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641  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 26, 2024, 04:58:13 PM
The introduction of the Swiss system has not been news for a long time. For football, this is truly a rubbish system and complete squalor (especially the breakdown of the home game - away game system). But there is good news: UEFA considers this format to be experimental for now, and if within a few seasons it does not prove its advantages, then a return to the old system is possible.
However, I will hope that the Super League will take advantage of the situation and ruin this garbage tournament from UEFA before it collapses itself.
UEFA in their recent changes on how the Champions League should be played have been indirectly taking away the fun of the game and if they should continue with the proposed new formula call the Swiss System, I think it's gonna drive away the passion most people have for the competition. Recently they amended some of the rules in the UEFA Champions League like the "away goal rule" which was scrapped from the competition which I think have taken away some bits of the fun and tension that comes with the rule and now they want to adopt another one. Wether they consider the new format to be experimental or not, I'm of the opinion that it is totally unnecessary to implement it and I hope they have a rethink and stop adopting the new format next season.

The away goals rule made no sense, it defied logic and forced teams to play cautiously at home - obviously the fans who came to watch their team attack suffered from this. There was only one mistake in the away goals rule: its introduction.
As for the Swiss system, it is such garbage that hardly anyone will look at it. Just like no one watches the three rounds of qualifying before the group tournament. Now you don’t have to watch games in the group “officially” but just wait for the playoff stage.
642  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: February 26, 2024, 04:52:59 PM
I think Roma are quite likely to be eliminated from the Europa League quite early. Because Brighton are a really challenging opponent for them. You know how good Brighton were in the group stage as well. They have a squad including quite talented players. I must admit the drop in their form in the Premier League recently but they are still a big threat to Roma.

Roma are trying to get better after a manager change. However we saw how bad they were against Inter for example. They aren't very good especially defensively when it comes to big games. Thinking Brighton have effective attackers I don't see their chance low at all.  Smiley

Even in the first game, which will be held in Rome, Roma will only be a formal favorite:

2.45 - 3.28 - 2.80

Despite the fact that Brighton performs worse in the Premier League than Roma in Serie A, the difference in the level of the leagues apparently has an effect. The Premier League is rated much better. It seems to me that under Mourinho, Roma would have had more chances to win against Brighton, since in closed football there are always chances, but now, most likely, we will see BTTS in both games, and Brighton will go further.
643  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: February 26, 2024, 04:40:30 PM
I thought Real Madrid would win easier than this despite not having Bellingham because of an injury. However the winning goal came quite late in the game and it was thanks to Modric's really nice finesse shot.  Smiley

Modric scored only 6 minutes after entering the game. He is 38 years old maybe but the quality is really permanent.  Grin  Especially Vinicius Junior tried really hard in this game and he was the man of the match I believe. He had really nice goal attempts with nice shots but he was just on his unlucky day. By the way there was a really critical save by Lunin in the game which could also be one like a turning point for Real Madrid. Otherwise it might have been more difficult to win here.

Yes, Vinii doesn’t score as often as the strikers, but he does a great job on the flank destroying the opponents’ defense. He remains the player on whom the most fouls are erned, and is probably a nightmare for any defender. Even if he didn’t make an assist or score a goal in a particular game, his contribution is always very great.
In general, the game was under complete dominance of Real, but they couldn’t score a goal until Modric came on, it’s good that he scored immediately and we didn’t see the nervous ending.
644  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 26, 2024, 03:27:17 PM
Just for your info.
This will be the last champions as you know it.

From the next year we will have a "european" cup.

The new formula is just garbage.

The introduction of the Swiss system has not been news for a long time. For football, this is truly a rubbish system and complete squalor (especially the breakdown of the home game - away game system). But there is good news: UEFA considers this format to be experimental for now, and if within a few seasons it does not prove its advantages, then a return to the old system is possible.
However, I will hope that the Super League will take advantage of the situation and ruin this garbage tournament from UEFA before it collapses itself.
645  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: February 26, 2024, 03:20:52 PM
Napoli's nightmare continues. Draw 1-1 with Genoa, now today it’s 1-1 again, and these are exactly the games where Napoli should take 3 points. I'm surprised that Napoli drew with Barcelona and lost to Milan only 0-1. If they are not able to confidently beat an outsider, then those results should be considered rather successful. An unpleasant section of the calendar awaits Napoli - first, a trip to Sassuolo (here they definitely need to take 3 points because there will be few opportunities further) and then a series of games with strong opponents.
It was very surprising when Napoli seemed to have difficulty stealing points at Cagliari headquarters, where the match should have been won easily by Osimhen and colleagues. We know that Cagliari is a team in the degradation  zone, but Napoli failed to take advantage of the opportunity to get an additional 3 points.

Changes to the manager position have been made again, but they have not been able to improve the team performance, Napoli is stuck in 9th place in the standings with 37 points. It's possible that they will decline further and fall out of the top 10, and management will appoint a new head coach again for the umpteenth time.

Sassuolo, Juventus, Torino, Barcelona and Inter are Napoli next opponents, most likely the Calzona fleet will continue to have nightmares. The defending champions experienced a very significant decline in performance, they failed to meet fans expectations of being able to compete again as title contenders.

9th or 10th place doesn't really make any difference. The most important thing is that they definitely don’t make it into the top 4, which means they won’t play in the Champions League next season (unless by some miracle they win the Champions League this season). Now the maximum they can count on is the Europa League and the Conference League.
I think the head coach will not be changed until the summer, regardless of the results - it seems to me that the management has already come to terms with the fact that this season is lost.
Probably the only game that is important for Napoli this season is the game with Barcelona.
646  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Понятие собственности применительно к б&# on: February 26, 2024, 03:12:53 PM
В этом контексте заиграло новыми красками положение российского закона о том, что требования, связанные с цифровой валютой, подлежат судебной защите только при условии предварительного декларирования владения этой цифровой валютой. Подстраховался российский законодатель от таких коллизий!

Будь я Крейгом Райтом, я бы на всякий случай написал в российскую налоговую письмо, информирующее о том, что я владею биткоинами Сатоши Накамото. Мало ли они когда-нибудь в движение придут…

От коллизий это не спасает. Вы можете декларировать что угодно (себе во вред, так как например когда ваш кошель взломают и отправят средства террористам вы сядете просто ну 100%), но вы не сможете задекларировать что кроме вас никто не знает ваша потаенное число.

Не совсем понятно как их декларировать. Если это какие-нибудь псевдо битки от Тинькофф, то там вроде всё понятно. А если это нативные битки у вас на кошельке? Объявить, что ты владеешь битками и написать об этом в газету?) Опять-таки, даже при любом публичном упоминании, надо ещё и подписать сообщение какое-нибудь с кошеля или сделать микротранзакции. Я, честно говоря, не знаю, декларирует ли в РФ кто-то владение биткойнами из частных лиц и как это происходит на практике. Вообще было бы забавно исследовать этот опыт.

Как я понял вопрос только в налогах так что никто даже проверять не будет можете вы подписать адрес или нет. Подаете декларацию, а там уж разберутся как налог посчитать, остальные технические детали им неинтересны.
647  Local / Майнеры / Re: Донеси на майнера в Китае on: February 26, 2024, 03:03:41 PM
~
это звучит нереально, из за того что для производства современных чипов сегодня не нужны такие инвестиции. это бюджет страны с населением больше 300 миллионов и огромной территорией, которая еще и все войны финансирует. какими средствами такой бюджет можно освоить на ограниченном месте, если не на другой планете?

Ну для вас нереально. Для меня тоже. Я например вряд ли смогу осознать разницу между миллиардом долларов и 10-тью. А вот люди которые такими деньгами реально ворочают вполне справляются. И я думаю раз они завели речь о триллионах то явно не с потолка эту цифру взяли.

Вот кстати на днях капитализация Нвидии опять АТХ пробила:

Quote
Капитализация Nvidia за день увеличилась на $277 млрд — это рекордный суточный прирост для фондового рынка США
На момент публикации рыночная капитализация компании составляет $1,998 трлн.
https://vc.ru/money/1045283-kapitalizaciya-nvidia-za-den-uvelichilas-na-277-mlrd-eto-rekordnyy-sutochnyy-prirost-dlya-fondovogo-rynka-ssha

Таким образом всего у 11 стран ВВП больше чем капа Нвидии  Grin
А мы тут переживаем что обосратая крипта (с общей капой в 2 триллиона) расти не будет.
648  Local / Бизнес / Re: Обзор подписных рекламных компаний за BTC on: February 26, 2024, 02:50:09 PM
Рейтинг там ввели давно, наверно уже больше года как. Недавно на них был небольшой наезд за якобы способствование спаму на форуме, поэтому они решили в очередной раз модифицировать условия кампахи.
Как раз сегодня неделя истекает, посмотрю как они изменили систему оценки постов (обещались изменить), потому что раньше она была весьма своеобразная.
Пользователи с плохим рейтингом вылетают если в кампанию просятся более крутые постеры, однако, я хз зачем сейчас крутым постерам сюда проситься, и на моей памяти выгоняли за всю историю (больше двух лет я здесь кажется) буквально пару раз.
649  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: February 25, 2024, 05:24:33 PM
Error in defending gives Cagliari a much needed point against Napoli. Napoli were cruising to a win with a goal from Victor Osimhen and the game went into additional time of 6 mins. Cagliari defender hoofs the ball up into the D of Napoli and the defender, instead of controlling it, lets it go for the GK, but the GK wasn't even close. Luvumbo controls the ball and pokes it into the goal in pretty much the last kick of the game, makes it 1-1. Defender is caught sleeping and Napoli is inching further away from their European football ambitions.

Napoli's nightmare continues. Draw 1-1 with Genoa, now today it’s 1-1 again, and these are exactly the games where Napoli should take 3 points. I'm surprised that Napoli drew with Barcelona and lost to Milan only 0-1. If they are not able to confidently beat an outsider, then those results should be considered rather successful. An unpleasant section of the calendar awaits Napoli - first, a trip to Sassuolo (here they definitely need to take 3 points because there will be few opportunities further) and then a series of games with strong opponents.
650  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 25, 2024, 04:45:23 PM
Yesterday, Bayern only needed a victory (as in the case with Lazio, where Bayern needed at least a minimal victory in order not to be eliminated immediately but to send the game to extra time) and they were able to achieve it barely in stoppage time. It seems to me that Lazio and Leipzig are quite comparable in strength and the fact that Bayern is playing without any margin of safety is alarming. I don’t want to believe that they will be eliminated in the 1/8 finals, but in any case, they are now in no condition to compete with Real or City.

It's very hard to think about it caused by bayern really needs to perform even better compared to the first leg. In fact, bayern's performing was so awful during the first leg. It makes me doubtful it. The victory can be achieved only if bayern will able make at least two goals or even more. Bayern is now losing one goal for the second leg.
This puts club in disadvantage compared to the lazio. Im willing to see lazio to play defensively against it. Bayern was not in good condition to compete with real or city. The gap was very very big from bayern to be compared with real madrid or city.
~

By the way, bookmakers are quite optimistic about Bayern's chances in the return game, here are the quotes:

1.28 - 5.49 - 9.02

Even a victory with a handicap of -1 goal is assessed as quite probable: as 1.87. But I think this is more likely based on the fact that Lazio is weak and their play is far from the same as last season. Bookmakers’ quotes on who will take the title are more eloquent:


Manchester City 2.45

Real Madrid 5.39

Arsenal 7.35

Fc Bayern Munich 8.82

It turns out that Bayern not only fell out of the big three, but is rated worse than Arsenal.
651  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: February 25, 2024, 04:32:53 PM
Real Madrid vs Sevilla is one of the highlights of today's match schedule. Real Madrid lost very important points away to Rayo Vallecano last week. They still lead the league by 5 points, but the points they lost against Rayo Vallecano shocked everyone. On the other hand, Sevilla have had good stability in recent weeks. They have 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 league games. They were close to the relegation zone but with good results, they have moved away from the relegation zone. Real Madrid are favorites in this match but I will not bet on this match.

Personally, I wasn't shocked, take me off your "everyone" list  Grin Favorites often lose points (much more often than it seems, on average in top championships the champion scores 75-80% of points). Taking into account the fact that Girona lost their game, the last round was completely in favor of Real.
I can assume that Real will beat crisis Seville without any problems, here are the quotes for this game:

1.23 - 6.08 - 11.27

Obviously there will be something like 2-0, 3-1 or 3-0. After the relative failure with Rayo Vallecano, Real will be rushing and throwing today.
652  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: February 25, 2024, 04:23:47 PM
With all due respect to these clubs, such pictures must be accompanied by text because not every football fan knows the coat of arms of Karabakh or Slavia  Grin
In addition to top pairs like Roma - Brighton, I would pay attention to the Sparta - Liverpool pair, despite the fact that Sparta will be a clear underdog it can cause a lot of problems for Liverpool (which is focused on the Premier League), their victory over Galatasaray impressed me.
After the draw for the round of 16 was completed, I didn't focus too much on who would face who. What's most interesting for me is that Liverpool and Leverkusen are in different pots, the potential for an ideal final is huge if these two teams both qualify. Liverpool and Leverkusen are still able to maintain their performance well, in the domestic league they are still able to maintain first position in the standings list.
Apart from having to focus on maintaining their position, they also need to maintain their performance in the Europa League. The potential for getting into the final is huge for these two teams based on their current performance, I really hope the Europa League final has an atmosphere like the Champions League final.

Previous years have taught us that underdogs are more likely to play in the finals than favorites, but I liked your idea. Taking into account the fact that Bayer's championship is already practically a fact (a truly historical event after 5 second places and the nickname Neverkusen), and Liverpool has good chances, there is a possibility that the champion of Germany will play against the champion of England in the Europa League final. Interesting story, isn't it?
But I don’t agree that everything else is not interesting, now it’s the playoffs and I like almost all the pairs, each of them has some meaning and interest.
653  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 25, 2024, 04:15:28 PM
What happened in the Bundesliga put the Bayern team in serious trouble and this will have an impact on the team's performance so Lazio can take advantage of this in the first leg to steal important points at home to Bayern.
The possibility of a second leg in the future is still wide open for Bayern, but I am quite pessimistic after seeing Bayern's performance at the moment, they are really not at their best and also the second leg will be played at home to Lazio so this will be very difficult. for Bayern.

Yesterday, Bayern only needed a victory (as in the case with Lazio, where Bayern needed at least a minimal victory in order not to be eliminated immediately but to send the game to extra time) and they were able to achieve it barely in stoppage time. It seems to me that Lazio and Leipzig are quite comparable in strength and the fact that Bayern is playing without any margin of safety is alarming. I don’t want to believe that they will be eliminated in the 1/8 finals, but in any case, they are now in no condition to compete with Real or City.
654  Local / Разное / Re: КИВИ ВСЁ! on: February 25, 2024, 03:18:40 PM
дык какие здесь банки агенты, если киви ликвидируется?
че я могу, то отправить письмо в АСВ, то если мне не ответят или еще чето затребуют, то мне проще забыть о этих 10 тысячах.
вы знайте до какого срока можно отправить такие письма, чтобы быть поставленным в очередь?

Вы прям принципиально ничего не читаете (зато каких-то юристов наслушаться успели).

Quote
Временная администрация не осуществляет расчеты с вкладчиками и другими кредиторами. Это делают банки-агенты АСВ
~
ЧТО ДЕЛАТЬ, ЕСЛИ У ВАС БЫЛ ВКЛАД/СЧЕТ В КИВИ БАНКЕ

Узнать на сайте АСВ список банков-агентов — тех кредитных организаций, которые должны выплатить вам страховку. АСВ публикует такой список не в день отзыва лицензии, а позднее — точную дату можно уточнить на сайте агентства.

Подать заявление о компенсации в банк-агент. Сделать это можно с момента начала выплат и до дня завершения ликвидации банка — процесс идет около года. Чтобы подать заявку, нужно взять паспорт, заполненное по специальной форме заявление и прийти в банк. Вы можете послать заявление и по почте, но тогда документы нужно заверить у нотариуса. Если вы наследник вкладчика, нужно также представить документы, которые подтверждают ваше право на наследство.

Выбрать форму компенсации. Если у вас был вклад для физических лиц, вы можете получить компенсацию как наличными, так и по безналичному расчету. Если вы индивидуальный предприниматель, деньги можно получить только на расчетный счет.
https://novayagazeta.ru/articles/2024/02/24/u-kivi-banka-otozvana-litsenziia-chto-delat

Не позднее 6-го марта начинаются выплаты вкладчикам, а значит полную инфу должны дать еще раньше.

На вашем месте не знаю стоит ли заморачиваться из-за 10к, походами к нотариусу->банк или на почту для отправления заказного письма с описью вложения. Как по мне так овчинка выделки не стоит, но если время есть вободное (и деньги на нотариуса/письма) то почему нет.

Ничего себе "повезло"! $500 подарить моральным уебкам это "повезло вы считаете? Мне было бы очень обидно, хотя конечно стараюсь столько фиатного эквивалента в банках долго не держать (ну, может кому пригодится)

Я сравниваю с началом года когда у меня там больше 10к$ лежало. Причем просто на киви кошельках, без всяких карт.
Разница для меня существенная ( >10k$ или <500$ потерять/заморозить).
Слава богу я с киви кошельков скидывал на свои сберовские карты, и однажды подумал, что 3% за перевод это слишком дофига выходит в итоге и сделал киви карты. Ну а далее уже и ограничения ввели поэтому и на их балансе я держал по минимуму.
655  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: February 25, 2024, 02:42:21 PM
~
According to my predictions, I am very confident that MU will win because there are still Rashford and Bruno Fernandes who will be the mainstays for scoring in today's match and according to the recent performances of these two clubs, Manchester United is much better at getting consistent wins while Fulham still looks very bad.
Erik Ten Hag will not waste this opportunity because Fulham is a weak club at the moment so they have to try to bring Manchester United to get 3 winning points to give a record of 5 consecutive wins as you said.

Rashford is Pinocchio Grin At some point it seemed that he was promising, but after he signed a contract with a serious salary increase, there was simply nothing left of him. He can't beat a defender. When there is a defender in front of him, he simply runs forward and bumps into him.
Fulham won and I don’t see anything unusual in this, rather what was unusual was that United had successful games before, but now it’s just a return to the average.
What made me laugh was that TH released Anthony onto the field, whom he had kept in reserve the entire game, a minute before the end of the game (in the 9th added minute). What did he expect?  Grin
656  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: February 25, 2024, 02:34:21 PM
I have heard De Bruyne has some interest in him from Saudi Arabia. Manchester City are said to have set a price tag worth 100 million pounds for him if it is really true though.  Huh

But it wouldn't be surprising if it is either. Because De Bruyne is currently one of the best performing players in Europe. He is 32 years old maybe but it doesn't affect his performance negatively even a bit. He surely deserves to be priced at this level while there is a huge increase in every player's worth these days.  Smiley  Manchester City simply don't want to let him go. I think there would be a Saudi Arabia team to make an offer anyway. But would De Bruyne accept it?

KDB has already won everything that could be won with City and now is the time to think about making money (while the Saudis are still willing to pay above the market, plus he is not yet 35 years old when he already has to choose between leaving for a weaker team and retiring). It seems to me that it would be right for him to go to Saudi Arabia while he is still at a good age and can be a star there. As we saw, Neymar, Benzema and many others thought that in Saudi Arabia millions are earned easily, but everything turned out differently.
657  Local / Разное / Re: КИВИ ВСЁ! on: February 24, 2024, 08:33:41 PM
дык я сегодня посмотрел юристов и они говорят что никакие вы не вкладчики, даже если у вас есть банковская карта. там если банк банкротился, то больше вариантов что нибудь получить, а когда банк закрывается, то вам даже и жалобу не накого писать. будем посмотреть как говорят, но меня убедили что деньги на карте это не вклад.

Ну видать чатгтп-юристы или юристы-блогеры такое мнение высказывали.
"Жалобу не на кого писать" ну это фейспалм же. Есть внешнее управление и потом  будут банки-агенты.

Quote
Классические банковские карты однозначно подлежат страхованию в АСВ — Агентстве страхования вкладов. Дело в том, что деньги, хранимые нами на пластиковых дебетовых карточках — это средства, размещенные на текущие счета физлиц. Они открываются по итогам подписания договора банковского счета, который, в свою очередь, является частью договора на выпуск и обслуживание дебетового «пластика». Таким образом, в соответствии с законодательством, те средства, которые мы помещаем на карточку, считаются вкладом, поскольку размещаются они на основании договора банковского счета/вклада. Следовательно, они подлежат страхованию.
https://bankiros.ru/wiki/term/zastrahovany-li-dengi-na-debetovoj-karte

Скиньте этим горе юристам, пусть подивятся. У меня именно дебетовые карты, так что за эту часть вопроса не волнуюсь.

Даже чисто из соображений здравого смысла понятно что ваши рубли на дебетовой карте находятся в банковской системе и являются вкладом. Другое дело виртуальные "купоны" (которыми являются все "денежные" единицы вроде денег на электронных кошельках, балансов различных сервисов где у вас есть аккаунт и т.д.).
Но как я уже написал это сторона дела меня не волнует. Считаю повезло, так как выбивать от помершей стороны исполнения обязательств это удовольствие с непонятными перспективами и сроками.
658  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: February 24, 2024, 08:16:15 PM
More rumors today about Osimhen.

As we already know they already announced that he leave Napoli, he will probably go to PSG at this point over Mbappé.

If this is true, then it is a rather strange choice for a player who initially did not want to leave Napoli until he gained more experience after the last bright season. Even though PSG is now building a normal team (without retired stars), Ligue 1 is not competitive and in general a league where you can show yourself or grow. Moving to Ligue 1 from Serie A is a relegation/downshift.
659  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: February 24, 2024, 11:15:19 AM
yes With Hojlund being absent for 3 to 5 weeks this will be a big loss for Manchester United who are currently in the hunt for 4th place in the standings. In my opinion Erik Ten Hag will again lose stability in his attack line. They will face Manchester City in the 28th match which will certainly only make the situation worse. Even if it is maximized there is still a possibility that Manchester United can at least finish in the top 6 and play in the European League.

Today they write that he can recover in 2-3 weeks. Apparently he will only miss the games with Fulham, Nottingham and City, and will be able to play against Everton on March 9th. But even if his recovery is delayed, United should beat Everton, Sheffield and Brentford without any problems.
In general, it’s a pity that he was injured because he got into great shape and in the last games began to prove that he was not bought in vain.
660  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 24, 2024, 11:01:58 AM
Even when Napoli were the hosts when they faced Barcelona in the first leg, Napoli seemed to have difficulty keeping up with every attack made by Barcelona. So if Napoli were the hosts, it would already be difficult. So of course Napoli will have more difficulty in the second leg where Barcelona is the host. At least Barcelona can always beat weak teams in Laliga. This is different from Napoli, which even finds it difficult to win when facing weak teams in Serie A. So I think Barcelona will indeed progress past the last 16 due to problems in the second leg. Because yes, Napoli this season is very different from Napoli last season.

I think it will be easier for Napoli in the return game - in the end, the most important thing for them will be not to concede a goal and possibly wait for a penalty shootout. Barcelona have had trouble scoring goals against tightly defending teams this season, so this plan could work. Plus Barcelona will be under pressure because, after a drawn first game, they will have to win at home. And by the way, Napoli showed character in the first game, winning back from 0-1, so I think that the second game will have an equal chance of winning.
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