Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[mah87]

Wow, top notch journalism here lol.

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/can-the-real-dorian-nakamoto-please-stand-up-vSiahPV4ReyViJX2_IJhZw.html

Wow, she really is pathetic, isn't she? And the interviewers know it.

disgusting

[1714663403]

1714663403

[1714663403]

1714663403

[zoinky]

Wow, top notch journalism here lol.

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/can-the-real-dorian-nakamoto-please-stand-up-vSiahPV4ReyViJX2_IJhZw.html

Wow, she really is pathetic, isn't she? And the interviewers know it.

I like the long pauses and stares they give her after they ask her to say something she said 2-3 times already.  Stunned from their point of view.

[runam0k]

Wow, top notch journalism here lol.

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/can-the-real-dorian-nakamoto-please-stand-up-vSiahPV4ReyViJX2_IJhZw.html

Wow, she really is pathetic, isn't she? And the interviewers know it.

I like the long pauses and stares they give her after they ask her to say something she said 2-3 times already.  Stunned from their point of view.

She does not come across well at all.

That said, if I thought after months of research that I had successfully tracked down Satoshi and when I asked the guy point blank his response was, "I'm not involved with that any more. It has been passed on to other people.", well, I'd be pretty confident I had the right guy.

Did she twist his words or take them out of context? I don't know.

Do I think Dorian is Satoshi? No. But that doesn't mean he isn't.

[podyx]

i'm starting to consider if we are following a close to exact pattern of the april crash and the november rise

if we slowly climb up to $900 in middle of april and a crash down to $750-800 then up again, i think its safe to say we gonna see a nice rally in may or june

[600watt]

Wow, top notch journalism here lol.

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/can-the-real-dorian-nakamoto-please-stand-up-vSiahPV4ReyViJX2_IJhZw.html

Wow, she really is pathetic, isn't she? And the interviewers know it.

I like the long pauses and stares they give her after they ask her to say something she said 2-3 times already.  Stunned from their point of view.

I N C R E D I B L E

a major media company decides to re-launch with a mind-blowing story, but fucks up completely.

the thing is that they knew this would not only be mind-blowing for the bitcoin community, but for the general public.

[mah87]

i'm starting to consider if we are following a close to exact pattern of the april crash and the november rise

if we slowly climb up to $900 in middle of april and a crash down to $750-800 then up again, i think its safe to say we gonna see a nice rally in may or june

Prices are going back to 100$ , this is obvious, ripple is the future

[adamstgBit]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQmIRea_FWo

he dosnt say "i'm no longer Involved"  he clearly says "I'm Not Involved in Bitcoin"

but i'm starting to think its him

watch this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrrtA6IoR_E
he is sooo lying

[adamstgBit]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQmIRea_FWo

he dosnt say "i'm no longer Involved"  he clearly says "I'm Not Involved in Bitcoin"

but i'm starting to think its him

watch this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrrtA6IoR_E
he is sooo lying

The first video you linked is not the situation Leah quotes.
In the linked Interview with her (http://www.bloomberg.com/video/can-the-real-dorian-nakamoto-please-stand-up-vSiahPV4ReyViJX2_IJhZw.html), she even says that she said to him: "If you are not involved with Bitcoin at all, you have to tell me now." Nakamoto: "I can not do that."
I don't know if she's saying the truth, but it seems a little bit odd. I do not think it is him.
And I feel a tiny little bit sorry for Leah after seeing the interview. I guess she really belived it was him, and she was totally sure about it... which is no excuse for her methods at all, of course

ya the only "evidence" she has is the fact that he fits the profile.

as for Nakamoto: "I can not do that." or  "i'm no longer Involved",  could very well be a slip of the tong / misunderstanding.


... still

I want to believe!

[fr33d0miz3r]

If you look at the daily closing prices, you could see something like this:



And if you look at the 3-day closing prices, you could see a double bottom pattern (right now testing the neckline):

[solex]

ya the only "evidence" she has is the fact that he fits the profile.

as for Nakamoto: "I can not do that." or  "i'm no longer Involved",  could very well be a slip of the tong / misunderstanding.


... still

I want to believe!

Not him. Dorian can't write as well, and would never have had the time to mess around with trains if working on Bitcoin too.

btw. Can anyone see this? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=506152.0;topicseen

[JayJuanGee]

If you look at the daily closing prices, you could see something like this:



And if you look at the 3-day closing prices, you could see a double bottom pattern (right now testing the neckline):

The first chart depicts three potholes - illustrating that our trip to the moon has been delayed by three potholes in the BTC road that leads us to the rocket launch pad.

[jojo69]

btw. Can anyone see this? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=506152.0;topicseen

nope, error msg

[JorgeStolfi]

Chinese Cretaceous Dinosaur and Pleistocene Mammal Slumber Method prediction for Saturday Mar/08

Prediction valid for: Saturday 2014-03-08, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price: 3891 CNY.
Bitstamp's predicted price: 636 USD.

Huobi

The red and green strokes are actual Huobi hourly prices.  The current prediction is the rightmost magenta rectangle.  The blue rectangle is the last prediction (see below), and the light blue-gray rectangles are the previous ones.  The orange and grey dots are the Slumber Points, the mean Huobi prices at 19:00 UTC every day.  Each point is a Glyptodon if the hourly volume V_h for 19:00--19:59 UTC is less than 0.005 times the daily volume V_d 00:00--23:59 UTC; and is an Albertosaurus otherwise. The grey lines are trends fitted a posteriori to the Glyptodon Points. The orange line is the trend that was assumed for the prediction.

Today was an Albertosaurus, barely (V_h/V_d = 5.88 0.00588) so, according to the Method, it does not count for trendification.  The Huobi prediction was therefore obtained from the same trend used yesterday, determined by the last three Glyptodons; namely, p(d) = A+B*Q**(d-04), where d is the day of the month, A = 3833.26, B = 156.74, and Q = 0.464.

Bitstamp

The red and green strokes are actual Bitstamp hourly prices.  The dots, dinosaurs, mammals, lines, and rectangles are Huobi's Slumber Points, dinosaurs, mammals, trends, and predictions, scaled by the currency conversion factor R (6.40 for Feb/07--09, 6.12 for all other times).

Checking the previous prediction

Since today was an Albertosaurus, the prediction for today was officially voided.  But, for the curious:

Prediction was posted on: Thursday 2014-03-06, 23:27 UTC
Prediction was valid for: Thursday Friday 2014-03-07, 19:00--19:59 UTC

Huobi's predicted price: 3899 CNY
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3802 CNY
Error: 97 CNY (~16 USD)

Bitstamp's predicted price: 637 USD
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 623 USD
Error: 14 USD

NOTE: Thanks for the user who proposed a pterosaur for extreme bullish predictions.  Now looking for an ichtyosaur to match.

[Adrian-x]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQmIRea_FWo

he dosnt say "i'm no longer Involved"  he clearly says "I'm Not Involved in Bitcoin"

but i'm starting to think its him

watch this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrrtA6IoR_E
he is sooo lying

totally he heeds to sigh an affidavit, his words are evasive.

we can add "good actor" to Satoshis long list of credentials.

* and opportunist - "free lunch" I tell you I would  have been highly insulted to be expected to eat alone.

[Adrian-x]

btw. Can anyone see this? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=506152.0;topicseen

No. what should it be?

[solex]

btw. Can anyone see this? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=506152.0;topicseen

No. what should it be?

Noise on reddit about gox user data...

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1zumlu/somebody_is_trying_to_sell_mtgox_user_data/

[JorgeStolfi]

Daily volumes of BTC trade to/from USD and other national currencies (in kBTC):


             !    Fri !    Sat !   Sun !    Mon !    Tue !    Wed !    Thu !    Fri !
  EXCHANGE   !  02/28 !  03/01 ! 03/02 !  03/03 !  03/04 !  03/05 !  03/06 !  03/07 ! Currencies considered

  Bitstamp   |  22.63 |  14.30 |  6.44 |  64.91 |  28.03 |  12.72 |  10.40 |  21.45 | USD
  BitFinEx   |  15.29 |   8.62 |  3.13 |  50.92 |  25.03 |   8.38 |   7.06 |  17.23 | USD
  BTC-e      |  12.74 |   9.55 |  4.58 |  41.71 |  28.83 |  11.19 |   5.69 |  13.54 | USD,EUR,RUR
  Kraken     |   1.34 |   0.39 |  0.32 |   2.82 |   1.81 |   0.87 |   0.71 |   1.20 | EUR
  Bitcoin.DE |   0.70 |   0.31 |  0.32 |   1.34 |   1.02 |   0.40 |   0.34 |   0.38 | EUR
  CaVirtEx   |   0.33 |   0.15 |  0.19 |   0.55 |   0.33 |   0.22 |   0.22 |   0.24 | CAD
  CampBX     |   0.07 |   0.08 |  0.07 |   0.28 |   0.14 |   0.04 |   0.03 |   0.07 | USD

  SUBTOTAL   |  53.10 |  33.40 | 15.05 | 162.53 |  85.19 |  33.82 |  24.45 |  54.11 |

  Huobi      | 122.00 | 104.12 | 40.64 | 253.71 | 268.47 | 196.00 |  92.40 |  96.37 | CNY
  OKCoin     | 129.17 |  73.29 | 34.99 | 126.48 | 137.35 | 286.05 | 139.37 | 109.70 | CNY
  BTC-China  |   7.17 |   5.02 |  2.64 |  16.59 |  15.36 |   8.04 |   5.58 |   4.87 | CNY
  Bter       |   0.29 |   0.30 |  0.24 |   0.67 |   0.64 |   0.31 |   0.32 |   0.32 | CNY

  SUBTOTAL   | 258.63 | 182.73 | 78.51 | 397.45 | 421.82 | 490.40 | 237.67 | 211.26 |

  TOTAL      | 311.73 | 216.13 | 93.56 | 559.98 | 507.01 | 524.22 | 262.12 | 265.37 |


All numbers were collected by hand from the site http://bitcoinwisdom.com. Beware of possible errors.

For each exchange, the numbers include only the trade volume to/from the currencies listed in the rightmost column. Trade between BTC and other cryptocoins, such as LiteCoin, is NOT included.

Dates on the header line are UTC. Specifically, "01/15" means "from 01/15 00:00:00 UTC to 01/15 23:59:59 UTC". (Beware that Bitcoinwisdom uses your local time, so the date may appear to be off by 1 day.  For example, if you are 2 hours west of Greenwich, it may show "01/14 22:00" when the UTC time is "01/15 00:00".)

[BRADLEYPLOOF]

"Forensic research is not about supporting what you think is true, it's about eliminating candidates.  We cannot eliminate this man at all..."

Translation:

He didn't say he wasn't asparagus, so he could possibly be asparagus...

[jojo69]

btw. Can anyone see this? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=506152.0;topicseen

No. what should it be?

Noise on reddit about gox user data...

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1zumlu/somebody_is_trying_to_sell_mtgox_user_data/

but then points to a page back here that is borked...my FUD-O-meter is quivering

[JorgeStolfi]

Trade volume today (Fri Mar/07 00:00--23:59 UTC) on the exchanges that I monitor was ~265 kBTC, almost the same as yesterday's (262) and about one half of the previous three days'.

Volume outside China increased 121% (from 24 to 54 kBTC).  The relative volumes of the main exchanges remained about the same: Bitstamp 21.5 kBTC, Bitfinex 17.2, and BTC-e 13.5.  The fourth place, Kraken, has only 1.20 kBTC.

On the other hand, volume in China decreased 11% (from 238 to 211 kBTC).  For the third day in a row, OKCoin had more volume than Huobi (110 vs. 96 kBTC).  BTC-China and Bter still had only 2.4% of the Chinese volume.

China's slice of the total volume decreased again, from 91% to 80%.