ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)

[turkandjaydee]

Meanwhile, the beauty of betting live.

Congratsss haha. I bet on Reality Rift ML yesterday and maybe they could've won and ended the game faster if SF was using right-click item build. But well that choke at the roshan pit was really a disaster for RR and a turning point for TNC Predator.

-snip-
Secret vs Gambit: Secret -1.5
Liquid vs Vikin.GG: Vikin.GG +1.5
-snip-

LOL, Team Secret's 100% win rate still continues after they beat Gambit with a 2-0 score too. Unfortunately, the -1.5 handicap for team secret won't be worth it anymore.

Vikin.GG beat Liquid 2-0, they are looking good in this tournament, a pretty good start.
That 2nd game draft from Vikin.GG made Liquid couldn't do anything to them. SF right-click build with enough disabler and backup heroes is a really solid draft and Liquid Lone Druid draft doesn't work against them.
Unfortunately, I bet -1.5 on Liquid haha  .

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[ralle14]

Meanwhile, the beauty of betting live.

Congratsss haha. I bet on Reality Rift ML yesterday and maybe they could've won and ended the game faster if SF was using right-click item build. But well that choke at the roshan pit was really a disaster for RR and a turning point for TNC Predator.

I also had RR during the third game I expected them to close out the game before Enigma went online but I was wrong. They're probably scared of getting initiated by the Enigma if they forced the objectives.

Vikin.GG beat Liquid 2-0, they are looking good in this tournament, a pretty good start.
That 2nd game draft from Vikin.GG made Liquid couldn't do anything to them. SF right-click build with enough disabler and backup heroes is a really solid draft and Liquid Lone Druid draft doesn't work against them.
Unfortunately, I bet -1.5 on Liquid haha  .

I watched the second game of the series and their Vengeful support was just too good at utilizing the swap offensively giving free kills to the SF and Liquid couldn't react in time due to how fast the SF could kill their supports with just a few hits. I didn't bet on the series but I was also on the wrong side after taking OG's handicap. Flytomoon pressured OG in game 2 very early and forced a gg call in 22mins.

[Darker45]

Meanwhile, the beauty of betting live.

Congratsss haha. I bet on Reality Rift ML yesterday and maybe they could've won and ended the game faster if SF was using right-click item build. But well that choke at the roshan pit was really a disaster for RR and a turning point for TNC Predator.

Thanks!

That one was indeed the turning point. But it was actually more of a gamble by TNC, getting caught with roshan while receiving damage from the outside. It so happened that their strategy worked out. Prior to that, RR was ahead in terms of kills, map domination, and net worth. But I was really banking on enigma's black hole, especially with his refresher. And I kind of love TNC's draft.

And thanks to sportsbet as well for suspending the market early on, I was supposed to bet on the 1.85 odds. LOL!

[rand1919]

[DOTA 2] Group stage of ESL One Birmingham 2020: Europe & CIS is heating up. We already saw some amazing matches, but some amazing turnarounds and surprises too. That’s why I love online Dota, it is very entertaining and so fun to watch, but very risky and hard to bet on. Let’s check out some of the Day 3 matches.

Natus Vincere - Team Unique: Team Unique 1.5, 1.85 @ MY BETSLIP
Ninjas in Pyjamas - FlyToMoon: Ninjas in Pyjamas, 1.60 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Liquid - Gambit Esports: Team Liquid -1.5, 1.60 @ MY BETSLIP
Alliance - HellRaisers: HellRaisers 1.5, 1.50 @ MY BETSLIP
OG - Winstrike Team: OG -1.5, 1.20 @ MY BETSLIP
VP.Prodigy - Cyber Legacy: VP.Prodigy -1.5, 1.48 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Nigma - Aggressive Mode: Team Nigma -1.5, 1.59 MY BETSLIP

Some analysis:

MATCH: NiP vs FlyToMoon

FlyToMoon are one example of a team which can surprise. For example, on the day 1 they’ve lost to HellRaisers, and on Monday they have beaten OG with 2-1. OG who played with a full lineup. Really impressive performance on day 2, but they still look so inconsistent, and i’m afraid how they will look vs NiP. NiP is a really solid team, and even if they had some hard moments, they are doing everything to stay relevant, and they are succeeding. In this league, NiP is having 2 wins out of 2 matches by beating Winstrike and Alliance. I would give a small advantage here for NiP, even though FlyToMoon can surprise too. If you find decent odds on FlyToMoon +1.5 handicap, that could be a good bet too. However, I do think NiP would need to do their best to beat FlyToMoon, won’t be easy.

MATCH: NaVi vs Unique

I’m doing a very risky bet here, but the return should be high. NaVi just made a roster change a few days ago which is a minus for them if you ask me. On the other hand, a small plus for Unique is that dyrachYO from Team Spirit is playing for Unique in this tournament on position 1. He is really good young player, potential top player in the CIS region in the near future. Unique has a decent team, but sadly they don’t always perform. Of course NaVi are big favourites here. From the last 5 matches, they have 2 wins, one vs VirtusPro and another one vs OG in the OGA Dota Pit. On the other side, Unique is struggling with the European teams, but they are known to be able to pull off a map win over some fellow CIS team, like in their last match vs VirtusPro. If they can make a good draft where dyrachYO would carry them, they can take a map off NaVi. Otherwise, NaVi wins 2-0. Hard choice, and very risky, but i’ve decided to take a shot with Unique handicap. As we saw on day 1, this will be an interesting group stage.

MATCH: Nigma vs Aggressive Mode

Aggressive Mode started this tournament’s group stage with a nice 2-0 win over Team Unique. On the other hand, Nigma demolished NaVi with the same result, and maybe showed that they are finally ready to win some matches, compared to their failures in the previous tournaments. Nigma is obviously one of the strongest teams on the paper in Europe, however, they are not performing recently. Hopefully this tournament is a breakpoint for them. They looked good vs NaVi, and I do believe Aggressive Mode is one of the weakest teams in this tournament, and they will hardly do anything against Nigma in my opinion. 2-0 for Nigma here is very likely if they repeat their performance vs NaVi. Of course, we saw how Nigma’s performance did vary a lot in the previous tournaments, so let’s be careful here. Find good odds, go small.

MATCH: Alliance vs HellRaisers

Alliance just lost their 1st match in this league with 1-2 result vs Cyber Legacy, one of the weakest teams in the tournament. Alliance is in terrible form as they are on the 4 match losing streak. S4 is not performing, and he is position 3 player must be crucial for their wins. However, it seems like time overtook him. Another bad performing player is fng, he simply doesn’t fit in this lineup, and for me he is another problem of Alliance. Last time those two teams faced each other was 5 days ago in the OGA Dota Pit, and Alliance took that match with a close 2-1 result. HellRaisers are a very unstable team. From the very strong, top 2 CIS teams in the early season, they’ve become a team that is struggling a lot. However, they’ve shown a glimpse of hope, good plays in their recent matches vs FlyToMoon, Winstrike and Alliance. HellRaisers have a nice chance to shock Alliance even more after their defeat vs Cyber Legacy.

Odds suck today, but let's try it. GL!

MY TWITTER: rand1919

[STT]

Watching the team spirit game vs Faze, I seriously under rated Spirit just because I dont know them tbh so once again I'm getting back upto speed on whose who and what they can do.   They lost a player in the middle of the game and are now playing with a stand-in yet they continue to be a massive threat, seriously a worthy team of respect and consideration in any csgo bet.     Like JW said in an interview yesterday Spirit dont miss their shots and massively out aimed Fnatic in that game, it seems they can be a threat to everyone and perhaps the judgement must come down to teamwork.
  Bymass is also excellent as it turns out, 16 or not theres nothing lacking there.  I do think experience counts but its not a given any tactic ventured by an enemy team works in reducing this level of skill by players.

[sunsilk]

Guys for Dota 2 bettors/fans. Here's the recent news for all of us, they've just released the Battle Pass just now.

http://www.dota2.com/international/battlepass/

Great news! As of this time the TI 10 has already $4,282,155 prize pool. Very quick! And there's so much time left with the 2020 TI suspended indefinitely, possibly held in 2021. Way to go to beat that $34 million TI 9 prize pool.

Three Arcanas for this year's Battle Pass: 1 for WK, 1 for QP, and another 1 for WR. Sweet!

Meanwhile, the beauty of betting live.

The recent prize pool that I've seen was said 12 hrs ago and it's $5,000,000 and that's quick. Most gamers are staying at home and just waited for the release of the battle pass and the sales made were quick and high. We might see two TIs by 2021, we don't know what GabeN will say on that soon.

Anyway mate, why hide the amount of ETH won? 

AFAIK that's the first win that TNC made for this tournament yet it's useless because they were still eliminated but, they brought you a win.

[Globb0]

Today was a fun day. Glad to have you back.

[rand1919]

Very good day boys 

#dota2 1/7 (skipping -1.5 handicaps moving forward) 
#csgo 3/3 for now

[stomachgrowls]

Guys for Dota 2 bettors/fans. Here's the recent news for all of us, they've just released the Battle Pass just now.

http://www.dota2.com/international/battlepass/

Im out of the track and didnt expect that TI10 would launch this early since we know that we are on a pandemic situation and it was mentioned earlier that it do already had $5M prizepool but now its already


Too fast and it seems this year would really be something massive in talks of prizepool which can potentially overtake on what had been accumulated in last years TI.

Seems like my campaign earnings is on danger to purchase up BP.

[FlightyPouch]

Too fast and it seems this year would really be something massive in talks of prizepool which can potentially overtake on what had been accumulated in last years TI.

Seems like my campaign earnings is on danger to purchase up BP.

I am also shocked not just because they already released it with 2 new personas and 3 new arcanas but because, we all know that each TI, Battle pass lasts after the event but right now, it is delayed and will take place next year depending on the situation, that just means the longer time we have the Battle pass and longer time to save that money pot for next year. This might be the plan for Valve right now, show how high they are than the past Fortnite's tournament and other tournaments as well.

[Darker45]

Guys for Dota 2 bettors/fans. Here's the recent news for all of us, they've just released the Battle Pass just now.

http://www.dota2.com/international/battlepass/

Great news! As of this time the TI 10 has already $4,282,155 prize pool. Very quick! And there's so much time left with the 2020 TI suspended indefinitely, possibly held in 2021. Way to go to beat that $34 million TI 9 prize pool.

Three Arcanas for this year's Battle Pass: 1 for WK, 1 for QP, and another 1 for WR. Sweet!

Meanwhile, the beauty of betting live.

The recent prize pool that I've seen was said 12 hrs ago and it's $5,000,000 and that's quick. Most gamers are staying at home and just waited for the release of the battle pass and the sales made were quick and high. We might see two TIs by 2021, we don't know what GabeN will say on that soon.

Anyway mate, why hide the amount of ETH won?  

AFAIK that's the first win that TNC made for this tournament yet it's useless because they were still eliminated but, they brought you a win.

And now we are at $8.5 million. In just a matter of hours. DOTA 2 still rocks!

I hid it because it was so insignificantly low you might not be happy with your win despite the high odds.

Yeah, unfortunately, TNC is doing very poor in this tournament. But I still love the team.

Very good day boys  

#dota2 1/7 (skipping -1.5 handicaps moving forward)  
#csgo 3/3 for now

Good day, rand!

Hoping we'll have a much better one today.  

[Globb0]

skipping -1.5 handicaps moving forward

I have been betting more conservatively on the +1.5 versions, thinking anyone can grab a map here or there.

But in that time you have done quite well with the -1.5 and have had me beat several times.


Either direction the handicap thing doesn't leave any room for a wiggle in a 3 game match.

[rand1919]

[DOTA 2] Yesterday was a really bad day for me in Dota. Let's try to fix it today.

On day 3 of the ESL One Birmingham 2020: Europe & CIS we saw a few surprises. Teams that were supposed to beat their opponents easily, dropped the maps, and underdogs showed some really amazing performance. I think we will see a few more surprises until the end of this group stage. Let’s analyse the most interesting matches of Day 4.

OG - VP.Prodigy: OG ML, 1.79 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Nigma - Gambit Esports: Team Nigma -1.5, 1.55 @ MY BETSLIP
Alliance - Winstrike Team: Winstrike Team 1.5, 2.41 @ MY BETSLIP
Natus Vincere - ViKin.gg: ViKin.gg ML, 1.40 @ MY BETSLIP
HellRaisers - Cyber Legacy: Cyber Legacy 1.5, 1.47 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Liquid - Aggressive Mode: Aggressive Mode 1.5, 1.97 @ MY BETSLIP

Here is some analysis:

MATCH: OG vs VP.Prodigy

OG has never faced VP.Prodigy until now. This should be a hell of a match. Mostly because OG is not looking good and dominant at all like we used to see them. They have 1 win and 1 loss in the group stage. They’ve barely won against Winstrike and they have lost their 1-0 lead against FlyToMoon to lose the whole match with 1-2. Even though Topson and MidOne (playing from Asia with a higher ping) are back, OG are not looking good currently. I suppose if this would be a TI match that OG would win it easily, they have that important match mentality basically. But since this is an online tournament, i don’t think they are taking it too seriously as they are very well known for being serious when they need to be (The International). What does that mean for this match? It means that it will be way closer then odds are suggesting. VP.Prodigy has a chance as they are on a 4 match winning streak, however, mostly vs CIS teams. We will see how they will cope up with a top EU team. Due to Topson being back and OG winning mentality overall, I would give them slightly more of a chance for a win. 60-40 for OG if you ask me.

MATCH: NaVi vs Vikin.gg

NaVi just changed a position 5 player, and we should not expect too much from them. Currently they have 1 win and 1 loss in this league. They won against Unique with 2-0, even if Unique had a decent chance to bring it to 1-1, but they threw their lead in game 2. Unique is one of the weakest teams in this tournament, and NaVi was in the situation to lose a map to them. NaVi’s second match was vs Nigma, but they’ve got destroyed easily with 0-2. On the other side, Vikin.gg has a perfect start to this tournament’s group stage. With 2 wins and 4-0 in maps, they are holding 1st place in their group. They are looking really amazing lately, and they can take maps from the best EU teams. In their last 5 matches, they have 5 clean wins. 10-1 in map wins / losses. Pretty impressive. Let’s just say that they beat Team Liquid a few days ago with 2-0, and Liquid is one of the best EU teams right now. I think they are big favourites vs NaVi, and that they should take a match. If you can find decent odds on Vikin.gg (~ 1.50+), that should be a really good bet.

MATCH: HellRaisers vs Cyber Legacy

Cyber Legacy is the most pleasant surprise of this tournament. They have a standin on position 3 (Ghostik from B8), but it seems like this lineup is working nicely for them. They have 2 amazing wins in this league and 1 close loss. They have beaten Alliance and Winstrike, and lost narrowly vs VP.Prodigy with 1-2. HellRaisers really have inconsistent performance. With their 1 win over FlyToMoon (which i think is stronger team then HR currently), and 2 clean losses vs Alliance and VP.Prodigy, they are currently holding 7th place in the group, out of 8 teams. Even though HellRaisers are big sportsbook favourites in this match, I would give a decent chance to Cyber Legacy here, at least to take a map of HellRaisers. They played amazingly in all their 3 matches in this tournament, and beating Alliance and taking a map of VP.Prodigy gives them credibility that they can do a surprise vs HellRaisers too.

GL all, very risky bets! PM me for discord / google sheet!

MY TWITTER: rand1919

[rand1919]

[CS:GO] Yesterday 3W - 1L, pretty good return.

My picks and predictions for today's matches:

Natus Vincere - Vitality: Over 2.5, 1.95 @ MY BETSLIP
Gen.G - Evil Geniuses: Gen.G, 2.05 @ MY BETSLIP
Excellency - Gambit Youngsters: Gambit Youngsters -1.5, 1.71 @ MY BETSLIP

First 2 matches gonna be really close. Decided to go 3 maps on NaVi - Vitrality. My favourite is Gen.G too, since they've taken EG down already last month. Neither team is in top form, but I do think Gen.G is in little better shape now. Another close match. Excellency took down Sprout 2-0, but current Sprout roster is terrible, while Youngsters are on fire, and they should take the match. Odds on 2-0 are impressive, worth trying for. Youngsters ML for sure, if you find out good odds.

[STT]

Iam amazed Gen.G is rank 15 in the world, so I dont know the team but I know most of these players and 2 ex-c9 here.  HLTV never shows who is IGL which matters alot but I presume its daps and he is good for it.   Odds seem ok but I will split it with a bet on 3 maps also.   EG should win it on paper but I like an underdog bet and seems fair considering their recent play.

Faze and Fnatic happening right now, maybe harder to call.   If I see nice live odds I'll go with Faze as a guess, they seem to be doing better with their stand in then many regular 5.  Over 3 for this one as well unless Fnatic collapse.

[rand1919]

Dota 2 mafia strikes again  

OG got destroyed 0-2 vs VP.Prodigy (academy team of VirtusPro)
Team Secret got destroyed 0-2 vs Unique - the weakest team in the tournament (after 17 match win streak)
Nigma lost 1 map vs one of the weakest teams too

Another interesting Dota 2 day 

[ryzaadit]

Dota 2 mafia strikes again  
-snip-
Another interesting Dota 2 day 

322 is real again boys?

I believe the reason why this favorite team losing with a weak team cause, most of them got cursed by "Team Secret". He spreading the cursed to other team damn it XD

The Alianza Lima Cursed XD

Source: https://twitter.com/teamsecret/status/1264983603223691264

[sunsilk]

And now we are at $8.5 million. In just a matter of hours. DOTA 2 still rocks!

Things escalated quickly for the TI10 prize. This only shows that there's still plenty of Dota 2 players that supports the game and want to see the most awaited tournament to happen and that depends how Valve will make it happen.

I hid it because it was so insignificantly low you might not be happy with your win despite the high odds.

Yeah, unfortunately, TNC is doing very poor in this tournament. But I still love the team.

Any amount counts, a win is still a win and the pride that your bet won which mostly matters that increases your confidence that your picking correctly.

Dota 2 mafia strikes again   

OG got destroyed 0-2 vs VP.Prodigy (academy team of VirtusPro)
Team Secret got destroyed 0-2 vs Unique - the weakest team in the tournament (after 17 match win streak)
Nigma lost 1 map vs one of the weakest teams too

Another interesting Dota 2 day 

I bet that majority of us here expected OG and Secret to winning but, they failed us.

322 is real again boys?

I believe the reason why this favorite team losing with a weak team cause, most of them got cursed by "Team Secret". He spreading the cursed to other team damn it XD

The Alianza Lima Cursed XD

Source: https://twitter.com/teamsecret/status/1264983603223691264

322 damn OG and Secret!

I didn't know about that curse but it will become another meme in Dota 2 community. 

[Globb0]

Oh lucky I missed out today. Im on training course the rest of the week so cant watch any games.

[turkandjaydee]

-snip-
OG got destroyed 0-2 vs VP.Prodigy (academy team of VirtusPro)
Team Secret got destroyed 0-2 vs Unique - the weakest team in the tournament (after 17 match win streak)
Nigma lost 1 map vs one of the weakest teams too
-snip-

I don't know what's wrong with OG, they usually have a good draft but their defeat against VP.P was really because they were outdrafted.

Nigma lost their 2nd game is also because of their greedy WK pick.

No comment for secret  but maybe Nigma and OG are still trying some drafts and strategies?