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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +98424 units  (Read 39040 times)
buwaytress (OP)
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October 13, 2020, 10:29:50 AM
 #801

1-1 at half time, decently balanced and Qatar's main man scoring, then boom Ghana 5-1.

Nations League has been crap for goals, but let's dive in stupidly:

Game 1: Latvia - Malta. Latvia WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.69
Game 2: Germany - Switzerland. Germany WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 3: Ukraine - Spain. Spain HT WIN @1.84. Betcoin odds: 1.84
Game 4: Faroe Islands - Andorra. HT over 0.5 @1.60. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 5: Liechtenstein - San Marino. Over 1.5 @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.58
100 units boosted, insured parlay at Sportsbet @12.80. Betcoin parlay: 12.34
Bet ID: 5f8580ac24fcdc25383717ba

Odds advantgae: 46

Running advantage after 45 bets: +4,601 (+46)
All-time cumulative: +41,576
Running units after 44 bets (8W|36L): +1,932 (-100)

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October 14, 2020, 07:44:55 AM
Last edit: October 14, 2020, 02:33:15 PM by buwaytress
 #802

Yes, we really were stupid. Another go tonight with a mixed in euro basketball game haha:

Game 1: CB Malaga - KK Buducnost Voli. Malaga (Basketball) WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.48
Game 2: England - Denmark. England WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 3: Iceland - Belgium. Belgium WIN @1.31. Betcoin odds: 1.32
Game 4: Russia - Hungary. Russia WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.64
100 units Sportsbet parlay @5.73. Betcoin parlay: 5.51
Bet ID: 5f85fa7ac071bebf83d8bbd1

Odds advantage: 22

Edit: 100 units at Betcoin on NL to WIN vs Italy @4.11. Fairlay: 4.01
Units advantage: 10

Total units advantage:32

Running advantage after 47 bets: +4,633 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +41,608
Running units after 45 bets (8W|37L): +1,832 (-100)

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October 16, 2020, 07:59:14 AM
 #803

Thanks Maguire. Thanks Russia. Thanks everyone. Shitty performance in Nations League save for the 65/10 parlay that saved my ass.

Championship plus tomorrow's Sevilla game, why not?

Game 1: Derby County - Watford FC. Watford WIN @2.34. Betcoin odds: 2.22
Game 2: AFC Bournemouth - Queens Park Rangers. Bournemouth WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 3: Granada CF - Sevilla FC. Sevilla WIN @1.98. Betcoin odds: 1.98
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @7.88. Betcoin parlay: 7.56
Bet ID: 5f894715c071be110ad9594c

Units advantage: 32

Running advantage after 48 bets: +4,665 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +41,640
Running units after 47 bets (8W|39L): +1,632 (-200)

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October 17, 2020, 09:35:07 AM
 #804

Great win for Watford, so far so good even losing their stars, 7/1 bet riding on them to get back up in to EPL next season!

Anyway, thank god for league football. We got a LOT of bets today. Personally got many parlays resting on Liverpool winning, but they're not for here. But of course happy to double down on some games we already have legs on. Confidence;)

First parlay is easy: Steve's MM on Sportsbet has won 2/2 and if you win, you get a 2mbtc freebet and the selections aren't too shabby: 100 units at Sportsbet on Leverkusen/Atleti/Barca/Fiorentina WIN @ 9.00. Betcoin parlay odds: 8.45
Bet ID: 5f8ab654025bfe10f4b1739b
Odds advantage: 55

2nd parlay,
Game 1: Everton FC - Liverpool FC. Liver WIN @1.85. Betcoin odds: 1.86
Game 2: Manchester City FC - Arsenal FC. City WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Fe CF Getafe - FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game4: FC Crotone - Juventus Turin. Juve WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 5: Real Madrid - Cadiz CF. Real WIN HT @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet @13.03. Betcoin parlay: 12,71
Bet ID: 5f8ab758bb4a5401ae12c469
Odds advantage: 32

And to hedge all our bets today are some underdog specials at Betcoin:
1. Southampton to WIN vs Chelsea @6.08. SB odds: 5.00
2. Arsenal to WIN vs City @5.92. SB odds: 6.00
3. Newcastle to WIN vs United @4.81. SB odds: 4.80
Total odds difference: 101 units

And finally, going big or going home, 500 units on Liverpool to WIN vs Everton @1.84. Damn DB had 1.85 haha so.
Total odds difference: -5 units

Total units advantage: 183

Running advantage after 54 bets: +4,848 (+183)
All-time cumulative: +41,823
Running units after 47 bets (8W|39L): +1,632 ()

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October 17, 2020, 09:42:20 AM
 #805

And finally, going big or going home, 500 units on Liverpool to WIN vs Everton @1.84. Damn DB had 1.85 haha so.
Total odds difference: -5 units
This time I will not get suckered by your big stake bet on Liverpool so maybe it will pass for you. I guess you got tempted with the odds @1.85 on LFC, it is not every day that we get over 1.4 for their win Smiley

I am expecting goals in all the Premier League matches today and I am betting both to score on all 4 matches.
And adding to that multi I have high stake single bets on Chelsea and United games for both to score. I have a feeling we could get a low scoring mersyside derby and some surprises from City maybe.

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October 17, 2020, 11:57:45 AM
 #806

This time I will not get suckered by your big stake bet on Liverpool so maybe it will pass for you. I guess you got tempted with the odds @1.85 on LFC, it is not every day that we get over 1.4 for their win Smiley

I am expecting goals in all the Premier League matches today and I am betting both to score on all 4 matches.
And adding to that multi I have high stake single bets on Chelsea and United games for both to score. I have a feeling we could get a low scoring mersyside derby and some surprises from City maybe.

Haha I'm glad you didn't, and you're exactly right, I only took it because odds jumped as soon as we lost to Aston Villa... no brainer for me to take it haha. Now it's at 1-1... as usual Liverpool creating more chances and Pickford being the better goalie than Adrian (I love Adrian but really, we deserve a better deputy for a defending champion...)

It's going to be all goals all over EPL for sure.

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October 18, 2020, 10:07:01 AM
Last edit: October 18, 2020, 08:17:27 PM by buwaytress
 #807

So I went big, and went home haha. Liverpool getting that goal chalked off just killed me. VVD lost in minutes, we somehow found a way to deal with, bloody Everton. I definitely suck ass on single bets with low odds.

Will add in another later maybe, but for now, simple 3-leg parlay today boosted on Sportsbet:
Monaco/Lyon/Union Berlin @8.82. Betcoin parlay: 8.62
Bet ID: 5f8c0fe33094ca725da02563

Units advantage: 20

Edit: Add in Atlanta in MLS to break their hoodoo at about 58/10! Will update odds tomorrow;)

Running advantage after 55 bets: +4,868 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +41,843
Running units after 54 bets (8W|46L): +532 (-1,100, including the 500 units on single haha)

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October 19, 2020, 11:48:41 AM
 #808

Draws peppered all over the place, hard to pick a parlay, maybe stick to smaller legs and overs instead? or HT wins at any rate? Anyway, never mind. Woe is me, profit down to 300!

Simple Wolves (sorry Leeds) and New England parlay @5.74. Betcoin odds: 5.62
Bet ID: 5f8d5605c071beb250da22cd

Odds advantage: 12

Running advantage after 57 bets: +4,880 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +41,855
Running units after 56 bets (8W|48L): +332 (-200)

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October 20, 2020, 05:59:04 AM
 #809

Nice steal from Wolves, but no cigar in the end. That'll teach me for switching from Philly. Can't blame the own goal, either. Messed up form in EPL and MLS.

Champions League is back, let's back 100 units on Fairlay for Man Utd to somehow defeat PSG @5.47. Sportsbet odds: 5.40

Units advantage: 7

Running advantage after 58 bets: +4,887 (+7)
All-time cumulative: +41,862
Running units after 57 bets (8W|49L): +232 (-100)

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October 20, 2020, 06:27:59 AM
 #810

Champions League is back, let's back 100 units on Fairlay for Man Utd to somehow defeat PSG @5.47. Sportsbet odds: 5.40
That is actually a very good bet since PSG is missing half of their squad for this match. This time injuries hit defensive part of the squad so over goals and both to score are also good bets since Neymar and Mbappe are fit and they can score one goal for sure.

I am thinking betbuilder bet with goals and Man Utd to not lose, have to see the odds I can squeeze before committing.

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October 20, 2020, 07:49:01 AM
 #811

Nice steal from Wolves, but no cigar in the end. That'll teach me for switching from Philly. Can't blame the own goal, either. Messed up form in EPL and MLS.

Champions League is back, let's back 100 units on Fairlay for Man Utd to somehow defeat PSG @5.47. Sportsbet odds: 5.40

Units advantage: 7

Running advantage after 58 bets: +4,887 (+7)
All-time cumulative: +41,862
Running units after 57 bets (8W|49L): +232 (-100)
I think there is nothing wrong with the enthusiasm for betting at PSG, but I see Manchester United have a very good team and are ready to fight PSG, because as long as the "Red Devils" still have players with named Bruno Fernandes, Scott McTominay, Alex Telles, Marcus Rashford and Juan Mata then the defense will be difficult to penetrate.

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October 20, 2020, 10:05:34 AM
 #812

That is actually a very good bet since PSG is missing half of their squad for this match. This time injuries hit defensive part of the squad so over goals and both to score are also good bets since Neymar and Mbappe are fit and they can score one goal for sure.

I am thinking betbuilder bet with goals and Man Utd to not lose, have to see the odds I can squeeze before committing.

United are regular value bets. You can count on them losing as favourites, and somehow performing as underdogs -- I see Pogba turning up, Fernandes getting his regular penalty (and he already missed his first one so that blip's gone), and Maguire not playing so no silliness in the back this time, though not quite sure his replacement is any more reliable. I won't even mind losing this one if Neymar/Mbappe get a lot of goals.

I think there is nothing wrong with the enthusiasm for betting at PSG, but I see Manchester United have a very good team and are ready to fight PSG, because as long as the "Red Devils" still have players with named Bruno Fernandes, Scott McTominay, Alex Telles, Marcus Rashford and Juan Mata then the defense will be difficult to penetrate.

Yup. Like I said, good value. Even for the last 2 seasons they had strong lineups and talent, just results and form push them to be underdogs in Europe or even against City. This season, Liverpool should give good value to bet against as I think they will lose many games, but better for me that they get better than 1.4/1.5x odds [whimpering laugh].

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October 20, 2020, 11:29:27 AM
 #813

^ on PSG - ManUTD I am expecting an Over 2.5 goals scored, and probably a both to score as well
PSG has scored ten goals in the last two matches in Ligue1, Manchester United played four very efficient games in the Premiership, except the one against Tottenham  Grin

good luck with your bet, it's a very good price to catch!

If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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October 21, 2020, 02:22:11 AM
 #814

finally Manchester United would be the winner, Bruno Fernandes & Marcus Rashford became an important determinant who finally could give a winning answer, congratulations on benefiting from the victory for those who have given the trust of betting to choose in the red devil.

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October 21, 2020, 08:59:42 AM
Last edit: October 21, 2020, 05:53:40 PM by buwaytress
 #815

Well done to all of us for catching this upset;)

I saw at Fairlay some guy cleared out the entire PSG market at almost 3 BTC, such confidence =p

Anyway, I go a weird parlay for tonight, and new format because it takes time=D

Parlay 1: Liverpool/Atalanta/Milan WIN @5.32. Betcoin parlay: 5.18
BetID: 5f8febaf1f3b98f2718e66ef
Parlay 2: Watford WIN, goals over 1.5, card over 1.5, corners over 7.5 @5.00. Normal odds: 4.32
BetID: 5f8d5655bd17e4abe9951ba2

Total units advantage: 82

I'll rethink the underdogs later.

So. Real were shit against Cadiz so Shaktar on Real @14.11. Betcoin odds: 13.00.
Lokomotiv against SB Salzburg @9.02. Betcoin odds: 8.45

Total new units: 168

Edit: Damn me but I really need to just stick to underdog bets. Real down 3 goals at HT. We had Brugge vs them up 2 -0 I remember and almost won that one... surely they can't come back from this? And our boys in Lokomotiv not bad too!

Shall we have another one then? What a run!
Porto to win vs City @10.00. Betcoin: 9.50
Total new units: 50
Edit FJ slip: 11628525

Running advantage after 63 bets: +5,187 (+298)
All-time cumulative: +42,142
Running units after 58 bets (9W|49L): +679 (+447)

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October 22, 2020, 08:53:13 AM
 #816

What a night it was. We could definitely have had another upset actually, if the Russians were a bit more clinical. Liverpool hanged on to their slim lead to the end too, so we're good on that parlay if Milan win tonight. And Watford sealed our lovely win in 80th minute, and ended up giving us an extra card and 2 extra corners to boot, and extra 2 goals!

Confidence is a wonderful thing, so I'm going for another big 5-leg parlay haha.

100 unit parlay at Sportsbet, boosted and insured for Rangers, Roma, Hoffenheim, Sociedad HT win, Spurs HT win @28.81. Betcoin parlay: 26.04
Bet ID: 5f913a3fdc500a1edcec2524

Total units advantage: 277

Running advantage after 64 bets: +5,464 (+277)
All-time cumulative: +42,419
Running units after 62 bets (11W|51L): +2,190 (+1,511)

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October 22, 2020, 10:52:24 AM
 #817

~Sociedad HT win,~

that's right, only at HT they can show some resistance, cause at the end, Rijeka will take the 3 points out from that match  Cool

The bigger they are, the harder they fall


If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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October 22, 2020, 05:02:57 PM
 #818

that's right, only at HT they can show some resistance, cause at the end, Rijeka will take the 3 points out from that match  Cool

The bigger they are, the harder they fall

I'm rooting for you, the ML isn't "good" enough value for me though for an upset, but yeah I think Sociedad 0-1 HT then boom 3-1;)

Not a lot of good value odds to me tonight either. Favs more or less have it and not even a single 10/1 to pick. Bookies not being very nice today.

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October 23, 2020, 08:17:53 AM
 #819

NO! We missed one leg! Would have been the season's biggest odds (we're still waiting for a 20/1 ++ win) if Sociedad only found a way to score early. Credit to Rijeka though. I'm def betting on them in next meetup.

But AC Milan took us home on early parlay, and yesterday was insured so we get the bet back!

Backing Leeds tonight with Angers to do shitty as usual: Leeds/Stade Rennais WIN @6.28. Betcoin parlay: 6.00
Bet ID: 5f9290eee96c907c59844ce1

Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 65 bets: +5,492 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +42,457
Running units after 64 bets (12W|52L): +2,622 (+432)

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October 24, 2020, 06:50:04 AM
Last edit: October 24, 2020, 12:29:53 PM by buwaytress
 #820

What a damn shame. Got our Leeds easy with a 15-minute hattrick but then Angers somehow found a way to win. Oh well. We go for a simple 3-way parlay today and maybe we look at City to lose, but current odds below 7/1 doesn't look at all useful for West Ham!

Liverpool/Barca/Chelsea WIN @7.62. Betcoin odds: 7.42
Bet ID: 5f93c908e96c90cc66848703

Add in SB's boosted parlay (always worth the value) Lazio, Juventus, Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg@7.50. Betcoin odds: 6.88
Bet ID: 5f93c87fdc500af43ceca218

Watford special full of value and they've been looking seriously good in early season form so Watford +0.5, 9+ corners, 3+cards @5.0. Normal odds: 4.50

Edit: Damn West Ham are up at HT. I'd like to put a nice City comeback here at 3.00 to hedge some bets here. Betcoin: 2.80

Total units advantage: 152

Running advantage after 69 bets: +5,644 (+152)
All-time cumulative: +42,609
Running units after 65 bets (12W|53L): +2,522 (-100)

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