Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units

[buwaytress]

Boo Juventus, but hey champs deserve to be champs. Lazio, really, I should stop betting on them. Losing Lucas Leiva changed everything and I need to convince myself of that.

Watford to WIN tonight and guarantee their stay in the Premier League? Against City? Why not?
100 units at Sportsbet on Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @9.35. Betcoin odds: 8.60
Bet ID: 5f16a121ca7c8378a7278a25

Odds advantage: 8.72%
Units advantage: 75

3 bets settled yesterday, so edit on the bets total, but one was a freebet.

Running advantage after 367 bets: +9,990.78 (+75)
All-time cumulative: +31,990
Running units after 366 bets (63W|233L): +12,686.15 (-100)

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[buwaytress]

Well. That was that. On the bright side, the next Watford bet I take will have incredible odds, so when they beat Arsenal we can celebrate. Haha.

Ok I have a freebet to use, and using it on Liverpool is bad karma right, I'll go on away wins in Scandinavia:

Game 1: Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus. Aarhus WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 2: United vs West Ham. Utd WIN @1.27. Betcoin odds: 1.26
Game 3: Brondby vs Midtjylland. Midtjylland WIN @2.20. Betcoin odds: 2.18
Game 4: Inter vs Fiorentina. Inter WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.53
100 units Freebet parlay at FJ @8.10. Betcoin parlay: 7.98
Bet ID: 10539340

Odds advantage: 1.5%
Units advantage: 12

Since we're all about hedging, let's do a West Ham shocker over United, shan't we? @11.99 at Fairlay. Sportsbet odds: 11.00

Odds advantage: 9%
Units advantage: 99

And as I'm feeling good and as a "sure hedge" whatver that means, Liverpool 2/1 is super good value! Home with nothing to play for but the feel good factor? Oh yeah.
Parlay Liverpool and Roma at Fairlay @2.76. Betcoin parlay: 2.65
Bet ID: 08262072

Odds advantage: 4.15%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 370 bets: +10,112.78 (+122)
All-time cumulative: +32,112
Running units after 367 bets (63W|234L): +12,586.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Yikes, sorry about last night, but am I glad I took Liverpool/Roma? Yes I am! I forgot actually placing it that the first bet was a freebet, so we actually made a tiny profit from last night so phew!

We go again in Denmark even after yesterday's shitty draw, parlay with tomorrow's Serie A selections. Might also do a few later but for now:

Game 1: Aalborg vs Copenhagen. Copenhagen WIN @2.14. Betcoin odds: 2.12
Game 2: Milan vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @2.18. Betcoin odds: 2.14
100 units parlay at FJ @4.67. Betcoin parlay: 4.54
Bet ID: 11644306

Odds advantage: 2.4%
Units advantage: 13

Running advantage after 371 bets: +10,125.78 (+13)
All-time cumulative: +32,125
Running units after 370 bets (64W|236L): +12,662.15 (-0, -100, +176)

[buwaytress]

Nice win for Kopenhagn, and now tonight I'd definitely take on Atalanta any time of day. Milan have been quite good after the restart, but Atalanta are irresistible and I'd prefer them to somehow pip Juve for the title especially after last night's shock loss to Udinese (why didn't I bet on that argh!).

So, not doubling down but taking good odds of over 2.5, and parlaying with Sunday's spectacular game where Vardy has a good record against the big clubs, why not a good old fashioned 1-0 scrappy win to get Champs League, right?

Game 1: Milan vs Atalanta. Over 2.5 goals @1.46. Betcoin odds: 1.44
Game 2: Leicester vs Manchester Utd. Foxes WIN @3.30. Betcoin odds: 3.27
100 units parlay at FJ @4.82. Betcoin parlay: 4.71
Bet ID: 02503767

Odds advantage: 2.34%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 372 bets: +10,136.78 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +32,136
Running units after 370 bets (64W|236L): +12,662.15 (-0)

[buwaytress]

Atalanta couldn't win, if they had JUST scored the penalty that they were given, things would have looked so different. So I guess this is it for Serie A. Juve lose inexplicably but Atalanta and others just can't drag themselves near the leaders, much less the finish line.

So that's 2 of our parlays blown out of the water.

I still want Leicester on my books so here's today's parlay:

Game 1: Genoa vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 2: Leicester vs Man Utd. Foxes WIN @3.25. Betcoin odds: 3.22
100 unit parlay at FJ @5.33. Betcoin parlay: 5.22
Bet ID: 08918511

Odds advantage: 2.1%
Units advantage: 11

More bets in, why not? We've got all kinds of bets and freebets to make (the SB one here's the one I got from IG just for following Multi Magic!).

We kick off today an away parlay in Serie A with Liverpool tomorrow.
Game 1: Brescia vs Parma. Parma WIN @1.96. Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 2: Genoa vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 3: Newcastle vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.42. Betcoin odds: 1.40
100 units parlay at FJ @4.56. Betcoin parlay: 4.40
Bet ID: 14470648

Odds advantage: 3.63%
Units advantage: 16

Next game is insured (stake returned) if only 1 leg misses, promo at Sportsbet:
Game 1: Newcastle United FC - Liverpool FC. Pool -0.75 @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 2: Chelsea vs Wolves. Chelsea WIN @1.86. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Game 3: Palace vs Spurs. Spurs WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 4: Brescia vs Parma. Parma WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 5: Genoa vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.63. Betcoin odds: 1.62
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet [Boosted with 3+ legs!] @14.56. Betcoin parlay: 13.65
Bet ID: 5f1be46dee1628547c48075c

Odds advantage: 6.67%
Units advantage: 91

Total units advantage: +118

Running advantage after 375 bets: +10,254.78 (+118)
All-time cumulative: +32,254
Running units after 372 bets (64W|238L): +12,462.15 (-200)

[buwaytress]

OK, buoyed by the results yesterday (all 3 parlays still alive so need Liverpool or Leicester to win to at least be in profit!). But today's the last matchday of English Prem League so I think it's time to go big! Many parlays today, so good luck to me!

Note: Edited the wrong totals in yesterday's sums, was wondering why today's calculations were off. Everything good to go now.

Start with Sportsbet Multi Magic as usual, last week's hit was sweet so we go again:
Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea & Southampton all to WIN @12. Betcoin parlay: 9.64
Bet ID: 5f199942ee1628b6d447a179

Odds advantage: 24.49%
Units advantage: 236

We use up our freebet at Sportsbet:
Game 1: Roma vs Fiorentina. Roma WIN @1.63. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 2: Arsenal vs Watford. Watford WIN @3.80. Betcoin odds: 3.4
Game 3: Newcastle vs Liverpool. Pool -1 @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @10.03. Betcoin parlay: 8.60
Bet ID: 5f1be40e573bfaa80cbbc6fa

Odds advantage: 16.63%
Units advantage: 143

Then we go on FortuneJack on some tough games in the EPL with Pope to keep a clean sheet and Villa relegated with a loss, while Juve knock at least 3 past Sampdoria:
Game 1: Burnley vs Brighton. Burnley WIN @2.65. Betcoin odds: 2.60
Game 2: West Ham vs Aston Villa. Hammers WIN @2.70. Betcoin odds: 2.68
Game 3: Juventus vs Sampdoria. Over 2.5 Goals @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.52
100 units parlay at FJ @11.09. Betcoin parlay: 10.59
Bet ID: 06497113

Odds advantage: 4.72%
Units advantage: 50

Then we take advantage of Insurance again and a 7% boost (miss 1 and bet returned) on Sportsbet countng on Brentford to go for it at Swansea, Spurs to make it easy, Spal to suffer more misery, Pool to of course win, and Setubal to get 3 points:
Game 1: Swansea vs Brentford. Brentford WIN @2.05. Betcoin odds: 2.02
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur. Spurs WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 3: Newcastle United vs Liverpool FC. Pool WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.53
Game 4: Spal vs Torino. Torino WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.63
Game 5: Vitoria Setubal vs Belenenses. Setubal WIN @1.74. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @14.45. Betcoin parlay: 12.85
Bet ID: 5f1d80f3573bfa8092bc0ddd

Odds advantage: 12.45%
Units advantage: 160

Total units advantage: +589

Running advantage after 379 bets: +10,843.78 (+589)
All-time cumulative: +32,843
Running units after 372 bets (64W|238L): +12,462.15 (-+0)

[Trofo]

Good luck with you selections. I have also broken my bank today. Usually I keep it around 5% or max 10% on any given day. Today I am almost 40% invested. Go big or go home
Should be ok if there is a lot of goals, most my bets are for both to score.

I am a little afraid for your LFC bets, did you see line ups? All first team attackers are on the bench and young lions have a chance to prove themselves. Go change your pick for scorer on Majestic 7

[buwaytress]

Trofo my man, I should have read this yesterday but I didn't see your post til now. If I had JUST changed my selections, before the game actually started, I would definitely have picked Origi (and then made the freebet, sobs). As it turned out, putting our boys on the front back in churned out a goal so my selections all hit, but the problem was I got screwed big, big time by Spurs, who were the only team who screwed my 14/1 and 12/1 selections. Like, bloody hell man, right?

So I went big and went home, but at least I covered it all with Liverpool single (a huge bet on -1.5, phew Mane!) but what an unfortunate day really!

Anyway, at least we had 1 win, and 1 bet returned (Sportsbet, Spurs missed by 1 leg), so we're not too bad also.

Game 1: Inter vs Napoli. Inter WIN@ 2.05. Betcoin odds: 2.03
Game 2: Verona vs SPAL. Verona WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 3: Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles FC. LAFC WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 4: Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati. Portland WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.73
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet @10.76. Betcoin parlay: 10.54
Bet ID: 5f1e7a103d7128fa5edbd5a0

Odds advantage: 2.09%
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 380 bets: +10,865.78 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +32,865
Running units after 379 bets (64W|245L): +12,418.15 (-0 (freebet), -0 (stake returned) -400 +356 = -44)

[buwaytress]

Nice! We got one leg out of the way, so everything is in for tonight's gauntlet of games. But let's add another parlay while we're at it yeah? And then we add in a Danish game from tomorrow, plus the FA cup final!

Game 1: Parma vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @1.37. Betcoin odds: 1.38
Game 2: Inter vs Napoli. Inter WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.05
Game 3: AGF Aarhus vs Odense. Aarhus WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.78
Game 4: Arsenal vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.20. Betcoin odds: 2.18
100 unit parlay at FJ @11.34. Betcoin parlay: 10.98
Bet ID: 08519466

Odds advantage: 3.28%
Units advantage: 36

Running advantage after 381 bets: +10,901.78 (+36)
All-time cumulative: +32,901
Running units after 379 bets (64W|245L): +12,418.15

[buwaytress]

Well, one parlay down, but Inter gave us a good one on the other, so we're still alive today, counting on Aarhus to grab a 3-pointer so we can bank on Chelski on Saturday!

Not really my kind of parlay, but judging from the way they played yesterday (arguably the favourites didn't have much to fight for anymore and could gain from rest) I think all the favourites today should win also.

Game 1: Verona vs Spal. Verona WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Game 2: Sampdoria vs Milan. Milan WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 3: Torino vs Roma. Roma WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.56
Game 4: Cagliari vs Juventus. Juve WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.57
100 units parlay at FJ @5.80. Betcoin parlay: 5.55
Bet ID: 07600392

Odds advantage: 4.5%
Units advantage: 25

NOTE: Scroll up on 18th July I made a mistake with total LOSE bets, removing 70 from the count by accident. Rather than correct all the posts since, I'll just make note here and correct the total from here on. Ooops!

Running advantage after 382 bets: +10,926.78 (+25)
All-time cumulative: +32,926
Running units after 380 bets (64W|316L): +12,318.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Juventus took us right out of that marvellous parlay, but Aarhus did us a favour by keeping our one parlay alive on Saturday's Chelsea game yes! Can't wait to nab 11/1 when Chelski wins that one hahaha.

Anyway, simple one for tomorrow and Sunday's final Serie A games, using up our freebet:


Game 1: Brescia vs Sampdoria. Sampdoria WIN @1.49. Betcoin odds: 1.48
Game 2: Atalanta vs Inter. Inter WIN @2.85. Betcoin odds: 2.83
Game 3: Milan vs Cagliari. Milan WIN @1.35. Betcoin odds: 1.34
Game 4: Spal vs Fiorentina. Fiorentina WIN @1.48. Betcoin odds: 1.48
100 units parlay at FJ @8.48. Betcoin parlay: 8.31
Bet ID: 05028025

Odds advantage: 2.05%
Units advantage: 17

Running advantage after 383 bets: +10,943.78 (+17)
All-time cumulative: +32,943
Running units after 381 bets (64W|317L): +12,218.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

I actually now feel weird about choosing Inter yesterday but never mind, I'm going to tag on another simple parlay. Juve to give Ronaldo a last shot, and Lazio to give themselves a rousing game. Caught fantastic odds on Juve but shitty ones on Lazio haha.

Game 1: Juventus vs Roma. Juve WIN @2.65. Betcoin odds: 2.20
Game 2: Napoli vs Lazio. Lazio WIN @2.39. Betcoin odds: 2.70
100 units parlay at FJ @6.33. Betcoin parlay: 5,94
Bet ID: 04649989

Odds advantage: 6.57%
Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 384 bets: +10,983.78 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +32,983
Running units after 381 bets (64W|317L): +12,218.15 (-0)

[buwaytress]

Wow, such cruel. Everything fell apart after Chelski's defence got sloppy to give away the penalty, and then once Pulisic left the field, it was never going to come back.

Then Sampdoria allow themselves to sing out with a draw. And then we got yesterday's double header totally wrong. Boom.

We got a special today though, Rangers won the first game of the season, and I was wondering if we don't just kick the day off with a weird Hamilton Academic upset at Celtic? Never going to happen but since I like throwing money away.

100 units at Sportsbet on Hamilton Academic to WIN vs Celtic @35.00. Betcoin odds: 34.00
Bet ID: 5f2683a85d33d03644c03cac

Odds advantage: 2.94%
Units advantage: 100

Running advantage after 385 bets: +11,083.78 (+100)
All-time cumulative: +33,083
Running units after 384 bets (64W|320L): +12,018.15 (-200 as one was a freebet)

[buwaytress]

Whipping boys will always be whipping boys, I guess and Celtic don't know how to lose against any of the other teams save Rangers. Well. It's going to be another season of attrition and who survives it better. Good luck Gerrard!

Simple parlay today in Aussie league and the Dutch Comeback tourney:

Melbourne Victory FC - Central Coast Mariners FC. Melbourne WIN @1.98. Betcoin odds: 1.96
JC Kerkrade vs Eindhoven. Eindhoven WIN @2.66. Betcoin odds: 2.53
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet @5.27. Betcoin parlay: 4.96
Bet ID: 5f27a989ea10f8d806eaf12d

Odds advantage: 6.25%
Units advantage: 31

Running advantage after 386 bets: +11,114.78 (+31)
All-time cumulative: +33,114
Running units after 385 bets (64W|321L): +11,918.15 (-100)

[Trofo]

Now I'll recuperate and see if I'll throw away more money on Italians in Europe this/next week. Anyone see good odds for specials anywhere?

Hey man, quoted this from another topic since I think it is better suited here.

I have just a tip for you which I have been discussing with big_daddy here on the forums. Real Madrid to win champions league with odds @27
It is basically very boosted odds for Real to pass against City. That side of the draft is much tougher and Real will probably be out after this first game and that is why the odds are so high. But if they they pass City they became first favorite to win it, at least for me. They will be unstoppable. So you have odds of 27 instead odds of 5-6 for Real to pass.

I still think they are going out against City, since they have bad result + away turf + Ramos not playing but at those odds it is worth a shot.

[big_daddy]

Interesting topic, never been here before 
Well yeah, the @~27 on Real is a massive one to bet and try to catch, also take a look at some other odds if your bookie where you bet gives, like, “who will play the final” and similar, like at betfair, Real Madrid to reach the final @~6 is also a potential side bet combined with the first one

[buwaytress]

@Trofo where did you find these odds? I think I remember someone sharing it as 30/1 at some point but I could only find it at 23/1 on Fairlay (I should check more bookies now). I agree it's totally good value and would be silly to pass it up even at 20/1.

I took these too early, and only got 9/1 (Barca) and 21/1 (Real) but yes, clearly the odds are increasing, more like 10/1 for Barca now and as you share 27/1. Also considering Juventus at 14/1 -- or are Messi and Ronaldo too old to win their teams the biggest prize now?

@big_daddy welcome;) I really do miss fiat bookies to be honest, but I can only play crypto ones now. I'm probably going to do some big parlays with boosts on match days but I will also take this season end easy and try not to bet too much. New season coming up!

[big_daddy]

^Yeah
I’m on crypto bets almost 90%, using fiat money only in very rare cases, mostly when I do bets on betting machines

A good price checker (for fiat bets) is this site: https://www.oddschecker.com/ , you probably know it, here I usually find some better odds somewhere else to bet on

[buwaytress]

^thanks big_daddy yeah, I used to use that when I still had bookie accounts in the UK, but once I started doing my crypto only bets it got less and less useful but thanks for the reminder, still helps me every now and then for comparison.

Anyway, I lost both legs last night, so I should win both tonight;) Gunning for Brentford, imagine waiting 73 years to get into the top flight! They have BMW up front, brings me back memories of SAS. Parlay with another Australian league away win:

Game 1: Brentford vs Fulham. Brentford WIN @2.15. Betcoin odds: 2.12
Game 2: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory. Perth WIN @2.59. Betcoin odds: 2.48
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.57. Betcoin parlay: 5.26
Bet ID: 5f2903c2336e932dbf935747

I am considering doubling down with Europa League action a bit later, to take advantage of SB's 5-leg insurance, let's see.

Odds advantage: 5.89%
Units advantage: 31

Scary friendly, China and tomorrow's Inter matchup, nice boost and odds!
Game 1: Brentford vs Fulham. Brentford WIN @2.15. Betcoin odds: 2.12
Game 2: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory. Perth WIN @2.49. Betcoin odds: 2.48
Game 3: Inter Milan vs Getafe. Inter WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.75
Game 4: Jiangsu Suning vs Dalian Professional. Jiangsu WIN @1.77. Betcoin odds: 1.76
Game 5: Toulose vs Bordeaux. Bordeaux WIN @1.84. Betcoin odds: 1.82
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @31.90. Betcoin parlay: 29.47
Bet ID: 5f29042fc27a8ba2e5826813

Running advantage after 387 bets: +11,145.78 (+31)
All-time cumulative: +33,145
Running units after 386 bets (64W|322L): +11,818.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Brentford, why you lose =( EPL's in need of more fairy tales, honestly thought you'd be the ones providing it. So now Leeds will be the one we'll all fawn over. Next season maybe?

Betcoin has the best Europa and Champs League odds, I confirm what big_daddy and Trofo are saying! But I'm going to use my boosts and insurance while I can at Sportsbet to overcome these margins!

Game 1: Inter Milan vs Getafe. Inter WIN @1.83. Betcoin odds: 1.84
Game 2: Copenhagen vs Istanbul Basaksehir FK. Copenhagen WIN @2.93. Betcoin odds: 2.83
Game 3: Shakhtar Donetsk - VfL Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg WIN @2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.38
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.71. Betcoin parlay: 12.39
Bet ID: 5f2abf665d33d047e2c10929

Odds advantage: 2.58%
Units advantage: 32

Running advantage after 389 bets: +11,145.78 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +33,145
Running units after 388 bets (64W|324L): +11,618.15 (-200)