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1441  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2014, 02:57:28 PM
Been a while since I've seen the ignore box, must be some fresh bear news around Wink
1442  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 26, 2014, 02:51:00 PM
So you want to start it with the minerd command and your user should be the address in your wallet text file. Are you mining solo or to a pool though?
1443  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 26, 2014, 02:46:56 PM
Hi again! Sorry I am a total noob to how Monero works in comparison to other coins I have mined before. I started by booting up 'simpleminer' it gave me a 'wallet address text file' and a 'walle't file and a 'wallet.keys' file. I am now using a new miner because it increased my hash rate drastically. But I am using the same wallet address. Now, I have never used the wallet program nor do I know exactly which version to try out. Is my wallet the 'wallet.keys' file? Or am I currently mining to no-where-land. I just want to make sure I am mining for a reason and that my monero isn't going to be lost in the ether. I had a reply in how to import my wallet but i do not have a 'bin' file. Thanks  to eveyrone  who helps out in here while monero is growing. Noobs like me need dummy proof gui lol.

Which miner are you using ?
1444  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2014, 02:46:00 PM
Seems the market still wants to go up so I'm thinking we'll see $620 at some point tomorrow.
1445  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Its shocking and depressing to read BOTS made bitcoin boom! on: May 26, 2014, 11:50:50 AM


No i think current price cannot sustain if all the price rise was because of the tradingbot...How long can people ride on a fake prices and what will happen if more and more people come to know what they pay for bitcoin was just driven by bots..

Its not a fake price though. The fact is if this report is true (and I don't think all of it is) the Bitcoins were bought with real money, the customers money yes but real money. This caused the price rise. Now, once the game was up and willy ran in reverse to try and get back the fiat debt owed as when going bankrupt and not continuing the business having the fiat was far more important than having the BTC hence why theoretically it was all sold back to customers who then held the BTC. Where does this all leave the market?


The report suggests the opposite is true and that the fiat used to drive up the price came from nowhere. It's set out in the paragraph after the first spreadsheet screenshot.

It didn't though, it came from customer deposits hence the missing fiat and why it ran in reverse to recoup funds. It all depends how much you believe the report and his assumptions. Instead of thinking about it from the willy side think about it from the seller side. When the seller sells his $1000 BTC and then withdraws the fiat the fiat is coming from customer deposits when it is paid into their bank account so by definition its coming from customer deposits. It shouldn't have been a $1000 maybe but the fact that it is was being paid for with customer funds.
1446  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: May 26, 2014, 11:14:27 AM

Then in the end all the withdrawals were halted and Willy put on reverse, to dump all the goxcoins bought. I do not know if this made a small or huge loss. Also I don't know the purpose of it, because all(?) withdrawals were canceled, and there was no change happening in the actual liquidity position, except the very last deposits made by arbitrageurs of goxcoins in btc/gxc-exchanges.


Gox total fiat was lower than the outstanding amount of the customers. The bought it all with goxBTC so it doesn't look like a ponzi. They tried to explain the insufficient BTC away by referring to the "problem" with the Bitcoin protocol.

Exactly, it seems to me that if this is true the bot was ran in reverse as the game was up and trying to be whole on the fiat and blaming the protocol on the lost BTC is far more believable and probably better from a legal perspective as well. I follow the theory that the coins were stolen a long time ago and all of this was an attempt to make it up but with approx 1,000,000 bitcoins needing making up to be solvent it was always going to be an uphill struggle with the genuine increased adoption as well. Its just a 26 yo man making a billion $ mistake and trying to make it right.
1447  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Its shocking and depressing to read BOTS made bitcoin boom! on: May 26, 2014, 11:09:00 AM


No i think current price cannot sustain if all the price rise was because of the tradingbot...How long can people ride on a fake prices and what will happen if more and more people come to know what they pay for bitcoin was just driven by bots..

Its not a fake price though. The fact is if this report is true (and I don't think all of it is) the Bitcoins were bought with real money, the customers money yes but real money. This caused the price rise. Now, once the game was up and willy ran in reverse to try and get back the fiat debt owed as when going bankrupt and not continuing the business having the fiat was far more important than having the BTC hence why theoretically it was all sold back to customers who then held the BTC. Where does this all leave the market?

Well like I say if the report is to be believed then yes its shocking (to some anyway) but nothing has changed in the current market. The fact is 650k BTC is still missing and that hasn't changed, whether they were stolen in 2011 and sold off creating the long bear market(likely), stolen by hackers more recently and still controlled by the thief's or Mark has them the supply of coins has not changed. This is where all the money that willy used is 'stored' and until those coins hit the market, which I think they already did, then there is no reason for the price to fall other than a loss of trust within Bitcoin itself.
1448  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2014, 09:54:21 AM
A few hours ago, I thought that I spotted a couple of significant transactions at Huobi that occurred below the highest bid at the time.  Either that, or robots re-populated the spread after a dump with several bids, so quickly that the current price and highest bid did not change on the chart.  This glitch now makes me wonder...
 

If your watching bitcoinwisdom rather than actual order books this happens all the time. Its just the bids filling in after a trade is executed which could be 15 secs ago real time.
1449  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2014, 01:52:16 AM
Huobi ahead of Stamp as well. All this on a sunday. I'd forgotten sunday pumps tbh  Grin
1450  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 26, 2014, 12:16:53 AM


If you look at the volume chart here its pretty clear that the day before it hit poloniex around 80k coins have moved the owner: http://qcn.cryptostats.org/charts/volume
Before that the network was dead and nearly noone was even mining it - except some guy.

Theres no sell pressure yet on QCN because that dude doesnt seem to sell them yet.


I agree with your final point but not with the network being dead and nobody mining it before Polo. If your were around the IRC channel or even this thread before it went on Polo there were a fair few people mining it and trades were being done several weeks before hitting an exchange. There was also another exchange open before Polo.

dreamspark, are you talking about MRO (since you referred to this thread)? He's referring to QCN. MRO is much more evenly distributed.

Yes I was, it was my mistake I read it wrong, apologies didn't even look at othes name! All this talk of other coins in the thread Wink I know MRO is more evenly distributed hence my interjection.
1451  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 25, 2014, 10:45:38 PM


If you look at the volume chart here its pretty clear that the day before it hit poloniex around 80k coins have moved the owner: http://qcn.cryptostats.org/charts/volume
Before that the network was dead and nearly noone was even mining it - except some guy.

Theres no sell pressure yet on QCN because that dude doesnt seem to sell them yet.


I agree with your final point but not with the network being dead and nobody mining it before Polo. If your were around the IRC channel or even this thread before it went on Polo there were a fair few people mining it and trades were being done several weeks before hitting an exchange. There was also another exchange open before Polo.
1452  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2014, 07:26:43 PM
What do you guys think about the whole "willy" thing? What happens after the revelations?

It's an opinion. A very compelling and well researched opinion. I wouldn't be remotely surprised if it was true but until we have concrete evidence it's still conjecture.

If the full story ever does come out, it's going to feel like ancient history. 

One of the things that I think is that potentially it might not change much. Fact is we're already at the point where the lost gox btc has been accepted as lost/hacked/unrecoverable etc. Now if this isn't going on on other exchanges the price we're at today is a 'fair' price. Only time will tell what the market thinks. I'd expect at least an attempted panic retraction but in terms of the price today what does it change?
1453  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2014, 06:50:34 PM
Did you guys notice that over 4000 BTC shorts were added after this last leg up. That is A LOT of BTC bet against the current uptrend.

I wonder where these shorts would squeeze?  I am thinking it would have to be over 620, because they are probably betting on a serious retracement at some point. Can't say its a bad move, but I am long, at least for a little while longer.

Yes but did you see if they were actual sold on market? As I've said a few times all active swaps means is the liquidity is taken. You can take 4000BTC and never sell them. Why you ask? Well particularly with the spike on Bitfinex just people have been speculating that some people are trying to game the loan system by buying all the liquidity under a certain amount to raise the interest rate and then adding their own offers at high interest rate. Wait for that to be taken and then give the BTC back.
1454  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 25, 2014, 06:08:48 PM
Is this correct?

All Monero transactions are private by default, without a need for counterparties such as masternodes or key creators.

No need for master nodes with crypto note. You should read the white paper

Thats what I said

You asked a question. I answered it...
1455  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 25, 2014, 06:06:40 PM
Is this correct?

All Monero transactions are private by default, without a need for counterparties such as masternodes or key creators.

No need for master nodes with crypto note. You should read the white paper
1456  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2014, 05:59:53 PM
 I hope the law will find the right label for his actions.

Oh, now is evil government useful. How about you pay for a flight ticket and go do your justice yourself, Mr. Freedom NoGovernment. Oh wait.

There couldn't have been anyone else you could have quoted that would have made what you just said more hilarious.
1457  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2014, 04:59:59 PM

http://willyreport.wordpress.com/

Quote
So basically, each time, (1) an account was created, (2) the account spent some very exact amount of USD to market-buy coins ($2,500,000 was most common), (3) a new account was created very shortly after. Repeat. In total, a staggering ~$112 million was spent to buy close to 270,000 BTC – the bulk of which was bought in November. So if you were wondering how Bitcoin suddenly appreciated in value by a factor of 10 within the span of one month, well, this is why. Not Chinese investors, not the Silkroad bust – these events may have contributed, but they certainly were not the main reason. But more on that later.

lol

Not my words just a copy paste but...

"Just a quick note... I've built quite a few systems, and at times I build the administrating function into the customer function.
It's hard to explain and hard to give an example... but imagine I build an exchange and incur fees in bitcoin, say 1%. The way I'd run my company finances is to build an admin account and with every bitcoin transaction, 1% goes to that account. This account is then set up on the exchange to sell at batch periods a certain amount of the bitcoin that I want to have in dollars to pay for company expenses.
Instead of taking my bitcoin to bitstamp and selling it there, or putting my bitcoin in a 'IkmoIkmo' account and selling it through there (of which 1% would recurringly go back to the account), I'd build it into the system using a customer account with some high ID and privileges like having 0 fees.
Now I'm not saying there's no inside job or that it isn't fishy. What I am saying is that I've been programming for a decade and I can easily see how a solo-engineer iterating on a flawed trading engine would use crappy and fishy accounts like these to do things that are otherwise completely normal and legal like having a company account sell bitcoin fees, or batching transactions of actual user-activity under one account-ID, or working with other exchanges to share liquidity and e.g. letting BTC-E sell coin to the Mt.Gox orderbook under a certain id for 0 fees, in exchange for the same service at BTC-E, thereby sharing the load and creating a redundant system (which is nice), etc etc.
In other words, it's weird, it's fishy, it's Mt. Gox, but it's not proof of some kind of fraudulent trading in and of itself. It can mean a whole lot of things and I'm happy to see more information come out."
1458  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2014, 01:32:38 PM
What is CCMF?

I think Goat was the one who coined the expression, "choo choo motherfucker" last autumn after a number of people posted train pictures in response to a picture of a man with a suitcase chasing a train he had missed.

I might have been first to shorten it to ccmf, and there was a thread about finding a sfw alternate interpretation.

"Choo Choo Mo Fo" was suggested.

Goat may have used it first but its a 4chan thing, explains why he would have used it here first.  http://knowyourmeme.com/memes/choo-choo-motherfucker
1459  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2014, 01:31:28 PM
So the bidsum has also risen to around $12mm despite this rally and no funds being deposited for two days. I think that proves the assertion that there is plenty of fiat knocking around on the exchanges contrary to the beliefs of the fresh fiat crowd.
1460  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 25, 2014, 01:23:28 PM


My last 2 MRO withdrawals from Poloniex failed "COMPLETE:ERROR"...
Then several hours later they probably have to do a manual resend...
Exchanges hate this, baby.

And ONLY MintPal... is MUST be MintPal...
(People who even mention Cryptsy are 6 months behind the times).

More people should use cryptonote.exchange.to no withdrawal and deposit problems as such. Just manual which is much more secure. But the actual site and trade matching is great.
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