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41  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Ballon D Or Outrights | 2024 on: July 01, 2024, 04:33:04 PM
So, after Vinnie scored a brace and Bellingham saved England from elimination in the last minute of the last 16, I think it's safe to say there are two men left in the race. Theoretically, Mbappe can still have time to show something extraordinary at the European Championship, but Vinny and Bellingham are very much ahead as they have no weak points left in the season - they have proven themselves both at the club level and at the national team level.
I still think that betting on Vinny is easy money. What do you say colleagues?
42  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: July 01, 2024, 04:21:27 PM


One thing is for sure. If they actually make a very good offer, Barcelona is going to accept.
I know that the player is very good and Barcelona definitely needs him for the future.

But if PSG actually makes a “record-breaking” offer, Barcelona is definitely going to accept that. Because Barcelona needs a lot of money right now. But I wonder what the approach is going to be from the player. Even though the financial situation of PSG is very good, I still don’t think it is going to be an upgrade compared to Barcelona. Going to PSG is also probably going to be a mistake for the player as well. The league is not competitive at all.

Absolute nonsense. 268 million for a teenager who hasn’t proven anything yet? In yesterday's game, in my opinion, he was the worst, and this was in the game against Georgia.
When I hear such news, I am 100% sure that this is money laundering and payment for some kind of corruption schemes. The participation of PSG in this scheme is an additional indicator.
43  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage👉1/8 on: June 30, 2024, 09:11:35 PM
Spain's victory was predetermined, but I don't regret watching the game in full - after the England - Slovakia game I needed it  Grin

Can anyone explain to me why Yamal is so promoted? Today he missed a ton of scoring chances, made suboptimal decisions and was the worst player on the field (Morata wasn't very good either). I am sure that after a big victory all the players of the Spanish national team will receive excellent marks, but I have my own eyes and I trust them more. Maybe this is a separate unsuccessful game for him, but he simply does not correspond to the level of the national team.
44  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Was it a Gut's feeling a Mathematical calculation or a Coincident? on: June 30, 2024, 09:06:09 PM
EXTREME LUCK AND COINCIDENCE!

When dealing up with lottery then this is something normal.

Let’s say I can agree that for him personally it was extreme luck, but what kind of coincidence can we talk about? I think that 50-90% of those who participate in lotteries/draws experience “positive” feelings because they hope to win. If they did not believe in winning, they would not participate in the lottery. Thus, the fact that the winner experienced a premonition of winning is not a coincidence, but a pattern.
45  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 🚀 Sportsbet.io 🎾 Wimbledon 🎾 Rapid Fire 🔥 Match 1 🔥 (1 July) on: June 30, 2024, 08:58:51 PM
a. Hijikata
b. 3
c. 16
46  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: June 30, 2024, 08:07:22 PM
Conte simply doesn't want him to leave as he sees Kvaratskhelia as an important part of his system. This is why he is making statements like these.

However Kvaratskhelia made a statement like this after Conte's words.



https://x.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1806098263021416745?t=08Ovz3J5buTjMzeVPQ-u_A&s=19

Things are getting heated though.  Tongue  He doesn't want Conte to talk on his future clearly. Therefore I believe things are still likely to change after Euro 2024. Teams would continue to be interested in him until then.

It seems to me that even the first half of Georgia’s game against Spain is enough to understand that Kvartskhelia deserves better than Napoli (a club without the Champions League next season). I don’t know which clubs his future may be connected with, but purely visually he suits Liverpool very well, a fast, energetic player. Judging by Kvaratskhelia’s own comment, he already has options other than Napoli.
47  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage👉1/8 on: June 30, 2024, 07:57:08 PM
A good goal that, at least for a while, will protect Bellingham from the unfounded criticism that he has been subjected to lately.
I was completely disappointed in Kane - he scored the winning goal, but was a real drag on the team. In the previous three attempts that he had, he could not even hit the target. I don’t know if Southgate can be so bold, but it seems to me that Kane’s place is on the bench.

As expected, England played very badly and in my opinion did not deserve to go through. Slovakia fought much harder and it is a shame that they did not manage to hold on to the 1-0 result in the last few minutes. But the Swiss have a good chance in the next round!

By the way, Georgia has just scored the first goal, so we could now bet on a Spanish victory and get very good odds!

Yes, England certainly did not play as the main favorite (which they were before the start of the tournament). I can’t say that they were terrible, because at the right moments they were able to put serious pressure on Slovakia (for example, Rice’s shot did not turn into a goal because of just a couple of centimeters), but still they did not play much better than Slovakia. Switzerland will be 1/4 favorites  Grin
As for Spain, I don’t understand why they play so high - if Georgia had a little faster/skilled strikers, the score would be 2-1 and not 1-1 as it is now. Spain dominates but every Georgian counterattack leads to a slight panic in the Spanish defense.
48  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The real winning of gambling is withdrawals on: June 30, 2024, 07:09:28 PM
There is no guaranteed way to always win or anything, so either take advantage or the vault feature assuming the site you play in offers it or wd and take your woman out to dinner.

I have seen people increase their bet and win and I have seen them increase and lose, it's all about luck as far as that goes. If you are lucky enough to get a big win after increasing your bet, it may be the unluckiest thing you ever do. You might feel you will always win and do it everytime. My advice is after a win, wd your deposit and only gamble on profit.

But aren't we faced with the problem here that a reliable game will never lead you to a big win? To win at least a million dollars, you need to place a bet of $1000 with odds of 1000. Let’s say someone can afford to take that risk. But if we take lower real odds, then in order to win a million you need to operate with amounts of tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars. From any reasonable point of view, an ordinary gambler who has reached tens of thousands in winnings should immediately stop and withdraw his funds. But with this action he reduces the probability of a big win to zero.
49  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Bank teller stole $28,000 from customers to feed her gambling addiction on: June 30, 2024, 07:00:05 PM
If you're deep into gambling, you will create plans based on your job just to steal to feed your addiction. She planned everything, and she knew her target, and she was able to do it and almost escape from his evil deeds.

But we all know we are dealing with a bank. We all know that all your actions inside the bank are being monitored so even if she is that good with her plans, the bank will eventually discover, too bad for her, she will go to jail, and even if she gets out, she cannot practice here profession as her license will be revoked.           

As I understand it, the dumbest people go to prison and this is exactly the case  Grin
In her situation, it was naive to think that her tricks would go unnoticed, maybe the plan was to win a lot of money and then return the stolen goods? In any case, I would not blame gaming addiction for everything - such crimes are committed even simply from greed or the desire for easy money.
50  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage👉1/8 on: June 30, 2024, 06:54:14 PM
I thought England were going home but Bellingham held on, Jude's goal was pretty cool...

Who would have thought England would go through after such a messy game? I didn't really believe it and from the start England were going to lose because of how badly they played but towards the end they were able to go all the way.

Bellingham and Kane score, there's still a chance of another goal for Slovakia.

A good goal that, at least for a while, will protect Bellingham from the unfounded criticism that he has been subjected to lately.
I was completely disappointed in Kane - he scored the winning goal, but was a real drag on the team. In the previous three attempts that he had, he could not even hit the target. I don’t know if Southgate can be so bold, but it seems to me that Kane’s place is on the bench.
51  Local / Майнеры / Re: Глобальные новости крипто-майнинга on: June 30, 2024, 06:45:11 PM
В РФ майнеров обяжут работать в спецзонах и платить за электроэнергию по экономически обоснованным тарифам, сообщил зампред комитета Госдумы по энергетике, единоросс Юрий Станкевич. Он отметил, что зоны, где майнинг будет официально разрешён, обозначат по аналогии с казино.

Ну то есть очевидно что цена будет не рыночная, иначе зачем было бы майнеров заставлять? План конечно топовый, только вот надо ещё и заставлять майнеров работать (видимо себе в убыток) - ведь при нерыночной цене (и прочих рфских рисках) далеко не факт что этот бизнес будет рентабельный.
Аналогия с зонами для казино кстати отличная - если я не ошибаюсь сейчас эти зоны представляют из себя заброшки, а те кто имел смелость инвестировать в них убытки не отбил.
52  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: ЦБ РФ защитит россиян от Биткоина on: June 30, 2024, 06:30:23 PM
KTChampions, забанили сразу после того, как у них поменялись правила. Заморозили счет и потребовали объяснить откуда транзакции свежие, у меня там пара транз прошла на небольшие суммы, тысячи по 3 рублей. Я написал как есть, что это мои деньги, которые я обменял через обменник. Мне был отправлен ответ, что они вынуждены заблокировать мой аккаунт без возможности восстановления, дали ссылку на свои новые на тот момент правила, которым реально считанные дни были. Да, деньги они вернули, сказали указать банковский счет куда вернуть весь баланс, а баланс был не маленький. Сколько они по времени возвращали уже не помню, но после этого я зарекся с ними вообще никаких дел не иметь.

Охуеть Grin Пояснять за транзы в 3к рублей  Grin
Я не знаю сколько у них клиентов останется при таком подходе.
По поводу того что вы им честно ответили откуда транзы - думаю что зря. От блокировки честность вас никак не спасала, могло лишь только дополнительных проблем принести. Продолжаю придерживаться мнения что на все вопросы от банка надо слать их нахуй.
53  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage👉1/8 on: June 29, 2024, 10:40:46 PM
Germany is a much better team and they managed to win. I don't understand why the game was stopped. We have seen many games, it rained many times more than this rain, but the game didn't stop. It was really strange that the referee went in early. It disrupted the tempo and balance of the game. I think it was a wrong move. Maybe Denmark was going to win the game, but because of that decision the game changed. In the other match, Switzerland deserved to win, Italy was the disappointment of this tournament.

A controversial decision, but it seems that there was rain with hail, so leaving the fields before someone got injured was quite logical. The stadium is designed in the most strange way - I understand that not all the stands are under a canopy and protected from the rain, but why does the flow from the roof of the stadium pour into the lower stands?
As for the game, Germany looked much stronger than their opponents and it seems to me that the 2-0 score does not reflect their entire advantage today.
54  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: ЦБ РФ защитит россиян от Биткоина on: June 29, 2024, 10:32:45 PM
~ А так Юмани сейчас очень строго работает с клиентами, мне аккаунт там давно уже забанили за использование обменника, это запрещено правилами. Политика Юмани сейчас намного жестче нежели та политика, которая была у Qiwi.

Подробности есть? Как вас "поймали" на использовании обменника? У меня есть карта Юмани, думал при случае на нее серые доходы скидывать, но видимо не придется. Забанили то хоть без отжатия средств?
И самый главный вопрос тогда - нахер они нужны со своей жёсткой политикой. Даже аккуратное использование обычных банковских карт выглядит адекватнее чем с ними связываться. Это уж не говоря о том что во многих местах можно виртуальные рубли крутить сколько угодно без какого-либо соприкосновения с фиатом а потом в крипту скидывать.
55  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Биржа Binance 🔶 on: June 29, 2024, 10:24:22 PM
Binance запускает HODLer Airdrops для BNB холдеров

Binance запускает HODLer Airdrops исключительно для BNB холдеров. Пользователи, которые подпишутся на продукты Simple Earn с использованием BNB, получат токены проектов с большим объёмом обращения, листинг которых будет вскоре на Binance.

Подробности по ссылке: https://www.binance.com/ru-UA/support/announcement/binance-launches-hodler-airdrops-to-bnb-holders-59a0a10b835d4c3ab2ffbfca941e7d24
Холдеры бнбшек честно говоря начинают раздражать, богатеть продолжают на изи, особенно у кого их много и кто успел их купить набрать когда они стоили десятки баксов) Не забываем о том что СиЗи владеет несколькими десятками процентов от тотал саплая всех бнб. Не сомневаюсь что он этим пользуется и активно фармит остальные токены проектов на лаунппадах и лаунчпулах бинанса. Вероятно даже не своими кошелями, а как-нибудь более беспалевно через посредников. Но и этого оказалось мало, решили сделать BNB еще более ценным, меня это и просто что бы то ни было не заставит купить его по такой астрономической цене, но за тех у кого он есть я просто порадуюсь)

А мне наоборот нравится. Это же игра на жадность и будет весело посмотреть чем она закончится. Все вот эти проекты, их токены и т.д.... Кто-то видел продукт какой-то от них? Его использование? Я вижу одно реальное использование - гэмблинг. Всем пофиг на проект но все играют в "инвестиции" по схеме бОльшего дурака. Общая капа вроде как растет (тут я не уверен но похоже), есть ли у этой капы "цена ликвидации"? Ну типа подешеветь больше чем на 80% проект Х не может так как у него активов на 20% капитализации минимум.
56  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Стоит ли сейчас инвестировать в Биткоин? on: June 29, 2024, 07:25:24 PM
jokers10, сегодня биткойн решил пойти вбок (а именно около 61к ценник), но ничего не мешает ему завтра и ниже тех же 60к сходить. Что еще хочу сказать по поводу перехода в медвежий цикл, есть уровни поддержки сильные, которые просто так не дадут этого сделать тем, кто уже вверху распродался и хочет как можно ниже теперь курс утащить, чтобы закупиться вновь. А что касается боковика, то он все ниже и ниже, сначала у нас был боковик в районе 70к, потом боковик в районе 66к, теперь боковик в районе 60к уже, может и лето играет роль, на активность точно влияет. Осенью киты-быки могут потащить биток к новому ATH.

Когда уровень боковика всё ниже и ниже то это тренд (медвежка)  Grin или если эта тягомотина будет год длиться и уйдет к 30к, то это тоже будет боковик?
Считать ли следующей поворотной точкой для экономики (а значит и битка) выборы в США в ноябре? Победят видимо консерваторы а значит, печатанье денег должно подсократиться?
57  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage👉1/8 on: June 29, 2024, 07:17:44 PM
Switzerland defeated Italy 2-0 in the Euro 2024 match, becoming the first team to reach the quarter-finals and defeating Italy after 31 years. Switzerland dominated the game from start to finish, effectively pressing Italy and denying them any significant chances. Italy managed their first accurate shot on goal in the 73rd minute.

Yes, Italy lost in almost all components of the game, the statistics of the game (with equal ball possession) are as follows:

Shots - 16:9
Shots on target - 4:1
Corners - 4:6

Italy looked like a team without a plan, Switzerland were better.
Now Switzerland will play with the winner of the England-Slovakia pair, and if England defeats Slovakia, then great difficulties await them in the game with Switzerland, they will be favorites, but very slightly ones.
58  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: From $30 free bet to $168 on: June 29, 2024, 06:00:00 PM
This is not true, in fact, single bets with, for example, odds of 20 are much more profitable than multi-bet bets with the same odds. The fact is that the bookmaker's margin (or casino advantage) is taken from each outcome. Thus, if the bookmaker’s margin is 5%, then with a single bet you will lose 5%, and with a multi-bet consisting of 4 outcomes you will lose 1-0.954=~19%
Ideally, you should make only single bets, but I myself also mostly make multi-bet bets since it is difficult to find a profitable and large single odds.
I found Adbitco  to be true in football which is the one that I bet mostly on. I do not know about other sports but I know their risks would be similar to how football odds are. I do not know much about your calculations but I am posting with my experience. Any odds that is getting higher than 2 is difficult to win in sport betting. Single odd of 4 or 5 makes the chance of winning to reduce. Having a single match of 20 odds will only result to trying and losing. But a won bet is still more very possible with parley if analytically selected. In sport, I have gone for single or two matches in a way that I will use all to bet again, I won 35 odd. I still see that as accumulation although it can not be totally regarded as accumulation. I prefer small odd but not too small odd and it gives more chance of winning. But it is worth knowing that I can not go more than 5 to 6 odd in parley.

I’m used to high odds (more than 10), so the thesis that it’s difficult to win a bet with odds of 2 sounds strange to me. Make 20 blind (without any analytics or even knowing anything about what you’re betting on) bets on odds of 2 and without any effort you will win 8-9 (and if you are lucky, more) of them.
As for bets with low “reliable” odds, I don’t like them because in order to at least return the amount you are risking, you must make several bets in a row. It’s better to immediately choose a good outcome with odds of 2.0 or higher.
59  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers👉Group Stage👉1/8 on: June 29, 2024, 05:52:05 PM
Well well... Why am I not surprised at all to see this?  Tongue  I thought we would watch extra time at least but Switzerland are just very confident of themselves.   Cool

The first half was completely one-sided. There is no exaggeration in that, believe me. The players were like they were intending to return home quickly. The last champion is just messing it up hard now I'm afraid. Switzerland have already been dedicated and this is going to be a well-deserved one.  Wink  They will most likely face England though.

As England are also playing very boring who knows...

Yes, it’s hard to call it a sensation, although judging only by the names it should be a sensation. But in fact, Italy did not stand out among other teams (rather dull football) and today Switzerland deservedly wins. There are still 7-9 minutes ahead, but with the score 0-2 the chances are slim. I wonder if Spalletti will be fired? Under him, the Italian team began to play worse.
60  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Bank teller stole $28,000 from customers to feed her gambling addiction on: June 29, 2024, 04:03:08 PM
Moral: "Be your own bank" Wink

Now seriously, those who have a gambling addiction shouldn't work in certain jobs like tellers, cashiers and, in general, jobs where a lot of money through your hands. It's like the barman who has an alcoholic addiction: the combination is explosive.

It may sound a bit sexist depending on the culture of the country where you live, but it also surprised me a lot that the protagonist of the story was a woman. Definitely some kind of bias on my side, but to begin with I would trust a woman with my money more than a man.

I wonder who should prohibit people with gambling addiction from working in such places? And in general, I don’t know in your country there are people with an official medical certificate that they suffer from gambling addiction? It seems to me that this is not a type of addiction that is easy to identify and document, like alcohol or drug addiction. It seems to me that this is a model of behavior that a person chooses voluntarily.
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