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Question: Nov. 30 Price Forecast:
Below $5,500 - 33 (12.3%)
$5,500 to $6,000 - 13 (4.8%)
$6,000 to $6,500 - 8 (3%)
$6,500 to $7,000 - 20 (7.4%)
$7,000 to $7,500 - 23 (8.6%)
$7,500 to $8,000 - 23 (8.6%)
$8,000 to $8,500 - 37 (13.8%)
Over $8,500 - 112 (41.6%)
Total Voters: 269

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 19734693 times)
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TheFlynn49
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November 07, 2017, 06:42:53 PM


Core's last node update to Satoshi:0.15.0.1 will reject all 2x mined blocks. Worst thing will happen is slow blocks and higher fees temporary. While the non-tech users having a chance losing there money because of missing out of replay protection.

ok. But miners could play tricks and mine 1X again a few hours before the next difficulty switch, thus keeping the difficulty high artificially. Honestly I don't panic about that, I trust the 1X devs to do whatever has to be done if it's getting ugly.

Also, dont listen to Jbreher, he just a bigblocker who loves centralization while copy pasting all kind of stuff.

lol Smiley
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FractalUniverse
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November 07, 2017, 06:48:25 PM

Looks like there are not many B2X supporters in this thread.
To be honest, I dont understand why should ordinary bitcoin users (not big miners) support it over BTC
bitcoinPsycho
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November 07, 2017, 07:03:36 PM

looking at the 2 hour optimism chart it very clear to me that we're going up again an should hit $7300 in the next few hours(also go litecoin go)
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November 07, 2017, 07:10:51 PM

looking at the 2 hour optimism chart it very clear to me that we're going up again an should hit $7300 in the next few hours(also go litecoin go)

$8k USD/BTC by end of November.
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November 07, 2017, 07:12:30 PM

Looks like there are not many B2X supporters in this thread.
To be honest, I dont understand why should ordinary bitcoin users (not big miners) support it over BTC

Are there any B2X supporters anywhere? I've hardly come across a single one out in the wild.
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November 07, 2017, 07:22:24 PM

OK, I'm out. Sold everything @ 6120 euro. Only have some Dash and Byteball left. Gonna watch this whole Segwit2X-thing from the sidelines, I'll buy back cheaper or more expensive depending on the outcome.

Hope this selling everything pans out as well as the last time I did.

Did you leave the money or the exchange or withdraw it?

I left it on the exchange as I will be buying back (either cheaper or more expensive).

Similar to me Julian, also holding  Dash and Byteball both very interesting projects (and some bitcoin cash). I haven't cashed all by bitcoin segwit but a significant chunk, only because I have other uses for it. Bitcoin segwit can go up down or sideways from here, I'm happy with my decision.  

Besides bitcoin segwit is beginning to veer away from the cash concept towards being settlement layer for offchain transacting, not my favourite direction. I remain invested because it has retained the bitcoin brand and lots of support with that.



You can fuck off with your "bitcoin segwit" bullshit, and your attempt to suggest that there is some other bitcoin, currently.  At this particular time there is one bitcoin, and the segwit that got added to bitcoin in July/August was a process of reaching actual consensus (have you heard about that?) locking in, activation, and currently development and incorporation.

Yeah, there are ongoing attacks on bitcoin to try to create other bitcoins, to dilute bitcoin or to take over bitcoin or to create confusion, but at this particular time, as I type, there is only one bitcoin and it is not called bitcoin segwit, even though most of us recognize what the fuck you are referring to.  

I understand that you and some of the nutjob BIG blockers want to use inflammatory terms because you seem to be in a state of denial that actually 95% and greater consensus actually caused the implementation of segwit into bitcoin, but there  is no fucking such thing as bitcoin segwit, at the moment, there is only bitcoin - even though in your fantasy attack on bitcoin world, you want bitcoin to become either an equal or a lesser than your other proposed pump fuck variations.
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November 07, 2017, 07:34:19 PM

Users who ignore forks won't be bothered much, even without replay protection on the forks, as long as they don't reuse any addresses. See if something happens on bitcoin, like a transaction, it can or will happen on the fork. If you ignore the fork coin, then nothing happens to your bitcoins. Essentially, abandoning your fork coins makes them valueless. If some hacker gets the replayed coins, then the real owner may complain or report about this, then the fork coins has no value to the bitcoin owner.

If there is some sort of replay protection even if done manually or through some special address or what, a lot of people will just do that, dump the fork coins, and buy more bitcoins.

The other way around does not seem likely, unless someone wants to gamble.

All an exchange needs to do is not support the fork coin and not give any of them to the owners, and say they got hacked, and fork coins get stolen by hackers. If the volume or amount of fork coins is large enough, that will drive the price down close to zero.

Again, the other way around is not likely to happen.
Last of the V8s
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November 07, 2017, 08:14:09 PM

https://www.coindesk.com/cme-groups-leo-melamed-well-tame-bitcoin/
"We will regulate, make bitcoin not wild, nor wilder. We'll tame it into a regular type instrument of trade with rules."
Disclosure: CME Group is an investor in Digital Currency Group, CoinDesk's parent company.
someone's gonna get rekt
arklan
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November 07, 2017, 08:34:56 PM

I'm very not liking all this uncertainty around the fork/CME starting up. Everything I'm seeing suggests Segwit2x will have a small amount of miners, but people are talking doom.

I don't get it.

Two segwit branches fighting over 1M or 2M blocks feels irrelevant to me on a technical level. Both are almost the same, the diff in block size between 1M and 2M isn't that big. Its more like a battle of egos or a battle to gain control of the bitcoin brand, or an attempt to sack the core developers. Honey Badger don't care.

Or

From another point of view the problem is that forks are muddying the water, bitcoin as a concept was once clear but now is not. Additionally the limit of 21million has been cloned to 42million to 63million and so on, of different types.  So far bitcoin (or the chain that is perceived to be bitcoin) is continuing on happily but the seeds are being sown for the crypto winter to come.

Is that the DOOOM you speak of?



yea, the second one, i suppose.
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November 07, 2017, 08:39:30 PM

https://www.coindesk.com/cme-groups-leo-melamed-well-tame-bitcoin/
"We will regulate, make bitcoin not wild, nor wilder. We'll tame it into a regular type instrument of trade with rules."
Disclosure: CME Group is an investor in Digital Currency Group, CoinDesk's parent company.
someone's gonna get rekt

I'm going to need stronger popcorn
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November 07, 2017, 08:44:48 PM

https://medium.com/@jimmysong/segwit2x-game-theory-scenarios-part-1-7f863904a72
Jimmy gives a balanced-ish view

My tl;dr - scammers Mike Belshe, Brian Armstrong and Barry Silbert are gonna need a bigger float.

There is no way that this round of attacks has enough dollars or secret, reserved hashpower behind it.

I'm not looking forward to this. Without a surefire plan to capitalize on these fork coins, short term seems doomish.

People getting all bearish. Makes me think there's one more spike upwards to squeeze all your shorts before the crash actually happens. Hopefully the fork isn't too messy. Who knows, there's still time for the btc1 people to add optional replay protection....

I'm not thinking of selling, I'm thinking of where to park my coins during the fork. Trezor doesn't plan to be very helpful.

As far as I understand with a Trezor, you hold your private keys and they are going to allow splitting as soon as replay protection does not present any kind of problem.. so they are kind of protecting you from yourself (why lose coins based on no replay protection or other inadequacies in the fork chain?)....  So yeah, you could park some of your coins on exchanges, but then you are up to their total whim, too?  


[edited out]


trezor does it well:
https://blog.trezor.io/trezor-statement-segwit2x-2x-hard-fork-b2x-f245fe4f0fb

what exactly is "not helpful" here?

Quote
TREZOR device supports both BTC and B2X.

The TREZOR device supports both BTC and B2X. For both, new and legacy addresses will be supported.

However, as SegWit2X will not implement replay protection, there are certain steps you need to take before you can use both coins safely. We will prepare a guide for you to follow, should you wish to split your coins and use both coins.

600watt beat me to it.. this is even better than I had recalled about their earlier announcement..... . exactly.. what is not to like about that?
Last of the V8s
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November 07, 2017, 08:48:08 PM

I'm going to need stronger popcorn
lol. quite the show it'll be.
https://youtu.be/kBxnl5nZbr0 Popcaan - Stronger Now
couldn't resist. actually it's q jolly.
Ludwig Von
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November 07, 2017, 08:58:53 PM

https://www.coindesk.com/cme-groups-leo-melamed-well-tame-bitcoin/
"We will regulate, make bitcoin not wild, nor wilder. We'll tame it into a regular type instrument of trade with rules."
Disclosure: CME Group is an investor in Digital Currency Group, CoinDesk's parent company.
someone's gonna get rekt

I'm going to need stronger popcorn

Bizarro guys, they are complaining there is not enough vol in their stawk (un)business and then they want less vol in BTC? I wonder how much he would want to pay for taming
my coins... .
TheFlynn49
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November 07, 2017, 09:00:34 PM

https://www.coindesk.com/cme-groups-leo-melamed-well-tame-bitcoin/
"We will regulate, make bitcoin not wild, nor wilder. We'll tame it into a regular type instrument of trade with rules."
Disclosure: CME Group is an investor in Digital Currency Group, CoinDesk's parent company.
someone's gonna get rekt

Errr.. Speaking about rules, what about starting by implementing a good replay-protection procedure ?

edit: my bad, the guy was speaking about futures, not the coin itself. I guess he can put all the rules he wants on his crappy derivatives.
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November 07, 2017, 09:01:17 PM

https://www.coindesk.com/cme-groups-leo-melamed-well-tame-bitcoin/
"We will regulate, make bitcoin not wild, nor wilder. We'll tame it into a regular type instrument of trade with rules."
Disclosure: CME Group is an investor in Digital Currency Group, CoinDesk's parent company.
someone's gonna get rekt

Errr.. Speaking about rules, what about starting by implementing a good replay-protection procedure ?

I have a feeling I don't quite understand what replay protection is, could someone explain it please.
Last of the V8s
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November 07, 2017, 09:13:07 PM

    What is a transaction replay?

In the context of forks, transaction replay is when a transaction is valid on both sides of the fork. So a transaction can be played (i.e. broadcast) on both chains after the fork and be a valid transaction and confirm. This means that if you intend on sending coins on one fork, you could accidentally end up sending your coins on the other fork as well since someone else could take your transaction and replay it (i.e. broadcast it) on the other chain's network.

    What does replay protection do?

Replay protection is something that makes it so that transactions on one chain are invalid on the other chain thus preventing transaction replay. This can be anything from having a blacklisted address or output type (e.g. if an output to address X is in the transaction, consider it invalid) to changing the signature scheme to changing the transaction format entirely. All this does it makes replaying some or all transactions impossible.
https://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/61212/what-is-transaction-replay-and-replay-protection

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/segwit2x-and-case-strong-replay-protection-and-why-its-controversial/
gwoplock
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November 07, 2017, 09:14:41 PM

    What is a transaction replay?

In the context of forks, transaction replay is when a transaction is valid on both sides of the fork. So a transaction can be played (i.e. broadcast) on both chains after the fork and be a valid transaction and confirm. This means that if you intend on sending coins on one fork, you could accidentally end up sending your coins on the other fork as well since someone else could take your transaction and replay it (i.e. broadcast it) on the other chain's network.

    What does replay protection do?

Replay protection is something that makes it so that transactions on one chain are invalid on the other chain thus preventing transaction replay. This can be anything from having a blacklisted address or output type (e.g. if an output to address X is in the transaction, consider it invalid) to changing the signature scheme to changing the transaction format entirely. All this does it makes replaying some or all transactions impossible.
https://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/61212/what-is-transaction-replay-and-replay-protection

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/segwit2x-and-case-strong-replay-protection-and-why-its-controversial/

Thank you very much
TheFlynn49
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November 07, 2017, 09:22:50 PM

    What is a transaction replay?

In the context of forks, transaction replay is when a transaction is valid on both sides of the fork. So a transaction can be played (i.e. broadcast) on both chains after the fork and be a valid transaction and confirm. This means that if you intend on sending coins on one fork, you could accidentally end up sending your coins on the other fork as well since someone else could take your transaction and replay it (i.e. broadcast it) on the other chain's network.

    What does replay protection do?

Replay protection is something that makes it so that transactions on one chain are invalid on the other chain thus preventing transaction replay. This can be anything from having a blacklisted address or output type (e.g. if an output to address X is in the transaction, consider it invalid) to changing the signature scheme to changing the transaction format entirely. All this does it makes replaying some or all transactions impossible.
https://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/61212/what-is-transaction-replay-and-replay-protection

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/segwit2x-and-case-strong-replay-protection-and-why-its-controversial/

Thank you very much

You may want to check this : https://bitcointechtalk.com/how-to-protect-against-replay-attacks-7a00bd2fe52f
afbitcoins
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November 07, 2017, 09:31:55 PM

OK, I'm out. Sold everything @ 6120 euro. Only have some Dash and Byteball left. Gonna watch this whole Segwit2X-thing from the sidelines, I'll buy back cheaper or more expensive depending on the outcome.

Hope this selling everything pans out as well as the last time I did.

Did you leave the money or the exchange or withdraw it?

I left it on the exchange as I will be buying back (either cheaper or more expensive).

Similar to me Julian, also holding  Dash and Byteball both very interesting projects (and some bitcoin cash). I haven't cashed all by bitcoin segwit but a significant chunk, only because I have other uses for it. Bitcoin segwit can go up down or sideways from here, I'm happy with my decision.  

Besides bitcoin segwit is beginning to veer away from the cash concept towards being settlement layer for offchain transacting, not my favourite direction. I remain invested because it has retained the bitcoin brand and lots of support with that.



You can fuck off with your "bitcoin segwit" bullshit, and your attempt to suggest that there is some other bitcoin, currently.  At this particular time there is one bitcoin, and the segwit that got added to bitcoin in July/August was a process of reaching actual consensus (have you heard about that?) locking in, activation, and currently development and incorporation.

Yeah, there are ongoing attacks on bitcoin to try to create other bitcoins, to dilute bitcoin or to take over bitcoin or to create confusion, but at this particular time, as I type, there is only one bitcoin and it is not called bitcoin segwit, even though most of us recognize what the fuck you are referring to.  

I understand that you and some of the nutjob BIG blockers want to use inflammatory terms because you seem to be in a state of denial that actually 95% and greater consensus actually caused the implementation of segwit into bitcoin, but there  is no fucking such thing as bitcoin segwit, at the moment, there is only bitcoin - even though in your fantasy attack on bitcoin world, you want bitcoin to become either an equal or a lesser than your other proposed pump fuck variations.

I'm a bit suprised by the venom in your response Jay. No offense was intended. Only to make a point that the segwit branch is just as much a fork as so called 'altcash' or 'bcash' (see what I did there). If there was such a consensus as you describe then bitcoin cash would not exist. Yet it does.  In your face.


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November 07, 2017, 09:32:52 PM

wow, all this uncertainty and we are holding 7K ish.  I was looking for a short term exit point (very small % JJG) but HODL has never done me wrong

Look at you jojo69... trying to cut me off at the pass.   Cheesy Cheesy

Actually, I cannot really fault you, if you feel a bit more comfortable to skim a little bit of extra fiat off in this $6900 to $7500 price range.

Within this price range my sell and buy increments are stuck in the middle of transitioning from $200 increments to $250 increments and I am kind of in a bit of limbo in this transitioning... since the price seems to be kind of stuck... If we go up, then my orders will graduate to $250 increments, but if we go down, then they will stay in their pre-graduate state of $200 increments.

Anyhow, since I am currently trading on 4 exchanges, in about the past 5 days, I have experienced the execution of several sell and buy orders from the bouncing around within this $6900 to $7500 price range, and so far I am keeping to my already pre-established strategy, and perhaps I am a bit afraid to shave too much extra off, here, even though I understand why it could be prudent to engage in a bit of extra shaving off here.

I think that part of my shaving off reluctancy is that a very large proportion of my order book transactional history shows predominantly sales all the fucking way up from $3k to $7500...   Remember the mid September dip from $4980 to $2970?    We largely have not had any meaningful and significant dip since then, and so therefore, my current inventory of fiat seems sufficiently large, and I don't really feel as if I need more of the stuff.... I guess in the end, I am engaging in discretion, and I certainly understand that the discretion of others could reasonably differ significantly from mine, especially on this point and especially if they may have not been continuously cashing out along the way up, as I had been. 
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