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[JanpriX]

Pick for April 4, 2021 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 03:35 PM EST, NBA
Match: L.A. Lakers - L.A. Clippers

[WIN!!!] - PICK: UNDER 211.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.81 ODDS).

This would have been a higher bet selection, but the total has dipped more than three points from the opening line. I still have the confidence to back this battle of LA, because the game still means something to those playing and with Denver and Portland at their heels, winning is paramount for both teams. The Lakers mindset is defense-first with LeBron and A.D. out and in their last five games, they are 5-0 UNDER, with the average total score just over 200 points. The Lakers are 16-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Clippers have scored under 100 points in three of their past five outings and are have held their last five foes to 101.2 PPG. I’ll bet the UNDER.   

#BlackLivesMatter

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[JanpriX]

Pick for April 4, 2021 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 07:30 PM EST, NBA
Match: Golden State Warriors - Atlanta Hawks

[LOSS] - PICK: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -8.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.85 ODDS).

Look if you are the Warriors you have to be ticked and embarrassed coming off a horrific 53 point loss against a Raptors team that is well below .500.  With or without Curry last game they should not be losing to a team like the Raptors by 53 points.  This is the last game of a 3 game road trip for the Warriors so I think they will be motivated to come out with a win before returning home.  The Warriors have some revenge here as well, losing to the Hawks recently March 26, 124-108.  Curry is expected to play today but whether he plays or not we still like the Warriors.  The Hawks return home off a 8 game road trip and come off a big win against the Pelicans as the Hawks were without 5 major players in their lineup.  They are still dealing with injuries today and I think likely have a let down against a highly motivated Warriors team.  Warriors off a terrible loss, they have revenge, and want to end the road trip with a win.  Put it all together and we like the Warriors.  Great public fade as well to boot as everyone remembers what they just saw with the Warriors losing by 53 points.   Hawks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 5, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 06:40 PM EST, MLB
Match:  St. Louis Cardinals - Miami Marlins

[LOSS] - PICK: OVER 8 RUNS for 2 UNITS (1.95 ODDS).

Today, I'll roll with the Cardinals which are supposed to be contenders this year to win the National League, if they can somehow get past the Dodgers. They have to be ticked that they lost two games to their division rival Cincinnati, and started the year 1-2. The first two games they showed plenty of offensive firepower with 17 runs, before getting stymied yesterday only scoring one run. Ponce De Leon starts for the Redbirds, and he comes in off a Spring Training in which he had a 1.77 WHIP in 17 innings of work. Not to mention his ERA and walk rate continue to rise each year. The Marlins bats came to life in their last two games vs the Rays, scoring 16 runs. So what you have here is a hot Marlins hitting team, against a pitcher in decline. As well on the other side you have a Cardinals team who only scored one run yesterday, looking to bust out and sweep the Marlins. If the Cardinals want to be taken seriously they have to beat bottom feeder teams like Miami, when you have so much better competition on deck in the National League. Trevor Rogers will face St Louis and he did have a good Spring Training, however last season his numbers were not great at a 6.11 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP. Look for both offenses to swing the bats well tomorrow. 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 5, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, NBA
Match:  Dallas Mavericks - Utah Jazz

[WIN!!!] - PICK:DALLAS MAVERICKS +4.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (2.03 ODDS).

We roll with the Mavericks at home here as they come in playing some of their most consistent basketball of the season.  These two teams played a back to back series in January when the Jazz were on fire and the Jazz took both those games with the last game being by 19 points.  Since then as of late the Jazz are still winning games but we have to look at who they have all played.  In their last 10 games the Jazz have won 9 out of 10, but every win with the exception of beating the Nets were against below .500 or sub .500 teams.  On the flip side you have a Mavericks team that has won 4 straight and in the last 10 games have beaten the Celtics on the road, Knicks on the road, Portland on the road, and beat the Clippers at home.  The Jazz come off a 46 point victory over the Magic so I would not be surprised here if they have a bit of a let down.  The Mavericks sit in 7th spot in the West Standings and have the Grizzlies and Spurs just 2.5 games back of them.  I think we will see a focused and motivated Mavericks team here, while the Jazz have not been great on the road this year.  Take the Mavericks to hang tough and possibly win outright.  Jazz are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.  Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.                

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 5, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, NHL
Match:  Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens

[LOSS] - PICK: OVER 5.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.74 ODDS).

Today, I like the over here between the Oilers and Canadiens.  Look, these teams have met 4 times this season and all 4 games have gone under.  The Oilers have won just 1 of the 3 games and were shut out losing 4-0 March 30.  The Oilers are likely an active dog here with some revenge, especially since the fact they have managed to score just 4 goals in 4 games this season vs the Canadiens.  The Canadiens come off a loss to the Senators in what was likely a look ahead spot to facing an elite team like the Oilers so they will be motivated as well.  Price will likely get the nod here for the Canadiens who has allowed 4 goals or more in 3 of his last 4 starts.  Oilers have a high potent offense and I expect them to get their share today.  Oilers with revenge, shut out last time out against the Canadiens, and Canadiens off a loss, put it all together and we like the over today.  Over is 7-3-1 in Oilers last 11 games as an underdog.  Over is 4-1 in Canadiens last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.                  

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 5, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 09:20 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match:  Gonzaga Bulldogs - Baylor Bears

[WIN!!!] - PICK: UNDER 159.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).

Gonzaga and Baylor were supposed to play four months ago, but the game was called off due to a positive Covid test. Only fitting that we finally see this game play out Monday evening. Both of these teams have not seen a team as good as the other this year. First off, the Bulldogs know they have to play better defensively. They let UCLA score 81 points in regulation. The most they had allowed in the tournament was 66 to USC prior to Saturday. Gonzaga (#7 in adjusted tempo) obviously will want to run up and down the floor, while Baylor (201st in adjusted tempo) will want to slow the pace and play a more methodical game. This is actually what UCLA did if you watched the whole game. They would wait until about ten seconds left on the shot clock for the first ten minutes of the game, to put up a shot attempt. Obviously they eventually fell into Gonzaga's game which is running up and down the floor at a faster pace, and it actually worked out for the Bruins because they have the athletes to do so. Baylor is extremely athletic as well, but they won't be able to run like UCLA did and Gonzaga does with the Bears big men. Baylor has to play at Baylor's pace to have any shot in this game. If Baylor plays their game, the way they want to play it, it will likely go under the total. If Baylor does not play their game, they will probably get blown out, and blowouts often lead to unders, as it takes both teams scoring to help the over. Look for a slower paced game with both teams trying to feel each other out, particularly in the first half, ultimately leading to a lower scoring game than most think.                 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 6, 2021 (TEUSDAY)
Game will start on 07:40 PM EST, MLB
Match:  Milwaukee Brewers - the Chicago Cubs

[WIN!!!] - PICK: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ML for 2 UNITS (1.95 ODDS).

Today, I like the Brewers to grab a win on the road and get back on track.  This is a pitching matchup where we like the Brewers to have the clear edge here.   Adbert Adzolay, not a name you know...yet. This is the Cubs starter today. However you might get to know him for all the wrong reasons. He had a very brief but very painful 7 innings pitched in Spring Training, giving up 9 runs. The Brewers counter with Freddy Peralta, who is coming off a great preseason, and has pretty respectable career numbers.  Cubs have just 6 hits in 43 at bats vs Peralta.  Peralta in the off season worked on adding some finesse to his pitches which will increase his strike out ratio.  The Brewers definitely have high expectations this year and the fact that they have started 1-3 means they will be motivated to win game two of this series tomorrow.  The Brewers offense is in desperate need of a break out and I think they get that here today against Adzolay.  I also think despite the Cubs three wins they have been fortunate as heading into Monday no one on team was hitting above .300.  Take the Brewers today.   The Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 or more their previous game.                 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 6, 2021 (TEUSDAY)
Game will start on 07:30 PM EST, NBA
Match:  LA Lakers - Toronto Raptors

[WIN!!!] - PICK: LA LAKERS +2 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.96 ODDS).

Today, we roll with the Lakers as I think we are catching in a good spot to do well here today.  The Lakers come off a terrible loss to the Clippers in a game where the Lakers had their lowest offensive output of the season only scoring 86 points.  I get the Lakers are with out KD and Lebron but they need other players to step up.  Kuzma scored just 6 points in the last game and they need him to be better on the offensive end with the stars out, so I expect he plays more of a role here today.  Add in the fact the Raptors have beaten up on the Lakers in recent years, I think they get some revenge today as well.  This is not the same Raptors team this year as in past years.  The Raptors are very short handed right now and only had 9 players in Monday's game that saw them just barely get by the lowly Wizards.  I think this is a tough spot for them being short handed, playing on a back to back against a motivated Lakers team off a loss.  The public is all over the Raptors as no one wants a part of the Lakers right now given their struggles without KD and Lebron but I think this is a great buy low spot on the Lakers who come in rested and motivated.  Like the Lakers here to hang tough and possibly win outright.  Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.  Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.                    

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 6, 2021 (TEUSDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NBA
Match:  Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies

[LOSS] - PICK: MIAMI HEAT -5.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.86 ODDS).

The Heat have been in playoff mode since they came back from the All-Star break. Miami has rattled off four in a row and have increased their record to 26-23 on the year. It is time for teams to start separating themselves from the pretenders and become contenders and right now the Heat are looking like the bubble Heat. This is a good spot for them to get another win in South Beach with the up and down Grizz in town. Memphis has won 2 in a row, but this is a mismatch for them so lay the number in Sunny Florida.                     

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 6, 2021 (TEUSDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NHL
Match:  Chicago Blackhawks - Dallas Stars

[WIN!!!] - PICK: CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS ML for 2 UNITS (1.98 ODDS).

As per our selection on Chicago, sometimes when a team has another team's number, you just need to ride the wave. Chicago has beaten the Stars in three of four games so far this season and we see them adding to that total here on home ice. Chicago is off a loss in which they were shutout vs Nashville, but we know they have a much better offense than that, as they average nearly 2.75 goals per game, which is far better than what the Stars average. Chicago is also one of the least penalized teams in the league, and that will negate the Star's sixth-ranked power play in this one. Dallas has suffered defeat in four of their last six games and is simply not playing good hockey right now. This will be their fifth road game in eight days and we see fatigue setting in late in this one. Take Chicago at this great price and let's cash a big play tonight.                   

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 8, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 04:15 PM EST, MLB
Match:  Milwaukee Brewers - St Louis Cardinals

[LOSS] - PICK: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ML for 2 UNITS (1.75 ODDS).

The Brewers have just constantly had signals we like in their favor the last few days. For example, they have been either even money or a moderate favorite, yet the public refuses to back them. You see, the public likes sexy teams such as the Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers, or like the last few days...the Cubs and the Cardinals. For some reason public perception is "No way the Brewers win, the Cubs are so much better". Or in this case "Wainwright is pitching for the Cardinals and it's their season opener...they're gonna crush the Brewers". Not so fast. First of all, we get the better pitcher here by far. Corbin Burnes is an absolute stud. We would probably go out on a limb and say he might win a Cy Young one day. He had a terrific first start going 6.1 innings, only giving up a solo home run. Keep in mind that the Cardinals come in off facing two great young pitchers in Miami  - Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez, who both completely shut down the Cards bats for the first 5-6 innings, before both of them gave up some runs late. Adam Wainwright toes the rubber for the Cards, and he had a terrible first outing in Cincinnati (we were on the Reds that game).  Waino is still a decent pitcher, and yes that was just one outing so it's a small sample size. However, we just think it's a matter of time before the Brewers bats bust out. They have won their last two games only scoring 4 runs, and we think if they can get at least a few runs early, Burnes shuts down the Cardinals and Milwaukee spoils Opening Day in St Louis.  Oddsmakers have made the Brewers the favorite here for a reason and we agree.                   

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 8, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, NHL
Match:  Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers

[WIN!!!] - PICK: PITTSBURGH PENGUINS ML for 2 UNITS (2.05 ODDS).

Today, we'll roll with the Penguins to bounce back as they come off a terrible loss to the Rangers 8-4.  They have now lost two in a row and are in desperate need of a win here as they are 4 points out of first in the East division.  They have allowed 15 goals in the last two games so I expect a motivated group here to come out focused on shutting things down.  The Penguins have had the Rangers number this year going 5-2 against them.  We were on the Rangers the other night for the win but we like the Penguins to get it done today.  Great public fade to boot as the public remembers what they just saw the other night with the Rangers blowing them out.  Penguins are 8-2 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.                  

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 8, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 08:10 PM EST, NBA
Match:  Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder

[WIN!!!] - PICK: CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -3.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.86 ODDS).

We roll with the Cavs as we think they are in a good spot to do well in this matchup. The San Antonio Spurs really needed to win the game against the Cavs to at least salvage what remained of their homestand, and the Cavs rolled in and beat them. The Spurs faced the Pacers the night before with 4 key players out, gave up 130+ Points and lost to them in a shocker, then they turn around and face a Cavs team who comes in and one would have thought the Spurs would demolish them - but no, the Cavs rolled them. The Cavs were 8 point dogs coming into that game and won outright. That speaks to us. Here, you have a team, that beat a team with heavy motivation, this kind of stuff matters. The Cavs dropped 125 points, lost to OKC earlier this year by 16 points, just 2 months ago actually, and are looking to close this road trip on a positive vibe. This team certainly is playing well, playing well for the future, has Sexton, Garland, Love, Okoro and Hartenstein. Nothing against OKC, they are a good young team that play hard, but they lack the manpower at this point, they have Roby questionable for this game, Dort is out indefinitely with a concussion their defensive star, no SGA or Horford as well. These Cavs likely get it done today again.                   

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 9, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 05:30 AM EST, KBO
Match:  Lotte Giants - Kiwoom Heroes

[WIN!!!] - PICK: KIWOOM HEROES ML for 2 UNITS (1.57 ODDS).

Take Kiwoom Heroes over Lotte Giants. Can never go wrong backing Eric Jokisch on the mound and we will do that tonight against Lotte. He is a veteran in KBO and has a 2.64 E.R.A. in two plus years of action. His opponent is Kim Jin-uk, as 18-year-old newcomer who is being thrown into the Lion’s Den tonight. Both teams have gotten off to so-so starts in 2021 but Kiwoom will win for the second time this season behind Jokisch.                 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 9, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 03:00 PM EST, EPL
Match:  Fulham - Wolves

[WIN!!!] - PICK: UNDER 2 GOALS for 2 UNITS (2.06 ODDS).

Just 5 days ago Fulham gave up 3 goals to Aston Villa. And, you know that has to burn this team who gave up 2 to Leeds United, then 3 to Manchester City, and who had shut out Liverpool 3 games prior to that. They had held Tottenham to 1 goal and Crystal Palace to 0 goals before that and now as they come off giving 3 goals, defense should be a priority for this squad here. Plus, you have a Wolves team that gave up 3 goals to West Ham and that has to irk them coming into this game as well. The Wolves had played well the two previous games with a combined 1 goal given up prior to the 4 goals at Manchester City which is what shaped them up for the next two games. I think the Wolves will shape up on defense as this game likely goes under the posted total.                 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 9, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 07:20 PM EST, MLB
Match:  Atlanta Braves - Philadelphia Phillies

[WIN!!!] - PICK: ATLANTA BRAVES ML for 2 UNITS (1.76 ODDS).

We roll with the Braves today at home as they have to be ticked at how they started the season. Not to mention being swept by their arch rival Philadelphia? Philly is already ahead in the standings by 3 games? You don't think the Braves know it's time to suit up and show up? If the Braves do not win this series they are down 4 games in the NL East, and that is 10 days into the season. Zack Wheeler is a great pitcher for the Phillies. We actually think he has a fantastic year, and we are high on the Phillies as they were one of our futures to play over .500 baseball. We just think however that Philly is coming off the high of starting 5-1, dominating the Mets and these very Braves, and thus the letdown begins. Charlie Morton is a fantastic pitcher with a ton of playoff experience, so he is no stranger to big game moments. Look for the Braves to have all the motivation here on their Opening Night. Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Atlanta.                 

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 9, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NBA
Match:  San Antonio Spurs - Denver Nuggets

[WIN!!!] - PICK: SAN ANTONIO SPURS +8.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.88 ODDS).

Today, I'd like to roll with the Spurs as road underdogs as this is a great spot for them to do well here.  This is a roll the Spurs have done well in all year as road underdogs, while you have a Nuggets team that is 12-14 ATS at home on the season.  These two teams just hooked up the other night with the Nuggets taking the first game.  I get that the Nuggets are rolling since the All Star Break and getting Gordon at the deadline but I am not sure they get up for the Spurs a second time when they have Celtics, Warriors, and Heat on deck.  Add in the fact that Murray is set as questionable for today's game, which would only help the Spurs as well here.  Popovich called out his bench after the game saying they have to be better.  Murray also said after the game that their defense needs to show up as their practice is not translating to the game and mentioned taking pride in playing defense.  I think this is a great spot for a Spurs team that are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog.  Spurs have revenge and the Nuggets likely won't get up for them a second time as they will be looking ahead.  Great public fade as well to boot as we are seeing over 70% of the public on the Nuggets.  Take the Spurs to cover the number today.                

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 9, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 10:38 PM EST, NHL
Match:  San Jose Sharks - Los Angeles Kings

[WIN!!!] - PICK: SAN JOSE SHARKS ML for 2 UNITS (1.76 ODDS).

The Los Angeles Kings pulled off a huge come from behind win in their last game scoring three goals in the final period to beat Arizona by a 4-3 score. It was a big victory for LA in a game that they probably didn't deserve to win. The Kings have not been playing well of late as they have dropped 6 of their last 8 games coming into this one.

San Jose is coming off an ugly 5-1 loss in their last game to a bad Anaheim team in a game they were -170 favorites. The Sharks have had a couple days off to stew over this bad defeat. I expect them to bring maximum energy and intensity to this one tonight. The Sharks have dominated the Kings this season beating them in 5 of their 6 head to head games.

Play San Jose in this game.               

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 10, 2021 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 04:40 PM EST, UFC Fight Night - Vettori vs Holland
Match:  Julian Marquez - Sam Alvey

[WIN!!!] - PICK: JULIAN MARQUEZ ML for 2 UNITS (1.65 ODDS).

I'm fading Alvey in this matchup, as he has not earned a victory in 5 straight fights (1 draw). That includes two knockouts by punches and two decisions. Marquez has been on a long winning streak of late with just 1 loss in his last 7 fights. He won his last bout at UFC 258 against Maki Pitolo, earning a fight on the night bonus. Getting him at this price is too good to pass up..               

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for April 10, 2021 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 02:00 PM EST, NHL
Match:  Philadelphia Flyers - Boston Bruins

[WIN!!!] - PICK: PHILADELPHIA FLYERS ML for 2 UNITS (2.16 ODDS).

I will roll with the Flyers here today as they are desperate for a win as they look to keep their playoff hopes alive.  I think they are catching the Bruins at the right time as they come off a big win over the Capitals as underdogs.  Yes the Bruins have had the Flyers number this year, so the Flyers have some revenge here as well.  The Bruins due to injuries have had to resort to their 3rd and 4th string back up goalies.  The Flyers were able to take the Islanders who have been unbeatable at home to a shoot out only to fall short so they will be extra motivated today coming off a tough loss.  We are seeing over 70% of the public taking the Bruins which makes this a great public fade.  The Bruins are 6 points ahead of the Flyers in the standings so a win here today will be huge for the Flyers.  Take the Flyers at home to get it done today.  Bruins are 2-9 in their last 11 games following a win.               

#BlackLivesMatter