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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units  (Read 38923 times)
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September 06, 2019, 07:17:01 AM
 #401

So. I got the shock victory, 90th minute winning goal. The Indonesians were all tooth and nail but this is a precious away win!

But my Thai elephants underwhelmed. To be fair, the visitors were under real pressure, all those niggly fouls did the job though and neutralised Thai attacks almost every time.

Euro qualifications went by without too much happening to raise eyebrows. Shall we go for a simply Dutch win? They've got the best defender in the world, and are still the underdogs.

Let's do it and not parlay like we stupidly did last night haha.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Netherlands to WIN at Germany @3.82. Betcoin odds: 3.77

Odds advantage: 1.36%
Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 86 bets: +3,314.72 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +15,944.25
Running units after 85 bets (14W|71L): -120.68 (-100 units)

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September 07, 2019, 04:40:17 PM
 #402

Germany may count themselves unlucky to get the own goal, but they had that penalty to convert anyway, so there's no excuse for falling 2-4 at home too, even if the Netherlands are really rising up. Good for us to bring back into positive!

Shall we get another underdog to win but this time with home advantage?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Serbia to WIN vs Portugal @ 3.49. Betcoin odds: 3.38

Odds advantage: 3.23%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 87 bets: +3,325.72 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +15,955.25
Running units after 86 bets (15W|71L): 161.32 (+282 units)

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September 08, 2019, 09:30:12 AM
 #403

Yikes Serbia. I generally recall betting with Portugal in past Euros but with the Serbs riding so high in the Basketball world cup now, I wondered if their footballing counterparts would feel a bit more motivated to raise their status as well.

They did score 2 goals and put the Portuguese on the ropes but oh well. Armenia have been doing better and better in club competition for UEFA. Can some home advantage be good for them?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Armenia to WIN vs Bosnia @4.14. Betcoin odds: 4.06

Odds advantage: 1.88%
Units advantage: 8

Running advantage after 88 bets: +3,333.72 (+8)
All-time cumulative: +15,963.25
Running units after 87 bets (15W|72L): +61.32 (-100 units)

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September 09, 2019, 08:17:57 AM
 #404

Two solid wins from the Euro weekend, and in a weekend when they were precious few underdog wins, feels good to be spot on. Who'd have seen Mikhitrayan have such a turnaround in fortunes after his torrid time at Man U?

Anyway, we should go with it. Israel is our next pick, who face a really tough fight at Slovenia. They are desperate to win, and this victory would be a huge boost to progress, so let's do it.

100 units at Betcoin on Israel to WIN vs Slovenia @4.62. Bitcoinrush odds: 4.42

Odds advantage: 4.52%
Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 89 bets: +3,353.72 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +15,983.25
Running units after 88 bets (16W|72L): +375.32 (+314 units)

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September 10, 2019, 09:55:51 AM
 #405

Nope. Actually went ahead 2-1 after equalising but there you go, difficult game, scored twice and still lost.

World Cup qualification parlays with home teams and Taipei to beat Nepal.

Game 1: Chinese Taipei-Nepal. Taipei WIN @1.54. BCR odds: 1.51
Game 2: Malawi-Botswana. Malawi WIN @2.00. BCR odds: 2.01
Game 3: Angola vs Gambia. Angola WIN @1.84. BCR odds: 1.78
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.6672. BCR parlay: 5.4024

Odds advantage: 4.9%
Units advantage: 26.48

Running advantage after 90 bets: +3,380.2 (+26.48)
All-time cumulative: +16,010.73
Running units after 89 bets (16W|73L): +275.32 (-100 units)

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September 11, 2019, 05:01:04 AM
 #406

This happens to us a lot (or to me rather haha). Pick two hard legs, win them, and lose on the clear favourite. That's exactly what happened last night. Nepal claims a famous away win.

No matter, we never give up.

I'm itching to see the Old Ladies smack their Barca counterparts in EUFA women's. It's unlikely but with home advantage, could we maybe get some niggly penalties?

100 units at Betcoin on Juventus to WIN vs Barcelona (womens) @9.49. BCR: no odds

No units/odds advantage.

Running advantage after 91 bets: +3,380.2 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +16,010.73
Running units after 90 bets (16W|74L): +175.32 (-100 units)

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September 12, 2019, 10:06:55 AM
 #407

Past 80 bets and we're back to parity almost (if we lose today's bet we're in the negative). Absolutely no upsets in women's champions league last night, though you might argue taking handicaps in many would bring 2/1. I guess club football isn't as unpredictable as internationals for the women.

Right then. All-home parlays with women's and Turkish Cup.

Game 1: RSC Anderlecht Ladies-Biik Kazygurt. Anderlect WIN @1.59. BCR odds: N/A
Game 2: Sultanbeyli Belediyespor-Edirnespor. Sultanbeyli WIN @1.79. BCR odds: 1.76
Game 3: Karsiyaka-Muglaspor. Karsiyaka WIN @1.99. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.97
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.6637. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.5128

Odds advantage: 2.74%
Units advantage: 15.09

Running advantage after 92 bets: +3,395.29 (+15.09)
All-time cumulative: +16,025.82
Running units after 91 bets (16W|75L): +75.32 (-100 units)

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September 13, 2019, 07:13:10 AM
 #408

We enter into negative territory once more, and it does seem as if my touch is deserting me, I should be thankful for last weekend's run. All my legs failed, 2 draws and a loss. Looking at the other matches I was eyeing, none of the underdogs won either, so I didn't exactly miss out on great picks.

Here's to the current highflyers of La Liga and Bundesliga. Not that early season positions mean anything but we'll go on form and away surprises!

Game 1: Fortune Dusseldorf vs Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg WIN @2.31. BCR odds: 2.28
Game 2: Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao. Bilbao WIN @2.29. BCR odds: 2.26
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.29

Odds advantage: 2.74%
Units advantage: 15.09

Running advantage after 93 bets: +3,395.29 (+15.09)
All-time cumulative: +16,025.82
Running units after 92 bets (16W|76L): -24.68 (-100 units)

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September 14, 2019, 09:02:13 AM
Merited by leea-1334 (1)
 #409

Two draws. Very disappointing. So much for Friday night action.

The premier league is back, thankfully. I really can't wait to get the action back on in the club proper!

Liverpool have a smashing match with Newcastle and I'm loving some of the picks available but for now, let's put our regular fiver (at current btc price) on Norwich and Teemu Pukki to upstage the City big boys, shan't we? I know their first choice CB is injured but Pep of course will always downplay his second string but we know they're strong still, so 25/1 is fair.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Norwich to WIN vs Manchester City @25.58. Betcoin odds: 23.01

Odds advantage: 11.17%
Units advantage: 257

Running advantage after 94 bets: +3,652.29 (+257)
All-time cumulative: +16,282.82
Running units after 93 bets (16W|77L): -124.68 (-100 units)

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September 15, 2019, 09:38:28 AM
 #410

As usual, the teams I know best are the ones that give me the most joy. We finally have a big winner, thanks again to Manchester City, who gave me a lot of joy last season with Newcastle's shock win.

Teemu Pukki and co proved too much for the big boys from Manchester, and to see their forwards arguing with each other, that was almost as good as seeing the Canaries fans celebrating.

Everton have done themselves proud so far and it's going to be a really tough one but let's see them get a slim away win... and can Watford bring some cheer to their own fans by thumping Arsenal? It's got to be coming, right?

Game 1: AFC Bournemouth vs Everton. Everton WIN@2.27. BCR odds: 2.2
Game 2: Watford vs Arsenal. Watford WIN@3.78. BCR odds: 3.82
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.5806. Bitcoinrush parlay: 8.404
Odds advantage: 2.1%
Units advantage: 17.66

Running advantage after 95 bets: +3,652.29 (+17.66)
All-time cumulative: +16,282.82
Running units after 94 bets (17W|77L): +2,333.32 (+2458 units)

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September 16, 2019, 06:30:36 AM
 #411

Everton weren't bad, but then if you can't get your attack together properly then you better be prepared to at least cover in midfield before your back gets exposed so badly.

And Watford, wow, that's how you make sure you stay in the EPL!

I like Aston Villa's chances, and a routine Torino win at home should keep us going:

Game 1: Aston Villa vs West Ham. Villa WIN @2.74. BCR odds: 2.72
Game 2: Torino vs Lecce. Torino WIN @1.50. BCR odds: 1.48
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.11. Bitcoinrush parlay: 4.0256

Odds advantage: 2.1%
Units advantage: 8.44

Running advantage after 96 bets: +3,652.29 (+17.66)
All-time cumulative: +16,282.82
Running units after 95 bets (17W|78L): +2,233.32 (-100 units)

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September 17, 2019, 06:52:37 AM
Last edit: September 17, 2019, 06:51:45 PM by buwaytress
 #412

Nope. Not good. If the Villains can't win against 10-men competitors at mid table, I don't know how they're going to fare the rest of the season with that wage bill, but good for me, means their odds will be notched down and when they win, it will be big.

Champions League. I smell at least 2 away upsets tonight, but for now, let's stick with an away win for last season's epic semi-finalists, shan't we? We'll add on an underdog bet or two a little later tonight.

Game 1: Napoli vs Liverpool. Liverpool to WIN @2.29. BCR odds: 2.26
Game 2: Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona. Barca to WIN @2.27. BCR odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.1983. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.0172

Odds advantage: 3.61%
Units advantage: 18.11

Underdog bet:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Lille to beat Ajax @7.36. Betcoin odds: 6.89
Odds advantage: 6.82%
Units advantage: 45

Total units advantage: 63.11

Running advantage after 98 bets: +3,614.4 (+63.11)
All-time cumulative: +16,345.93
Running units after 96 bets (17W|79L): +2,133.32 (-100 units)

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September 18, 2019, 06:35:19 AM
 #413

Bookies had a field day last night. Teams who scored for fun couldn't, supposed underdogs won tough away games or at least drew, except for the one I picked haha.

But no worry, we back another pair of old giants tonight. Real and Juventus face really tough opponents, but can we count on Ronaldo and the Galacticos to inject some enthusiasm into their teams tonight, with underwhelming domestic campaigns so far?

Game 1: Paris Saint Germain-Real Madrid. Read WIN @3.11. BCR odds: 3.08
Game 2: Atletico Madrid-Juventus. Juve WIN @3.40. BCR odds: 3.26
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.574. BCR parlay: 10.0408

Odds advantage: 5.31%
Units advantage: 53.32

Running advantage after 99 bets: +3,667.72 (+53.32)
All-time cumulative: +16,399.25
Running units after 98 bets (17W|81L): +1,933.32 (-200 units)

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September 19, 2019, 06:54:43 AM
 #414

Another night of disappointment for the heavyweight in European football. All four of my parlay legs couldn't win! I put a Lokomotiv bet last night and that was 10/1, but it was a last-minute deal and not meant for the picks here (didn't even scout for odds), so it won't count;)

I seem to make more from single longshots, so I smell blood at tonight's opener. Dudelange were very good to me in the qualifiers, so why not give them a shout out at Apoel Nicosia? Luxembourg vs Cyprus. It's not impossible now, is it?

100 units at Betcoin on F91 dudelange to WIN vs Apoel Nicosia @12.06. BCR odds: 11.90

Odds advantage: 1.34%
Units advantage: 16

Running advantage after 100 bets: +3,683.72 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +16,415.25
Running units after 99 bets (17W|82L): +1,833.32 (-100 units)

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September 20, 2019, 09:12:56 AM
 #415

Got to love a game like this.

Against the odds, 2 shots and 2 goals for the away underdogs from Luxembourg, when APOEL registered 5 shots with no goals. And then, in a crazy period of 4 minutes, APOEL score 3 goals. AND Dudelange had 1 goal disallowed in THAT same period. So when it was 3-2, I gave up hope. Then for some reason the visitors woke up, fired a rain of shots. 3-3. And then 3-4. And we won.

There aren't any big underdogs in the big leagues tonight, so I'm going to go for some very tight games in a 3-legged parlay.

Game 1: Ufa-Spartak Moscow. Spartak WIN @2.21. BCR odds: 2.18
Game 2: Southampton FC-AFC Bournemouth. Saints WIN @2.07. BCR odds: 2.08
Game 3: Osasuna-Real Betis Balompie. Osasuna WIN @2.44. BCR odds: 2.40
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.1622. BCR parlay: 10.8825

Odds advantage: 2.57%
Units advantage: 27.97

Running advantage after 101 bets: +3,711.69 (+27.97)
All-time cumulative: +16,453.22
Running units after 100 bets (18W|82L): +2,939.32 (+1106 units)

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September 21, 2019, 10:04:34 AM
 #416

I'm really losing my touch in parlays aren't I? Haven't won a nice one, and when I try to pad winnings with a 4/1 or thereabouts underdog, it kicks me in the teeth haha.

So perhaps today we dip into the Championship, let's have a feel.

But why not bet on Watford to win their first every game, and City to do a double slip up? Hey, it happened last season;)

100 units on Bitcoinrush for Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @25.85. Betcoin odds: 20.95 (most bookies are straight around 20/1).

Odds advantage: 23.39%
Units advantage: 490

Running advantage after 102 bets: +4,201.69 (+490)
All-time cumulative: +16,943.22
Running units after 101 bets (18W|83L): +2,839.32 (-100 units)

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September 22, 2019, 09:31:49 AM
Last edit: September 22, 2019, 05:14:40 PM by buwaytress
 #417

I was SURE I added 2 more picks last night! A parlay that lost because Fulham couldn't hold on to their lead! and a pick on a Sheffield upset... But never mind, the point was to put the picks and compare odds advantage, we'll move on!

Today, Liverpool must win and we'll parlay that with a minor upset for Wolves at Palace.

Game 1: Chelsea vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @2.04. BCR odds: 2.02
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @3.09. BCR odds: 3.06
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.3036. BCR parlay: 6.1812

Odds advantage: 1.98%
Units advantage: 12.24

Let's add another upset, what the hell:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Parma to WIN vs Lazio @9.89. Betcoin odds: 8.98
Odds advantage: 10.13%
Units advantage: 91

Total units advantage: 103.24

Running advantage after 104 bets: +4,146.93 (+103.24)
All-time cumulative: +17,046.46
Running units after 102 bets (18W|84L): +2,739.32 (-100 units)

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September 23, 2019, 06:30:51 AM
 #418

Damn you Wolves! So disappointing, but at least you didn't lose. Got to worry about them losing points like these though. Last season at least they smashed the top 6 up, but now it looks like they've lose their verve.

And yes, stupid me for taking Parma;)

Simple parlay in Turkish and German leagues:
Game 1: Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim. Wolfsburg WIN @1.91. BCR odds: 1.89
Game 2: Besiktas JK-Istanbul Basaksehir. Besiktas WIN @2.27. BCR odds: 2.24
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.3357. BCR parlay: 4.2336

Odds advantage: 2.41%
Units advantage: 10.21

Running advantage after 105 bets: +4,157.14 (+10.21)
All-time cumulative: +17,056.67
Running units after 104 bets (18W|86L): +2,539.32 (-200 units)

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September 24, 2019, 07:33:37 AM
 #419

Both ended up 1-1. Parlay magic leaving me it seems. One would have thought both home teams would have scored at least 2 goals given their recent form, but there's something about Monday night football I guess.

Anyway, lots of EFL action but I'm going to bet on Villareal to snatch another win at Barca, who has been abject in recent times and have cost me so much already this year haha.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Villareal to WIN vs Barcelona @9.11. Betcoin odds: 8.83

Odds advantage: 3.17%
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 106 bets: +4,185.14 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +17,084.67
Running units after 105 bets (18W|87L): +2,439.32 (-100 units)

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September 25, 2019, 06:33:26 AM
 #420

No joy, but am glad I didn't bet on any upsets in the EFL Cup last night. The only upset was a Spurs away draw to Colchester... but I don't bet on draws. One wonders if it was all deliberate anyway, to focus mayhaps on Champs League?

We'll take an Aston Villa away upset and pair it with a Liverpool victory to take odds a bit higher. Maybe a chance to see youngsters all run out?

Game 1: Brighton & Hove Albion-Aston Villa. Villa WIN @3.47. BCR odds: 3.42
Game 2: Milton Keynes Dons-Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.23. BCR odds: 1.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.2681. BCR parlay: 4.1724

Odds advantage: 2.29%
Units advantage: 9.57

Running advantage after 106 bets: +4,194.71 (+9.57)
All-time cumulative: +17,094.24
Running units after 105 bets (18W|87L): +2,339.32 (-100 units)

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