Wow, I didn’t know that the introduction of the Swiss system and the change in the Champions League format would also be accompanied by a change in the limit on the number of participating teams from one country. Previously, it also happened that 5 teams from one country participated (if a team outside the top 4 won the Champions League or Europa League), but now this will happen every year, plus if in the future a team outside the top 5 wins the Champions League or Europa League, then 6 at once teams from one country will participate. |
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Here is the odds given for the result of the Lazio - Juventus game:  Am I surprised with that? Not at all. I was already expecting a really close game and bookmakers are also expecting for the same thing. Maybe there is a gap of sixteen points in the standings but this is easy to misguide someone. Even though Lazio aren't performing the same as the previous season they can still make serious difficulties home. Especially while Juventus are in a bad form I wouldn't bet on them. If I place a bet my choice would be both teams to score @2.03. I think such quotes hinting at the randomness of the game are only a consequence of the fact that both teams do not have tournament motivation. Juventus lost the race for the title, but is confidently in the top 4, and Lazio lost the race for the Europa League and I doubt that they want to get into the Conference League. Your choice is good (due to the high odds), but in fact the probability that one of the teams will not score a single goal is high. |
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 Nottingham Forest have confirmed they are appealing the Premier League's decision to deduct them four points for breaches of Profit & Sustainability Rules (PSR). Source: https://www.90min.com/posts/nottingham-forest-appeal-premier-league-points-deductionNottingham Forest has not given up, not yet. It's known how Nottingham Forest got a 4 point deduction from the EPL because it has proven to have violated the PSR rules. It's not only Nottingham Forest, but clubs like Everton have gotten their sanction, and there will be more Everton to come soon. The club has not yet released an official statement but expect a statement came from the club on monday as when everything will be fully prepared. 4 points meant a lot for Nottingham forest because the club is still struggling to leave from the relegation zone. Everton is now out from relegation zone after forest got 4 points deduction after it has violated PSR rules. Everton potentially to get another financial charge related to the first sanction. Nottingham Forest surely does not violate PSR rules. I know that if 4 points are not a lot but since nottingham forest is not in the relegation zone it can help club to survive being relegated to the lower division like championship league. Nottingham coach must have pushed his players to play more than their limit. Nottingham really needs three points that will be greatly helpful to the club. I can only say that i hope nottingham will able to get their 4 points back again. Even if Nottingham had not been deducted 4 points, Everton would not have been in the relegation zone since Luton would have dropped there. Plus, Everton has a game in hand, and although for an outsider this is not at all like a game in hand for teams from the top, it is still at least one point on average. In general, another confirmation that the rules exist for the poor/weak. Everyone is waiting for decisions on City and Chelsea, but for some reason those processes last for years and lead to nothing. |
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Against Fiorentina it will definitely not be easy for AC MIlan, especially since the Fiorentina team, which will play at home, has great motivation to be able to win 3 points in this match.
Meanwhile, AC Milan's position so far is quite good in my opinion because the competition with Juventus for second place in the standings is very comfortable for Milan, which has quite good performance at the moment and this is inversely proportional to the Juventus team.
Juventus is in danger now, their performance has not recovered since the second half of this season and they are getting closer to the competition between Roma and Bologna so that while Roma and Bologna have good performance and consistency, it is the Juventus team that is currently in danger of not being able to finish in 4th position. the final standings will be big.
I don’t understand why everyone continues to worry about Juventus, which has a comfortable advantage. Take a look at how bookmakers assess the teams' chances of finishing in the top 4: Milan - 1.01 Juventus - 1.04 Bologna - 2.25 Roma - 2.60 Atalanta - 3.60 Juventus' chances are practically no different from the chances of Milan, and even Inter (which is apparently quoted at 1.00). Yes, one of the three outsiders will get into the top 4, but it is far from a fact that at least one of the underdogs will be able to overtake Juventus, and in order for Juventus not to get into the top 4, 2 underdogs must overtake it at once. |
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 "You're happy at Real Madrid and then now there is also Mbappé coming...", Sky Sport asked.
Carlo Ancelotti: "Remember that the most important thing is Real Madrid. It’s a huge club. I’m proud of being their coach". Source: FabrizioRomanoThe reporter was digging to find something. But I don't think they are going to find anything. As much as I hate to admit it, but I think he is leaving Real Madrid after the contract ends. He has a contract with Real Madrid till 2026. Well, on second thought, it is still a long way away. Maybe a lot of things might change by the time. Maybe he will change his decision in the future. But right now it doesn't seem like he has any plans to stay after his contract expires. Hmm... Literally by next season Real will have a completely renewed team with three players from the world top 5 (and maybe from top 3 haha) Bellingham, Vinnie and Mbappe, the rest of the squad is also top in their positions. Such a team will be able to win literally everything, and over several years, and not just once. It seems to me that no coach, no matter what plans he has, will leave in such a situation simply because the contract expires. If Ancelotti has good results (I think everyone understands what will be a good result for Real hehe) then he will continue to cooperate with the club. |
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Chess is definitely underrated. I keep an eye on them and even for events such as the world title match, not all bookmakers provide quotes. If we talk about ordinary tournaments (if we make an analogy, these are tournaments at the Champions League level in football), then there are either no quotes or they are available in murky marginal bookmakers in which there is no desire to deposit money.
Maybe among gamblers, chess is a sport that is not much in demand, but if I talk about it as a whole, I can say that we cannot underestimate chess. Because there are still many people who like chess, even though compared to football it won't be comparable. ~ By the way, thinking about chess, I also remembered the game Go - it is very popular in Asia, tens of millions of people play it or follow the top events in this sport. And if you compare it even with underrated chess, it is even more underrated. Maybe I didn’t pay attention, but I didn’t see quotes for Go games from any bookmaker. Probably this market (if it exists at all) belongs entirely to local bookmakers in Asia. |
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I have had a look and I couldn't believe that the bookmakers seem to have big faith in Arsenal and valued them as the real favorite. To give you an idea, they put Arsenal at 1.99, so let's say at 2.0, and they put Bayern Munich at 3.59.
I agree that the odds for Bayern Munich winning this game should be relatively high as it is a game away from home and it is against the team that is leading the Premier League. But given how the game developed recently for Bayern, do you think that Arsenal winning the game at 1.99 is correctly marked by the bookmakers? Even if it is marginal, it is a bit below 2.0 and I did expect something with a 2. coming first.
I don't think that Arsenal's chances of winning that game are that high. At least I wouldn't bet on it at those odds. I think it is always a good indicator to think about potential odds that someone would be willing to put money on an outcome and for me this would be more between 2.5 and 3.0, but it would definitely not be worth it when you get just under 2.0.
I don't understand why you are surprised. Do you think that the leader of the Premier League cannot win at least one home game out of two against the second Bundesliga team (current quotes suggest exactly this)? Does the fact that Bayern in recent games have heavily beaten the outsiders of the Bundesliga and the 9th team in Serie A (Lazio) somehow change the fact that Bayern has been playing very weakly all season? Compared to Arsenal, which has been going smoothly all season, Bayern is truly an outsider. I said for me this would be more between 2.5 and 3.0 , by which I mean the odds for Arsenal to win that home game. Where did you take logic and mathematics that you translate my sentence into cannot win at least one ? As you can see, I am sure you are a smart guy and I assume you had some education in mathematics + logic or you are probably self-taught to a certain degree. I was trying to understand your comment, but whatever way I twist your words, I can't help but come up with a lot of interpretations for what I said. But your interpretation is not part of the solution set. I never said that Arsenal can't win that home game. I discussed the odds and found it surprising that they put Bayern into the underdog role by quite a bit! That's all I said and I concluded that the odds are not worth a bet for me, this may be different for you. But it's all good, I only don't like these over interpretations of someone has said. My take still is that I expected odds of 1/X/2 to be more in a more narrow range. Hmm... I thought there was direct logic here (I leave all the quotes so that the dialogue is visible from the very beginning): odds 2 (which seemed dubious to you) means that this event will occur with exactly 50% probability (let’s not waste time and remember about the bookmaker’s margin ). That is, if Arsenal can win one of the two games against Bayern, then odds 2 are fair. And in my opinion, Arsenal, as the leader of the Premier League, in a home game against the second Bundesliga team is obliged to win one game out of two (50% on average = odds 2 on bookmaker language). As I understand from your comment, you think that Arsenal should be listed in the range of 2.5-3, and this means that Arsenal is not capable of winning one game out of two against Bayern on average. |
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I don't see Real Madrid losing four matches in the league. Real Madrid's 8-point lead over Barcelona is enough for Real Madrid to win the matches that would make them win the La Liga title without battling with Barcelona over who will win the La Liga title this season. The match between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao will be a tough match for Real Madrid because Bibao wants points to remain in the fourth position of the La Liga table. Real Madrid will use home advantage to dominate and win Athletic Bilbao.
It's too good to be true, and people just don't realize the upcoming fixtures of Real Madrid.  There are more than five ez matches for Real Madrid, and this is totally enough to help Madrid win the La Liga trophy this season. Talking about Madrid losing some important points is unlikely. Madrid has easiest fixtures compared to the other clubs that is still at the top 4. It sounds non sense if we are imagining madrid to lose many points from the weak club. This is impossible. Madrid will surely win the competition soon, there is no doubt about this. Look at the upcoming fixtures of Madrid against Granada, alaves, or even Sociedad and Villareal. Thse clubs are still performing so poorly. It's not just Madrid, but also the fact that all its competitors are either just as busy or have already dropped out of the fight and just want to maintain their current place (Girona). Barcelona and Atlético have no chance of catching up with Real, but they can concentrate on the Champions League where they have the easiest opponents possible. In my opinion, it would be quite logical if in the next 4-5 games Real not only does not reduce its advantage, but on the contrary increases it. |
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Еще один повод не пользоваться кастодиальными кошельками и услугами регулируемых централизованных бирж. Такой запрет может привести к еще большему оттоку средств с европейских бирж, миграции бизнеса в более дружественные страны, и возможно к кризису, банкротствам и беспорядкам. Это выстрел себе в ногу, старперы в правительстве не понимают инноваций и стремятся все непонятное запрещать "на всякий случай". Ну разумеется это всегда подается под соусом противодействия тому и сему, но в эту сказку верят все меньше и меньше. Самое интересное что этот процесс в евросовке идёт уже достаточно давно. Где-то видел информацию что за последние 50 лет в Европе не появилось ни одной новой корпорации мирового уровня, а все благодаря совочку и регуляторам которые "хотят как лучше", но те кто что-то могут почему-то сваливают в адекватные юрисдикции. Амеры вообще евросовок снисходительно называют "самый большой музей под открытым небом"  |
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Видали новости из сумасшедшего дома?: Минэнерго может предложить населению принять участие в снижении спроса на электроэнергию: в определённое время отключать бытовые приборы, что должно привести к разгрузке энергосистемы и уменьшению цен. Для этого придётся перейти на тарифы коммерческих предприятий, которые в среднем на 34% выше цен для населения, получив взамен вознаграждение, пишет «Коммерсант» 26 марта. Аналитики сомневаются, что такая сделка будет выгодной, предлагая привлекать к эксперименту молодёжь и экоактивистов через мобильные сервисы.
~
Для мотивации населения нужно объяснить, что управление спросом – общественно значимое дело, в котором можно участвовать без особых усилий и денежных затрат с помощью цифровых сервисов, полагает г-н Чаусов: «Если программы будут сделаны с креативом, они будут интересны городской молодёжи как один из способов активного участия в значимых для общества делах, к тому же связанных с модными климатической и экологической темами». https://peretok.ru/news/worldenergy/27468/Если это не шизофрения, то что такое шизофрения? Рекомендую заметку прочесть целиком, там сразу несколько интересных направлений мысли просматривается. Понятное дело что конечная цель в очередной раз ограбить население, но с учётом того что это пытаются подать под красивым соусом, вот такие вот хохмы и получаются. |
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Bookmakers do not agree with you, see how clubs are ranked to get into the top 4:
Real and Barcelona - 1.01
Girona - 1.06
Atlético - 1.44
Athletic - 2.00
As you can see, only Atletico are in question, and Girona, despite their poor results, is rated well because they have more points.
As I already wrote, Atlético has a difficult situation because they need maximum results both in La Liga and in the Champions League. It is likely that they will fail somewhere (I’m not saying that they are favorites in the Champions League, but beating Dortmund and then PSG/Barcelona is quite possible).
Hmm, Athletic Bilbao's odds to finish in top four seem really tempting. Thank you for sharing it maybe I would give it a try. Yeah Atletico Madrid are very unbalanced in the La Liga recently while trying to play really big in the Champions League. I think the same about their chances there as well. This would really wear out the players in a quite tight schedule of course. There is even a game in which they will host Girona between the first and second legs of the Dortmund matchup. I really have serious doubts about their dealing with this kind of a fixture in a solid way.  Yes, the situation is quite difficult for Atletico and Simeone, we’ll see how they get out of it. By the way, despite the fact that I am skeptical about Atlético in La Liga, I had the courage to bet on them getting past Inter (before the second game when Atlético was already catching up), the odds were very good - 4.1 and it seriously strengthened my multi-bet. By the way, I already miss the Champions League final in the form of the Real - Atlético derby. And the draw worked out so that it is quite possible  |
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It’s clear that Joselu is no match for Mbappe; he was literally rented as a temporary option. By the way, this is an interesting turn in his career: before Real Madrid he did not have any titles at the club level, but now he already has the Spanish Cup + Super Cup and this season he will at least become the champion of La Liga. I don’t know if he will be able to return to Espanyol after such a takeoff. Considering that he is already 33 years old, it is likely that he will simply end his career when he leaves Real Madrid.
If I'm not mistaken, around 2010 he had already experienced the same stage as Cristiano Ronaldo and other players at Real Madrid, but unfortunately his career didn't last much longer and he had to leave Real Madrid to continue his career with various teams. Until finally, at the beginning of this season, Joselu returned to Real Madrid but was still on loan from Espanyol and as you said he was only a temporary striker while the club leaders determined the right replacement after Benzema. It's not easy because from now on his position is starting to be threatened by the presence of several young players and as an older person it will be very difficult for Joselu to compete. But at least he has won several titles with Real Madrid and I think he will still be happy even though he will be disappointed that the club will not make his contract clause permanent from Espanyol. But what is clear is that Joselu still has the opportunity to add to his trophy this season and that is the Champions League title which all the players really want. Yes, he played a couple of meaningless games for Real and even scored two goals, but it is obvious that compared to Ronaldo and Benzema, he did not have a single chance of appearing on the field at least somewhat regularly. Overall a pretty interesting player, I see that he played in as many as 11 clubs and his longest stay in a club was 3 years in Alaves. I once read an interview with him after a game for Real when he scored a goal and was very happy about it and at the same time criticized himself for a bunch of wasted moments, and since then I have felt sympathy for him. |
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It's unusual for me to bet on any sports or even leagues from my favorite sports that I not closely following. I spells disaster for a bettor to do this. It's irresponsible gambling even in small amounts if this is done regularly.
But there were times where I tried to multi bet on very low odds. Like 10 to 30 games on my multi-bet, all of them have very low odds. But I also do this with small amounts only. And even with low odds it is still not sure to win especially when you are betting on a sport or a league where you have zero to little knowledge.
I don't see any problem in this. I don’t watch 99% of the games on which I place bets (at most I check the text broadcast and only if I make a live bet, if it’s not a live bet then I just wait for the result). I am an adult with a family and spending 2 hours of my life watching just one football match (while I am interested in at least 10 games in each round) is simply unrealistic. Watching a game on tape has no emotional meaning, and football games rarely fit into your schedule, so I study (at my own time, which I choose) statistics, game information, etc. but I watch the game itself only on rare occasions. |
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Maybe chess, because it doesn't seem like it's a recognized sport, or if it's a sport, there don't seem to be many people who bet here, just gamblers, in my opinion. Then I don't see it in casinos either, or maybe I just overlooked it.
The only things that I often see that gamblers always bet on are football, soccer, billiards, and basketball. Archery can also be an underrated sport because I rarely see it in sports betting games.
Chess is definitely underrated. I keep an eye on them and even for events such as the world title match, not all bookmakers provide quotes. If we talk about ordinary tournaments (if we make an analogy, these are tournaments at the Champions League level in football), then there are either no quotes or they are available in murky marginal bookmakers in which there is no desire to deposit money. |
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Atletico, even despite the decline, remains the favorite in the fight for the top 4, but this is not the level of advantage where we can be at least 60% confident in the outcome. 55% to 45% seems to me a more realistic balance of power.
As for Girona, judging by its recent games, it is now definitely no better than Atlético, Athletic, Barcelona. Girona feels confident only due to the reserve of points they created for themselves earlier. As for their prospects in the Champions League, I would not count on it since it is unknown what will happen in the summer and how many players from this squad will remain in Girona (and whether there will be serious acquisitions to replace the departed players + reinforcements).
It canno't be denied that for 3 clubs that have become subscriptions to the potential to remain in the Champions League zone it is indeed very open no matter how bad the performance is at the beginning of the season or mid-season but when it comes to the end of the season everything is always in a good situation and they can always secure the top 4 at the end of the season. As for Girona now they are starting to experience problems after a very impressive start to the season when Girona is slowly returning to the initial performance where they are like an ordinary club even though in matches they can alwa ys play well in terms of attack but currently their defense is quite vulnerable because of the lack of good coordination especially when anticipating counterattacks. Now it all comes down to performance because for Madrid Barcelona and Atletico I'm still pretty sure they are in the top 4 but for Girona if they really want to make this season a good one and be in the Champions League zone for the first time then they have to make a difference in performance because in the last few games they have been quite poor. Bookmakers do not agree with you, see how clubs are ranked to get into the top 4: Real and Barcelona - 1.01 Girona - 1.06 Atlético - 1.44 Athletic - 2.00 As you can see, only Atletico are in question, and Girona, despite their poor results, is rated well because they have more points. As I already wrote, Atlético has a difficult situation because they need maximum results both in La Liga and in the Champions League. It is likely that they will fail somewhere (I’m not saying that they are favorites in the Champions League, but beating Dortmund and then PSG/Barcelona is quite possible). |
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Joselu's statistics are bad for Real Madrid. It is very normal to have a substitute player with this statistic.
My guess is that Real Madrid will transfer Kylian Mbappé as a striker. If Kylian Mbappé comes to this team, it would be very good for both Real Madrid and Kylian Mbappé.
Agree. A player like Joselu still doesn't deserve to be the main striker for Real Madrid. He must be in the bench with that stats. Mbappe is much better than him, they are in a different level. Real Madrid already planned for a long time to sign Mbappe as their main striker. Sadly, Real Madrid always got some obstacles to sign him. There were too many drama made by PSG to keep Mbappe in PSG. After this season ends, Mbappe contract expires and PSG has no chance to keep him anymore. So, we can assume Mbappe almost 100% to come to Real Madrid for the next season. Of course, it will be good for Mbappe and Real Madrid. Mbappe will play in a better team, he will have the chance to win UCL with a strong team like Real Madrid. Meanwhile Real Madrid finally has a top striker (CF), Mbappe will be the machine goal of Real Madrid.  Source: goal.comIt’s clear that Joselu is no match for Mbappe; he was literally rented as a temporary option. By the way, this is an interesting turn in his career: before Real Madrid he did not have any titles at the club level, but now he already has the Spanish Cup + Super Cup and this season he will at least become the champion of La Liga. I don’t know if he will be able to return to Espanyol after such a takeoff. Considering that he is already 33 years old, it is likely that he will simply end his career when he leaves Real Madrid. |
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I personally don't believe any rumors about Mbappe. I won't believe that Mbappe will join Real Madrid until I get the official news. Because in the last few seasons we talked a lot about Mbappe and Madrid. Finally we haven't seen Mbappe in a Madrid jersey. So I will definitely wait to see the news for sure. But we are seeing a lot of news this season regarding Mbappe's transfer. Florentino Perez is likely to be keen on Mbappe this season.  Real Madrid told they ‘don’t need Kylian Mbappe’ as move for PSG forward slammed for being ‘just for the ego of Florentino PerezAmerican actor Viggo Mortensen has claimed Real Madrid "don't need Kylian Mbappe", with the transfer only serving president Florentino Perez's "ego." I don't agree with that. Madrid definitely need a talented player like Mbappe. There is no regular scorer in Madrid's squad. Real Madrid have to rely on midfielder Bellingham to score. Mbappe has the ability to score a lot. And Mbappe's addition to the squad would certainly be beneficial for Real Madrid. The official announcement will be made after Real Madrid and PSG play each other in the Champions League or if this opportunity disappears. It seems to me that all parties have already hinted at this quite transparently. Yes, Real Madrid definitely needs Mbappe (or Haaland). With the kind of midfield that Real Madrid currently has, a top striker will return La Liga's performance to the level of 40+ goals. It is quite unusual for the top scorer in La Liga to score only 23 goals, even less than the top scorer in Serie A. |
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 It's an away game for milan. This match is very difficult to predict caused by fiorentina has home game as its advantage. Despite Fiorentina's poor performance, the away game against Milan makes me doubt it. Both have decent odds, and Milan appears to have greater chance to win with narrow score. As long as it continues to perform as well as it has been done in previous matches. The away game does not appear to be a serious issue for Milan. Milan's sole goal for next season is to reach the Champions League. It is legitimate for Milan to earn three points. Fiorantina was not in good shape, and winning against Milan will most likely be a very difficult task in the near future. The possibility of a draw in this match is very high. That's why the odds are so high. I would probably pick Milan to win This bet seems risky to me since Milan no longer has motivation in Serie A (but there is in the Europa League where they can direct all their focus), and Fiorentina has maximum motivation since after a generally successful season they have now been relegated from the Euro cup zone and really want to return there. Maybe I would have chosen Fiorentina double chance if I was betting on this game, but overall I would have passed on it. |
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I think he conclude it by analyzing the remaining matches.
I can agree that Liverpool has a higher chance to be the winner because they seem having easier matches.
But Arsenal and Man City look to have the same chance. They still have some big matches, including the match between them (Man City vs Arsenal).
I also think that Liverpool will be the number 1 candidate. Personally, I would rate Manchester City as a strong and comprehensive team, but I would also favor Liverpool to have the upper hand in the race to win this championship. Because Arsenal vs Manchester City will have fierce battles in the Champions League. Meanwhile, Liverpool can entirely devote all their efforts to the Premier League. But in football, we don't know what crazy things will happen. Arsenal is exploding at the end of the season. Meanwhile, Guardiola is still ambitious about winning the successive treble. At the moment, despite the position in the standings, bookmakers estimate the chances for the title as follows: City - 2.10 Liverpool - 2.90 Arsenal - 3.50 Quite an interesting feeling arises when I look at these quotes: they all seem profitable A bet on Arsenal looks interesting since the odds compensate for the risk (and with a margin), a bet on Liverpool since the Liverpool title will not be anything unusual and the odds are high, a bet on City since it is +110% and during the season City quotes were at the level of 1.10. |
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Theoretically, games with West Ham should not be a problem for Bayer at all, since West Ham are only 7th in the Premier League and they even have a negative goal difference. But it would be great to see Bayer in the optimal lineup + it would be great if Bayer was 100% ready for a potential game with Liverpool. In the Bundesliga, games don't really matter anymore, there are just various statistical points of interest, like how long Bayer's streak of games without defeat can be and whether they can go through the entire season without defeat.
West Ham will be easy for Bayern Leverkusen. Leverkusen has been in terrific form from the beginning of the season, and I believe they will finish the season unbeaten. However, Liverpool will be able to defeat Leverkusen if they meet in the Europa League. If Xavi Alonso finishes this season without defeat, he will be the best coach this season, but I believe Leverkusen will definitely miss a match one day before the season ends, they have already won the Bundesliga trophy because Bayern Munich can't compete with them anymore, with the gap they give Tuchel in the league table, they will just focus on the Champions League against Arsenal, and Leverkusen will focus on West Ham, but he will be a easy match for Leverkusen. Leverkusen will win their next match against Hoffenheim easily because they are playing at home and will not want to lose. It seems to me that Xabi can already be called the best coach of the season, since winning the Bundesliga in this style is something out of the realm of fantasy, given Bayer’s modest squad. And in general, it is difficult to find any reasons for Bayer’s success other than the work of the head coach. I don’t know if the club will be able to go through the entire season without defeat (in the Bundesliga it probably can), but that doesn’t matter. The most important thing is a title, at least one (and possibly the Europa League). |
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