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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26373004 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
LFC_Bitcoin
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May 09, 2020, 02:38:51 PM

Will anybody be happy to take this vaccine when it eventually comes?

There’s no way I’m having it.
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nutildah
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May 09, 2020, 02:47:17 PM

Except how their hospitals are under a central government control.

This was in response to the crisis. It wasn't this way before, and it didn't create the crisis. NY is one of the only states where the number of infected is actually beginning to level off. I could use NY's graph to make the opposite case - that socialism works - but I won't because I know the world isn't that simple. In reality none of this has anything to do with "socialism."

Are you new to economic downturns? First time?

Oh right, how could I forget the thousands of bodies stacked high in 2009, dead from unemployment.  Roll Eyes
Raytheon
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May 09, 2020, 02:50:24 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1)

Will anybody be happy to take this vaccine when it eventually comes?

There’s no way I’m having it.
Since when has this thread become Covid-19 related? Some psychos in Politics & Society will flood over and turn it into a warzone.

P.S: Absolutely no.

Cryptotourist
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May 09, 2020, 02:52:07 PM


Stay, WO can help with fear management.

I also hope you're growing more than just chili in your garden. Cool
lightfoot
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May 09, 2020, 03:11:34 PM

Are you new to economic downturns? First time?
Are you saying this economy was nice and solid and it took a nightmare black swan event (that we had happen 3 times in the past 20 or so years mind you) to knock it into disaster ville?

First time?
JimboToronto
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May 09, 2020, 03:11:59 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

Fuck... it's snowing here.

Too bad we can't send climate around the world as easily as bitcoins.

I'd gladly send you 18 degrees celsius. The heat here is oppressive.
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May 09, 2020, 03:13:10 PM

Many believe that gold-backed tokens can compete Bitcoin, but I don't think so, Bitcoin is unique, gold will always be a safe haven, even if they are in the form of tokens it will always depend on Bitcoin's movements.


Bitcoin Gains Ground on Gold, Bolsters Claim as the Asset of Tomorrow

Quote
“The gold stablecoin needs to have a vaulting for the coin, and it needs to have an audit, and security, and things like that, but the advantage of the gold stablecoin is that you can use it for instant transactions. It’s much more stable than Bitcoin or Ethereum, and I see this as a growth area.”

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-gains-ground-on-gold-bolsters-claim-as-the-asset-of-tomorrow
Elwar
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May 09, 2020, 03:15:33 PM

Are you new to economic downturns? First time?

Oh right, how could I forget the thousands of bodies stacked high in 2009, dead from unemployment.  Roll Eyes

"a 1 percent increase in the unemployment rate will be associated with 37,000 deaths [including 20,000 heart attacks], 920 suicides, 650 homicides, 4,000 state mental hospital admissions and 3,300 state prison admissions."

The unemployment rate currently sits at 15% and growing.


There was an increase in suicides in 2009 due to the recession.

lightfoot
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May 09, 2020, 03:25:35 PM
Merited by nutildah (1), kurious (1), psycodad (1), heslo (1)

Since when has this thread become Covid-19 related? Some psychos in Politics & Society will flood over and turn it into a warzone.

P.S: Absolutely no.
WO is like this. We have all sorts of whack-a-doodle discussions here, the key is we know when to quit and when to stop beating a dead horse (for awhile).

As for the vaccine, there will be one, and if you're smart you will try not to get into a place where you need it immediately, but only after it has been properly tested and reviewed. Otherwise you run into the situation of "Trump cures" which wind up just killing you because it's a crowd stampede.

Perfect example: Gulping hydroxychloroquine or colloidal silver in desperation because a moron says so. Smart move is to wait for the trial data to come out and make your decision then.

*That* is another reason to have reserves. In a true survival situation you are either the first person out or the last person out. Being in the big crowded middle is the worst place to be, so hunker down in your place of reserves until you can see the true landscape and the best plan of action.

Hairy is pretty much dead on in his post, which is why I merited it: You can believe that this virus is not really easy to transmit, that it's not any more deadly than the flu, that all the death numbers are inflated to "make Trump look bad", that your employer really will have your best interest at heart thus the need to protect them against lawsuits, that hydroxychloroquine and zinc will save you, that this is all an evil conspiracy to get your guns/freedom/whatever. You can believe any reality you want to.

But only one reality exists. And in that one when you get sick and crippled you're sick and crippled no matter how many rallies you protested at with your barbie gun*. In that one when you get sick or die your employer just replaces you like the widget you are. In that one things happen based on simple probabilities and well established vectors of transmission, not based on how well you suck up to someone in power. And in that one you face the benefits or consequences of listening to informed or uninformed sources.

Step right up and place your bets! Because this is reality, and this one can't be fooled or paid for on credit or promises.

* Barbie guns: I get so annoyed seeing these freedom fighters at rallies with stupid-assed guns that have endless scary attachments on them. It's like owning a barbie doll and endlessly outfitting her with fashion accessories. Fine if that's your fetish but if you're serious bring a 12 gauge pump action shotgun and be done with it....

** Note: I take extreme offense at people who ask others to sacrifice their lives for themselves, and get really annoyed when asked to sacrifice my life so someone else can profit.

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May 09, 2020, 03:27:00 PM

Lean times in the country’s history didn’t correspond with more deaths, as they expected. In fact, the opposite was true. More people — babies included — died when the economy prospered.

During recession periods, the number of deaths and, to a lesser extent, the mileage-based death rate, tend to decline. (...) The number of deaths tend to increase following the end of recessionary periods.
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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May 09, 2020, 03:32:23 PM
Last edit: May 10, 2020, 12:06:42 AM by vapourminer

so we should start practicing screaming like little girls?
oh shit.... your elaboration causes me to doubt proper attributes ....

since many of us realize that Searing has "screaming like a little girl" trademarked. 

I'm turning you in vapourminer
crap. caught plagiarizing already. ill never be a csw level faker at this rate.

apologies to brad
you gotta up your game.... I know I am borrowing a statement, too.... a just recently used one.  .. .but since you guys (and gal) are so witty, cannot help but to get influenced.



(Done, image uploaded for vapouminer)

thanks!

+merit as soon as i recharge Smiley

EDIT sent
soxxx
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May 09, 2020, 03:40:38 PM

Since when has this thread become Covid-19 related? Some psychos in Politics & Society will flood over and turn it into a warzone.

P.S: Absolutely no.

Perfect example: Gulping hydroxychloroquine or colloidal silver in desperation because a moron says so. Smart move is to wait for the trial data to come out and make your decision then.


You realize that story was fake? or do you watch too much mainstream media?
nutildah
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May 09, 2020, 03:43:16 PM


Re: the NY Post article

Quote
The actual figure in academic research is a 37,000 increase for each percentage-point rise in the unemployment rate. It comes from a book called “Corporate Flight: The Causes and Consequences of Economic Dislocation” by Barry Bluestone, Bennett Harrison and Lawrence Baker.

“Corporate Flight” was published in 1982 and mainly had to do with companies moving operations overseas. I couldn’t reach Bluestone, Harrison or Baker, but last week I was able to contact Wade Thomas, who teaches economics and business at SUNY Oneonta and who quoted those figures in his own co-written 2005 book called “Economic Issues Today: Alternative Approaches.”
...
I would hesitate to extrapolate from the old estimates of corporate flight as a means of quantifying present circumstances,” Thomas wrote to me in an email, adding that “there are too many variables involved now to assert definitive cause and effect between unemployment and the litany of health consequences cited in the 1981 study.”

But, Thomas said, “it informs our thinking about some of the potential problems that may accompany this wave of joblessness.”

Two things are definitely different today. One, Washington acted quickly to help the unemployed. It didn’t when companies were moving overseas.

With the suicide rate: sure, I can see there being more suicides than normal due to a sustained period of high unemployment rates. I'm not totally unreasonable.

However, all you are really saying is that you know for sure the outcome would have been better, and there would have been less deaths overall if... if what? What would you have done differently?

With the exception of South Korea, Taiwan and a handful of other places, I don't think world governments are doing a good job of handling the problem. But I do think they are trying to help people and not kill them.  This isn't some grand conspiracy to beat people into submission for the New World Order. It's just people responding to a unique problem for the first time, trying to figure out what works, what doesn't.

Nobody really knows the solution. Some people just pretend to know harder than others.
lightfoot
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May 09, 2020, 03:45:06 PM

Perfect example: Gulping hydroxychloroquine or colloidal silver in desperation because a moron says so. Smart move is to wait for the trial data to come out and make your decision then.


You realize that story was fake? or do you watch too much mainstream media?
How so?
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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May 09, 2020, 03:54:03 PM

Because when you get injected with something it's best if it is untested and innovative.

worked pretty well in the 60s. more or less.
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May 09, 2020, 03:54:51 PM

Good afternoon WO!
Observing @ $9,685

Less than three days to go!!!
Cryptotourist
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May 09, 2020, 04:12:10 PM

WO is like this. We have all sorts of whack-a-doodle discussions here, the key is we know when to quit and when to stop beating a dead horse (for awhile).

Funny you would say that, just had horse for dinner:



Only the badger scares our young ones:



Notice how volatile is the little fucker.
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May 09, 2020, 04:25:35 PM
Last edit: May 09, 2020, 04:37:51 PM by Torque

Oh right, how could I forget the thousands of bodies stacked high in 2009, dead from unemployment.  Roll Eyes

The opioid epidemic (that has killed tens of thousands PER YEAR) didn't just steadily rise in the U.S. after 2009 because everyone quickly found a job again and were happy, dude.  Roll Eyes

And after this time, with 22M+ layoffs in the U.S., the follow-on death toll is only going to get astronomically worse....again.
Elwar
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May 09, 2020, 04:25:38 PM

What would you have done differently?

I (if I controlled the government) would have done the same thing the government does during a bad flu season.

If I also controlled the government I would likely use the crisis as an opportunity to turn the health care system into a completely decentralized blockchain aided free market system.

If it was truly a bad pandemic people would be able to buy respirators (or 3D print their own), have a negative pressure room in their home/garage/basement, and AirBnB the hospital space. Uber Doctors and Nurses that come and check on patients and give monitoring advice to AirBnBs.

While I have also been control of the government I then turn every law enforcement agency into a blockchain based P2P service where if you need a threat managed you get on your app which uses AI to automatically contact the closest threat managers to deal with your particular situation until a private investigator can come in and gather evidence which is then utilized for an Augr type of trial to determine if the victim requires compensation from the accused.

After being given such supreme power over the government I would work until my position is no longer necessary and the market has fulfilled all roles from my central place of authority down to the smallest individual.
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May 09, 2020, 04:31:20 PM

If not posted already: April Pantera letter.

https://medium.com/@PanteraCapital/macro-impact-on-bitcoin-pantera-blockchain-letter-april-2020-1fdc792d4f33
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