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Question: When will bitcoin reach the top of this bull market (i.e. when will it moon)?
Topped at $13,880 in June - 10 (6.7%)
H2 2019 - 15 (10.1%)
H1 2020 - 29 (19.5%)
H2 2020 - 27 (18.1%)
H1 2021 - 12 (8.1%)
H2 2021 - 28 (18.8%)
H1 2022 - 6 (4%)
H2 2022 - 4 (2.7%)
H1 2023 - 0 (0%)
H2 2023 - 3 (2%)
2024 or Later - 15 (10.1%)
Total Voters: 149

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21289701 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (102 posts by 19 users deleted.)
PoolMinor
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January 18, 2017, 01:59:21 AM

Same pattern as June/July.

Guys, this is going to bounce hard.  820-830 should be a bottom from this point forward.

I would buy if I had any fiat left.  Cry

Half my standby fiat just went back in at 798.5 - if I could have got into Stamp earlier, I might have nicked it lower.

I hope you're right, Sir - next resistance is probably 5000 CNY level - below that...? Jeez!

Now the the silly dumping is over, I still assert my original prediction.  820 will become the new floor moving forward.

Nailed it.

Still quite early to be patting yourself on the back.
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January 18, 2017, 02:20:23 AM

Same pattern as June/July.

Guys, this is going to bounce hard.  820-830 should be a bottom from this point forward.

I would buy if I had any fiat left.  Cry

Half my standby fiat just went back in at 798.5 - if I could have got into Stamp earlier, I might have nicked it lower.

I hope you're right, Sir - next resistance is probably 5000 CNY level - below that...? Jeez!

Now the the silly dumping is over, I still assert my original prediction.  820 will become the new floor moving forward.

Nailed it.

Still quite early to be patting yourself on the back.


 I think regarding $820.. we have ourselves a decent cushion and even a change in the momentum, but you are correct that we can never know for sure in bitcoinlandia...

At the moment, it does seem that we had found the bottom in the mid $700s and then sufficiently bounced out of their in order to resume upwards a bit... .. but yeah, I never want to count my chickens too soon, either.


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January 18, 2017, 02:20:47 AM

Who the hell is dumping and why??? Seriously, i hope this recovers soon...
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January 18, 2017, 02:23:30 AM

Who the hell is dumping and why??? Seriously, i hope this recovers soon...


You expect to get nearly a 10% increase in a couple of days without any bumps in the road?  Of course we are going to get dumps here and there, but then the question is whether those dumps are great enough to either stop the overall upwards or to reverse us... Way too early to know at this point, and way too early to know how many coins are available and are going to be thrown at this particular situation.
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January 18, 2017, 02:26:10 AM

It's morning in china and they want a little 888 action to get a lucky start for the day!
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January 18, 2017, 03:10:04 AM

Who the hell is dumping and why??? Seriously, i hope this recovers soon...

Tim Draper  Grin
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January 18, 2017, 03:30:12 AM

Another run up? Cool. Unexpected but I like it.

Those with the best crystal balls win.

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January 18, 2017, 03:34:13 AM

Who the hell is dumping and why??? Seriously, i hope this recovers soon...

Tim Draper  Grin

Nah.. that is unrealistic ...

bitcoin bulls, such as draper, don't dump btc in such a way to try to tank the price, unless they become either jaded or rage quitting...

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January 18, 2017, 04:33:20 AM

All I see is little dumps of 0.02 or the like in bitstamp. This is keeping the price from going up, who do you think would want to do this? My theory is that it could be miners with thousands of coins and no transaction fees in some Chinse bitcoin site, or flash traders with bots doing hundreds of transactions a second.
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January 18, 2017, 04:46:01 AM

All I see is little dumps of 0.02 or the like in bitstamp. This is keeping the price from going up, who do you think would want to do this? My theory is that it could be miners with thousands of coins and no transaction fees in some Chinse bitcoin site, or flash traders with bots doing hundreds of transactions a second.

You are describing an ongoing practice of a multitude of traders, and from looking at these kinds of factors over such a short period, you cannot determine who or motive and it does not even really matter that much because the essence of the matter is that prices went up more than 10% in one day and the momentum is up, even if some folks want to slow down such upward momentum and are hoping that it will reverse.. You cannot really tell what is going to happen, including if someone might be preparing to dumb 1000 coins.. and maybe get some success and maybe not.
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January 18, 2017, 07:36:24 AM

Quote
Forget libertarians, speculative individual investors and Chinese savers trying to spirit money overseas. The reality is that professionals armed with cutting-edge technology now drive as much as 80 percent of bitcoin trading, mimicking strategies honed by some of the biggest players on Wall Street. To them, bitcoin is just the latest asset class ripe for conquering with machines.

For once I completely agree with Bloomberg. This is the reality for the bitcoin price market. We all know it.

Reference: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-16/high-speed-traders-are-taking-over-bitcoin-as-easy-money-beckons
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January 18, 2017, 07:45:45 AM



Holding on to that rocket like a pro Tongue
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January 18, 2017, 08:47:11 AM

Good morning everyone. Morning here anyway.

What is the prediction for today? Dropping back to the mid 800s or settling nicely in to the early/ mid 900s.
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January 18, 2017, 09:37:06 AM

Good morning everyone. Morning here anyway.

What is the prediction for today? Dropping back to the mid 800s or settling nicely in to the early/ mid 900s.

i predict 2nd
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January 18, 2017, 10:37:52 AM

Good morning everyone. Morning here anyway.

What is the prediction for today? Dropping back to the mid 800s or settling nicely in to the early/ mid 900s.

i predict 2nd

i predict neither, because I think a 3rd sideways option is most likely.
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January 18, 2017, 10:46:05 AM

I have a feeling we're in for a lot of sideways for the next week or two, to complete the massive cup and handle everyone is talking about. As long as we stay above $800 we should be good. Once that's done we'll be back over $1k and ATH in no time..just be patient!
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January 18, 2017, 10:47:43 AM



Holding on to that rocket like a pro Tongue

yeah... but... still wrong direction...

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January 18, 2017, 11:05:02 AM

I have a feeling we're in for a lot of sideways for the next week or two, to complete the massive cup and handle everyone is talking about. As long as we stay above $800 we should be good. Once that's done we'll be back over $1k and ATH in no time..just be patient!

One or two weeks is nothing.
In 2015 we went sideways for several months!!!
Therefore my patience is always stronger!! Cheesy

In terms of the price level you are talking about I agree.Anything above $800 is nothing we need to be worried about.
Even if we drop below that for a short moment it is ok.
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January 18, 2017, 11:58:13 AM

One or two weeks is nothing.
In 2015 we went sideways for several months!!!
Therefore my patience is always stronger!! Cheesy

Very true, after hodling for 3+ years and so many damn pumps and dumps I should have more patience - just so tantalizingly close to ATH and the next big rally!
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January 18, 2017, 12:27:05 PM

The Chinese new year is coming, and Donald Trump is coming too, so I don't expect sideways for the rest of January.

Don't know if the effects will last, I expect sideways after january
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