Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

Poll results indicate that we have 41 communist nocoiners. 



...and we have a new poll as suggested by a threadgoer.

Send them in Siberia to dance with polar bears LOL

[1714141826]

1714141826

[1714141826]

1714141826

[1714141826]

1714141826

[mindrust]

New poll... finally something makes sense. (didn't vote bacon crap)

%20-40 is where I am right now. (north of 30)

I wish I had more but it is still better than most people i imagine.

btw that number constantly changes, it is %57 when btc hits $20k, and becomes %25 when btc is at $5k. :/

Probably makes sense to unload some when it is more than %80.

edit: aaand %80+ voters arrived. Looks like I am the nocoiner.

I would be very careful disclosing those information.
Some smart people with some tracking and educated guesses can figure out your crypto asset stash size.
When bitcoin will be worth millions, that could harm you.

I don't think I am strong enough to hodl till a million but thanks for the warning anyway.

I feel like my limit is somewhere at $100k can't even imagine btc going higher than $100k tbh. Maybe 5-10 years later but 10 years of lifetime isn't something i can ignore by hodling.

I'd rather cashout and enjoy my time.

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

Is this 8K going places??, me one bottle of rosè split in two and a small aperitif.... already catching stars, F*** need to make my bag for tomorrow

Log off LOL
Have a safe trip brother.

[WinslowIII]

New poll... finally something makes sense. (didn't vote bacon crap)

%20-40 is where I am right now. (north of 30)

I wish I had more but it is still better than most people i imagine.

btw that number constantly changes, it is %57 when btc hits $20k, and becomes %25 when btc is at $5k. :/

Probably makes sense to unload some when it is more than %80.

edit: aaand %80+ voters arrived. Looks like I am the nocoiner.

I would be very careful disclosing those information.
Some smart people with some tracking and educated guesses can figure out your crypto asset stash size.
When bitcoin will be worth millions, that could harm you.

I don't think I am strong enough to hodl till a million but thanks for the warning anyway.

I feel like my limit is somewhere at $100k can't even imagine btc going higher than $100k tbh. Maybe 5-10 years later but 10 years of lifetime isn't something i can ignore by hodling.

I'd rather cashout and enjoy my time.

Why all or nothing? keep at least one no matter where the price goes ffs.

[yefi]

I feel like my limit is somewhere at $100k can't even imagine btc going higher than $100k tbh. Maybe 5-10 years later but 10 years of lifetime isn't something i can ignore by hodling.

I'd rather cashout and enjoy my time.

I'll agree with that. Seven figures seems pretty optimistic to me, at least within any time frame that wouldn't waste a significant portion of one's adult life.

Why all or nothing? keep at least one no matter where the price goes ffs.

Ah, yes, one has to keep his last one. That's law.

[HairyMaclairy]

Since 2017, I've been following these famous filbfilb charts;
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/W5wwj74c-Bitcoin-Long-Term-Trend-Analysis-A-near-term-clue-BLX-Update/
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/LGfs4PUa-Bitcoin-A-Long-Tern-Market-Analysis/

I don't remember where I got that one from, but this might be the better version of filbfilb's TA:


https://www.tradingview.com/script/xdPkShYr-Bitcoin-non-linear-regression-curve-REAL/

This was NOT drawn by hand. This was calculated based on btc prices from 2010 to 2018. More than 60 different equations were tested and refined and ranked. This one is the best.

just got all the price historical price action, normalized, ran through a series of tests to find the best curve that fits. Then, got the formula and created the script using it in pine script

Looks like $40k might be the next ATH, $50k at best. Care to take a look and tell me what you think? Is he too conservative? Or realistic?

He is putting the next ATH around the next halvening.  Does he even TA bro?

[WinslowIII]

Since 2017, I've been following these famous filbfilb charts;
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/W5wwj74c-Bitcoin-Long-Term-Trend-Analysis-A-near-term-clue-BLX-Update/
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/LGfs4PUa-Bitcoin-A-Long-Tern-Market-Analysis/

I don't remember where I got that one from, but this might be the better version of filbfilb's TA:


https://www.tradingview.com/script/xdPkShYr-Bitcoin-non-linear-regression-curve-REAL/

This was NOT drawn by hand. This was calculated based on btc prices from 2010 to 2018. More than 60 different equations were tested and refined and ranked. This one is the best.

just got all the price historical price action, normalized, ran through a series of tests to find the best curve that fits. Then, got the formula and created the script using it in pine script

Looks like $40k might be the next ATH, $50k at best. Care to take a look and tell me what you think? Is he too conservative? Or realistic?

He is putting the next ATH around the next halvening.  Does he even TA bro?

This year looks way different from 2015, he could be right.

[HairyMaclairy]

This year looks way different from 2015, he could be right.

Pish posh

[HairyMaclairy]

Bitstamp bid book was a hot mess. CB and Kraken were at 8200 while Bitstamp struggled at 8000. Another failed attempt for long squeeze may be. If this is so, then these people don't have enough coins to coordinate their attack on other exchanges. But if this is a "profit taking", I can't understand it. Various shitcoins pump 100% in a day before someone pulls the trigger (Exhibit A: ShitVision ) while Bitcoin raises organically 2% and they sell down 10%+. Some trader here please explain to me how it works? I don't get it! This is only in favour of the many many people waiting to see some drop to enter the train.  We can bet when we will return over 9K.   This weekend may be? We shall see  

$9,000 is a key inflection point.  Very high chance of fuckery at first attempted crossing of a key inflection point.

We need to take a few runs at it.  Crossing and staying above $10k should also take a number of attempts.

This is all normal. 

[WinslowIII]

This year looks way different from 2015, he could be right.

Pish posh

Let's face it, the market is way bigger and way smarter than in 2015. And we all know what the halving does to the price long term. Think about it.
Doesn't mean it won't continue going upwards after the halving, but $30-$40k next May makes sense to me.

[Bitcoinaire]

1D $BTC
100EMA/100SMA crosses have only occurred 6 times in $BTC's history
Bull cross occurred on May 14th


https://twitter.com/CarpeNoctom/status/1134577025899999232

[rebal15]

I am waiting for 10k. Lambie, you said 10k in 1 week, tell us the exact time with minutes if you can.

[cryptjh]

This is the UXTO Realized Price Distribution. It shows the quantity of btc the was last moved in each price range. This can show us price ranges to look at, since some people may be reaching break-even point or starting to have losses at those points"

Coins moved at blue colors are in profit and red is not.
https://twitter.com/renato_shira/status/1134460512434118657

[Last of the V8s]

Is there some tool or website that shows dates when this years new high are being captured?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.0 kinda
but um what's wrong with tradingview/cryptowat.ch/ etc

[Real_Ramsey]

1D $BTC
100EMA/100SMA crosses have only occurred 6 times in $BTC's history
Bull cross occurred on May 14th

https://i.imgur.com/UukAGtj.jpg
https://twitter.com/CarpeNoctom/status/1134577025899999232

http://i65.tinypic.com/2lcnx1g.jpg

[Last of the V8s]

^ nice pic, quoted

1D $BTC
100EMA/100SMA crosses have only occurred 6 times in $BTC's history
Bull cross occurred on May 14th


https://twitter.com/CarpeNoctom/status/1134577025899999232

[El duderino_]

I am waiting for 10k. Lambie, you said 10k in 1 week, tell us the exact time with minutes if you can.

Don't ask idiotic questions add the great WO thread........



!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Last of the V8s]

snipped from https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg51300791#msg51300791

Hmm, not so Vastly Late after all eh Mr. L Slayer?
#firstquintile #defamation #seeyouincourt #haveanicelife

[HairyMaclairy]

Im too lazy rn to post HM's fractal charts but Im sure you all remember the 2 pumps past 300 in spring and summer of 2015. What if we are going through the same kind of thing, but this time instead of 2 spaced out pumps its just one bigger pump right smack in the middle. In that case we would go back and revisit the 3000's one last time before the march to 100k starts for real for real later this year.

I think 4800-5500 would be more likely but just food for thought. Would like to be wrong and hit 100k next month but you guys gotta pamp it a lot harder for that to happen.

On mobile so apologies for the low resolution but chart for comparison here. From this height not a lot has changed in the past few days, although appreciate it feels different for you guys on the front lines and in the foxholes.  There are no atheists in foxholes.

[El duderino_]

^
So we living in tha HM future

"May 2020 it is" hope to keep on this schedule and don't fall into the original