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Author Topic: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod]  (Read 125772 times)
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December 14, 2019, 01:31:32 PM
 #2361

I don't like the Aussie skipper not talking the follow on. He would have won the match with an innings to spare and that is termed as a big win in Test Cricket.
The decision to bat was to give the bowlers some rest as  Hazlewood is injured and Starc and Cummins had to lead the bowling attack and then there is Lyon to hold one end and they need some rest as they cannot keep on bowling as they will get injured if they are not getting any rest and the decision not to enforce the follow on is understandable but they would have declared the innings a bit earlier to give a few overs before stumps rather than batting the rest of the day.

Even without Hazlewood, Australia will be able to restrict New Zealand for less than 200-250. So ideally they should have enforced the follow on. It is disappointing because Tim Paine has an impression as a captain who is not afraid to take risks. But his decision today went against the norm. Anyway, there is no hope for New Zealand. I really doubt they will be able to score anything more than 200.
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December 14, 2019, 01:48:00 PM
 #2362

I don't like the Aussie skipper not talking the follow on. He would have won the match with an innings to spare and that is termed as a big win in Test Cricket.
The decision to bat was to give the bowlers some rest as  Hazlewood is injured and Starc and Cummins had to lead the bowling attack and then there is Lyon to hold one end and they need some rest as they cannot keep on bowling as they will get injured if they are not getting any rest and the decision not to enforce the follow on is understandable but they would have declared the innings a bit earlier to give a few overs before stumps rather than batting the rest of the day.


The players and the bowlers at the international level need rest specially when they belong to one of the best cricketing team. Strange  Huh
You are suggesting that they are tired after playing just 2 days of cricket ?  Undecided

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December 14, 2019, 01:55:01 PM
 #2363

418 is the most successful run chase ever in the test cricket history so anything more than 450 will gave them enough hope to win the match or get drawn if NZ played their best.And best score of fourth Innings is 450 but RSA lost that match.
I am now confused why the Australian captain is not declaring the innings, when Warner was batting at 300 plus he declared the innings even with plenty of time left and now the Australia is leading over 400 runs and still they are not planning to declare the innings and they have a bowler short and they need to bowl 30 plus overs and try to pick the maximum wickets and the bowlers will get a good rest and then they will finish off the match the next day, but they are still playing with 6 wickets down Roll Eyes.

What a game we are witnessing where OZ in first innings made 416 and in second innings are now 167 for 6 . But NZ are now trail by 417 and still 4 wickets of OZ is left and this means very high chance the match is already in OZ favour .
Not really,because you will know why if you read my above quote again,418 is the most successful chase ever in test matches means even if they score 2 more runs then Aus will hit 419 so OZ need to break world record to win this match.

I guess 2nd innings of OZ also won't last long because when days passes pitch will assist to bowlers so high chances for wickets to fell in quick sessions.
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December 14, 2019, 02:12:29 PM
 #2364

Not really,because you will know why if you read my above quote again,418 is the most successful chase ever in test matches means even if they score 2 more runs then Aus will hit 419 so OZ need to break world record to win this match.

I guess 2nd innings of OZ also won't last long because when days passes pitch will assist to bowlers so high chances for wickets to fell in quick sessions.
The point here is that New Zealand will not chase anything beyond 300 runs as the pitch will not be that easy to bat on, you can see how the Australian players struggled in the second innings as the New Zealand bowlers were peppering them with short balls and it was not that easy to bat on and in that case how can we expect them to chase a total like that and they have a good spinner in Lyon to contain one end.
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December 14, 2019, 02:23:27 PM
 #2365

What a game we are witnessing where OZ in first innings made 416 and in second innings are now 167 for 6 . But NZ are now trail by 417 and still 4 wickets of OZ is left and this means very high chance the match is already in OZ favour .
The only thing New Zealand can do is to defend for a draw and it is impossible to defend for a long period of time and you really do not need this much runs to win the match.

but this 2nd innings will shake the confidence of the Australian batsmen in next matches.
Let us see if New Zealand will collapse in the second innings too then you can understand that it is not an easy pitch bat.

But his decision today went against the norm. Anyway, there is no hope for New Zealand. I really doubt they will be able to score anything more than 200.
Not sure why he delayed the declaration when they are in a good position. They should have put New Zealand to bat with 10 overs left in the day.

The players and the bowlers at the international level need rest specially when they belong to one of the best cricketing team. Strange  Huh
You are suggesting that they are tired after playing just 2 days of cricket ?  Undecided
Australia is playing a Test match with three bowlers as Hazlewood is injured, Starc, Cummins and Lyon, what do you expect they rotate these bowlers and enforce the follow on and let them bowl like a machine so that they will be out of the game for the next few months because of injury Roll Eyes.
If you have any idea about how many overs a fast bowler bowls in a spell you will not have this thought of international players being super humans Tongue.
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December 14, 2019, 02:33:57 PM
 #2366

The point here is that New Zealand will not chase anything beyond 300 runs as the pitch will not be that easy to bat on, you can see how the Australian players struggled in the second innings as the New Zealand bowlers were peppering them with short balls and it was not that easy to bat on and in that case how can we expect them to chase a total like that and they have a good spinner in Lyon to contain one end.

Not just Lyon, but Marnus Labuschagne is also there as the spin option. During the first innings of New Zealand, he had taken the crucial wicket of Mitchell Santner. But that said, with both Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins bowling in peak form, I don't think that the spinners may get much opportunities to bowl their spells. If everything goes as per the plan, then Starc will finish with another 5 wicket haul and New Zealand will lose the match by a considerable margin.
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December 14, 2019, 04:19:14 PM
 #2367

The point here is that New Zealand will not chase anything beyond 300 runs as the pitch will not be that easy to bat on, you can see how the Australian players struggled in the second innings as the New Zealand bowlers were peppering them with short balls and it was not that easy to bat on and in that case how can we expect them to chase a total like that and they have a good spinner in Lyon to contain one end.

Not just Lyon, but Marnus Labuschagne is also there as the spin option. During the first innings of New Zealand, he had taken the crucial wicket of Mitchell Santner. But that said, with both Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins bowling in peak form, I don't think that the spinners may get much opportunities to bowl their spells. If everything goes as per the plan, then Starc will finish with another 5 wicket haul and New Zealand will lose the match by a considerable margin.
Forcing pacers to bowl more overs will affect their health,many bowlers agreed that most hardest part of test match is for pacers so they should have to rotate their spells with spinners as well to keep them effective.

OZ will struggle more in their second innings due to changes in the pitch its likely the match will end before day four and we will have a result for sure if there is no interruption rains.
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December 14, 2019, 04:26:28 PM
 #2368

OZ will struggle more in their second innings due to changes in the pitch its likely the match will end before day four and we will have a result for sure if there is no interruption rains.

Australia is already having a lead of 400 plus and therefore the pressure on the bowlers will be reduced. The absence of Hazlewood will be neutralized by part time bowlers such as Marnus Labuschagne and Steve Smith. And I don't think that the Kiwis will go in to attack mode with such a huge target on board. They will be defensive from the first ball onward.
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December 14, 2019, 04:27:38 PM
 #2369

The players and the bowlers at the international level need rest specially when they belong to one of the best cricketing team. Strange  Huh
You are suggesting that they are tired after playing just 2 days of cricket ?  Undecided
Australia is playing a Test match with three bowlers as Hazlewood is injured, Starc, Cummins and Lyon, what do you expect they rotate these bowlers and enforce the follow on and let them bowl like a machine so that they will be out of the game for the next few months because of injury Roll Eyes.
If you have any idea about how many overs a fast bowler bowls in a spell you will not have this thought of international players being super humans Tongue.

Well, if you see the Pakistani team they are  batting for the consecutive 4 days in the test match against srilanka and are still not tired. They are surely super humans.  Tongue Tongue  
They will bat for the fifth day too. I think it will be some sort of a record in the history of test cricket.

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December 14, 2019, 04:47:56 PM
 #2370

Not just Lyon, but Marnus Labuschagne is also there as the spin option. During the first innings of New Zealand, he had taken the crucial wicket of Mitchell Santner. But that said, with both Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins bowling in peak form, I don't think that the spinners may get much opportunities to bowl their spells.
I think Lyon will play a major role in picking up the wickets in the final two days, if you are talking about part time bowlers then Australia does have some good part time bowlers like Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith as both can bowl decent leg spins and Travis Head is a multi talent who can bowl off spin as well as a good wicket keeper. Australia will win the match with the way they bowled in the first innings and how long New Zealand can prolong the match is the interesting part.
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December 14, 2019, 05:01:05 PM
 #2371

Not just Lyon, but Marnus Labuschagne is also there as the spin option. During the first innings of New Zealand, he had taken the crucial wicket of Mitchell Santner. But that said, with both Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins bowling in peak form, I don't think that the spinners may get much opportunities to bowl their spells.
I think Lyon will play a major role in picking up the wickets in the final two days, if you are talking about part time bowlers then Australia does have some good part time bowlers like Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith as both can bowl decent leg spins and Travis Head is a multi talent who can bowl off spin as well as a good wicket keeper. Australia will win the match with the way they bowled in the first innings and how long New Zealand can prolong the match is the interesting part.

Hmm... I missed Travis Head in my post. He is a wicket keeper with 42 first class wickets to his name!!! So for spin options, they have Lyon, Labuschagne, Smith and Head. Starc/Cummins need to share the pace bowling work load. There are no medium pacers among the batsmen and therefore they should depend on spin in case these two bowlers need some rest. Two days remaining in this match, and therefore we are certain about a result.
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December 14, 2019, 05:21:43 PM
 #2372

Two days remaining in this match, and therefore we are certain about a result.
There is plenty of time for Australia to bowl out New Zealand the second time and they way in which the New Zealand players were struggling to cope up with the pace and only Taylor was able to have some resistance and if they need to draw the match then New Zealand should play an incredible game of cricket we have never seen in the past to even draw the match.
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December 14, 2019, 06:56:29 PM
 #2373

And I don't think that the Kiwis will go in to attack mode with such a huge target on board. They will be defensive from the first ball onward.
They have no other options other than attacking the balls if Australia make some quick runs before the lunch and retire their innings because it will be hard for OZ players to defend more than 1000 balls to get drawn as result.
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December 14, 2019, 07:36:17 PM
 #2374

And I don't think that the Kiwis will go in to attack mode with such a huge target on board. They will be defensive from the first ball onward.
They have no other options other than attacking the balls if Australia make some quick runs before the lunch and retire their innings because it will be hard for OZ players to defend more than 1000 balls to get drawn as result.
Now this test match is wide open and just rain can save Kiwis from defeat no other option available for them too much time and last few sessions for test is very helpful for bowlers so they have very few chances against Starc, Cummins and Lyon.
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December 15, 2019, 03:50:39 AM
 #2375

And I don't think that the Kiwis will go in to attack mode with such a huge target on board. They will be defensive from the first ball onward.
They have no other options other than attacking the balls if Australia make some quick runs before the lunch and retire their innings because it will be hard for OZ players to defend more than 1000 balls to get drawn as result.
Now this test match is wide open and just rain can save Kiwis from defeat no other option available for them too much time and last few sessions for test is very helpful for bowlers so they have very few chances against Starc, Cummins and Lyon.

The Australians are short of one bowler and in case any of the New Zealand batsmen manage a big score, then it is going to be very tough for them. It looks to me that Lyon will bowl most of the overs from one end, with the captain asking Starc and Cummins to bowl from the other end. But this may not be as effective as both Starc and Cummins bowling in tandem.

All New Zealand has to do is to make sure that they don't lose any wickets. If they could manage 1-2 sessions without major damage, then the Australian bowlers will get tired and will be replaced with part-time bowlers such as Marnus Labuschagne and Steve Smith. The Kiwis can use this opportunity to step up their scoring rate. The immediate target should be to survive the initial 10-12 overs from Starc/Cummins.

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December 15, 2019, 04:57:31 AM
 #2376

The Australians are short of one bowler and in case any of the New Zealand batsmen manage a big score, then it is going to be very tough for them. It looks to me that Lyon will bowl most of the overs from one end, with the captain asking Starc and Cummins to bowl from the other end. But this may not be as effective as both Starc and Cummins bowling in tandem.

All New Zealand has to do is to make sure that they don't lose any wickets. If they could manage 1-2 sessions without major damage, then the Australian bowlers will get tired and will be replaced with part-time bowlers such as Marnus Labuschagne and Steve Smith. The Kiwis can use this opportunity to step up their scoring rate. The immediate target should be to survive the initial 10-12 overs from Starc/Cummins.
Day 4 and 5 will not be easy to bat as day 1 so batsmen struggle more than you imagine so its not possible for any OZ player to manage a high score and also lyon will be effective though since it is day four so we may see lot of spin and also wickets from him.

Finally day 5 for Pak vs SL has some playing time.Want to know is there any audiecne for this match? Cheesy
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December 15, 2019, 05:16:31 AM
 #2377

Finally day 5 for Pak vs SL has some playing time.Want to know is there any audiecne for this match? Cheesy

Well.. there is good news at last... Dhananjaya de Silva managed to hit a century, after batting continuously for 5 days (this may be a new world record, although I am not sure about it). Apart from that, there is hardly anything to cheer for both the sides. Naseem Shah managed to pick two wickets (although after conceding 92 runs), and this will boost his morale after the thrashing he received in Australia.
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December 15, 2019, 05:52:45 AM
 #2378

Finally day 5 for Pak vs SL has some playing time.Want to know is there any audiecne for this match? Cheesy

Well.. there is good news at last... Dhananjaya de Silva managed to hit a century, after batting continuously for 5 days (this may be a new world record, although I am not sure about it). Apart from that, there is hardly anything to cheer for both the sides. Naseem Shah managed to pick two wickets (although after conceding 92 runs), and this will boost his morale after the thrashing he received in Australia.

I was waiting for that when dhananjaya de silva going to get a century finally he got today after that SriLanka team declared to 308 runs but Pakistan did not got good start because of they already lose the a wicket now the score is 9/1 in 7 over already we know that match going to end with draw.

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December 15, 2019, 07:04:04 AM
 #2379

Well,it seems OZ is going for another low scoring total because they already lost two wickets in 11 overs and one important player is Williamson from this their winning chance is just about 10%.

Its LUNCH on day 4.Will they can pass through TEA time?
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December 15, 2019, 07:48:27 AM
 #2380

Its LUNCH on day 4.Will they can pass through TEA time?
This year is not good for New Zealand be it cricket or Rugby. I am afraid that they are going to end this year with loss, having said that we know what happened in England during Ashes when Ben stokes became a hero so everything is possible if they can survive the starc-cummins spell under the lights.

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2022/23
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