Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Ouchie on the first leg. Took a bit of bad luck to lose though, as Tranmere dominated the first half, not sure what went wrong in the second. Not that it'd have made a difference anyway as Boca Jrs also drew, unable to score.

100 units at Sportsbet on Wellington FC and Cadiz to WIN @8.02. Other odds: 7.60
Units advantage: 42

Running advantage after 347 bets: +23,663 (+42)
All-time cumulative: +62,061
Running units after 346 bets (406W|290L): +14,245 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Ouf, what a waste. Wellington won their game really comfortably but it wasn't to be as Cadiz just couldn't grab the win despite coming close at 2-2.

Final day today in Spain (almost all games) and in Germany every match is played at the same time. I'm feeling itchy for loads of accas but let's put down two underdog singles first.

100 units at Fairlay on Schalke to WIN vs Koln @8.07. Other odds: 7.70
100 units at Fairlay on Villareal to WIN vs Real Madrid @6.87. Other odds: 6.60
Total units advantage: 37+13 = 50

Running advantage after 348 bets: +23,713 (+50)
All-time cumulative: +62,111
Running units after 347 bets (406W|291L): +14,145 (-100)

[Trofo]

Final day today in Spain (almost all games) and in Germany every match is played at the same time. I'm feeling itchy for loads of accas but let's put down two underdog singles first.

100 units at Fairlay on Villareal to WIN vs Real Madrid @6.87. Other odds: 6.60

Real - Villareal game should be a real beauty. I can see your selection hitting, especially if Atletico manages to secure let's say 2:0 lead in other game and Real realizes they can't win the league anymore. I have opted for more secure both to score market since bookies finally dropped the odds on Serie A games and they don't have any value today and I had to look for value in other leagues.

[buwaytress]

Real - Villareal game should be a real beauty. I can see your selection hitting, especially if Atletico manages to secure let's say 2:0 lead in other game and Real realizes they can't win the league anymore. I have opted for more secure both to score market since bookies finally dropped the odds on Serie A games and they don't have any value today and I had to look for value in other leagues.

Indeed! Just seeing all kinds of headlines popping up too about random stuff and even black magic haha to it's nice to see the press milking this for everything they got.

Suarez looked uncertain in the last game but the way he won that last match will do everything for him and this team. I think they'll race into a 2 goal lead by HT, and then Real, as you say, will hear everything in the dressing room.

I'm still playing around with parlays but waiting for boosts as well. Gonna be a huge day.

[buwaytress]

So near, and yet so close? Heh. Villareal leading all the way until, again the last 10 minutes -- but same as whomever would have bet against Atletico, both Madrid clubs won and what a title win for Atleti!

I do have a couple of parlays alive after all of this but they don't matter as didn't post in this thread, shall we do a simple special here?

100 units boosted at Sportsbet on Arsenal, Chelsea, Leeds & Manchester City @7.00. Other odds: 5.20
Bet ID: 60a624094219f70d4dcf2dba

Trust in Arsenal and Leeds, but let's also hedge these;)
100 units at Sportsbet on Villa to WIN vs Chelsea @7.60. Other odds: 6.84

100 units at Fairlay on Everton to WIN vs City @7.08. Other odds: 6.80

Units advantage: 180+76+28 =284

Running advantage after 352 bets: +23,997 (+284)
All-time cumulative: +62,395
Running units after 349 bets (406W|293L): +13,945 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Thank you Villa, I knew it was right to hedge on Chelsea, totally distracted by Champions League. They have to thank Spurs too for sure, for sneaking into Champions League even with losing. Gotta feel for Brendan, or do we?

Anyway, I urge you to check out Sportsbet. Every day until EURO 2020 they have a really huge value special which I'm putting loads of money on. Some are no-brainers (void if it doesn't hit) and some are just plenty of goals and outrights at massive values.

Meanwhile, outlier bets while waiting for EURO;)

100 units at Sportsbet on Bulleen Lions, Melbourne City and Austria Wien to WIN @9.37. Other odds: 8.88
Units advantage: 49

Running advantage after 353 bets: +24,046 (+49)
All-time cumulative: +62,444
Running units after 352 bets (57W|295L): +14,405 (+460)

P.S. Many pages back instead of 39 wins I wrote 390 wins, so instead of editing every post, I've now updated the W/L tally... less than 20% win rate as usual for my picks:)

[buwaytress]

Dead on the first leg, and Melbourne City were trashed today, so that acca was doomed all over.

We go to South America today, Copa Libertadores and of course we choose a nice underdog Fluminense, to beat Argentina's River Plate. Form is actually similar in my eyes, obviously home advantage plays an important part, but neither has been solid so:

100 units at Sportsbet on Fluminense to WIN vs River Plate @5.00. Other odds: 4.81
Bet ID: 60ac9fb57b02080bf94d35a9

Units advantage: 19

Running advantage after 354 bets: +24,065 (+19)
All-time cumulative: +62,463
Running units after 353 bets (57W|296L): +14,305 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Turned out to be a pretty easy victory in the end, early goal, and then a second one, and then River Plate's red card spelled their doom, even if they still continued to attack and got their just consolation goal before allowing another in. Fantastic!

You really ought to check out Sportsbet, for daily offers counting down to EURO in 16 days... some have been too good to be true "can't-lose" bets!

Underdogs clearly Villareal, but I'm feeling good about this!

100 units at Fairlay on Villareal to WIN vs Man Utd @5.19. Other odds: 4.50

Units advantage: 69

Running advantage after 355 bets: +24,134 (+69)
All-time cumulative: +62,532
Running units after 354 bets (58W|296L): +14,705 (+400)

[buwaytress]

Well, that was closer than I'd have thought. Fernandez a no-show, Cavani the eternal poacher, and then Villareal's keeper scores, then saves. Poor de gea. He hasn't saved the last 36 penalties apparently. Doesn't deserve it. Villareal were 2.75 to win it however the method, but anyway, we missed Holstein Kiel's win over Koln in Bundesliga qualification, not sure why I didn't see THAT upset coming. Poor Koln!

I'm a simple guy, two away wins at Austria and France, where Nantes must force their return to Ligue 1, and Wolfsberger give me more luck after heroics in Europa.

100 units at Sportsbet on Nantes and Wolfsberger to WIN @8.28. Other odds: 7.89
Units advantage: 39

Running advantage after 356 bets: +24,173 (+39)
All-time cumulative: +62,571
Running units after 355 bets (58W|297L): +14,605 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Nantes did edge Toulouse out, that was a pretty tight encounter in the end, but boy did Austria Wien teach Wolfsberger a lesson. I really have to spend more time identifying them upsets, just a problem when all the small leagues come out to play and you only can choose from them!

We go to Brazil's Potiguar, 2nd phase. Odds look ripe on Forca E Luz, who will seek to leapfrog Globo just above them for mid-table glory.

100 units at Sportsbet on Forca E Luz to WIN vs Globo @7.00. Other odds: same

Running advantage after 357 bets: +24,173 (+39)
All-time cumulative: +62,571
Running units after 356 bets (58W|298L): +14,505 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Didn't happen, no match details either but from translated reviews, it actually could have gone the other way had Globo not scored first, with chances from Forca going to waste.

Tonight, we have no other than the Champions League final, and thankfully, the underdog has good odds, Chelsea have beaten City twice already in the last 6 weeks, so why not a third?

100 units at Fairlay on Chelsea to WIN vs Man City @5.10. Other odds: 4.70
Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 358 bets: +24,213 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +62,611
Running units after 357 bets (58W|299L): +14,405 (-100)

[Trofo]

Tonight, we have no other than the Champions League final, and thankfully, the underdog has good odds, Chelsea have beaten City twice already in the last 6 weeks, so why not a third?

I am thinking the same but I have a feeling it will be a win after extra time or maybe even penalties. Odds are around 2.8 for that, so a little bit less but I am tempted to go for them. Did not place the bet on the game yet except one on +3.5 yellow cards which should be free money. Still deciding about goals, I want to play BTTS but I am smelling a boring under here.

[buwaytress]

^ ouch about the yellows. I think toma was going for the same on a betbuilder (Over 3.5 cards) and I did mention that was the leg I was the least certain about. A lot of fouls but yeah, just the yellow short. I'm happy with what I got last night, Chelsea probably just about deserved it.

Another Ligue 1 fight to back Nantes, and sprinkle in club and international friendly:
100 units at Sportsbet on Panaitolikos, Northern Ireland and Nantes to WIN @5.32. Other odds: 5.22
Units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 359 bets: +24,223 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +62,621
Running units after 358 bets (59W|299L): +14,815 (+410)

[Trofo]

^ ouch about the yellows. I think toma was going for the same on a betbuilder (Over 3.5 cards) and I did mention that was the leg I was the least certain about. A lot of fouls but yeah, just the yellow short. I'm happy with what I got last night, Chelsea probably just about deserved it.

Can't believe Chelsea players did not try to run down the clock, taking too long to return the ball into the play. I mean very sporting of them but if you are not gonna risk yellow in the final when you have 1:0 lead...

Also Spanish ref obviously got "the order" to let a bit rougher play since both teams are from England. If that was usual Lahoz game it would have been 5+ yellows for sure. Never mind, today is a new day and new chance to win something. RG is starting so I have big hopes for tennis while waiting for EURO and COPA to start.

[buwaytress]

Can't believe Chelsea players did not try to run down the clock, taking too long to return the ball into the play. I mean very sporting of them but if you are not gonna risk yellow in the final when you have 1:0 lead...

Also Spanish ref obviously got "the order" to let a bit rougher play since both teams are from England. If that was usual Lahoz game it would have been 5+ yellows for sure. Never mind, today is a new day and new chance to win something. RG is starting so I have big hopes for tennis while waiting for EURO and COPA to start.

Yeah, it's really strange sometimes watching league to league -- you can see a La Liga match with yellows and red that are a lot tamer than the brutality of English defending heh. Which makes me really admire the way guys like Salah and Kane can take all kinds of hacking on their legs and play through pain game after game. Apparently, Rashford said also the entire team was playing through injury in the other final -- also a notable lack of yellows given the # of fouls.

good luck with RG, I'm maybe going for live if I have time, backing favs if they go 1 set down.

[Trofo]

good luck with RG, I'm maybe going for live if I have time, backing favs if they go 1 set down.

Did not see you here I believe but this is the place where I post my tennis picks when I feel like:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1200104.msg57119458#msg57119458

You have free money betting against Thiem and Medvedev in this RG. I just hope they get trough few opponents since bookies love them and there is no way they are able to cover handicaps. If I were you I would play outright against Medvedev for sure. Second seed and he simply does not have the game for clay.

[buwaytress]

Damned about Nantes heh.

^ Thanks for the tennis tips, Should have taken it even later than I did (took it live on 1st set when it was still 2-2) but looking good anyway. Also, I'm quite out of ideas for today to be honest, and tennis isn't also my forte, but let's see if we can't do an international friendly acca:

100 units at Sportsbet on Jordan and Turkey to WIN@2.98. Other odds: 2.88
Units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 360 bets: +24,233 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +62,631
Running units after 359 bets (59W|300L): +14,715 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Nope. Not good, both games ended up as draws. Consolation for not choosing the underdogs, as would have lost, as well? Friendlies, so I'm going to pick a slow start for Slovakia.

100 units at Fairlay on Bulgaria to win to nil in first half @5.60. Other odds: 5.20
Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 361 bets: +24,273 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +62,671
Running units after 360 bets (59W|301L): +14,615 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Ey we came kind of close, Bulgaria actually led first but then allowed a goal in 27th minute, then happy to play the entire game out without ever scoring after that. Yawn for yesterday's friendlies, all but one were draws.

2 upsets let's play for shall we, both at Sportsbet?
100 units on Scotland to WIN vs Netherlands @6.60. Other odds: 6.55
100 units on Georgia to WIN vs Romania @5.70. Other odds: 5.60

Total units advantage: 15

Running advantage after 363 bets: +24,288 (+15)
All-time cumulative: +62,686
Running units after 361 bets (59W|302L): +14,515 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Well, we came close to bagging both of these games! Scotland were in the lead all the way til 89th minute when Depay completed his brace and saved his team a point. Georgia, well, in the lead for most of the game, and giving me my first friendly win post football season. Very pleased.

For today, we go for the Northern Irish, who've impressed all over the qualifiers. Can they beat a Ukraine in decline? Why not?

100 units at Sportsbet on N Ireland to WIN vs Ukraine @6.60. Other odds: -
Bet ID: 60b7c8bb4219f7111ddaf265

Running advantage after 364 bets: +24,288 (-)
All-time cumulative: +62,686
Running units after 363 bets (60W|303L): +14,885 (+370)