Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +98424 units

[buwaytress]

Dafuuuu... I thought I posted my parlay here last night, Getafe, Wolves, Arsenal. I mean, damn! Haha. Anyway, Arsenal and Wolves doing so well in Europa and I'm glad Jota got his hattrick! And Ajax are as lightweight as ever.

Tonight's pick for me a lot harder but here it is anyway, I hate Napoli but not because they're good or they made Liverpool sweat but because of their damned President. Lose again tonight?

100 units at Sportsbet on Brescia to WIN vs Napoli @6.35. Betcoin odds: 6.19
Bet ID: 5e5011da1df9921553f5ea99

Odds advantage: 2.58%
Units advantage: 16 units

Running advantage after 267 bets: +5,396.01 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +27,395.11
Running units after 266 bets (48W|218L): +13,456.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

It wasn't to be! EPL returns and I have a feeling I'll do well today, so I'll kick off with the first parlay of the day, and perhaps add in one or two more picks later on, depending on how well I do or don't haha.

It's Mourinho without Son and Kane, but I think Moura and Alli should be able to get some act between themselves. No Kante makes Chelsea terrible at breaking up attacks sorry Lamps. And Palace, for once, please!

Game 1: Chelsea FC-Tottenham Hotspur. Spurs WIN @4.93. Sportsbet odds: 4.83
Game 2: Crystal Palace-Newcastle United. Palace WIN @2.10. Sportsbet odds: 2.07
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.353. Sportsbet parlay: 9.998

Odds advantage: 3.55%
Units advantage: 35.5 units

Running advantage after 268 bets: +5,431.51 (+35.5)
All-time cumulative: +27,430.61
Running units after 267 bets (48W|219L): +13,356.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

The day Palace win for us, Spurs lets us down again. Have to say Chelski deserved the draw though, and then there was that red card from VAR that should have been caught. All the same, doesn't dampen my mood for a Watford upset! Shall we pair it with a Champs League Barca win next week? This won't settle today even if Watford win, let's look maybe at another addition later.

Game 1: Man Utd vs Watford. Watford WIN @6.56. Betcoin odds: 6.30
Game 2: Napoli vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.20
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @14.24. Betcoin parlay: 13.86
Bet ID: 5e524a561df992a807f618b0

Odds advantage: 2.74%
Units advantage: 38 units

Let's add another that'll settle today:
Game 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers-Norwich City   . Wolves WIN @1.53. Sportsbet odds: 1.51
Game 2: Getafe-FC Sevilla. Getafe WIN @2.37. Sportsbet odds: 2.31
Game 3: Genoa Cfc-SS Lazio Roma. Lazio WIN @1.76. Sportsber odds: 1.75
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.3819. Sportsbet parlay: 6.1042

Odds advantage: 4.55%
Units advantage: 27.77 units

Running advantage after 270 bets: +5,497.27 (+38)
All-time cumulative: +27,496.38
Running units after 268 bets (48W|220L): +13,256.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Definitely not my day, haha.

Both bets settled as losses, and I haven't had a good sniff at a win in a while, except for the one I THOUGHT I posted here a few days ago (and that had Getafe win for us too). Never bet against Sevilla on the day.

Anyway, today, let's do a really, really long settling parlay:
Game 1: Liverpool to WIN FA Cup @ 5.49. Closest odds 5.0 (BetVictor and 888)
Game 2: Liverpool vs West Ham. Liverpool WIN Handicap-1.5/-2 @1.63. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 3: Watford vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.46. Betcoin odds: 1.47
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet.io @13.07. Other parlay: 11.907
Bet ID: 5e53b7f856c1b0ec9c8083fb

And a second parlay:
Game 1: Liverpool vs West Ham. Liverpool WIN HT @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.49
Game 2: Napoli vs Barcelona. Barca WIN@ 2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.16
Game 3: Watford vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.46. Betcoin odds: 1.47
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @4.75. Betcoin odds: 4.73
Bet ID: 5e524af61c12c5d7d0e07409

Odds advantage: 0.04%
Units advantage: 2 units

Running advantage after 272 bets: +5,615.57 (+118.3)
All-time cumulative: +27,614.68
Running units after 270 bets (48W|220L): +13,056.75 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

So much for settling late, lost both parlays on Liverpool failing to win at HT and failing to win by more than 1 goal. But what a comeback that was, and what a match for the memory. 24 corners, no cards for Pool, 70% possession and just a hailstorm of shots. We do have to thank Fabianski for an awful night though...

Still, I got 2 parlays all on Liverpool NORMAL wins waiting, so those are booked (phew) haha.

Anyway, Champions League, let's go for the away giants, and parlay with West Brom tightening the grip on Championship!
Game 1: Napoli vs Barca. Barca WIN @2.21. Sportsbet odds: 2.14
Game 2: Chelsea vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @1.87. Sportsbet odds: 1.88
Game 3: West Brom vs Preston NE. West Brom WIN @1.68. Sportsbet odds: 1.66
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.9429. Sportsbet parlay: 6.6785

Odds advantage: 3.96%
Units advantage: 26.44 units

Running advantage after 273 bets: +5,642.01 (+26.44)
All-time cumulative: +27,641.12
Running units after 272 bets (48W|222L): +12,856.75 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

Napoli sure know how to be the spoilers in UCL, and Barca once more show their frailty on the road. They get so few shots, just really want to pass the ball into the net. Shame on the draw but there you go.

Going for broke tonight, and I do think all these teams have a chance anyway in Europe.

Game 1: Lyon vs Juventus. Juve WIN @2.04. Sportsbet odds: 2.01
Game 2: Real Madrid vs City. Madrid WIN @2.82. Sportsbet odds: 2.79
Game 3: Braga vs Rangers. Rangers WIN @4.51. Sportsbet odds: 4.30
100 units parlay at Betcoin @25.95. Sportsbet parlay: 24.11

Odds advantage: 7.63%
Units advantage: 184 units

Running advantage after 273 bets: +5,826.01 (+184)
All-time cumulative: +27,825.12
Running units after 273 bets (48W|225L): +12,756.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

What an idiot I turned out to be. Backed the underdog, won that, and then picked the two losers of UCL. Watched Real, and got to say City deserved it, even though it was the penalty that Sterling drew that won it. Personally want Real to progress and somehow meet Liverpool, but then we still got to win our game first against Atletico... and I suppose it will be just as sweet to meet City, but hey, all things have yet to happen.

We go a parlay spread across three days, Brugge (and our main man Mignolet to again help us) to win, parlayed with a Pool away win against Watford?

Game 1: Man Utd vs Club Brugge. Brugge WIN @8.29. Sportsbet odds: 8.0
Game 2: Watforc vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.48. Sportsbet odds: 1.45
100 units parlay at Betcoin @12.2692. Sportsbet parlay: 11.6

Odds advantage: 5.76%
Units advantage: 66.92 units

Running advantage after 274 bets: +5,892.93 (+66.92)
All-time cumulative: +27,892.04
Running units after 274 bets (48W|226L): +12,656.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

I think the only reason I'm betting so recklessly these days is that I feel like I made a record high for profit units this season, but I better start bucking up, or things won't go well and we could dip below 10k. But then again, this is for fun, innit?

Shall I go small today on the favourites? EL, La Liga and EPL:
Game 1: Norwich City-Leicester City. Leicester WIN @1.75. Sportsbet odds: 1.72
Game 2: Real Sociedad-Real Valladolid. Sociedad WIN @1.53. Sportsbet odds: 1.51
Game 3: FC Salzburg-Eintracht Frankfurt. Salzburg WIN @1.84. Sportsbet odds: 1.84
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.9266. Sportsbet parlay: 4.7788

Odds advantage: 3.09%
Units advantage: 14.78 units

Running advantage after 276 bets: +5,907.71 (+14.78)
All-time cumulative: +27,906.82
Running units after 275 bets (48W|227L): +12,556.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Bummer, but good for you Norwich, deserved to win, the way they attacked, was a bit painful to see sure, but they got a goal finally, the first from open play since New Year's I think I read.

Keeping it real simple today. Another Palace win after their 3 points last week should be possible, they just bloody need to score!

Game 1: Brighton vs Palace. Palace WIN @3.89. Betcoin odds: 3.60
Game 2: Watford vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.48
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.84. Betcoin parlay: 5.328

Odds advantage: 9.6%
Units advantage: 51.2 units

Running advantage after 277 bets: +5,958.91 (+51.2)
All-time cumulative: +27,958.02
Running units after 276 bets (48W|228L): +12,456.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Probably the most painful loss of the season so far. Palace took us home but Watford hammered the Reds in London. Our heaviest loss for a long time I can remember, and the first game we haven't been able to score in also a long time. It had to be coming, I suppose, and we need to do something about our winter break, we're actually always shit after the break.

No worries, that should give us hopefully some steel to go and beat Atletico big time!

Back to our roots now: 100 units on Villa to WIN vs ManCity @18.00. Betcoin odds: 17.23

Odds advantage: 1.04%
Units advantage: 77 units

Add one EPL/La Liga Parlay:
Game 1: Spurs-Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @3.13. Sportsbet odds: 3.08
Game 2: Real Madrid-FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @3.15. Sportsbet odds: 3.1
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.8595. Sportsbet parlay: 9.5573

units advantage: 40.22

Running advantage after 279 bets: +6,076.13 (+117.22)
All-time cumulative: +28,075.24
Running units after 277 bets (48W|229L): +12,356.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

So painful these losses be. Need to start getting less ambitious and book only 1 underdog per parlay? Or stick with this and wait for another streak to happen?

Big 6 all lost or drew this week, ain't that strange? City will probably be the biggest winner when they play their game in hand.

Long parlay tonight:
Game 1: Portsmouth FC-Arsenal FC. Portsmouth WIN @7.25. Sportsbet odds: 7.10
Game 2: Liverpool FC-AFC Bournemouth. Pool WIN @1.27. Sportsbet odds: 1.25
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.2075. Sportsbet parlay: 8.875

Odds advantage: 3.75%
Units advantage: 33.25 units

Running advantage after 280 bets: +6,109.38 (+33.25)
All-time cumulative: +28,108.49
Running units after 279 bets (48W|231L): +12,156.75 (-200 units)

[buwaytress]

OK boys and girls. Liverpool now got broke by Watford so I'm hoping this is the kick in the ass they needed to now go firing on all cylinders, on all fronts.

Here's a bet that'll settle in a week with Atletico at Anfield:

Game 1: Chelsea vs Liverpool. Pool WIN HT @3.41. Betcoin odds: 3.20
Game 2: Liverpool vs Bournemouth. Pool WIN @1.26. Betcoin odds: 1.27
Game 3: Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid. Pool WIN @1.48. Betcoin odds: 1.49
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @6.36. Betcoin parlay: 6.05
Bet ID: 5e5e1a320345d330d245aa71

Odds advantage: 5.01%
Units advantage: 31 units

Running advantage after 281 bets: +6,140.38 (+31)
All-time cumulative: +28,139.49
Running units after 280 bets (48W|232L): +12,056.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Wow Liverpool. That's sort of what you get when you play boys, though, yeah? Let's hope we learn this lesson.

Not likely though, and I think I figured out Klopp. He wants the Prem title, he wants to have it in the bag asap, and he's protecting his players. So no second-guessing that man!

Can we just hope City lose today? And Ajax win? Cup games!

Game 1: Sheffield Wednesday-Manchester City. Wednesday WIN @15.62. Fairlay odds: 14.34
Game 2: FC Utrecht-Ajax Amsterdam. Ajax WIN @1.59. Fairlay odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @24.8358. Fairlay parlay: 22.944

Odds advantage: 8.25%
Units advantage: 189.18 units

Running advantage after 282 bets: +6,329.56 (+189.18)
All-time cumulative: +28,328.67
Running units after 281 bets (48W|233L): +12,056.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

I don't know what I'm doing. Bad run, probably feeling a bit reckless after going up so high in units gained. Kinda what Liverpool going through now after such a healthy lead at the top? Damn, foot of the gas.

Anyway today's bets are on Derby to win, parlayed with a Feyenoord victory also in a cup game. Betcoin is screwed up right now so I'll update the odds later... but I can share Sportsbet odds here now:

Game 1: Derby vs Man Utd. Derby WIN @. Sportbet odds: 6.10
Game 2: Feyenoord vs Breda. Feyeoord WIN @. Sportsbet odds: 1.42
100 units parlay at Betcoin @XX. Sportsbet parlay: 8.662

Odds advantage: %
Units advantage:

Running advantage after 283 bets: +6,329.56 (+189.18)
All-time cumulative: +28,328.67
Running units after 282 bets (48W|234L): +11,856.75 (-100 units)

[total corrected from yesterday, forgot to -100 units]

[buwaytress]

Can't stop my slide. Derby threatened in the beginning but the FA Cup theme seems to be, if you look dangerous at first, you'll end up losing. All Prem Leage affair at the QFs. No FA Cup magic for Rooney.

Boring parlay? You bet:
Game 1: Paderborn 07-1. FC Cologne. Cologne WIN @2.09. Sportsbet odds: 2.05
Game 2: Deportivo Alaves Sad-CF Valencia. Valencia WIN @2.74. Sportsbet odds: 2.70
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.7266. Sportsbet odds: 5.535

Odds advantage: 3.46%
Units advantage: 19.16

Running advantage after 284 bets: +6,348.72 (+19.16)
All-time cumulative: +28,347.83
Running units after 283 bets (48W|235L): +11,756.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Damn Valencia! Seriously haha.

Anyway, second time in a week I've thought I placed a bet but didn't, damn. Wanted to post the slips here but Liverpool's just finished so too late to post that. But hey, I've got a stake parlay here. Easy peasy, Wolves parlayed with Sheffield!

Game 1: SHU vs NOR. SHU WIN @1.75. Betcoin: 1.73
Game 2: WOL vs BHA. WOL WIN @1.74. Betcoin: 1.74
100 units parlay at Stake @3.05 . Betcoin parlay: 3.01

Odds advantage: 1.33%
Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 285 bets: +6,352.72 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +28,351.83
Running units after 284 bets (48W|236L): +11,656.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Wolves brung themselves blunt, I really do want to see them in a Champions League spot so I hope they find a way to win their next 3 games, and the others including United falter.

But before that, hope United do win today, they've brought me a lot of joy these last 2 seasons as underdogs and I do fancy them taking it up a notch against City, who could be playing a weakened side.

But since odds aren't nearly attractive enough, shall we parlay with Chelsea? And unlucky me odds dropped a lot for Utd when I made the bet, and then went back up again damn me haha.

Game 1: MNU vs MCI. Utd WIN @4.40. Betcoin odds: 4.35
Game 2: CHE vs EVE. Chelski WIN @1.98. Betcoin odds: 1.99
100 units parlay at Stake @8.71. Betcoin parlay: 8.65

Odds advantage: 0.7%
Units advantage: 6

Chelsea won it for us emphatically, and the odds are ever rising against United, so I'm going to make or break with a Liverpool to qualify at UCL this mid-week in regular time.

Game 1: MNU vs MCI. Utd WIN @4.64. Betcoin odds: 4.40
Game 2: LIV vs ATL. LIV qualify at regular time @2.27. No odds available but assume the same.
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @10.53. Betcoin assumed parlay: 9.98
Bet ID: 5e64cb110345d30ca746484c

Odds advantage: 5.5%
Units advantage: 55

Running advantage after 287 bets: +6,413.72 (+61)
All-time cumulative: +28,412.83
Running units after 285 bets (48W|237L): +11,556.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

United did the double on City, and Liverpool have one less win to achieve. It does mean we miss out on City being forced to give us the guard of honour, but it will also mean we can play with freedom after 2 more wins. Can't wait.

Oh and we won our parlay comfortable, and are set up for a nice one too if Liverpool qualify on Wednesday to the UCL QFs in regular time.

For today, I like Leicester, but I think Villa could be motivated to win this in a fight for survival.

100 units at Fairlay on Villa to WIN vs Leicester @7.671. Betcoin odds: 6.99

Odds advantage: 9.74%
Units advantage: 68.1

Running advantage after 288 bets: +6,481.82 (+68.1)
All-time cumulative: +28,480.93
Running units after 286 bets (49W|237L): +12,327.75 (+771 units)

[buwaytress]

Well, that was a rout!

Champions League returns, and I want to back Mourinho again. Spurs are miserable and Mou should have one last hurrah against the odds. Away from home, perhaps they play without pressure?

And Atalanta are a foot in the door, but they'll get loads of chances against desperate Valencia right?

Game 1: Leipzig vs Spurs. Spurs WIN @5.92: Betcoin odds: 5.57
Game 2: Valencia vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @2.41. Betcoin odds: 2.48
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @14.27. Betcoin parlay: 13.81
Bet ID: 5e67760e06bc9e23892ea846

Odds advantage: 3.33%
Units advantage: 46

Since I like throwing money away, there's a nice promo that returns money if 1 leg loses on 4 on Stake, so:
Game 1: Valencia - Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio. Atalanta WIN @2.41.
Game 2: Liverpool FC - Atletico Madrid. Liverpool WIN @1.58
Game 3: Manchester City - Real Madrid. Real WIN @4.90
Game 4: FC Barcelona - SSC Napoli. Barca WIN @1.52
(no odds advantage calculated)
100 units parlay at Stake @28.36.

Running advantage after 290 bets: +6,527.82 (+46) [2 bets yet to settle]
All-time cumulative: +28,526.93
Running units after 287 bets (49W|238L): +12,227.75 (-100 units)

[buwaytress]

Spurs lost badly, but Atalanta kept our hopes up with some fancy 4-3 win. They're scoring goals for fun these days, winning both legs, majestic form.

Got a bet settling tonight, a parlay's second leg on pool, but let's do another one. All eyes on Liverpool.

Game 1: Liverpool to advance @2.00. Sportsbet odds: 1.95
Game 2: Everton vs Liverpool @1.76. Sportsbet odds: 1.73
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.52. Sportsbet parlay: 3,38

Odds advantage: 4.14%
Units advantage: 14

Running advantage after 291 bets: +6,527.82 (+46) [3 bets yet to settle]
All-time cumulative: +28,526.93
Running units after 288 bets (49W|239L): +12,127.75 (-100 units)