Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +98424 units

[buwaytress]

Didn't need the hedge after all, Arsenal blew Albion away and Real made relatively short work of Celta, kept Aspas out of contention for goals and they were good. Relief for our flagging bankroll;)

Mainz seem destined to be relegated, but that means great odds for them against the Champions. Can we count on post-holiday blues for Lewie and co?

100 units at Fairlay on Mainz 05 to WIN vs Bayern Munich @25.84. Other odds: 20.
Massive 584 odds advantage!

Running advantage after 182 bets: +12,017 (+584)
All-time cumulative: +49,686
Running units after 181 bets (30W|151L): +7,062 (+1,395)

[buwaytress]

Such a shame about yesterday! I probably wouldn't have cashed out at HT even if I had the option, though I might have if given 15/1, which wasn't unlikely given the scoreline, but Bayern is Bayern and 5 goals in a half isn't beyond them. Oh well!

So Valencia are the crap team of the season in La Liga, can't win if they tried, so why not Cadiz to repeat their feats against Barca and Real away? Parlay with a Liverpool much-needed win @6.92. Other odds: 6.66

Odds advantage: 26

Running advantage after 183 bets: +12,043 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +49,712
Running units after 182 bets (30W|152L): +6,962 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Well. We do have a habit of letting our old boys come and take points away from us. Hasn't happened in a while, but evokes memories of Crystalgate, even if it's not so damaging right now. Oh well.

League Cup and I know it's a longshot, but Brentford should have promoted last season, so we know they're good... good enough to beat Spurs? Who knows, it's EFL!

100 units superboost at Sportsbet on Brentford to WIN vs Tottenham Hotspur @7.90. Other odds: 7.30

Odds advantage: 60

Running advantage after 184 bets: +12,103 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +49,772
Running units after 183 bets (30W|153L): +6,862 (-100)

[buwaytress]

So, it's been a week of favourites, after all. Makes sense that we started winning when backing all of them. Shall we do another seemingly straightforward one? United's on fire, but City's also making a comeback right?

100 units at Sportsbet on City, Napoli, Barca and PSG to WIN @6.25. Other odds: 5.90.

Units advantage: 35

Running advantage after 185 bets: +12,138 (+35)
All-time cumulative: +49,807
Running units after 184 bets (30W|154L): +6,762 (-100)

[buwaytress]

A loss for Napoli and a draw for PSG. Seems like the all-favourites burst to the post-holiday football couldn't last one stretch. No problem.

Time for an ill-advised boosted insured 5-leg with Turkish, Copa del Rey and Greek leagues. I know, not exciting.

100 units at Sportsbet on Girona, Cadiz, Huesca, PAOK Thessaloniki and Fenerbahce to WIN @22.44. Other odds: 21.64

Units advantage: 80

Running advantage after 186 bets: +12,218 (+80)
All-time cumulative: +49,887
Running units after 185 bets (30W|155L): +6,662 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Not sure how I feel about proving myself right with stupid bets. Celta Vigo lost to Real but they probably played out the rest of that match to lose, so they can win tonight's game. Parlay with a Wolves progression in FA cup methinks.

100 units at Sportsbet on Wolves, Celta WIN @7.29. Other odds: 6.88

Units advantgae: 41

Running advantage after 187 bets: +12,259 (+41)
All-time cumulative: +49,928
Running units after 186 bets (30W|156L): +6,562 (-100)

[Trofo]

Not sure how I feel about proving myself right with stupid bets. Celta Vigo lost to Real but they probably played out the rest of that match to lose, so they can win tonight's game. Parlay with a Wolves progression in FA cup methinks.

Damn man, you were too fast. I just made my ticket and went with Villareal. Wanted to write a few sentences about that game in our pool thread but now I am writing it here instead. Celta game against Real was very costly for them, they lost Nolito and Aspas to injuries and Tapia to cards. Vilareal is playing very good football all season and they just missed a proper striker to convert all those chances, now Bacca is fit again and Celta without few key players. This one has Villareal win written all over, at least for me.

Do you know if our Insurance on Sportsbet is still valid if some games get void? My x5 multi just became x3 multi since 2 tennis matches ended with forfeit. Still says insured on the top and total odds have been appropriately lowered.

[buwaytress]

Damn man, you were too fast. I just made my ticket and went with Villareal. Wanted to write a few sentences about that game in our pool thread but now I am writing it here instead. Celta game against Real was very costly for them, they lost Nolito and Aspas to injuries and Tapia to cards. Vilareal is playing very good football all season and they just missed a proper striker to convert all those chances, now Bacca is fit again and Celta without few key players. This one has Villareal win written all over, at least for me.

Do you know if our Insurance on Sportsbet is still valid if some games get void? My x5 multi just became x3 multi since 2 tennis matches ended with forfeit. Still says insured on the top and total odds have been appropriately lowered.

Yeah, it was a horrible game to lose, and I thought they were fairly matched as well. Villareal have actually been very good to me betting wise too, I actually didn't know about Bacca, and they've been on a two-win run, but I thought that Celta will want to BREAK their own two-loss streak. They're clearly the underdogs because of the loss of key players --- and the shock loss to Ibiza (haha) so for sure they will be out for blood to push that behind them. Denis Suarez to break his duck in this game?

And no, had no idea about the void games on insurance. Sounds pretty cool... I do know freebets don't get returned if placed on postponed matches though. Damn Covid lost me some like this!

[buwaytress]

FA Cup, can we count on the favourites? I certainly think so, worth a boosted, insured bet! Blades will want to win this so they don't feel so shitty from never winning in EPL, right?

100 units at Sportsbet on Sheffield, Burnley, Swansea, Leicester, Norwich @16.12. Other odds: 15.46

Units advantage: 66

Running advantage after 188 bets: +12,325 (+66)
All-time cumulative: +49,994
Running units after 187 bets (30W|157L): +6,462 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Thanks Burnley. You couldn't even win it in normal time or extra time. Everyone else got it fairly easily too, so at least I got the freebet back.

That allows us to bet on:
100 units at Sportsbet on Parma, Verona, Napoli, Leeds HT and Brighton HT WIN @19.51. Other odds: 18.65

Units advantage: 86

Running advantage after 189 bets: +12,411 (+86)
All-time cumulative: +50,080
Running units after 188 bets (30W|158L): +6,462 (-+0)

[buwaytress]

Well, that was a spectacular crash from Leeds. Brighton also scraped past on penalties, magic of the FA Cup. Hard to predict though, almost impossible to predict, but maybe this throws up some clues for next round?

A 3-way today for Monday. 100 units at Sportsbet on West Ham HT, Standard Liege and Getafe to WIN @5.33. Other odds: 5.26

Odds advantage: 7

Running advantage after 190 bets: +12,418 (+7)
All-time cumulative: +50,087
Running units after 189 bets (30W|159L): +6,362 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Thanks West Ham and all you premier league outfits who struggle in FA cup 3rd round. Unfortunately, I can't be too pissed since even Liverpool couldn't win at HT (yes, it was Villa but it was practically teenagers anyway so no excuse).

Burnley was pretty shit at FA Cup themselves, but maybe they find a way to beat United at home? Hey, stranger things have happened and we all love seeing United stumble, don't we?

100 units at Sportsbet on Burnley to WIN vs Man Utd @7.16. Other odds: 6.80

Units advantage: 36

Running advantage after 191 bets: +12,454 (+36)
All-time cumulative: +50,123
Running units after 190 bets (30W|160L): +6,262 (-100)

[buwaytress]

I'm a sucker for betting against Man City and it hasn't been as profitable yet this season as it was last, though I actually haven't been betting against them so much thanks to bookies now adjusting odds down.

Fairlay has it good but bets aren't going through for me at all.

But 100 units at FortuneJack for a rare appearance on Brighton to do it @17.00. Other odds: 16.00
Bet ID: 02777154

Units advantage: 100

Running advantage after 192 bets: +12,554 (+100)
All-time cumulative: +50,223
Running units after 191 bets (30W|161L): +6,162 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Brighton actually had a good second half, so it was a shame we lost, a bigger shame that there wasn't a draw in that game. My other underdog pick (Marseille) also didn't make it and even Barca and Juve both only managed draws in their cup games. Not a good night for anyone in the end.

That does make it easy for me to bet on a Palace upset!

100 units at Sportsbet on Crystal Palace to WIN vs Arsenal @6.06. Other odds: 5.80

Units advantage: 26

Running advantage after 193 bets: +12,580 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +50,249
Running units after 192 bets (30W|162L): +6,062 (-100)

[buwaytress]

The dullest outcome possible happened. Wasn't a match I was really interested in but really, Palace could have snatched this. Anyway, Serie A and Ligue 1 action tonight.

100 units at Sportsbet on Roma, Leverkusen and Monaco to WIN @10.98. Other odds: 10.65

Units advantage: 33

Running advantage after 194 bets: +12,613 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +50,282
Running units after 193 bets (30W|163L): +5,962 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Well. Roma losing 0-3 to Lazio, should have gone for the favourites but then again Leverkusen also lost (though bookies placed that game as having tight odds).

Danny Ings should still be reveling in his goal against Liverpool, so here's to him taking it to Leicester way, and parlay with a must-win Liverpool bet tomorrow.

100 units at Sportsbet on Saints, Liverpool to WIN @9.13. Other odds: 8.60

Units advantage: 53

Running advantage after 195 bets: +12,666 (+53)
All-time cumulative: +50,335
Running units after 194 bets (30W|164L): +5,862 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Not the classiest of games but Leicester deserved the win, I suppose. Not at all doing well with betting, ouch!

Anyway, doubling down on Liverpool. We have to win, and I think we have enough in the bag to make it happen. A Sportsbet Betbuilder is in order:
Half/full result - Liverpool/Liverpool
Total corners - Over 6.5 (90 mins)
Total booking pts - Under 69.5 (90 mins)
Total goals - Under 6.5 (90 mins)
Total goals - Over 1.5 (90 mins)

100 units at Sportsbet @4.33. Other odds: 4.12

Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 196 bets: +12,688 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +50,357
Running units after 195 bets (30W|165L): +5,762 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Scoreless draws are the sort of results that frustrate me the most, to be honest. Just something about the toothlessness of it all. Strange whistle blow at the end of HT though, Mane was through on goal and ref ended the game. Oh well!

I'm going for a tough one tonight, but Sportsbet superboost makes it worthwhile!

100 units at Sportsbet on Newcastle (*8.83), AC Milan to WIN @14.57. Other odds: 13.54

Units advantage: 103

Running advantage after 197 bets: +12,791 (+103)
All-time cumulative: +50,460
Running units after 196 bets (30W|166L): +5,662 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Not even Andy Caroll in a million years could get Toons out of that problem last night. Our AC Milan leg won, but that wasn't the hardest one. Zlatanising everything.

Back to 5-legs, boosted, insured parlays, why not?

100 units at Sportsbet on West Ham, Leicester, Real Valladolid, Sevilla and Wolfsburg to WIN @26.72. Other odds: 24.98
Bet ID: 6007001fbddcf6ce98c8a5ff

Units advantage: 174

Running advantage after 198 bets: +12,965 (+174)
All-time cumulative: +50,614
Running units after 197 bets (30W|167L): +5,562 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Tsk, Real Valladolid actually went behind, eventually came up to draw 2-2, but we missed the parlay all the same. Shame! The insurance is consolation though, we'll use the freebet up here on an Aston Villa upset, because it needs to happen!

Fairlay's got better odds, mind you. But I'll use up the freebet before I forget. I'll reflect this as a disadvantage (ouch).

Villa to WIN vs Manchester City @9.58. Fairlay odds: 10.75

Odds advantage: -117

Running advantage after 199 bets: +12,848 (-117)
All-time cumulative: +50,497
Running units after 198 bets (30W|168L): +5,562 (-0)