки" и т.д. Здесь будет тоже самое, очередная хрень которая в свою пользу будет собирать какой-нибудь налог и давить всех конкурентов.
А как я тогда копаю Grin
Я по асикам с моим потреблением не смогу навредить ассоциациям. И с электриками тоже можно договорится или другие локации найти, но копать на хардах и видеокартах нечего.
Нам с mak013 ассоциации не повредят, но они хоть уголовную ответственность уменьшат в законе.

Ну копирастам же как-то мешает торговля флешками и прочими устройствами для копирования информации, так что и вы навредите. Суть не в том "как", а в том что "виноваты вы уж тем, что хочется мне кушать"  Grin
Про уголовную ответственность не понял. Наоборот же увеличат? Кроме "воровства" ЭЭ еще пришьют объедание ассоциации. Или вы планируете резко легализоваться, войти в ассоциацию, взносы + долю + налоги платить?  Roll Eyes Ой не верю.
2187  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +91147 units on: October 15, 2023, 02:28:53 PM
Pleased to see gamblers like Trofo and KTChampions were in line with Spain losing -- and it was one VAR decision away from reality, wasn't it? Too bad Denmark showed up last night.

Many one-sided affairs tonight and usually, my money's with Turkey but after an upset of their own this week against Croatia, could they slip up against Latvia, who, despite playing with 10 men the home leg, almost snatched a draw?

100 units at Sportsbet on Latvia to WIN vs Turkey @24.10. Other odds: 22.0
Units advantage: 210

Running advantage after 19 bets: +1997 (+210)
All-time cumulative: +91,947
Running units after 18 bets (2W|16L): -16 (-200)

Yes, it was a turning point in the game, the outcome of which was decided by VAR. In any case, even from the result that was obtained it is clear that Scotland was underestimated and the odds of 1 to 15 were of great value.
Probably the VAR squad also reads this thread and they were jealous that you could have +1500 after just 18 games  Grin
2188  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A weird belief among some gamblers. on: October 14, 2023, 04:30:03 PM
It may not be a superstition but a requirement for that person.  If they received a tip or some involvement with the players in a match what events will take place, any inside info as to who is sick or missing from that game then he has no choice.   Its quite sensible to protect your sources if you should have any.  
  I'm not arguing with anyone who could say this to me, they cant explain themselves and I dont want the trouble for them or myself.
Yes, it really happens and with that case, we should be responsible not to disclose that bet since it can also put the source at risk, especially if the one you have shared your bet has this attitude to blame others for their losses. Also, I don’t think we owe other people to share our bets to them, we all have our own analysis on the game, and what might work for us might not be working for them, so I think privacy should still be given emphasis, rather than completely sharing what we believe is a winning bet.

I think everything here is much more elementary and has a simpler explanation. Superstitions, signs and rituals arising from them are an atavism of our rational thinking. When we see lightning, we know (based on experience) that in a few seconds we will hear thunder. Such observed patterns are sometimes true, sometimes not (an event following another event may simply be a coincidence), but our brain is always looking for some kind of pattern. I think those gamblers who adhere to certain rituals and signs came to them after a certain experience and their behavior is based on it and not on the desire to keep the source of insider information secret. From the outside, this behavior seems crazy, but for their subjective experience these rituals matter (they give results lol, at least it seems to them that they give results).
2189  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How often is your luck in gambling? on: October 14, 2023, 02:36:09 PM
I had success in gambling, I won several thousand dollars at a time and for my country this is significant money. But I doubt that I will ever win really significant money that can change my life. It’s just that when the prize reaches a serious value, I make a withdrawal. To win much more you need to continue to take risks, but this does not suit me since I am responsible. Considering the fact that I don’t play the lottery or other games where there is a huge jackpot, I have no chance of getting it.
2190  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do you not gamble on women sports? (tennis not included) on: October 14, 2023, 02:26:51 PM
It feels like OP is new to sports betting. This is common sense IMO. I think the better question is why are women's sports not as popular as men's? Because why would people bet on a sport that they are not following? I bet regularly on e-sports, basketball, boxing, and MMA. But I haven't made a single bet throughout my life on women's basketball because I am not familiar with its players. And I am not familiar with women's basketball because I am not interested.

There are sports where I am more excited watching women though, like tennis and volleyball. Women's boxing and MMA are as exciting as men's depending on their individual fighting styles. So it really depends on someone's interest. Generally, men's sports are more popular than women's sports. But I believe women's sports are growing since more countries and people are more aware of gender equality.

If we talk about how the audiences of fans of women’s sports, men’s sports and betting intersect, then we must mention that the majority of bettors are men. This is an additional factor to betting mainly on men's sports. By the way, I would be interested to know the statistics regarding female bettors - what competitions they prefer, both by type of sport and by gender.
2191  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 14, 2023, 02:16:51 PM
Tottenham Hotspur are really making their fans to smile and feel that energy that they're also challengers for the EPL title, for the past few months since the kick off of this season they're just making a statement (having the manager of the month of September) and I believe other EPL clubs need to be aware of this Spurs team.
But the main question is, "Can They Keep Up With This Outstanding Form?" I can't even say they're going to win the league even if they're topping the league till December, this is just the reality about Tottenham. Making a big move but something little will make them start losing everything they have struggled for, and it will be so painful if they end up like Arsenal, so to me Tottenham knows when to come down from the table, they're not going to make it till December.

Much depends on Tottenham itself, at least they have an obvious advantage - Arsenal, Liverpool and City participate in European competitions, so even if Tottenham does not have the same squad depth as City, they have the opportunity to competently distribute their forces throughout the season. The second potential benefit is luck. In the sense that if competitors lose points in games with each other, then you can become a champion with fewer points than when one team dominates and you need a fantastic winning percentage to beat it.
2192  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 14, 2023, 02:08:11 PM
Cause Marcus Rashford is a big name means he shouldn't be dropped if he underperforms? Now, that would lead to his downfall. He should learn from Pep Guardiola.
Pep Guardiola dumped Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus, even went to the extent of selling both players ( To Arsenal and Chelsea ) same season, he ended up winning the Premier League yet again.

Same way they have plans dropping Onana if he doesn't improves, same should be applied whenever Marcus Rashford underperforms.
Mitoma would be a good fit, he can bench both Marcus Rashford and Garnacho if they underperforms, no time to settle for less.

Guardiola is a separate story that can hardly be compared with other coaches - he initially had a top squad at his disposal (in three clubs in a row lol), while he constantly made purchases (became the first coach to spend more than 2 billion on transfers) in order to get the best of the best . I doubt that anyone can now repeat such a strategy, if only because of the existence of financial fairplay. And I’m wondering where you can sell Rashford, who extended his contract with a significant increase in salary and now plays like a log, without significant financial losses.
2193  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 14, 2023, 12:59:24 PM

In my opinion, Lewandowski's participation in the game will benefit Real Madrid. He is no longer dangerous and has been well studied, and other options could be wild cards in Barcelona's favor. In any case, I see that the quotes for this game are seriously distorted:

2.26 - 3.60 - 3.00

If 2.26 were in favor of Real, then I would still doubt it, but 3.00 against such a weak Barcelona? Easy bet.
Looking at the difference in his performance last season and now Lewandowski has not been able to play well and indeed in the first few matches it was evident when Barcelona did not really reflect them in terms of goal productivity in the first few matches, although at this time it seemed to be resolved by the entry of Joao Felix and Joao Cancelo for Barcelona.
2.26 for Madrid's odds I think this is definitely very good even though the opponent is Barcelona with a trend that is now getting better but I'm pretty sure the Bernabeu this season is different from before.
Indeed in terms of h2h last season Barcelona excelled in their 4 meetings against Madrid but for now I am quite confident in Madrid.

These are the quotes for the game Barcelona - Real Madrid  Grin
2.26 is for the victory of Barcelona, and 3.00 for the victory of Real Madrid. Personally, this looks strange to me.
As for Lewandowski, the point is not how many goals he scores, but how many scoring chances he needs for this; by this indicator, he seems to have been the worst in the league even last season. By the way, Joao Felix also likes to waste scoring chances, but he still has room for progress, unlike Lewandowski.
2194  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: October 14, 2023, 12:51:31 PM
In terms of performance in the first rounds, he has already broken Lewandowski’s record; Kane has not yet shown even close to such performance while playing in a dominant (presumably heh) club.
As I understand from the news, starting next summer, according to the contract, the compensation for him will be a ridiculous 20 million. Therefore, the probability that it will be sold in the winter (when Stuttgrat may demand larger compensation) is close to 100%.
The problem will be that , can Guirassy can keep his performance for a long time and not only for a few weeks.
Kane has already done a proof of his playing in the last years , and it also depends what kind of other players you have in the team.
But yeah i agree that Guirassy will be maybe leaving Stuttgart in the winter or for sure in the next summer for some nice money.

There are no guarantees, but I am sure that those who decide to buy him will check all his statistical indicators, which will give a completely accurate idea of his abilities.
As for next summer, the nuance is that in winter he can be sold at a higher price; in summer, the compensation will be a fixed amount and amount to only 20 million. Incredibly low price compared to the usual transfers that we most often discuss.
2195  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 14, 2023, 12:46:35 PM
For a team like PSG with the huge investment they had in this summer and the players they bought to have better performance than last season, it is a shame for them to be in this situation and I think they should work much harder to have better performance because this time we can't even say they don't have a good coach after having a coach like Enrique working in this team.

Maybe it's too early to draw conclusions? Bayern is also not in first place in the Bundesliga and even City is not in first place in the Premier League. All three clubs are very close to the top and remain the bookmakers' favorites, so it is too early to talk about serious problems.
By the way, as I said, Mbappe scored two goals yesterday, showing that he is in excellent shape and his decline in performance at the club level is temporary.
2196  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 14, 2023, 09:58:57 AM
A great opportunity to make a profitable bet on Arsenal. +86% looks very tempting. After the unexpected defeat from Lens, Arsenal will play as focused as possible on the result and I think Sevilla has no chance. Sevilla continues to be in crisis, and Arsenal are doing better than last season, so I think there will be something like 0-2 or 1-3 in favor of Arsenal.
Sometimes Sevilla like to be tough when playing in the UCL league but I'm not sure how their crisis with the club is going at the moment, on the other hand Arsenal playing away again it must be careful even though it has a high chance.

We can compare Arsenal because they have managed to beat Man City in the English league, so I probably this will be easy to say and there should be no difficulty anymore like against Lens a few weeks ago, here obviously with the odds quite far Arsenal's favorite is now bigger.

That Sevilla with their new coach must have a little change.

Sevilla are great in the Europa League, but in fact I can't even remember when they were good in the Champions League. But the main factor here is that Arsenal did not score points in the game with Lens, so in the future they will only play to win. If you remove randomness or any surprises, then the balance of power in the Arsenal - Seville pair is definitely in favor of Arsenal. You have to take advantage of the fact that this is an away game and the bookmakers give generous odds; I think that in the Arsenal - Sevilla game the odds will be much more modest.
2197  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 14, 2023, 09:51:26 AM
Kylian Mbappe scored a great goal tonight.
France is the leader in the group and has no defeats.

Portugal won 3-2 tonight. C.Ronaldo continues to score goals.
I wonder when this guy will retire. He's still playing very well.

Judging by the fact that he was offered (by the President of Porto) to try to score 1000 goals, and Ronaldo said that first he needs to score 900 and that he is confident that he will reach this figure, then he himself is counting on at least 2 seasons. It’s a crazy number, but compared to last season, Ronaldo seemed to be playing more cheerfully, apparently Saudi Arabia has a positive effect on him.
2198  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 13, 2023, 06:28:12 PM
I think Lens is making a mistake by just focusing on Chmapnios Leageu instead of the French League because, on The Champnios Leageu, there are many famous and rich teams with superstar players there in which Lens can't have any chance of winning the title. But in the French league, there is only PSG while they don't have a stable situation and Lens can have more chance to win the French League.

I don’t think Lens is focusing on any one tournament - they are trying to play to their full potential in both, but in fact they are not the team that can be head and shoulders above everyone else if, for example, you remove PSG. The fact that they took second place last year does not mean that this year they are stronger than Monaco, Marseille or Nice in this season. Speaking in retrospect, for Lance 6-7 place is the norm.
2199  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 13, 2023, 06:20:29 PM
In Group B, there will be an interesting game between Arsenal and Sevilla, Sevilla fired their coach because of the bad performance they had in La Liga in the past and they surely want to get better results in the Champions League too but Arsenal is the team they won the game against Manchester City and in this season, Arsenal had an amazing performance so far which enough to say they won't have a hard game against Sevilla. The last time they faced each other was the Europe League in which Sevilla won the game and now this is a good chance for Arsenal to take revenge.



A great opportunity to make a profitable bet on Arsenal. +86% looks very tempting. After the unexpected defeat from Lens, Arsenal will play as focused as possible on the result and I think Sevilla has no chance. Sevilla continues to be in crisis, and Arsenal are doing better than last season, so I think there will be something like 0-2 or 1-3 in favor of Arsenal.
2200  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 13, 2023, 05:28:44 PM
I think Croatia will have no problems in the next matches. They are really comfortably in second place and the next games will not be against strong teams. Wales, Armenia or Latvia are no problem for Croatia. Even the defeat against Turkey can be called a surprise.

On paper this is true but the next game will be away against Wales so if Wales win then Croatia will immediately move to 3rd place. Of the difficult games, Wales will only have the game in the last round with Turkey at home. Therefore, I would say that now the situation has become very confusing and everything will be decided by the game the day after tomorrow - if Wales wins, then we will have a race where every point will cost a ticket to the Euro.
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