I understand this but if the trend is below where it should be then the sell signal will be premature.

If we are not there already we are pretty close. April 2011 really comes to mind here.

I cannot help. I am holding although these bears are making it very tempting also for me to buy. I would suggest Second Market https://www.secondmarket.com/. They may be able to help.

Edit: I am more convinced than before that your trendline errs on the side of predicting a BTC/USD rate on the low side and can lead to a premature sell indicator.

Many people who care about freedom and civil liberties are not knowledgeable about technology, software and computers at all. So they end up using Apple or Microsoft products because they are not even aware of the issues and alternatives. They may be experts in other areas such as organic farming and the evils of GMOs. In some cases it can be as simple as "Free Software" is to "Organic Seeds" as "Apple" is to "Monsanto".

Age has nothing to do with this. By the way I first developed my loathing for DRM in the 1980's when it consisted of deliberatively creating bad sectors on 5.25in floppy diskettes. Ever heard of the term "Defective by Design".

Start with Windows PC: $799.00 Defenestration $0, Install GNU/Linux $0 Keep for 10 years or so $0. Upgrades over 10 years $0 Over 10,000 Floss Applications $0 Total cost over 10 years $799.00.  

+ 21000000

My strategy:

1) Hold for the bulk of my portfolio in BTC
2) Sell BTC CFDs on margin on a trigger below 380. Risk a small amount of fiat about 5% of my portfolio based on a BTC valuation of say 100 USD.
3) Ride the bear down to around 100 USD. Take profits in fiat.
4) Use  67% of fiat to buy BTC in the double digits. Add to my BTC holdings.
5) Save 33% of fiat to pay taxes and increase fiat position

On the rebound repeat above with long CFDs.

1) Hold for the bulk of my portfolio in BTC
2) Buy BTC CFDs on margin on an upward trigger. Risk a small amount of fiat about 5% of my portfolio based on a BTC valuation of say 100 USD.
3) Ride the bull up to the three or four digits BTC/USD. Take profits in fiat.
4) Use  33% of fiat to buy BTC in the triple or quadruple digits. Add to my BTC holdings.
5) Save 67% of fiat to pay taxes and increase fiat position.

Net result increase of both BTC and fiat positions.

I started buying BTC in late 2011 in the single digits, have already taken out my initial investment in fiat and have over 60% of my peak BTC left. Having said this while I would welcome the opportunity this would provide to increase my BTC holdings, I seriously doubt it will happen. 

Edit: My most painful BTC experience was two years ago watching BTC drop from 7 USD to 4 USD below my average cost. At the time I chose to hold.

Or Canada ...

As someone who has been bashing Apple on these forums for over two years, and on other forums before Bitcoin even existed, I consider that this post deserves a proper reply rather than just an f bomb directed at the OP and Apple.

The first issue to realize is that Apple's business model for IOS is based upon censorship and oppression. This is because in order to collect rents form the works of others Apple must tightly control how an IOS device is used. What is so fundamentally wrong here is that Apple uses DRM to prevent an app from a store other than their own from being installed on IOS devices. This is fundamentally no different from a furniture manufacturer dictating to someone who purchases a bookcase that all books to be placed on said bookcase must come from a book store the manufacturer owns.

The net effect of the above is to turn the normal polices that a store would use to determine where or not to stock an item into a tool for censorship and oppression. The polices of the store become irrelevant. Apple is always in the wrong regardless of what the polices of their store say.

To understand this issue better let use look at the issue of legality. One the surface saying that a store only sells items that are legal in all the jurisdictions they do business is a perfectly reasonable policy; however when it is combined with the DRM above it serves to greatly magnify any censorship or oppression a government may apply by extending that same censorship or oppression across the world. So for example if the government of China decides to suppress and censor the teachings of the Dalai Lama Apple will then by their policy extend that suppression and censorship to countries like The United Sates, Canada, Western Europe etc. One the flip side an app say depicting deaths by US drones, and this displeases the US government, Apple will now extend the censorship to say China, or the Middle East etc.

Now when it comes to Bitcoin, I see the censorship of Bitcoin by Apple in many ways as a blessing in disguise. Apple will not be able to stop Bitcoin, but what will most likely happen is that as a result of Apple's censorship of Bitcoin, Bitcoin will bring down Apple's IOS business model resulting in a major contribution by Bitcoin to freedom and liberty around the world.

This question ignores a very important issue namely what exactly happens to the heat produced by Bitcoin mining. If one mines Bitcoin where there is a need for space heating, with most parts of Canada during the winter being an extreme case, then the carbon impact may in fact be negligible if at all since the Bitcoin mining is displacing another source of carbon emissions that would have been used to provide the space heating. At the other extreme if one mines Bitcoin in say parts of Africa then the carbon emissions will be magnified by the need to cool the mining equipment. The net impact of this is that "proof of work" may end up becoming "proof of cold" as Bitcoin mining will by the forces of economics migrate to where the heat produced is actually a valuable commodity rather than a waste product.

The net result of this is that a Bitcoin transaction in January in say Melbourne would be sent via fibre optic cables to Winnipeg for processing. The reverse situation would occur in say July.

This is a good start; however RMS has only scratched the tip of the iceberg when it comes to what Apple has censored.

By then it will be too late and the damage to Apple will be done.

It is not the Apple store policy which is wrong. Apple should be free to choose what to carry in their store. Where the real evil lies is in Apple's policy of using DRM to prevent the installation of apps from outside of their store. One of the results of this use of DRM by Apple is that in certain situations Apple is always in the wrong regardless of whether they chose to allow or not allow an app in their store. What this unofficial IOS store does is address the use of DRM to block apps from outside the Apple store which is the real evil.

It is a civil right because Apple uses DRM to prevent the owner of a phone from installing an app from another app store. It is like the manufacturer of a bookcase telling the purchaser of the bookcase what books she can put on the bookcase.

Edit: This is never about forcing Apple to carry an app in their store.

This is not just about Bitcoin. Apple has been actively censoring all sorts of things since long before Bitcoin even existed. There is a very important historical lesson here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_they_came_...

This is a battle in a war that is far from over. One one side we have basic human rights, civil rights, civil liberties and basic freedoms such as freedom of speech,  freedom of religion, freedom of enterprise, etc. On the other hand we have a powerful corporation hell bent on micromanaging its clients in order to extract rents from other peoples work.

I expect the side of freedom and liberty to win, and Bitcoin will likely pay a very positive part in this but I do not expect this fight to be easy.

There are many ways:
1) End User License Agreements (EULAs) which most of their customers accept without reading them first.
2) DRM
3) Anti-circumvention laws. For example the DMCA in the United States. There are many such laws around the world based on the WIPO treaties. Most people do not realize that Copyright Law of all things has become a very significant tool for censorship and oppression in the 21st century.

... and irreversibly loose my Bitcoin. No thanks. I would stay well away from Microsoft Windows when it comes to Bitcoin. GNU/Linux is far safer.

The 1MB block size limit.