Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units

[buwaytress]

Small joys for a small parlay, but Aston Villa had a thumping win, this is how the game looks like when their new team gets it right in terms of clicking together! And Liverpool, well, they won but had the opponents got better finishers, we'd have been at real risk!

Anyway, I'm going to bet on two very tricky away wins for Sevilla (who will want to get back on track after falling to Real) and Milan (who will want to recover from the derby loss).

Game 1: Eibar vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.31. BCR odds: 2.28
Game 2: Torino vs AC Milan. Milan WIN @3.11. BCR odds: 3.08
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.1841. BCR parlay @7.0224

Odds advantage: 2.3%
Units advantage: 16.17

Running advantage after 107 bets: +4,210.88 (+16.17)
All-time cumulative: +17,110.41
Running units after 106 bets (19W|87L): +2,666.13 (+326.81 units)

[buwaytress]

That's what I get for going on the away teams in Italy and Spain.

Sevilla led 2-0 though at HT and the same for Milan leading by a goal, but eventually both couldn't last, wilted under pressure in the final 3rd of the game. Pistol Piatek, when are you going to give me a good upset?

CAF Champions League is a rare foray but we're looking at a meetup between Angola's most decorated club... away at Ugandan heavyweights. Both are midtable these days but let's see if we're not wrong about a potential underestimation by the bookies!

Oh and this is a new bookie I'm adding for comparison. Their basic odds aren't too great, to be honest, but they offer you a daily price boost that, when added on can boost payouts significantly.

100 units at Sportsbet on Petro Luanda to WIN vs Kampala Capital City Authority @9.13. Now I just discovered they don't have a betslip option though! I already contacted support but for now my bet ID: 5d8da952169c1d1cd74dc6aa

Betcoin odds: 8.59


Odds advantage: 5.7%
Units advantage: 54

Running advantage after 108 bets: +4,210.88 (+16.17)
All-time cumulative: +17,110.41
Running units after 107 bets (19W|88L): +2,566.13 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Well, we were almost right. Led for most of the game and then fell to a goal. Was still an upset, and a 0.5 handicap would have won us 4/1 but we hardly ever do that, do we?

Liverpool seek to continue their perfect run. I have never even seen them perfect at 6 games in my lifetime, so 21 points after meeting Chelsea and Arsenal already feels very very good!

Call me silly but I think Chelsea should also win today. Villa gave a nice win in EFL, so why can't they do the same home vs Burnley? Pad that with a Liverpool win because any other result is pointless!

Game 1: Sheffield Utd vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.42. BCR odds: 1.40
Game 2: Aston Villa vs Burnley. Villa WIN @2.25. BCR odds: 2.22
Game 3: Chelsea vs Brighton. Chelsea WIN @1.46. BCR odds: 1.44
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.6647. Bitcoinrush parlay: 4.4755

Odds advantage: 4.22%
Units advantage: 18.92

Running advantage after 109 bets: +4,229.8 (+18.92)
All-time cumulative: +17,129.33
Running units after 108 bets (19W|89L): +2,466.13 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Almost, but no cigar. Villains got to do better defending than this at home really. But maybe the draw was always the most likely result, since Burnley seems to also only want to hit back when behind.

We go for a simple Newcastle shock win at high-flying Leicester. Maybe Jonjo Shelvey plays today and commands the midfield?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Newcastle to WIN vs Leicester @7.12. BEtcoin odds: 6.82

Odds advantage: 4.23%
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 110 bets: +4,259.8 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +17,159.33
Running units after 109 bets (19W|90L): +2,366.13 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Now we look to Serie A and La Liga for some really tough matches as everyone fights to win. Milan are really down in the dumps after losing the derby and then have been really struggling for some joy so can we count on them to pull out a huge rabbit from their hat on a home game?

And can we expect Roma also to bounce back away as well as Sevilla at home?

Let's do it:
Game 1: Sevilla-Real Sociedad. Sevilla WIN @1.97. BCR odds: 1.94
Game 2: Lecce-AS Roma. Roma WIN @1.68. BCR odds: 1.64
Game 3: AC Milan-ACF Fiorentina. Milan WIN @2.49. BCR odds: 2.50
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.2409. BCR parlay: 7.954

Odds advantage: 3.61%
Units advantage: 28.69

Running advantage after 111 bets: +4,288.49 (+28.69)
All-time cumulative: +17,188.02
Running units after 109 bets (19W|90L): +2,366.13 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Worst underdog pick of my entire bitcointalk career so far, I have to say haha. Lost 5-0, but I suppose the red card really didn't help and Vardy has found a way to roll back the years or something.

Then of course we saw Milan take another beating. Can't get Piatek to score these days...

Never mind. We have Monday night and can we look to Arsenal getting some old loving and hating back into EPL? Odds are pretty good to me, Sportsbet price boost brings us to almost 3/1 so we'll parlay that with a Hannover win in Bundesliga.

Game 1: Man Utd vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @2.98. Sportsbet odds: 2.86
Game 2: Hannover 96 vs Nuremberg. Hannover WIN @2.22. Sportsbet odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @6.62. Sportsbet parlay: 6.3492

Again, no betslip but my bet ID: 5d91a01f3269a210c93afab5

Odds advantage: 4.27%
Units advantage: 27.08

Running advantage after 111 bets: +4,315.57 (+27.08)
All-time cumulative: +17,215.1
Running units after 111 bets (19W|92L): +2,166.13 (-200 units)

 

[buwaytress]

Sorry guys, I deleted I think yesterday's betslip. Doesn't matter as it was a losing bet on Galatasaray vs PSG. I was sure I posted it here but we'll chalk it off as a loss anyway.

Arsenal also didn't win the bet from the day before yesterday so I'll put this down as 2 losing bets.

Another underdog today. Leipzig are a good team but Lyon are either really shitty or really glitzy. Can we bet on the latter tonight?

100 units on Lyon to WIN vs RB Leipzig @5.18. Betcoin odds: 4.92

Odds advantage: 5.28%
Units advantage: 26

The giants are wobbling, but that means the odds are good, so why not parlay three favourites with a tough away win for Dortmund?
Game 1: Liverpool vs Salzburg. Liverpool WIN @1.36. Sportsbet odds: 1.32
Game 2: Slavia Prague vs Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund WIN @1.98. Sportsbet odds: 1.92
Game 3: Barcelona vs Inter Milan. Barca WIN @1.60. Sportsbet odds: 1.53
Game 4: Lille vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.04. Sportsbet odds: 1.95
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @8.7892. Sportsbet parlay: 7.56

Odds advantage: 16.26%
Units advantage: 122.92

Running advantage after 115 bets: +4,464.49 (+148.92)
All-time cumulative: +17,364.02
Running units after 113 bets (19W|94L): +1,966.13 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

I like Leipzig a lot at times, the RB teams have a good youth policy but yeah, Lyon on their day can be really glitzy as we said before. Nice way to book profits and bring us to above 3000 units!

Liverpool got a nervy finish too, but they, along with Chelsea and Barca, really made me sweat on the parlay!

I've been getting a bit messy with the thread in the past few weeks I noticed, so going back to edit some wrong numbers that don't tally (the bet numbers themselves actually, not the total units). Bear with me.

Europa League, Dudelange always gets my juices flowing, and they won us an incredible 4-3 on the first game. As a result, their odds aren't so great now and Qarabag are tough so I'll choose an away parlay instead:

Game 1: Trabzonspor vs Basel. Basel WIN @2.81. Sportsbet odds: 2.75
Game 2: Feyenoord vs Porto. Porto WIN @2.08. Sportsbet odds: 2.04
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.8448. BCR parlay: 5.61

Odds advantage: 4.19%
Units advantage: 23.48

Running advantage after 116 bets: +4,487.97 (+23.48)
All-time cumulative: +17,387.5
Running units after 115 bets (21W|94L): +3,163.05 (+1,196.92 units)

[buwaytress]

Second time this week I was SO sure I posted a bet but it seems I should stop looking at this forum on mobile. Been accidentally putting people on ignore and deleting drafts instead of posting or deleting posts, I'm not sure now.

Anyway, we lost that game badly but we return to Premier League and Liverpool look to extend their perfect start to 8 games -- but Leicester and Brendan Rodgers are a tough match.

Nevertheless, I'll pad that parlay with a surprise win for Crystal Palace away at West Ham. Because Zaha needs to score!

Price boosted by Sportsbet, awesome parlay:
Game 1: Liverpool vs Leicester City. Liverpool WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Game 2: West Ham vs Crystal Palace. Palace WIN @3.94. Betcoin odds: 3.77
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.91. Betcoin parlay: 5.69
Bet ID: 5d9856872592e401b9ce2b1d

Odds advantage: 3.79%
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 117 bets: +4,509.97 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +17,409.5
Running units after 116 bets (21W|95L): +3,063.05 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Zaha didn't score, but Ayew sure did! Yesterday was what I call a parlay well worth. Palace also didn't look like the 4/1 team the bookies had them at, they always looked like they had a goal in them and we saw two, add that to Milner's last gasp penalty and we booked our parlay!

I'm happy with just taking a Wolves upset today against Citeh. It has to happen, right?

Newcastle also look tasty, but let's have a wait till the lineup!

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Wolves to WIN vs Man City @21.66. Sportsbet odds: 17.00

Odds advantage: 27.41%
Units advantage: 466

Running advantage after 118 bets: +4,975.97 (+466)
All-time cumulative: +17,875.5
Running units after 117 bets (22W|95L): +3,554.05 (+491 units)

[buwaytress]

You know, on nights like these, you just feel so right!

Liverpool get the last-minute penalty, Palace get the late winner, and then Wolves the next day get the late goals. Totally worth it losing so many games earlier on (We even got into negative bankroll!). But now thans to glorious losses by the world's best football team (Arguably), we are up by over 50%!

And check out the 466 units gap between our bookie and the best of the rest! That's what you get for choosing the best odds! No brainer:)

Tonight, we go for simpler fare. A Bolton home win against in form Blackpool, parlayed with a cup victory for Gloucester against a team one league below them. Semi-pro football rocks sometimes haha.

Game 1: Bolton Wanderers vsBlackpool. Bolton WIN @4.83. Sportsbet odds: 4.70
Game 2: Gloucester City vs Whitby Town. 1.75. Sportsbet odds: 1.75
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.4525. Sportsbet parlay: 8.225

Odds advantage: 2.77%
Units advantage: 22.75

Running advantage after 119 bets: +4,998.72 (+22.75)
All-time cumulative: +17,898.25
Running units after 118 bets (23W|95L): +5,720.05 (+2,166 units)

[buwaytress]

Picked the wrong upset on the semi-professionals, but didn't matter as the underdog I picked in the Championship seemed content to settle for the point -- who blames them?

A lot of qualifiers going on but we had some mixed fortunes in the Women's in the last set of games, so I'll dip back into Women's friendlies. Maybe we'll return to qualifiers if the odds look good.

For now, we'll use a price boost to get nice odds on a Portugal home upset against the Lionesses.

100 units at Sportsbet.io on Portugal to WIN vs England @7.85. Sportsbet odds: 7.40.
Bet ID: 5d9c2f58b94a9149dee59f38

Odds advantage: 6.08%
Units advantage: 45

Running advantage after 120 bets: +5,043.72 (+45)
All-time cumulative: +17,943.25
Running units after 119 bets (23W|96L): +5,620.05 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

I wouldn't say we were close. England still came away with the 1-0 win, but the Portuguese never really threatened to score either, so probably was a bad bet in the first place. Live and learn, no?

Another friendly today and you know what? Messi is not fully fit but he's hungry as ever, and it's a friendly so Germany will experiment. Upset?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Argentina to WIN vs Germany @4.13. Betcoin odds: 4.02.

Odds advantage: 2.78%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 121 bets: +5,054.72 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +17,954.25
Running units after 120 bets (23W|97L): +5,520.05 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Well, we didn't do TOO badly in the end, I guess? After the quick Gnabry score and assist, Otamendi on a yellow and down 2-0 I thought Argentina were facing down a drubbing, but what do we know? Still, we didn't ask for a draw.

A LOT of interesting qualifiers tonight in AFC and Euro so we ARE rather spoilt for choice, but shall we dip our does first into a friendly or two?

Senegal are riding their form with a lot of good players playing at the height of their careers, so I'm going to go for a beautiful, physical and aggressive upset over the Brazilians at neutral ground.

100 units on Senegal to WIN vs Brazil @10.35. Betcoin odds: 9.31

Odds advantage: 11.17%
Units advantage: 104

Dammit Senegal equalised but couldn't grab the win! My bet now is on Euro, I'll pick an inform Israel to beat Austria
100 units at Betcoin on Israel to WIN vs Austria @7.95. BCR odds: 7.66

Odds advantage: 3.77%
Units advantage: 29

Total units: +133

Running advantage after 123 bets: +5,187.72 (+133)
All-time cumulative: +18,087.25
Running units after 121 bets (23W|98L): +5,420.05 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Idiot bet to add on in the end, even if Israel did score first and kept things even at half time, Austria was hammering on their door the entire match. Form goes out the window for national teams I guess!

Anyway, I'm taking a meek friendly here, only because the odds look like good value on the favourites:

Peru did pretty well in Copa but their coach left them and we've got Suarez on fire with the kind of form that carries teams.

Game 1: Uruguay vs Peru. Uruguay WIN @1.93. BCR: 1.91
Game 2: Morocco vs Libya. Morocco WIN @1.64. BCR: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.1652. BCR parlay: 3.056

Odds advantage: 3.57%
Units advantage: 10.92

Two upsets at equal odds, but we like them at home:
100 units at Bitcoinrush on Czech to WIN vs England @6.39. Betcoin odds: 5.98

Odds advantage: 6.86%
Units advantage: 41

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Iceland to WIN vs France @6.91. Betcoin odds: 6.34

Odds advantage: 8.99%
Units advantage: 57

Total units advantage: 108.92

Running advantage after 126 bets: +5,296.64 (+108.92)
All-time cumulative: +18,196.17
Running units after 123 bets (23W|100L): +5,420.05 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

You know, Iceland almost did it. But we'll be happy and take 1/3 wins, thank you England and wow Henderson you played so horribly, I hope that's all out of your system now!

Tonight let's just go back to upsets.

100 units on Betcoin on Liechtenstein to WIN vs Armenia @9.72. Sportsbet: 9.20

Odds advantage: 5.65%
Units advantage: 52

Running advantage after 127 bets: +5,348.64 (+52)
All-time cumulative: +18,348.17
Running units after 126 bets (24W|102L): +5,759.05 (+339 units)

[buwaytress]

Well, it wasn't such a disaster after all. When it was 0-1 at halftime, and Armenia had all that shots and all that possession, thought it would be over. Credit to the boys for getting the goal, but why didn't they just win it haha.

We do a friendly parlay and avoid Euros ok?

Game 1: South Africa vs Mali. S. Africa WIN @2.02. Betcoin odds: 1.95
Game 2: Kenya vs Mozambique. Kenya WIN @1.99.
Game 3: Argentina vs Ecuador. Argentina WIN @1.71. Betcoind odds:
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.87. Betcoin parlay: 6.64
Bet ID: 5da30035a71caa14a3c73f6a

Odds advantage: 3.46%
Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 128 bets: +5,371.64 (+23)
All-time cumulative: +18,371.17
Running units after 127 bets (24W|103L): +5,659.05 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

ALMOST there, but no banana in the end. Kenya almost seemed like they were giving this away as a host, I mean, that speech about how important the match was in relations. I thought they didn't look too upset losing...

Anyway, we loved Turkey the last time around, but this time France are at home with a loud crowd and we all know how that goes. But I still fancy Turkey, they've got good football, and the French won't have all of their guns. Another upset?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Turkey to WIN vs France @8.57. Betcoin odds: 7.84

Odds advantage: 3.46%
Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 129 bets: +5,371.64 (+23)
All-time cumulative: +18,371.17
Running units after 128 bets (24W|104L): +5,559.05 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Turkey eventually scraped to a draw, which is a crazy piece of credit to them really, being away and now topping that group ahead of France! The only problem was how lucky they were, 1 shot on goal and 1 goal, compared to France's 10!

But that's how you play football, choose the tactic that works for you!

Let's do a Euro qualifier unlikely parlay, with a huge Irish upset against the somewhat underperforming Swiss, and the Spanish to get a tricky away win!

Game 1: Switzerland-Ireland. Ireland WIN @7.21. Sportsbet odds: 7.00
Game 2: Sweden-Spain. Spain WIN @1.97. Sportsbet odds: 1.95
100 units parlay at Betcoin @14.2037. Sportsbet parlay: 13.65

Odds advantage: 4.06%
Units advantage: 55.37

Running advantage after 130 bets: +5,450.01 (+55.37)
All-time cumulative: +18,449.54
Running units after 129 bets (24W|105L): +5,459.05 (-100 units)

Note: cumulative numbers in previous post wrong, but updated to correct ones here.

[buwaytress]

Funny why I still keep thinking that Eire are the same plucky guys that played in the era of Robbie Keane! The Swiss finally clicked into gear and got their deserved win.

Exotic leagues today, a simple parlay in La Liga 2 with a Copa Argentina match.

Game 1: Fuenlabrada vs Real Zaragoza. Zaragoza WIN @2.87. Betcoin odds: 2.76
Game 2: CA Central Cordoba SE vs Estudiantes de La Plata. Estudiantes WIN @2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.37
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.80. Betcoin odds: 6.54
Bet ID: 5da6aff14b9e3f127fdf4409

Odds advantage: 1.96%
Units advantage: 26

Running advantage after 131 bets: +5,476.01 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +18,475.54
Running units after 130 bets (24W|106L): +5,359.05 (-100 units)