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[JanpriX]

Pick for December 10, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - California Riverside Highlanders

[WIN!!!] - PICK: CALIFORNIA RIVERSIDE HIGHLANDERS -4.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.78 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

Northern Arizona was a bottom of the barrel program ranking worse than 300th at Kenpom for four straight years before last year where they surged up to 215th overall. That was a team that had returned 6 of their top 7 players from the previous season but that's not the case this year as only 3 of their top 7 players are back with only 1 of their top 4 scorers on a NAU team currently ranked 313th overall. They have played just one game so far this season and they were crushed by 43 points by an Arizona team that looks to be down this season. That victory was the easiest win of the season so far for Arizona, much easier than their 19 point win over what is an awful Grambling team that's currently ranked 333rd at Kenpom.

On the other side of things UC Riverside has a new head coach in Mike Magpayo and early on this looks to be one of the better Riverside teams in recent memory. There were signs last year this program was turning the corner as they posted their first winning season in over a decade. The Highlanders are a deep team that returns 6 of their top 9 players from last season but it's their new additions though that has taken this team to another level. Three of their top five scorers so far from this season are either transfers from other schools or a freshman, all of which who weren't with the team last year. They also have a solid win over a top 100 Washington team under their belts in a game they led nearly the entire way.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 10, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 08:20 PM EST, NFL
Match: Los Angeles Rams - New England Patriots

[WIN!!!] - PICK: LOS ANGELES RAMS -4.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).

I have the Rams winning this game by 2 touchdowns or more here tonight. The Patriots are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after covering the spread in their previous game and they are also just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a win. The Patriots have also not covered the spread in their last 5 games after holding their opponents to less than 15 points in their previous game and the Rams are hands-down the superior team here tonight. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after putting up more than 350 total yards in their previous game and they are also 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games after putting up more than 30 points in their previous game. Opponents have converted 44.1% of their 3rd downs against the Patriots on the road this season and the Rams have converted 46.7% of their 3rd downs this season. The Rams opponents have converted just 31.3% of their 3rd downs against them at home this season where they have held opponents to just 15 points per game this season. The Rams have also held opponents to just 277 yards per game over their last 3 games and this is a very tough situational spot for New England here tonight coming off a 45-0 victory against the Chargers. I expect a similar result to when the Patriots played San Francisco back on October 25 and lost that game by 27 points. The Rams have held opponents to just 198 passing yards against them at home this season and 93 rushing yards per game and the Rams are the superior team on both sides of the ball. So play Los Angeles ATS.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 10, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 10:20 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Arizona State Sun Devils - San Diego State Aztecs

[WIN!!!] - PICK: SAN DIEGO AZTECS +2.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.85 ODDS).

San Diego State has started 4-0, rallying from 16 points down in the second half to beat a feisty Pepperdine bunch. The Aztecs almost always play at their pace and look for them to do that against Arizona State in their first away contest. The Sun Devils have ample talent that coach Bobby Hurley has brought in, but they are not always adaptable when they cannot play at a faster pace where their athletic abilities are most noticeable. San Diego State arrives in Tempe with a 9-2 ATS record in road games after four or more consecutive wins and is 10-1 ATS away after playing a home game. The Aztecs outright!

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 11, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Georgetown Hoyas - Villanova Wildcats

[WIN!!!] - PICK: VILLANOVA WILDCATS -11.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.78 ODDS).

Villanova enters on a 10-2-1 ATS run on the road and we trust them in this role again on Friday. The Wildcats have already beaten Texas and Arizona State and the win over an undervalued Boston College team looks decent to those who follow CBB closely too. Georgetown is a step down in level of competition from all of those teams. The Hoyas have already lost to West Virginia and Navy, allowing a combined 158 points despite those two opponents combining to make just 27 of 43 FTs. Georgetown was unable to force many turnovers and didn't shoot well in either game. In fact, the Hoyas are making just 42.8% of their FGA, which ranks 204th in the nation and I'm betting it'll be their undoing in this one. The Wildcats have won 9 of the last 10 meetings and Georgetown has covered just 1 of their last 7 off a SU win. I'm laying the points with Villanova on Friday.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 11, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 09:30 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: UCLA Bruins - Marquette Golden Eagles

[LOSS] - PICK: OVER 137.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.86 ODDS).

I'm going with the 'over' in this one. UCLA was a team that won with defense last year. This year they have a much stronger offense and they are averaging over 80 points per game. UCLA is hitting 48.5 percent from the field and they are hitting 38 percent from 3-point range. Marquette is averaging 77 points per game and they are coming off a game scoring 80 points. The Golden Eagles and Wisconsin scored 132 total points in their big game last Friday. Wisconsin plays at one of the slowest paces in the country and the Golden Eagles did a good job on defense. I don't think they will have the same luck against UCLA on the road here. The Bruins offense should be even better now that they have Kentucky transfer Johnny Juzang healthy and eligible. UCLA has five players averaging at least 10 points per game and seven players scoring at least 8.8 points per game and they have a lot more scoring options than they did last year. The 'over' is 8-3 in Marquette's last 11 road games and the 'over' is 18-8 when Marquette is posted as an underdog. The 'over' is 4-1 when Marquette is a road underdog. Take the 'over' here.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 11, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 10:00 PM EST, NCAA - American Football
Match: San Jose State Spartans - Nevada Wolf Pack

[LOSS] - PICK: NEVADA WOLF PACK ML for 2 UNITS (1.70 ODDS).

Just cannot picture San Jose State playing in the MWC Championship Game next week. They have a much-improved team in 2020, but I feel having to vacate the Bay Area will finally catch up with them in this likely winner take all game. The Spartans were expected to host their last two games, but they had to travel to Hawaii last week and now will play this game at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas. Nevada has already played a game here in 2020, and they only had to leave the state of Nevada one time this season. Nevada is 15-2 straight-up and 12-5 ATS against San Jose State in the last 17 meetings. Both teams have stud quarterbacks, but the difference could lie with Nevada's defense.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 12, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 12:00 PM EST, NCAA - American Football
Match: Arkansas Razorbacks - Alabama Crimson Tide

[LOSS] - PICK: ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS +32.5 POINTS for 1 UNIT (1.80 ODDS).

We roll with Arkansas here as they are not a bad team at all and I know it is scary to go against Alabama - I love my Crimson Tide, been a diehard fan since being born and bred in Tuscaloosa. However, I think Arkansas can hang tough here as this is their Super Bowl. This is everything for them. Arkansas has a great coaching staff and how much does Alabama want to rout them considering they have much bigger fish to fry down the road and they come off thumping their rival LSU? Alabama has Florida on deck so how much do they really want to show their playbook here. Maybe Alabama wants to win by about 3 touchdowns and go home. Arkansas played great at Missouri and lost by just 2 points and they should have beat Auburn earlier this year but the refs gifted Auburn a win. So, Arkansas could be 5-4 frankly and they are a team that is improving and they have a great culture there too - remember, they beat Ole Miss and Miss State this year. We like Arkansas to hang tight this weekend and stay inside the number.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 12, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 02:00 PM EST, NCAA - Basketball
Match: TCU Horned Frogs - Texas A & M Aggies Athletics

[WIN!!!] - PICK: TCU -1.5 POINTS for 4 UNITS (1.97 ODDS).

This is a step-up in level of competition for Texas A&M. They're 3-0 but their strength of schedule has been soft. Meanwhile, TCU is off games against Providence and Oklahoma and are certainly battle tested. The Horned Frogs also own the better bench with a better brand of depth. Despite playing a soft slate, A&M has committed an average of more than 18 turnovers and nearly 20 fouls per game. They like to shoot from the outside but TCU has been playing a decent brand of perimeter defense. Add it up and we have a play on TCU on Saturday afternoon.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 12, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 06:00 PM EST, NCAA - Basketball
Match: Brigham Young Cougars - Utah Utes

[LOSS] - PICK: UTAH UTES +2.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.77 ODDS).

Home court hasn't been a big issue in this series, with the road team winning four of 10 games. Also, Utah has definitely had the upper hand in this rivalry, going 6-3 ATS in the last nine matchups. I think that Utah is the better team in this one. BYU is trying to replace the contributions from five seniors from last year. Those five guys were their best five players and this is a clear rebuilding season for the Cougars. They've been up and down; beating St. John's and Utah State but losing to USC and Boise State. And we just don't know what to expect from them. Utah has only played two games so we still don't know what to expect from them. But they have the best player on the floor (Timmy Allen) and BYU's big men aren't going to bother the Utes in the slightest. While BYU is trying to replace a ton of pieces, Utah has four starters and six of its top seven guys back from the team that beat BYU last year. They were better than them then and are better than the Cougars now. I know Utah is usually trash on the road. But playing in nearby Provo - and not having to face a pro-BYU crowd - should make things easier. Take the underdog.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 12, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 10:35 PM EST, UFC 256
Match: Kevin Holland - Ronaldo Souza

[WIN!!!] - PICK: KEVIN HOLLAND POINTS for 4 UNITS (1.95 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

In a middleweight bout on the PPV main card, we have a matchup between Kevin Holland and Jacare Souza. This will be an interesting fight to say the least. We have a complete contrast of styles as Kevin Holland will look to fight at range while being flashy and having fun, while Souza will work to find inside position, grapple and use that legendary jiu-jitsu ability. When we say legendary, we mean it too. He is a 4th degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and is a 10-time world champion spreading across the BJJ World Championships and ADCC tournaments. The issue with Souza is his age and deteriorating ability to ground his opponents. He is now 41 years of age and has not had much success at all in his wrestling as of late. Jacare can land big shots and deliver a knockout blow, but that is not his bread and butter. He is better on the feet than most of the BJJ specialists in the UFC but there is no doubt he will be looking to get back to his roots when he takes on Kevin Holland. When it comes to Holland, he is a fan favorite and has so much upside from a business perspective within the UFC. Holland is also a Black Belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and Kung-Fu. He has 10 wins by knockout and 6 by way of submission. Holland will trash talk, have fun, and never shy away from the moment. His enjoyment of fight competition is infectious, and he will need to avoid wrestling here to stand a chance. While we understand the danger and experience of Souza, we do not understand this price at all. We expect Holland to be able to stick and move and keep this at range enough and land some serious damage on the older Brazilian. There are moments here where this could get tricky and awkward for Holland, which is the reason, we won't be going too big here, but make no mistake. We feel this is mispriced and will gladly take a stab on the undervalued dog. We also never mind being on the side of the UFC in what outcome they want. Holland winning here is good news all around.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 14, 2020 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: San Diego Toreros - Nevada Wolf Pack

[WIN!!!] - PICK: NEVADA WOLF PACKS -3.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).

I liked this game even with Nevada at -6. Now I really love it. Nevada is coming off a tough loss on the road against a solid Grand Canyon team. I don't think Steve Alford's team is going to lose two in a row on the road. They will be much better today than they were on Friday. Nevada has wins over North Dakota State, Nebraska and Pacific. Those teams are better than San Diego. San Diego has only played one game! They were blown out 83-56 by UCLA last week. That is their only game of the season so far. This team went just 9-23 last year. They lost leading scorer Braun Hartfield and only have two players that started more than 20 games last year on this year's team. San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last five games and 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games. They are just 2-5 ATS as a home dog. Nevada should get the job done in this one.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 02:30 PM EST, German Bundesliga
Match: Hertha BSC - 1. FSV Mainz 05

[LOSS] - PICK: HERTHA BSC ML for 2 UNITS (1.96 ODDS).

As per our selection on Hertha Berlin, they are coming off a solid 1-1 draw against Gladbach and we expect them to carry that confidence and momentum into this game against a Mainz side that has lost two on the trot and that has given up a ton of goals this season. In just 11 games, Mainz has conceded 25 goals and we look for Berlin to exploit that leaky defense, as they've scored 19 times in 11 games themselves, while also having a better defensive record. Berlin has lost just once over their last six games and we expect them to come out at home and boss possession and get a crucial three points.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 06:30 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Virginia Tech Hokies - Clemson Tigers

[LOSS] - PICK: CLEMSON TIGERS +2.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).

I love the Tigers in this matchup. This is a very good Clemson team. With North Carolina and Duke struggling this Clemson team could be one of the top teams in the ACC by the end of the season. They are undefeated so far this year and have played a very good schedule and beat quality opponents from the Big Ten and the SEC. I think that the Tigers will want to get off to a strong start in their ACC opener. Virginia Tech is coming off an 75-55 blowout loss to Penn State last week. Clemson is better than that Penn State team and I think that they could do the same thing in this game and win this one by double digits. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games and 5-2 ATS as a road underdog. Virginia Tech is just 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games and they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. The Hokies are just 3-7 ATS as a home favorite and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games overall. Virginia Tech won both meetings last year. Only one time in the last 20 years of this rivalry has one of the teams won three straight in this series. I don't think the Hokies will make it three in a row here. Look for Clemson to get the win outright. Take the Tigers.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 08:30 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Austin Peay State - Florida A&M Rattlers

[WIN!!!] - PICK: FLORIDA A&M RATTLERS +13.5 POINTS for 4 UNITS (1.86 ODDS).

I feel we are getting a great line with Florida A&M who has faced a lot tougher opponents than Austin Peay this season which is exactly why their numbers are not as strong. Florida A&M had a 10-point loss at Georgia has 20.5-point underdogs they also covered at Oregon has 28-point underdogs. Austin Peay was just blown out by 30 points against Murray State despite being just 3.5-point underdogs they failed to cover the spread by 26.5 points and they also failed to cover the spread losing by 8 points against the Abilene Christian Wildcats despite being favored by 2.5 points in that game. Austin Peay has now failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games dating back to last March and in fact they have not even come close to covering the spread in 4 of those 5 games. Now they face a hungry Florida A&M team who has faced very tough opponents so far this season including road games against Oklahoma, Oregon, Georgia and Florida Gulf Coast. Florida A&M shot 53% as a team against Georgia but just 15% from beyond the arc and 65% from the line which was the difference in that 10-point loss despite being 20.5-point underdogs. This is definitely a winnable game for Florida A&M here Tuesday night and they are 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games when playing a team that has a winning record. Opponents have shot just 28% as a team from beyond the arc against Florida A&M this season and Austin Peay is the weakest opponent they have faced this season. Play Florida A&M ATS

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Alabama Crimson Tide - Furman Paladins

[WIN!!!] - PICK: OVER 155.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.80 ODDS).

Furman has posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six road games and they have that same 5-1 record to the over in their last six games following a straight up win by 20 points or more. They have also gone up and over the total in five of their last seven on the road where they faced a team with a winning record at home and they are 6-2 to the over in their last eight versus a team with a winning % of .600 or higher. Alabama has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone over the number in five of their last six following a straight up loss and they are an impressive 5-2-1 to the over in their last eight where they faced a team with a winning % of .600 or higher. Throw in the fact that Bama is also 11-5 to the over in their last sixteen home games, along with the fact that both teams are putting up impressive offensive numbers (Furman 81.7 PPG, Alabama 75 PPG) and the over is where we'll have our play as we think both teams are going to get up and down the court in Tuscaloosa on Tuesday night.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 16, 2020 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 01:00 PM EST, English Premier League
Match: Southampton - Arsenal

[WIN!!!] - PICK: SOUTHAMPTON +0/0.5 GOALS for 1 UNIT (1.98 ODDS).

For this Play on Wednesday, we like the visitors to continue Arsenal's struggles. Southampton currently sit in fourth place in the League, 11-points ahead of Arsenal as they have won their last two and are coming off a 3-0 home win over Sheffield United. The visitors are 3-1-1 in their last five and are riding a five-match unbeaten run on the road, beating Brighton 2-1 last week. Arsenal's struggles seem to only get worse after their 1-0 home loss to 17th place Burnley. They are now 2-3-0 in their last five matches and have lost their last four in a row in the Premier League. Southampton have not won at Arsenal since November 1987, the longest span of matches without winning at anyone side in the Premier League era. Arsenal won the last meeting 2-0 at Southampton with these two sides drawing 2-2 at Arsenal last season.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 16, 2020 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 06:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Marshall Thundering Herd - Toledo Rockets

[LOSS] - PICK: MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD -6.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.73 ODDS).

Marshall has already taken care of business in relatively easy fashion against teams in Toledo's class. The Herd handled Wright State and Ohio by 16 and 14 points, respectively. The matchup is in their favor again. Toledo is having a tough time making 2-pointers, connecting on 41.9% of their attempts, which ranks 287th in the nation. Marshall is 20th in the nation in defending inside the arc, holding teams to 40% 2-point shooting. At the same time, the Herd are making nearly 60% of their own shots inside the arc. They're also excellent in effective FG percentage at both ends of the floor. The backcourt tandem of Taevion Kinsey & Jarrod West should put the Herd over the top in this one. I'm laying the points with Marshall on Wednesday.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 16, 2020 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 06:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Miami Hurricanes - Pittsburgh Panthers

[WIN!!!] - PICK: PITTSBURGH PANTHERS -3.5 POINTS for 4 UNITS (1.71 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

As per today's selection, we like Pittsburgh in this matchup. They get back a key transfer today given the new transfer rules and frankly Pitt has looked good so far. This team is 4-1 so far, they beat Drexel by 9 points and even beat Northwestern on the road by 1 point which is fantastic. Yes, they lost to St Francis PA but that is ok, that was their first game of the year and since then they have done well. Miami beat Purdue which was shocking but then they laid the absolute biggest egg to Florida Gulf Coast due to all these injuries and I simply thing that Pittsburgh is too healthy and as they kick off the start of the ACC, I think they likely do well here.

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 16, 2020 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, NCAA - College Basketball
Match: Purdue Boilermakers - Ohio State Buckeyes

[WIN!!!] - PICK: PURDUE BOILERMAKERS -5.5 POINTS for 1 UNIT (1.77 ODDS).

I have Purdue winning this game by 9+ points here tonight. Purdue is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 home games when playing a team that has a winning record on the road and I believe they are the superior team in this matchup. Purdue will be able to dominate the boards against the Buckeyes here tonight and they are also the better shooting team knocking down 48.8% as a team at home this season. Ohio State has shot just 44.2% as a team this season and their opponents have shot 40% against them from being on the arc. Purdue's opponents have shot just 27.4% against them from beyond the arc this season and just 37.8% against them overall. Play Purdue ATS

#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for December 17, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 03:00 PM EST, English Premier League
Match: Sheffield United - Manchester United

[WIN!!!] - PICK: OVER 2.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.68 ODDS).

Manchester United are coming off a stale performance against local rivals Manchester City on Saturday. Manchester United sit in 9th place on 20 points, eight points back of Liverpool in first who have played two more matches. A win today could pull the visitors up to at least sixth with a victory of four goals or more giving them fifth over Everton who have a better goal difference. A win of the Manchester side could give them their tenth in a row away from Old Trafford in the Premier League and extend their unbeaten away form to 13. Seven of Manchester United's nine away wins have been 3 or more goal affairs with the last five in a row hitting 4 or more goals. They now face the worst team in the Premier League in Sheffield United who have picked up just one point all season and have the joint worse goal difference of -16, though three sides have given up more goals, Sheffield have scored just 5 goals all season. The host have lost seven in a row and are winless in their last 14. Their sole point coming in a 1-1 home draw to 17th place Fulham in October. Three of their last five matches have hit 3 or more goals including their 3-0 loss at Southampton over the weekend. These two meet in the first match after last season's restart with both sides in the Champions League hunt, though Manchester United came out on top with a 3-0 win. The first match last season at Sheffield ended in a 3-3 draw. Eight of the last ten overall and seven in a row at Sheffield have ended with 3 or more goals. We expect the visitors to come out ultra-attacking, while the host will hope to keep it close for as long as they can.

#BlackLivesMatter