This is correct. According to their personal text, the following key belongs to nimda (0xFB0D8D1534241423): https://pgp.mit.edu/pks/lookup?op=get&fingerprint=on&search=0xFB0D8D1534241423Fingerprint=ABE9 8229 CA88 8590 7190 318D FB0D 8D15 3424 1423 -----BEGIN PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK-----
Version: SKS 1.1.5
Comment: Hostname: pgp.mit.edu
mQENBE/lGrIBCACrfQ1z980Q6hNaP48/SvD7iGaoZ9sYsvcN3Jy7IgoTQugwkHQQZb9FUo8l
v+BOgsIDZrCS7MpmQoFevgdPHE6UyX4zf+yo7+T5W7+DS04W4V2lcwQxP+JOakNezp9fI4NP
G7q9iHZW9mF7frE3C3dQ8oPBW3d9yLfXjxQTPNkaUyadsdfGZJBXwtUyymJCzStAVLN+oTt7
rASbCsftZ8mf2BNoZQWCDG/q3TSjWOdp0KCTQhlpJBMXpEZ1WouTj64GSlTYt/vaMFvdmiF0
c9RbjSqaeMseciVf5zQfeSf/Kf3SsrjwfCOFBWkS50xF1C+eAJJfarCJk+9Gkj2oAYv7ABEB
AAG0FU5pbWRhIDxuaW1kYUBhaGs0Lm1lPokBOAQTAQIAIgUCT+UasgIbAwYLCQgHAwIGFQgC
CQoLBBYCAwECHgECF4AACgkQ+w2NFTQkFCPqqQf+N7K3pK18hKbmKJ1Kh/OR2Ys5xAwdnaiG
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gdcjsKTICVRtdZIVw7c55khk9DLBI+lp3qBlU5QjVzShMZtItNQzrEUfi2kiW4+MzvGG1QoY
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Ein0R5Xd2NS9vsx+HVuxtLkBDQRP5RqyAQgAuJJiPmY+v8jS4ms680MAalx98VqwsrAKr05k
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S8pHIihny8qkH2ZGH3iQOC5BsVZtQgFytFCFVorahEJ/hhKmG8VAqaVWzARooUiHhY+jlLmd
JqlI1zGS6L4Z0JQFJQARAQABiQEeBBgBAgAJBQJP5RqyAhsMAAoJEPsNjRU0JBQjFYEH9iqP
BBHPF7OMIc16y2Xnt5XSLpuK4L4JY1RA9oaBUGbrUOLwspdO0CaZaVoMKVsJ2XcLWpouEd7N
C0nIgDx50GtqnZIVW5UH8EWcNGHpLAhwS09s+ju2E6YTOfeRa0JtxBiFohyAGsAHFmO5Oc+/
bTKce5TDtEePd1zWCMDxnphWc/80usXwDkgvZM2LEj678DUrMvUV5H2J1RUHAUqlniC4c8oZ
ZjN/g+wSS6JXDw/ejEbkVUKW9cL9fDTKUAHcBiSI7k9FHazbDqCrZO09RV3l/f4JsimVpWZ6
8gCPvX/uuu9r0WNc6nonu3m3TF1qqtef7Suf3QCfE3StP76Rdw==
=gKK9
-----END PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK-----
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3 years ago it looked like this, although probably alot changed since then: 1000 casascius
1000 John
750 Meni Rosenfeld
750 Rassah
750 eleuthria
500 DeathAndTaxes
500 OgNasty
250 CIYAM Open
250 Ryland R. Taylor-Almanza
250 paraipan
250 Garr255
Paraipans 250 BTC are still in there (1PFkqgBBrSKikyyUGDerZMfzvCNPgKrR3o), though they are afaik unreachable. The 500 BTC OgN holds as treasurer are also still there (1Eog8UqRFLufC71rBLt2nYgfUDskgxAyVF). The other addresses are either unknown or empty as far as I've checked. That is indeed the thread I was thinking about, thanks! Wonder where the rest went... |
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Just curious given it's probably worth a few million USD more than when the bulk of it was donated, and since the promised new forum software seems to have finally arrived. I seem to remember a thread which detailed who held the BTC (maybe there was multisig involved? or just theymos?), but I can't find it now.
I don't need a big discussion, just a link is sufficient.
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The end of an era
Gonna stop you right there and cross my fingers. Nowhere did doog say "I'm quitting the business forever and shutting down the site." It's just a hiatus. |
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is it the same as "troll box" or "chat box"  maybe the difference is in the encryption? wont it delay the message? Bitmessage is more of an email replacement than an IM one. |
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I also liked the response to the people who assumed that you were nakowa. Basically your defenders said that dooglus isn't that dumb. If he were going to steal, he wouldn't do it by blatantly assaulting the bank.
Right, so at the next level up, it would make sense to be nakowa, because it's so obvious nobody would believe it! I Google'd "nakowa" to see if it was an Australian name (sounds japanese to me, but you never know) so that I could make a terrible joke. Instead I found it has made Urban Dictionary as multiple nouns, all based on the just-dice player. |
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First, I love how martingale charts look. A perfect martingale will be a straight line with periodic drops of varying magnitude, where deeper drops are exponentially more rare.
Second, is there any way to calculate the probability of a bust on a martingale procession while taking into account the ever-increasing bankroll it provides?
I think it wouldn't be exactly straight, even connecting the peaks, because a: -1 -2 +4 and a -1 -2 -4 -8 -16 +32 both add 1 to the total bankroll, but take different numbers of steps to do so. I've seen people play like: -1 -3 -7 -15 -31 +63 before, which *does* lead to a perfect straight line, since the net gain is equal to the number of steps. The 6 numbers in the previous line sum to 6. It's equivalent to starting a new martingale of size 1 each bet: First bet, bet 1 (and lose) Second bet, bet 2 for the first martingale, and 1 for the new one you're starting: so 3 in total Third bet, bet 4 for the first, 2 for the 2nd and 1 for the new one: 7 in total ... Sixth bet: bet 32 for the 1st, 16 for the 2nd, ..., and 1 for the new one and this time we win, finishing off all 6 concurrent martingales at once. I think the first person I noticed playing this way was the owner of the BTC Guild poll, Eleuthria. It didn't work out too well for him in the end, and unfortunately I can't remember his account number to show the chart. Oh, you're right. Normal martingale is only a straight line if you ignore the losses  That's an interesting variation on the martingale, too. It busts much quicker, but it's also a faster earner. Maybe something to try with tiny amounts. |
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For those who say Martingale "never works", I woke up this morning to find that Just-Dice had lost 100 BTC overnight. Looking into it, I see it was a single big player who won it, and he won it using Martingale. Here's a chart showing his profit over the last 6 hours: https://i.imgur.com/3GymqSB.pngFirst, I love how martingale charts look. A perfect martingale will be a straight line with periodic drops of varying magnitude, where deeper drops are exponentially more rare. Second, is there any way to calculate the probability of a bust on a martingale procession while taking into account the ever-increasing bankroll it provides? |
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If you're generating them, is there any chance of you posting like monthly on the blog or something?
How about I post them here rather than in the blog? Here's a chart showing the profit and expected profit since the big nakowa/mechs mess at the end of September 2013. You can see the profit has followed the expected profit pretty closely, and in recent weeks has been rising a little faster than expected (click the charts for bigger versions): https://i.imgur.com/pxH5rHe.pngAnd here are the last 4 weeks: Out of curiosity, I noticed that all of those have separate adjustment constants. Are you making those up manually or doing some kind of programmatic fitting? |
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Where would I withdraw them to? A cold wallet? They're already in my cold wallet.
Good to know you have that much confidence in your own system  Not sure if sarcastic. Maybe you mean I should have them invested if I trust the site. If so, I just don't always want the variance, and am happy to just take the 10% commission each week. Or maybe you mean that it's good to know that I trust the JD cold wallet system as much as I trust some hypothetical other cold wallet system that I might keep other coins in? Like BayAreaCoins said, Just-Dice is a good web wallet. And since I don't have to worry about the risk of the operator absconding with the coins, it's even better for me. It means all my coins are safe (in the JD cold wallet), but also available to withdraw at no notice (from the JD hot wallet). Not sarcastic. I doubt, for example, that Tradefortress kept all his coins in Input.io's wallet, and that too was supposedly a hot+cold wallet system. |
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why does the investor divest his BTC but then doesn´t withdraw them from just-dice?
Because he is me. Where would I withdraw them to? A cold wallet? They're already in my cold wallet. Good to know you have that much confidence in your own system |
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As we come up on May 25th, I wanted to address my prediction from two years ago.
Nice  I've always been impressed by this post from adam: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1026305#msg1026305(July 12, 2012) this is the game plan for the next 364 days  100$ a coin  Nobody took it seriously, but reality was pretty close to that. Back in those days, $100 was like the moon. $1 price fluctuations were huge buy or sell signals and the talk of the wall observer thread. Granted, $1 change over $5 is a 20% increase. |
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Some tradeoffs have to happen. If we send a fixed amount of data on fixed intervals, we can completely preserve anonymity provided the message data stays under that bandwidth limit. Unfortunately, mobile data caps suck, and would make that limit rather small.
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Hey, just noticed the new max bet limits. They're getting lower and lower.. 5.93 BTC max at 50% chance now. About a few days ago, the limit was somewhere at 19 if I remember.
Any reason for that?
P.S: I'm not a 'whale' gambler myself, but placed a few bets lately. I am just wondering why change the limits? Are you guys getting low on reserves?
Huh? Did I miss something? The max profit is 176.82 BTC, so you should be able to bet nearly 90 BTC on 50% chance. |
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So the top priorities would be to support Android and iOS (and desktop OS), and to have low hardware/storage/traffic needs. Which would mean BitMessage would be a total niche product..
Here's the problem I see: - Almost nobody runs an email server on their mobile device or even tablet. They connect to an email server. - Unfortunately, a third party server would have to either compromise anonymity, or serve every message to the phone (not feasible due to mobile network limits). - Running your own server requires a server (not free, in contrast to most people's email), or having a home computer reliably on for a good portion of time at least every two days--more if you want to have email-like speed. - Even if the home computer or server was being run, it's nontrivial to securely connect to it (required if the server isn't serving every message on the network to the client). |
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- where is my (linux) userstuff? I'd expect something like ~/.bitmessage, but can't find anything. The program folder is 6mb, which can't contain the "blockchain". It's in ~/.config, where it's supposed to be. - I believe it would help adoption *a lot* to have plugins for the common chatclients. Like kopete, for example. No matter if it's the whole bitmessage implementation, with huge size, as long as it visually fully integrates into the common clients. What do you people think?
Bitmessage provides a daemon mode, so it would just take someone with the time and motivation to write the plugins. Bitmessage isn't exactly instant though, I'm not sure how well it would work with clients focused around a primarily XMPP based ecosystem. |
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I know what you mean, but if you compare that to a list of the frequency distribution of *all* addresses, I'm betting that the distributions will be very similar - which means you don't gain anything by leaving them out.
And in fact, you're probably slightly slowing the generation process down. |
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I don't understand all the interest in lowering the donation amount. Does it make your post more accurate if you donate? Do you get more recognition? Are you somehow special if you're a donator? It certainly doesn't keep you from getting banned - Goat has been banned many times. I look at the people that have given 50 btc to the forum as special alright. Special Olympics kind of special. Even when Bitcoin was cheap and easily mined these hardcore Bitcoin lovers were preaching how 1 Bitcoin would worth a fortune someday and then they gave away 50 of them. Either they have some sort of rot growing in their brains or they never really believed Bitcoin would be worth very much.
It does get you into the donator forum |
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My activity Stuck at 56 how can i increase my activity? by post more or wait more? I just know this ->  is admin And This ->  is donator You get a max of 14 activity points for every two week period as long as you make at least one post: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=495948.0ohh i see. Thanks for explanation And for those people who don't have 50 coins to donate to the forum? Are there any other titles to obtain? Whats left for people who have missed the early boat? N.B. surely an adequate time has passed to re think the 50 coin donator status, $50 was not so much a problem when it was introduced, But now $30K There's been plenty of discussion on this, and consensus was reached long ago that there will be no change in the BTC-denominated donator prices. |
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How secure is Bitmessage? If you want to fund an audit, we'll find out. How come this isnt attracting more development?
There have been a number of concerns over scalability and security which have only been partially addressed. I can't speak too much about them because I've been rather distant from the project for a while, but AFAIK the scaling is still an unsolved issue, practically in the brainstorming stage. There are also a number of unfortunate misconceptions which have been propagated around the interwebs. Whenever Aetheros pops up with a well-reasoned response, he gets crickets. These include: - But proof of work isn't a viable spam solution! Email has no spam solution either, and yet it's done well for two decades. Spam in email is handled clientside, and this does not change with Bitmessage. Thunderbird (and other client) integration makes this simple. Proof-of-work is merely used to prevent flooding of the network. - But wasn't it de-anonymized?! No, some guy harvested addresses (which are public, because the existence of a particular address leaks no information), then sent out some spam. Users then copied and pasted an unclickable (by GUI design) link to an unknown website from an unknown sender into an unsecured web-browser, and were surprised when their IP address was then correlated with their intentionally disposable Bitmessage address which had no associated metadata. This still baffles me. - But what about that one post on the Bitmessage forums with criticism? Yes, we read the post. And then we discussed it. If you believe it contained an as-yet-unaddressed critical flaw, please let me know. |
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