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2001  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 04, 2013, 10:11:00 AM
Wow, a little bullish...
2k or so bought...

I was watching. 3k wall bought. Including 200 wall supports.

Incredible bull support.

No no no, contain your emotions a bit here and look at the bigger picture. I may be wrong but this looks very much like a bounce (maybe to 82).

2002  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 04, 2013, 10:05:04 AM
Wow, a little bullish...
2k or so bought...
2003  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 04, 2013, 09:58:09 AM
I pretty much agree with Rampions sentiments (and not because that is the trend around here!)

The $50 price is spoken about so often, it is like a meme in the BTC community. If we touch it going down it will be brief as we will bounce hard imo. Much safer to try to get in at 55 or so.
A few huge sellers will probably play into this, so we need to be careful there. I once again may not take part.

I think the 20's are a distinct possibility but agree again, anything under 50 is probably a great price long term. If I buy back in at 50 and we go
to 30 then I can't be greedy but I doubt I do. Best case is to slowly buy in, like I initially did. Better to be a bit safer than sorry. Just by getting out when I did ($106)
I've increased my buying power by over 20% and when all is said and done, I can't complain if I double my position at 50, or triple it at 35 (=106/3). Now that is an increase, be happy and take it.

Trying to call an exact bottom is near impossible and if you are not on Gox you have other worries regarding liquidity.
What is interesting is that Gox is going to have a new trade engine in time for catching the bottom.  Wink
Would be nice if other exchanges follow (buttercoin perhaps)?



2004  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 04, 2013, 07:49:33 AM
gox release followed by a rally from 72 to 80. well timed bull trap.

It doesn't seem to make sense. All this update did was say that it's not safe to sell your Bitcoins on Mt.Gox which should lead to a lot of people who were holding out to now say "k, now it's safe to cash out" and dump.

This seems like a bull trap founded in an irrational understanding of the press release.

Same thing as the other "rallies" - Look at the volume. There was a bit more there but they were sold into at the top. Way too big of a chance to buy in now.

New wall of 3000 up at 80, someone wants this down and has for a while. And 3000 on the ask takes us to 74...
2005  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 04, 2013, 07:40:08 AM
LOL, MtGox mentions "a bumpy road" in their press release, that made me laugh hard.

Anyhow, I guess these are good news for their US customers.

About price action, it's been very fun indeed. Going quicker than i expected and with no support at all at crucial points.

I had a bid at $71ish, it didn't got filled for a few cents, I'm pulling it as I missed the bounce. Next stop, the $60s. Gotta love the cheap coins.

BTW: Shroomskit, did you sell yet?

He is still on a protest against Blitz.

The market on Bitstamp is very thin, too dangerous to trade. You almost need a $10 movement to make $6. Too high a premium and just not worth the chance.
Coincidence - As I uploaded the pic, the password on tinypic was "total shamble"! I'll take that as a sign and stay out - Thanks Universe...

2006  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 10:32:11 PM
Bitstamp 2100 away from the 60's...

Gox 32,000 - but anything is possible (but probably not this week...)
2007  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 10:28:30 PM

Just the way we are not seeing buying coming in at this level, I would prefer to wait and see what happens. I hate to buy at the bottom of a red candle UNLESS the sell volume is high and being met with buys.
Now I'm looking for $68 (April 16th and 17th, as well as March 21st-24th).

I just get the feeling a big seller is waiting around the corner...



Nice Call  Grin

No, really really nice Call.

Wow, this has been entertaining.

Great call Rampion, you smelled it...
2008  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 10:15:38 PM
750 buys just came through. But compared to that 7,000 sell, it doesn't phase me...
Sitting tight.
2009  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 10:13:44 PM
I think someone meant to push sell and accidently bought 600 BTC and just sold them off again hahaha

Sorry, miss-click

All those people that have you on ignore are missing the occasional LOL Gem! eheehhe

 Wink

They didnt listen me when i told them we will be on 70`s tommorow, thay said: "Nah, we can bounce back to 90`s, we wont sell." Poor they

I really am surprised we are not bouncing there. Lots of buys lined up behind us, but none looking to move into the sell side...
2010  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 10:10:25 PM
I think someone meant to push sell and accidently bought 600 BTC and just sold them off again hahaha

Sorry, miss-click

All those people that have you on ignore are missing the occasional LOL Gem! eheehhe

 Wink
2011  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 10:08:59 PM
So why dump your 7k coins at 83 and not at 100 some days ago?? doesn't make sense imho

The reason they didn't sell at 100 (say if it's not the NSA ;-) ) is because they thought we had support there (or a bit below).

And then there is always...

1 - Maybe they are trying to break through support and start a crash, but I don't think so.
2 - They see us heading lower and better sell while they can. I tend to believe that.

2012  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 09:55:53 PM

Just the way we are not seeing buying coming in at this level, I would prefer to wait and see what happens. I hate to buy at the bottom of a red candle UNLESS the sell volume is high and being met with buys.
Now I'm looking for $68 (April 16th and 17th, as well as March 21st-24th).

I just get the feeling a big seller is waiting around the corner...



Nice Call  Grin
2013  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 09:46:10 PM
Here we are sitting on "my" $82 "bounce" level and I just can't pull the trigger. Too risky. Those sell sizes are just too large and the way they are sold into walls too unpredictable.

Better to sit back and wait for "the" bottom - or near.



You would be proud! I made 0.2 BTC trading between 84 and 82. *sniffle* Maybe I'll finally become a real trader!

I'm pulling for you but it sounds like you have way more money than me, so I won't ever feel sorry for you! eheheheh

I have just about 100 BTC, nothing compared to the whales here. Thanks though.

I still think 82 is the bottom for short term. Bulls will buy the hell out of 80-82 as it is the long term support since March  Shocked

Just the way we are not seeing buying coming in at this level, I would prefer to wait and see what happens. I hate to buy at the bottom of a red candle UNLESS the sell volume is high and being met with buys.
Now I'm looking for $68 (April 16th and 17th, as well as March 21st-24th).

I just get the feeling a big seller is waiting around the corner...

2014  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 09:25:15 PM
Here we are sitting on "my" $82 "bounce" level and I just can't pull the trigger. Too risky. Those sell sizes are just too large and the way they are sold into walls too unpredictable.

Better to sit back and wait for "the" bottom - or near.



You would be proud! I made 0.2 BTC trading between 84 and 82. *sniffle* Maybe I'll finally become a real trader!

I'm pulling for you but it sounds like you have way more money than me, so I won't ever feel sorry for you! eheheheh
2015  Economy / Speculation / Re: BITSTAMP eXchange wall Observer. second biggest and best exchange on: July 03, 2013, 09:23:36 PM
Quote
low: 79.0

edit
Quote
78.51 U

and still declining ...

We are sitting on an area of "technical" support (April 15/16) - at least on Gox's chart - $82. I almost wonder if Bitstamp is going to lead the drop?

I thought we would show some strength at these levels but the LARGE sells keep coming every so often, especially on any move up.

What is happening is people with large amounts of shares don't want to get caught with their pants down (Not to be technical).
So, any movement up is an opportunity to unload. In a way, they (sellers) are playing off each other.
Who is first to the door.

2016  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 09:09:09 PM
Here we are sitting on "my" $82 "bounce" level and I just can't pull the trigger. Too risky. Those sell sizes are just too large and the way they are sold into walls too unpredictable.

Better to sit back and wait for "the" bottom - or near.

2017  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 06:30:46 PM
Keep in mind that there are ETF's and BTC lenders now.
So, Bitcoins can be borrowed and sold short in a numerous ways.
And...
It is a currency according to FinCEN.... so...
The Federal Reserve is within its charter to manipulate it, and with a tiny fraction of one day's money creation, put the price wherever it wants, 50, 5, 500, 50,000.  Whatever suits them, at will, whenever they like.  And they can do it with their reserve banking partners, with as many billions of fiat as they need.

Enter the leviathan, whales beware.
Any facts to back up your bullshit? If they buy the price to $50000 I think I'll be maybe selling...

More likely they will do what they did with gold.  Though that was more expensive.  They dumped about $28billion in a single block trade to break the market down, with an immediate loss of over $1B on the gap down in April.


Well, I think he is saying how will they acquire the BTC. I imagine trade hill and other methods will suffice. But that will only work for a period of time. They can probably keep BTC volatile if need be but I'm sure we will adapt to that as well, we will have to. In a sense, the long term success of BTC depends on the failure of other currencies. By success I mean fully, not just as an online payment method but also a store of value. With the limited float as more and more people acquire it the price will just go higher and higher and the volatility, though it can remain, will shift to much much higher prices. Things like a moderate sized country or the like using it will just add to the strength. I'm sure we have a "fight" ahead of us though...
2018  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 05:59:49 PM
The 'problem' is that the current sell off is happening in slow motion. There is no panic selling going on at all, just a couple dumps over the course of a day and no real buying pressure to bring the price back up. This makes it hard to predict a bottom or a bounce, it could slide down for a while longer until bulls finally wake up.

Yes and if people with $$$ come back into the market the jump up will be explosive. But my bet is it will be sold into...
2019  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 05:46:25 PM
Yet it really seems that 81.87 will be possible bottom at this moment. But for how long? Again, just a few hours?

Exactly, if it is a "floor" with no buys coming through then I am not impressed. It seems like just another silence before the storm.
But again, we are on levels where we could bounce violently. But I don't feel like gambling...
2020  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 05:45:13 PM
Something doesn't seem right. Market depth is so heavily in favour of buy with 1k moving us down 1 dollar or up 5 dollars.

I'm holding, as usual  Cool

The question is, are those bid walls (or depth) real?
That is the hard thing. Looking at the depth I say "bullish" and then another sell of 500 goes through. I've wondered if it's the same people or parties...
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