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701  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donetsk, Kharkov, Lugansk - way to Russia. on: August 26, 2014, 02:22:01 PM
Man, things would have been so much simpler if Ukraine overthrew its dictator, Russia did NOT put out propaganda about  the new almost powerless government being fascist, and those who did actually want to leave simply voted to and did it, instead of having Russian troops invade Ukraine and start a huge fight. If those oblasts wanted to break off, I doubt Ukraine government would have protested much, since they didn't have the power or interest in it, but are now forced to fight because Russia started a war.
702  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is a Madmax outcome coming before 2020? Thus do we need anonymity? on: August 26, 2014, 02:16:49 PM
One of the most popular Android wallets, Mycelium, is almost done implementing HD wallets that will use a different address for every transaction. After that it will implement Tor as the only method or sending money, and after that CoinJoin as default anonymization method. People will be using a popular wallet with full anonymity by default, without even knowing about it.
703  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: August 26, 2014, 02:12:28 PM
In a fully automated society, everyone is in the parasite class category. Demand and need will be drastically different than what we see today.

That implies everyone is of a parasite mentality. Some people keep working even after they retire, or after they become millionaires and have no reason to keep working to earn a living.

To keep working, you need to have a job that meet the need of the population at that time. If everything is being done by robot, there will be no need that can't be done by robot and no job around for human.

Impossible. Humans will always find something to do, even if it doesn't pay them anything more than recognition for something they did.

For small group of people, yes. What about the rest of the population?

They will get fat from lethargy, and die young of heart complications, or suicides from boredom and depression due to feeling useless. Plus lazy fat people who have no drive or interest in anything are not sexy at all, so they probably will not procreate either.
704  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Ongoing Civil War in America on: August 26, 2014, 02:09:36 PM
That's a forest fire...
705  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Do People Believe Bitcoin Will Replace Fiat? on: August 26, 2014, 04:58:05 AM
Anyone who says "I don't think bitcoin will replace fiat in our lifetimes" is quite literally saying "I don't think USD will collapse in our lifetime." I'm not 100% convinced it will, but I'm not sure USD can handle another 97% drop in value, with the debt it's based on going up from $15trillion to $150trillion, if it continues to rise at the same rate it has for the last many decades. There just isn't enough wealth in the world to keep it going like that. Then the only question is what happens when US is suddenly forced to stop borrowing to support its USD...
706  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Do People Believe Bitcoin Will Replace Fiat? on: August 25, 2014, 02:34:55 PM
It's really just a simple waiting game. There is a strong need for a world reserve currency (currently filled by USD, and somewhat my EUR). Fiat currencies have a 100% failure rate, and an average life expectancy of 27 years. Even USD we use today is only about 45 years old, since it switched from being a gold-backed currency to free floating fiat in 1971. So as long as you believe that bitcoin, being an open-source free-to-innovate platform, can continue to exist and be innovated on top of, it should simply outlast all other fiat currencies one by one, with the countries of those failed currencies adopting both bitcoin and the last world reserve currency. If USD collapses within a few short years, with bitcoin adoption still being low those countries will adopt both bitcoin and EUR. If USD lasts for a few more decades, most countries will probably end up using USD and BTC already, and will switch exclusively to BTC as soon as USD dies. At that point, BTC will have completely replaced all fiat.

There's also the black hole fiat collapse scenario, where if bitcoin gains about 50% of world-wide adoption, where it will not make a difference for a merchant or person whether he receives USD or BTC, at that point BTC's technological advantages over USD will kick in full force, people will start preferring BTC, and as a result, the balance of use will tip greatly in BTC's favor. This also means that with more and more people choosing to take BTC, BTC adoption and price will suddenly skyrocket, people will start dumping dollars to switch to BTC, which will make BTC price go up even faster, which will cause more people to switch, over and over in a self feeding cycle, with BTC literally sucking out all the wealth from the USD in a very short period of time. The 50% adoption rate is the "event horizon" in this black hole scenario, and if this happens, it will happen VERY suddenly and VERY quickly, likely causing a whole lot of damage to people too slow to keep up in the process.


The worst are the people who have some political cause, claim Bitcoin is part of that cause, and try to imply that anyone who uses Bitcoin agrees with them and supports their cause.

As Andreas says, Bitcoin's political cause is neutrality, while the world's political cause is SEVERELY skewed to the side. So, in that kind of a world, just being neutral seems like being politically radical. Kind of like just being neutral to everyone and treating everyone equally was a radical political stance at a time when some people were slaves.
707  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who's brave/stupid enough to invest their life savings into Bitcoin? on: August 25, 2014, 02:23:17 PM
Reading a story from a few years ago where someone invested all their life savings into Bitcoin and started to live off Bitcoin. that guy was a lucky guy as now the price as more than tripled to when he invested in it. Anyone else brave enough to do this?

Was that story about me, or Rick Falkvinge?

Hey Dmitry... Did u invest your life savings in Bitcoin ?

Who's this Dmitry character   <.<   >.>

I moved my savings into bitcoin about same time as Rick, and moved my checking into it in June of last year. I've been using Bitcoin as my main money for over a year now, mostly relying on Gyft and Purse.io


Off-topic: Are u really 76 ? From your pic it seems that you are not more than 67 !!! Wink

Why thanks! Glad I look younger Cheesy (no, I'm nowhere near any of those ages)
708  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who's brave/stupid enough to invest their life savings into Bitcoin? on: August 25, 2014, 02:20:42 PM
The key here is it all depends on how much savings you've got. Most people I know have life savings of less than a year's salary, and don't own any assets. For them, it would probably make sense to invest a lot, >50%, because they could make the money back by living very economically for a few years.

If you have a million dollars in the bank, then it would be pretty dumb to invest >50% of it IMO, I would say no more than 15%, more like 5%

This is such bad advice. You're advising the guy who doesn't have money to invest a lot of it, and the guy who has tons to invest a little.

This is actually pretty standard (smart) advice. You want to have a risky investment when you are young, and move to a safer investment as you get closer to retirement.


However to say that Bitcoin is as "safe", at this time, as dollars is just totally not true.  There would have to be some sort of worldwide strife to destroy the dollar's value.

What about US tax revenue reaching a point where it can't cover US interest on debt, at which point US has to either cut billions of dollars of spending instantly, or drastically increase inflation, which will increase interest on debt, which will increase the amount they have to inflate, over and over?


On the other hand with a relatively small amount of fiat money someone could 51% attack BTC and destroy it.

A 51% attack can't destroy bitcoin. In a catastrophic worst case scenario, it could make it stop working for a day or two until the attacker is neutralized. It will tank the price temporarily, but will retain all of its other functionality, and will just increase trust even more by demonstrating that it can survive.

Armory sucks for me. Upgrading it erased my Bitcoin Core installation. The bootstrap still doesn't work after several tries. Now I have a week long download ahead of me. I will wait until there is a lite version.

Armory detects if your bitcoind doesn't have the blockchain, and downloads it over torrent for you automatically. Takes about an hour.

1. My intuition tells me BTC and any PoW coin will slowly decline as mining becomes more centralized and harder, people will steadily migrate to alternative crypto's that don't use a PoW model.

Only MINERS will move to alternative cryptos. Not users, businesses, or developers. Besides, who cares about miners? People can't print USD at home, and don't avoid it because only a handful of people are able to print it.
709  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: August 25, 2014, 12:18:28 PM
In a fully automated society, everyone is in the parasite class category. Demand and need will be drastically different than what we see today.

That implies everyone is of a parasite mentality. Some people keep working even after they retire, or after they become millionaires and have no reason to keep working to earn a living.

To keep working, you need to have a job that meet the need of the population at that time. If everything is being done by robot, there will be no need that can't be done by robot and no job around for human.

Impossible. Humans will always find something to do, even if it doesn't pay them anything more than recognition for something they did.
710  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: August 25, 2014, 11:52:11 AM
In a fully automated society, everyone is in the parasite class category. Demand and need will be drastically different than what we see today.

That implies everyone is of a parasite mentality. Some people keep working even after they retire, or after they become millionaires and have no reason to keep working to earn a living.
711  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who's brave/stupid enough to invest their life savings into Bitcoin? on: August 25, 2014, 11:23:15 AM
Reading a story from a few years ago where someone invested all their life savings into Bitcoin and started to live off Bitcoin. that guy was a lucky guy as now the price as more than tripled to when he invested in it. Anyone else brave enough to do this?

Was that story about me, or Rick Falkvinge?
712  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Mycelium Entropy Indiegogo results on: August 25, 2014, 11:14:25 AM
Our Indiegogo campaign is over, and here are the stats (combined IndieGogo and Bitcoin contributions)

Total amount raised: $32,156

Total # of units ordered: 700

Total # of t-shirts ordered: 220

Thank you VERY much for your help! Most of the orders came from big obvious places, like USA, UK, Europe, Canada, and Australia, but we've even had orders from as far as Chile, Korea, Turkey, and UAE. Bitcoin is truly global Smiley This amount should help us cover most of the costs of ordering  the first mass production run of these devices, which we should be placing some time this week (we'll have a final meeting to finalize things either tomorrow or Wednesday). We plan to order a few thousand units (with funds raised from you, and our own funds), since we already had a few requests from merchants to carry these as well, so there shouldn't be any issues with ordering these as soon as we finish shipping the initial Indiegogo ones. The remaining steps, which will be done at the same time the devices are being made, are:

  • Add Litecoin support as an easily configurable setting on the device (Thanks for helping us reach the stretch goal Litecoiners!).
  • Finalize software support for creating HD wallet seeds (hopefully just in time for the release of HD wallets in our Android wallet).
  • Design packaging materials, such as boxes, inserts with instructions/warnings, etc. We will probably keep these somewhat plain though (we're going for security at lowest price, not flashiness).
  • Set up distribution accounts with Amazon in USA, Europe, and Asia, since we'll be using them to fulfill most of the orders.
  • Design the t-shirts.
  • And, of course, publish the finalized source code and hardware schematics for these devices. In case some software security issues are found, we should have plenty of time to get them fixed before we ship.

Speaking of the t-shirts, we'd like some feedback from you. Do you guys want t-shirts that mention Mycelium Entropy, ones that just mention Mycelium, or ones that just have our logo, but don't specifically advertise the company, with just text that, for example, says "Ad-hoc Economy" on them, so that if you are asked about it you can talk about either Mycelium, or just bitcoin?

Even though Indiegogo contributions are over, we'll leave the BitPay links up for anyone who still wants to order one, and, of course, for anyone who still wants a t-shirt.
713  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: August 25, 2014, 11:14:02 AM
You know the saying "Time is money?" As long as time exists, money will exist. Even if everything you could ever want is provided for you, someone will always want it provided to them faster, or be the first in line to get it.

Who defines the value correlation between them,

Same people who decide the correlation between bitcoins and dollars: traders on the market. Someone will say I will pay $ to get this cool thing first, and someone else will say they'll pay $+1.
714  Bitcoin / Mycelium / Re: Mycelium Bitcoin Wallet on: August 25, 2014, 11:13:34 AM
Our Indiegogo campaign is over, and here are the stats (combined IndieGogo and Bitcoin contributions)

Total amount raised: $32,156

Total # of units ordered: 700

Total # of t-shirts ordered: 220

Thank you VERY much for your help! Most of the orders came from big obvious places, like USA, UK, Europe, Canada, and Australia, but we've even had orders from as far as Chile, Korea, Turkey, and UAE. Bitcoin is truly global Smiley This amount should help us cover most of the costs of ordering  the first mass production run of these devices, which we should be placing some time this week (we'll have a final meeting to finalize things either tomorrow or Wednesday). We plan to order a few thousand units (with funds raised from you, and our own funds), since we already had a few requests from merchants to carry these as well, so there shouldn't be any issues with ordering these as soon as we finish shipping the initial Indiegogo ones. The remaining steps, which will be done at the same time the devices are being made, are:

  • Add Litecoin support as an easily configurable setting on the device (Thanks for helping us reach the stretch goal Litecoiners!).
  • Finalize software support for creating HD wallet seeds (hopefully just in time for the release of HD wallets in our Android wallet).
  • Design packaging materials, such as boxes, inserts with instructions/warnings, etc. We will probably keep these somewhat plain though (we're going for security at lowest price, not flashiness).
  • Set up distribution accounts with Amazon in USA, Europe, and Asia, since we'll be using them to fulfill most of the orders.
  • Design the t-shirts.
  • And, of course, publish the finalized source code and hardware schematics for these devices. In case some software security issues are found, we should have plenty of time to get them fixed before we ship.

Speaking of the t-shirts, we'd like some feedback from you. Do you guys want t-shirts that mention Mycelium Entropy, ones that just mention Mycelium, or ones that just have our logo, but don't specifically advertise the company, with just text that, for example, says "Ad-hoc Economy" on them, so that if you are asked about it you can talk about either Mycelium, or just bitcoin?

Even though Indiegogo contributions are over, we'll leave the BitPay links up for anyone who still wants to order one, and, of course, for anyone who still wants a t-shirt.
715  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Ongoing Civil War in America on: August 25, 2014, 08:45:15 AM
Hey, thanks to this thread, I now know that Alex Johnes is anti-vaccine, so now I know that he's an even bigger moron than I thought he was. Guess this thread is educational after all.
716  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin as a socially fair currency on: August 25, 2014, 08:42:01 AM
"Citigroup currency analyst Steven Englander is out with a long Sunday note talking about everyone's favorite topic: digital currency.

In it, he makes an important observation about the extreme inequality in the Bitcoin world:

Best estimates are that there are about one million holders of Bitcoin;  47 individuals hold about 30 percent, another 900 hold a further 20 percent, the next 10,000 about 25% and another million about 20%, with 5% being lost.  So 1/10th of one percent represent about half the holdings of Bitcoin and 1 percent close to 80 percent
...
The distribution of Bitcoin holdings  looks much like the distribution of wealth in North Korea and makes the China’s and even the US’ wealth distribution look like that of a workers’ paradise. There are estimates of a  Gini coefficient of 0.88 for Bitcoin, but if anything the estimates are low if big holders own multiple wallets and the overall concentration of Bitcoin wealth is greater than in the sample used to estimate the coefficients" -- http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-inequality-2014-1

"The Gini coefficient (also known as the Gini index or Gini ratio) (/dʒini/ jee-nee) is a measure of statistical dispersion intended to represent the income distribution of a nation's residents. This is the most commonly used measure of inequality." -- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient


Articles like these are very dishonest, because they don't take into account that bitcoin is a brand new technology just starting to be dispersed. A month after Bitcoin launched, only about 3 or 4 people owned it in total, with one of them owning almost all of it. Since Bitcoin isn't a central bank type system (where a privileged few keep making money for themselves), or a proof of stake system (where money gets concentrated to whoever has most of it by default), it's expected that bitcoin will keep getting dispersed among more and more people. Those who have a lot of it will keep spending it, and the only ones who will get more and more of it will be those who actually work to earn it.
717  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin as a socially fair currency on: August 25, 2014, 08:36:46 AM

The WhaleCoin Cheesy or what to call it would be just like bitcoin, a decentralized peer-to-peer cryptocurrency with anonymity etc.

Then it would be no different from any other altcoin, except with an obvious pump-and-dump backing, and severe lack of developers (all the best cryptocoin devs are working on bitcoin)
718  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin as a socially fair currency on: August 24, 2014, 09:48:38 PM
They, the mega whales, want to keep dominating the markets and not let today's bitcoin owners become more powerful and wealthy than the mega whales. And those big traders can easily launch their own cryptocurrency once legal regulations are in place.

Hey! I came to think of another possibility. Governments will not allow any independent cryptocurrency to become too big. They will therefore introduce an official cryptocurrency.

Easier said than done. How do you propose they not allow bitcoin to become too big? And why would anyone else use their cryptocurrency?

The total value of bitcoin today is puny compared to the trillions of dollars being swapped around on the fiat exchanges. If some of the really big players decide to cooperate and issue their own cryptocurrency they can easily and quickly pump up the price of that currency, and then the smaller investors would start to follow in order to gain on the massive upward momentum. In this way their cryptocurrency could match bitcoin within a couple of months and then go up much further leaving bitcoin behind like pocket change.

OK, so they spend a bunch of money to create a currency that they control. Then they put it up on an exchange, that they also control, and as people trade it, start buying MASSIVE amounts for billions of dollars, to pump up the price to Bitcoins level. But, all they really did is create another PalPal, with a floating exchange rate, while having none of the benefits offered by Bitcoin, since their currency is not decentralized, not anonymous, not politically neutral,  is entirely backed by their company (as opposed to not depending on engine), and completely closed off to development and innovation. As soon as they stop dumbing billions of their own dollars to pump it, that currency will crash back down to almost nothing, as people exit back to the only currency that actually has the features they were looking for in the first place.

This whole exercise would be as if Microsoft were to make their own Linux, pump it by PAYING you touy it, but leave everything that makes Linux competitive out of Linux (bad security, closed source, etc.).
719  Economy / Economics / Re: whales are stupid on: August 24, 2014, 05:42:24 AM
If a whale can make some money by moving the market with his large holdings, what is wrong with it?

By knocking it down too much.

They should keep it fluctuating at a level. Even if they are manipulating the market, they should keep it at one price range. It was good when they kept it at $800 or $600 but now they keep sinking it slowly. People will lose trust in BTC. The Chinese will leave. The Chinese are driving the price up and the stupid western whales drive it down. At least keep it at $500!!

The problem is that they don't talk to each other, don't coordinate with each other, and don't even trust each other. If one of them sells, the others have no way of knowing if he's trying to crash the market, or just buying another Lamborghini.
720  Bitcoin / Meetups / Re: announcement: the international "when-bitcoin-reaches 1000,- $ party" on: August 24, 2014, 05:33:35 AM
Fuck it, let's just have a party every time it crosses $500!  Grin
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