According to Fabrizio, Xabi Alonso has already renewed for one year with Bayer Lev. and the agreement will be announced publicly shortly.
He should also have a release clause for 2025.
Hard blow for Bayern M. who thought they had already signed him after Tuchel.
Who will the Germans go to now? Will they try for Conte or try hard for Klopp?
Yes, it's already official, Xabi remains at Bayer. I can say that this is a rather ambitious decision, since it is obvious that knowing the fact that it is more difficult to repeat success with an underdog, he remains. Secondly, I can say that this is good news because the algorithm breaks down when a new star (usually a player) moves to Bayern and the championship remains boring. The next season promises to be interesting again and it is far from certain that Bayern will be able to regain the title. |
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Do you think Atletico/Dortmund's chances are worse than Barcelona's? I wonder why? Atlético and Dortmund are playing each other, which means that no matter how bad they are, one of this pair will be in the semi-finals. Barcelona is playing with PSG and it seems to me that its chances (against the backdrop of a poor game throughout the entire season) are less than those of Atletico/Dortmund.
The draw worked out in such a way that in one half we have all the favorites (Real, Arsenal, Bayern, City) and in the other all the outsiders (Dortmund, Atletico, PSG, Barcelona), so in fact everyone has approximately the same chances of reaching the final.
I agree with you, that no matter how bad they are, one of them will be in the semifinals and that is something that I think proves that they are the 8 best teams in the Champoins League this season. They have been successful in this round and managed to eliminate many of the teams competing with them. Although perhaps in terms of their chances of becoming champions, I don't think they are any bigger than the other teams in the quarter-finals. But I don't agree with what you said that everyone has the same chance to reach the final. I actually also give them a chance to reach the final and even become champions, but their percentage of chance is not the same to achieve that. Would you give Manchester City and Paris Saint Germain the same percentage to reach the final? In my opinion, that's not right, because looking at their performance, Manchester City is better, so for me Manchester City has a bigger percentage than Paris Saint Germain. City is of course stronger than PSG, but you forget that they have a very different path to the final: City, in order to reach the final, must beat Real Madrid and then Bayern/Arsenal. PSG must beat Barcelona and then Dortmund/Atlético. Which path to the final is easier? Obviously the second one. That is why I say that thanks to the draw, all 4 teams have approximately equal chances. If it had been a round-robin tournament or if there had been other pairings, the teams' chances would have been radically different. |
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Bayern have 10 points more than Dortmund, so it is logical that Bayern are clear favorites in the home game against Dortmund. But Dortmund will try their best in this game since Leipzig is only one point behind them and can push Dortmund out of the top 4. Such an outcome to the season would be catastrophic for Dortmund. In general, we can say with a high degree of confidence that the BTTS bet will play in the Bayern - Dortmund game.
I also have 100% assurance that Bayern Munich will win the match with any doubt because of the following reasons: 1- Bayern won four and drew one in their last five matches against Dortmund; this means that Dortmund didn’t win any of their last five matches against Bayern Munich. 2- Bayern Munich did not lose any of their last five matches in all competitions, while Dortmund lost one and won four. 3- Bayern Munich will try to reduce the points gap between them and Leverkusen even if they will not be able to meet up again this season, but the 10 points gap is too big for them; because of that, I don’t think they can lose any match now because they have recovered a bit after some inconsistent performances. I have a great desire to bet on Bayern in this game (maybe even with a -1 handicap) since the odds are quite generous (1.41 without a handicap), but what still stops me is the way Bayern have shown themselves all season. This will be a very risky bet, I want to choose something more reliable. Dortmund is not a big irritant for Bayern right now, maybe their thoughts are already on the game with Arsenal, and Dortmund really wants to maintain their place in the top 4. Therefore, the outcome of this game looks unreliable despite the fact that Bayern is the favorite. |
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~  Portugal really have one of the most acceptable groups for themselves. Georgia aren't much of a threat. Czechia aren't also playing like in the old times. The only big threat could be Türkiye in this group. There are really talented players in this generation of Türkiye. If they show a strong team performance they can fight back against Portugal.  I can’t say that I follow Turkish football very much, but it seemed to me that they have been in crisis for quite a long time (both at the club level and at the national team level) so they are unlikely to pose a threat to Portugal. I think if we take the strength of the teams “on paper”, then the first place will go to Portugal, the Czech Republic and Turkey will compete for second, and Georgia will remain in 4th place with no options. And by the way, I am sure that all teams will try to score as many goals as possible against Georgia, as this will increase their chance of getting into the 1/8 from third place. |
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It is not sure that AS Roma can defeat AC Milan. Many people assume AC Milan is still better than AS Roma. I can understand that people favor AC Milan because AC Milan has a better experience and history in international matches. If we learn the current performance of these teams, I think both AC Milan and AS Roma has almost the same chance. But AS Roma seems to have more injured players.  Source: fotmob.comJudging by the description of the injuries, most of them are not serious and the players will be able to take part even in the first game, which will take place on April 11. Most likely we will see both teams with almost optimal lineups. I don’t think that the chances of Milan and Roma are equal, Milan is a confident favorite by all indicators and I’m almost sure that it will be able to capitalize on its advantage. |
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Почти 2к ставка у вас? Жёстко  Ну в том плане что вы практически хайроллер  Следующие проекты есть какие-то на примете? Я так понимаю вы всё-таки не по принципу казино ставите, так что было бы интересно посмотреть что выбираете. Последние дни прочитываю эту тему мемкоины/стекинги/дропы и хотя информации полно вся она мусорная (возможно смотрю поверхностно и ошибаюсь). Мне кажется для начала нужно почитать ветку про pepe здесь, где писали как на аппаратном уровне или в смарткотрактах изначально ограничивают "левых" людей и поэтому все эти истории когда чудо-трейдер заработал с 1к 6-7 млн это все в топку, не бывает такого. Это или отмыв (грамотный) или наоборот набор новых хомяков на позиции. А если уж хочется с мемкоинами, то есть доги, есть солановкие покрупнее, там хотя бы объемы есть типа бонка и вифа. Про Пепе и те нюансы я в курсе. И вообще все вот эти статьи (которые как на конвейере появляются на форклоге и хеппикоинсньюс и прочих ресурсах) вида "трейдер потратил 500$ и за сутки превратил их в 1лям$ купив мемкоин ХХХ" воспринимаю как лохотрон и простое повторение разводов с нфт. Там тоже воштрейдили любой мусор лишь бы пришел реальный покупатель. Но я полагаю что у madnessteat адекватный алгоритм отбора проектов. |
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Мне кажется или раньше эта тема была в корневом разделе? Неужели перенос состоялся из-за вступления в силу того закона?
А по теме могу сообщить что протонвпн на компе сдох окончательно уже недели три как, причем по отзывам на соответствующих сайтах это произошло у всех пользователей. Раньше таких долгих простоев не случалось, все время какие-то обновы они делали и варианты появлялись.
На телефоне всё как работало так и работает, даже настройки не менял.
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Очередная моя инвестиция в сверх рискованные токены провалилась. Потери составили около 10 Sol. Грустно, но в принципе я был готов к такому раскладу, ведь такие инвестиции сравнимы с казино. Сегодня ты проиграл, а завтра можешь выиграть. Если не готовы терять деньги, то лучше обходите сферу мемкоинов и такого рода пресейлы стороной. Особенно это касается новичков. Почти 2к ставка у вас? Жёстко Ну в том плане что вы практически хайроллер Следующие проекты есть какие-то на примете? Я так понимаю вы всё-таки не по принципу казино ставите, так что было бы интересно посмотреть что выбираете. Последние дни прочитываю эту тему мемкоины/стекинги/дропы и хотя информации полно вся она мусорная (возможно смотрю поверхностно и ошибаюсь). |
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I will try something and bet on the opposite of bookmakers favor in two of these matchups. One will be West Ham and the other one will be Roma. Milan - Roma should already be considered as a really close matchup though. Unlike the gap between their championship odds I see them having near equal chance. Roma are much better as you have also mentioned. Milan are a really challenging opponent for them here maybe but this time they have a bigger chance with De Rossi. Leverkusen are of course quite the favourite against West Ham on paper. However seeing them having big difficulties against Qarabag for some reason tells me to give West Ham a chance with a small bet. I'm doing this just for fun so let's see what happens. Do you want to bet on West Ham reaching the semi-finals or on them winning the individual game? In general, on the one hand, it makes sense to bet against Bayer, because they can’t never lose. But on the other hand, I don’t yet see that such a bet could be made with good odds. Even at home for Bayer, the game quotes are very modest: 1.55 – 4.10 – 6.20 It seems to me that here it is more profitable to take +55% on the favorite’s victory than to look for luck on the side of the outsider. |
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I dont know how Poland always make his way to the competitions, they play one of the worst and ugly footballs i ever see for years, but they still win some points here and there and with a few draws they go into the tournaments.
About the group, what a lucky guy is Cristiano easy group for them.
Everyone was probably thinking the same thing: Portugal's group is quite suitable for Ronaldo to continue adding to his incredible international goalscoring record  But in fact, weak names do not guarantee anything, for example, the day before yesterday Portugal lost to Slovenia 2-0 and even though it was a friendly game, this is on the contrary, evidence that in Euro 24 games it will be even more difficult due to the high price of each game. |
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Today in the news they write that Kane has returned to training in the general group, and this means that he will be ready to play for the game with Dortmund. Apparently the doctors of Bayern FC quickly dealt with the damage he received (and it turned out to be not serious).
If he had dropped out for the Champions League games, it could have been a disaster for Bayern. Even with him, they were not the favorites in this pair, and without him they would have literally no trump card.
Although Bayern Munich suffer from injuries affecting known players, yet they have better odds than Borussia Dortmund which lacks Sabitzer due to suspension and Bensebaini who suffers from an injury. In addition Bayern Munich are playing home and they inflicted many goals in the latest matches so Dortmund should try to make much pression on them and pick a point at least.. Bayern have 10 points more than Dortmund, so it is logical that Bayern are clear favorites in the home game against Dortmund. But Dortmund will try their best in this game since Leipzig is only one point behind them and can push Dortmund out of the top 4. Such an outcome to the season would be catastrophic for Dortmund. In general, we can say with a high degree of confidence that the BTTS bet will play in the Bayern - Dortmund game. |
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Yes, it is obvious that for Real to reach the final they need to win against City + Bayern/Arsenal. Individually, these tasks are quite realistic, but collectively the chance is reduced. I think that the overall probability of this is approximately 30% (by the way, the same as for the other teams from this thread towards the finals). 13-14 and 15-16 - those were good times, the two best teams from Madrid found out who is the strongest club in Europe (and the World) For these Champions League predictions, I’ve assessed the chances of each team to be roughly 50-50 for virtually all the quarterfinalists. Although teams like Atletico Madrid and Dortmund may be less likely to reach the final, other teams appear to be in good form based on their performances. ~ Do you think Atletico/Dortmund's chances are worse than Barcelona's? I wonder why? Atlético and Dortmund are playing each other, which means that no matter how bad they are, one of this pair will be in the semi-finals. Barcelona is playing with PSG and it seems to me that its chances (against the backdrop of a poor game throughout the entire season) are less than those of Atletico/Dortmund. The draw worked out in such a way that in one half we have all the favorites (Real, Arsenal, Bayern, City) and in the other all the outsiders (Dortmund, Atletico, PSG, Barcelona), so in fact everyone has approximately the same chances of reaching the final. |
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I thought Kane's injury wasn't much serious but it seems like he is quite likely to miss at least 4 games and this number might get bigger depending on how fast he will reach match fitness. The Bundesliga title is already not going to Bayern Munich this time but Kane will miss the chance of breaking the goal record in the league because of this injury.  Besides he might even miss both legs of their Champions League matchup against Arsenal. This would really be a big advantage for Arsenal honestly. Because Kane has been scoring like a goal machine you know. Without him we would feel the difference. Today in the news they write that Kane has returned to training in the general group, and this means that he will be ready to play for the game with Dortmund. Apparently the doctors of Bayern FC quickly dealt with the damage he received (and it turned out to be not serious). If he had dropped out for the Champions League games, it could have been a disaster for Bayern. Even with him, they were not the favorites in this pair, and without him they would have literally no trump card. |
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By the way, I already miss the Champions League final in the form of the Real - Atlético derby. And the draw worked out so that it is quite possible  The last time Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid played against each other in the Champions League finale was in the 2015/16 season. It has been quite a long time indeed. Theoretically it is possible because of the draw form but I don't know. I assume we would see Atletico Madrid in the semi finals at least. But for Real Madrid I'm not that confident. Their performance against Leipzig wasn't convincing enough you know. Ancelotti will do his best for another season of two titles in big tournaments for sure. They would win the La Liga title but I have big doubts about the Champions League one. Yes, it is obvious that for Real to reach the final they need to win against City + Bayern/Arsenal. Individually, these tasks are quite realistic, but collectively the chance is reduced. I think that the overall probability of this is approximately 30% (by the way, the same as for the other teams from this thread towards the finals). 13-14 and 15-16 - those were good times, the two best teams from Madrid found out who is the strongest club in Europe (and the World) |
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 UEFA EURO - Winner https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/soccer/international/european-championship/uefa-euro-2024-651c19901650fc000131e848 I would call Group B an obvious group of death, but due to the format of the tournament allowing the 4th best third place teams to advance to the 1/8 finals, it can be said that there is no group of death at all. In general, most of the groups are predictable and, given the second chance for everyone, the most interesting things will begin only in the playoffs. There will be no surprises or “big” games at the group stage. Spain - Italy is certainly interesting, but not at the group stage. |
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In order to get to the final, Roma must first beat Milan, and then the winner of the Bayer - West Ham pair (Bayer). I think the probability of this is no more than 10%. The problem for Rossi is that Mourinho has set the bar very high and even repeating it will be difficult. In general, everything can end as if there was no change of coach (if Milan knocks out Roma, and in Serie A Roma does not reach the top 4).
I am glad that at the moment the Bayer - Liverpool final is becoming more and more likely, although Bayer has a more difficult path.
They can beat Leverkusen again but beating AC Milan look to be impossible for Roma and De Rossi. AC Milan and AS Roma understand each other very well because they are both from Italy and playing against each other many times in Serie A. Roma historically don't have good head to head stats against AC Milan and it is not good signal for them before two quarter final matches with Milan in Europa League. Playing against Leverkusen that is from Germany and Bundesliga can be easier for Roma if we exclude a fact that Leverkusen are stronger than themselves last season. Roma will have to pass through AC Milan before playing with Leverkusen and the first condition is very hard for them. I don't know why you rely so much on history/previous games. It seems to me that if it comes to the game Bayer - Roma, the bookmakers will quote Bayer as 1.2-1.3, that is, as a clear favorite. As for the game Roma - Milan, yes, Roma’s chances are small here and in general I don’t think that it will be an interesting game (not in the sense of the process but as a pair) because when teams from the same country meet in European Cups and these are not pairs like Real - Barcelona, then these meetings turn into ordinary ones, which we see several times every year. |
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Two years have passed unnoticed and we have a new candidate tournament, now 2024. Any thoughts on the participants? Magnus is not participating, but the other day he gave an interview where, talking about the most worthy, he suggested that it would be fair if Caruana became the next champion. At the same time, he mentioned his past favorite Firuzja and Abasov. What do you think? |
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snip
Hmm... Literally by next season Real will have a completely renewed team with three players from the world top 5 (and maybe from top 3 haha) Bellingham, Vinnie and Mbappe, the rest of the squad is also top in their positions. Such a team will be able to win literally everything, and over several years, and not just once. It seems to me that no coach, no matter what plans he has, will leave in such a situation simply because the contract expires. If Ancelotti has good results (I think everyone understands what will be a good result for Real hehe) then he will continue to cooperate with the club. Yes, I also think that is going to happen. Unless Real Madrid really wants to bring in some other coach. Which I don't think is going to happen. And I believe by that time, the players who are actually interested in coaching Real Madrid right now, and yes I am talking about Xabi Alonso, Will probably find another club except from Real Madrid. I mean literally, there are a lot of clubs that actually need a course like him at this moment. Bayern Munich, Liverpool, and a lot of other clubs will be very interested in bringing him in. I don't think he should wait for a move to Real Madrid. Because if things don't go south, I don't see Carlo Ancelotti leaving Real Madrid. I think that for Xabi, Liverpool and Bayern remain priorities, with all due respect, but maybe it’s too early for him to coach Real. Real is the top rung, Xabi showed himself super cool with Bayer, but now he needs to show himself great not with an underdog, but with a top club like Bayern/Liverpool in order to finally enter the club of elite coaches. By the way, most likely Zidane, having seen what kind of lineup Real has assembled, will try to return It’s obvious to the naked eye that with such a team you can try to repeat Zidane’s achievement and win the Champions League three times in a row. |
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https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11095/12940385/five-champions-league-places-for-premier-league-how-extra-team-can-qualify-in-2024Has everyone seen this article/information? The change will see 36 teams competing in the competition in a 'Swiss league' style, allowing for an additional place to be allocated to the two countries whose clubs perform best across all UEFA competitions.
Italy (17.714) and Germany (16.357) currently hold those positions, with England (16.250) sitting third. There is a 90% chance that Italy will be in the top 2, and this means that Roma/Atalanta will also take part in the Champions League next season. To be honest, I was very surprised when I came across this information now. In fact, such a crowd of participants (especially from one country) can reduce the prestige of the tournament (at least its early stages).
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Wow, I didn’t know that the introduction of the Swiss system and the change in the Champions League format would also be accompanied by a change in the limit on the number of participating teams from one country. Previously, it also happened that 5 teams from one country participated (if a team outside the top 4 won the Champions League or Europa League), but now this will happen every year, plus if in the future a team outside the top 5 wins the Champions League or Europa League, then 6 at once teams from one country will participate. |
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