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Author Topic: ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)  (Read 23582 times)
turkandjaydee
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May 31, 2020, 01:09:26 PM
 #981

Does anybody here also bet on specific games in addition to or rather than just win/lose?
Yeahhh, totally unlucky. I also placed some bets on Unique in game 2 when doing live betting yesterday. It was a very confident bet after I saw their draft and performance.

And it could be a very good profit  Cry.
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May 31, 2020, 03:10:05 PM
 #982

Does anybody here also bet on specific games in addition to or rather than just win/lose?
Yeahhh, totally unlucky. I also placed some bets on Unique in game 2 when doing live betting yesterday. It was a very confident bet after I saw their draft and performance.

And it could be a very good profit  Cry.

Me too but they never unlocked it on b365 its a bit hit and miss. I suppose they cant follow every game.
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May 31, 2020, 08:57:57 PM
 #983

We did a decent homework today, even tho the odds were lower.

✔compLexity - Gambit Youngsters: complexity ML, 1.36
✔Heroic - forZe: Heroic, 1.36

#CSGO 2/2. That's what we needed  Cool
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May 31, 2020, 09:01:45 PM
 #984

Who was watching the game 2 of Vikin.gg vs. Team Unique yesterday?

The kills were 22-11 in favor of Team Unique but then with the technical glitch the decision of the admin was that Vikin.gg won by default. Apparently, Team Unique wasn't allowed to play 4 vs. 5.

Here's another issue, was that decision by the admin enough for my bets to be acknowledged? Does anybody here also bet on specific games in addition to or rather than just win/lose?

What happened here was Viking got a free win @ map 2 / game 2. Some of the sportsbooks do cancel such bets (on maps), and some not, that depends on them. If you ask me, all default losses / wins should be cancelled so we can have fair play in betting too. If you bet on full match result, this should be graded normally I guess.
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May 31, 2020, 10:11:39 PM
Last edit: June 01, 2020, 07:33:44 AM by Globb0
 #985

Life got in the way so I didn't see any matches today. I still did ok. Thanks Rand for starting my education.



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May 31, 2020, 10:21:02 PM
Merited by Globb0 (1)
 #986

Life got in the way so I didn't see any matches today. I still did ok. Thanks Rand for starting my education.

So bragging time? I did ok today as well in the end, but all games started poorly. Went with sure things from esports and coupled with one football. Took compLexity from rand but skipped on the other one since I didn't want to bet against forZe. Missed your DOTA picks today rand so I went with VPP & Viking.



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May 31, 2020, 10:56:56 PM
Merited by Globb0 (1)
 #987

Congratz to both of you guys. Nice bets!

I didn't do any Dota 2 bets today, only CS:GO (2)

Enjoy your winnings!  Cool
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June 01, 2020, 07:31:18 AM
 #988

I would like to ask if this Bold text is your bet?, I'm a fan of e-sports gambling too most of the time is in dota 2 or in csgo but sometimes I doubt on my bets it is a lot of help if someone guides me to my decisions too.



✔compLexity - Gambit Youngsters: complexity ML, 1.36
✔Heroic - forZe: Heroic, 1.36



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June 01, 2020, 07:46:26 AM
 #989

I would like to ask if this Bold text is your bet?, I'm a fan of e-sports gambling too most of the time is in dota 2 or in csgo but sometimes I doubt on my bets it is a lot of help if someone guides me to my decisions too.



✔compLexity - Gambit Youngsters: complexity ML, 1.36
✔Heroic - forZe: Heroic, 1.36



Yes that is correct. ML is main line. If you see 1.5 or -1.5 they are then handicap bets. So in best of 3, -1.5 means they need to win 2-0 and with the +1.5 version they can win even if they lose 1-2.

I recommend reading Rands discussion pieces he explains his thoughts and logic. So much more than just bet x or bet y. eg how safe does he feel it is.

Also this is unpredictable market, even for the pro. Weird things happen. I suppose in some ways that's just  sport for you. There is not much room for recoveries in a 3 frame match of anything.

Good luck
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June 01, 2020, 11:02:12 AM
 #990

I would like to ask if this Bold text is your bet?, I'm a fan of e-sports gambling too most of the time is in dota 2 or in csgo but sometimes I doubt on my bets it is a lot of help if someone guides me to my decisions too.



✔compLexity - Gambit Youngsters: complexity ML, 1.36
✔Heroic - forZe: Heroic, 1.36



Yes sir, those are the results of my bets. Usually I post betslips too, so you can open a betslip and see what did i bet on, if you don't understand such text and terms.

But Globb0 did make a pretty good explanation. Props to him!
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June 01, 2020, 11:15:32 AM
 #991

[DOTA 2] While we are waiting for the ESL One Birmingham playoffs, here are 2 bets for today:

Team Unique - Khan: Team Unique -1.5, 1.75 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Empire Hope - OG Seed: OG Seed -1.5, 1.84 @ MY BETSLIP

Please go small, those are smaller tournaments, and handicap is very risky. Double risk.
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June 01, 2020, 11:48:21 AM
Last edit: June 01, 2020, 01:06:37 PM by rand1919
 #992

[CS:GO] BLAST Premier Showdown EU betting ought to be a hot topic. It’s a real treat for CS:GO betting enthusiasts, especially with DreamHack Masters Spring entering its final stage. The European Showdown event kicks off on Monday, June 1st, and is set to last until Sunday, June 7th. The same goes for the American Showdown. BLAST Premier Showdown kicks off with two groups, five teams in each, followed by dynamic playoffs starting from the quarterfinals. There’s no winner here – two teams will share the first place. Keep in mind group stage matches are played in best of 1 series and ties are possible (15-15 for example). Let’s analyse some Monday matches:

Ninjas In Pyjamas - Astralis: Astralis, 1.62 @ MY BETSLIP
Vitality - ENCE: Vitality, 1.58 @ MY BETSLIP
Fnatic - MAD Lions: MAD Lions @ 2.03 MY BETSLIP

MATCH: ASTRALIS VS NIP
Date: Monday, June 1st @ 18:00 CEST

Both teams are currently in a very unstable phase as both squads changed players. Astralis is playing with Jugi and Snappi instead of gla1ve and Xyp9x as they are taking a leave. On the other side NiP has a new player too, Hampus. As this is best of 1 match, surprises are possible. I won’t analyse their previous matches and history, since for the first time we will see this new temporarily Astralis facing NiP who are struggling a lot lately. However, this NiP did beat solid ENCE in their last match. Can that give them confidence to approach this match and take a win. Possible, but I still believe in Astralis with Magisk, device and dupreeh. Odds are slightly favoured for Astralis, and Astralis is a slight favourite on most sportsbooks. But this is a very risky bet.

MATCH: VITALITY VS ENCE
Date: Monday, June 1st @ 15:30 CEST

In their last match few days ago, Vitality took dominant win over ENCE with clean 2-0 result. However, ENCE has some good showings before that and by taking a map off Astralis and beating NaVi and Copenhagen Flames they showed they are finally ready for something more again. If you ask me, Vitality are big favourites here again, and with ZywOo playing really well lately, they can surely do it. They are on 2 match winning streak, and they are better then ENCE on 5 out of 7 maps in the map pool. I’m afraid only of Allu, ENCE’s best player currently. If he shows up, he can do quite a mess on the server, and can be a big threat to Vitality. I think Vitality will take this match in the end. But let’s be careful as this is BO1 series and match can end up in a tie (due to the tournament’s rule set).

MATCH: FNATIC VS MAD LIONS
Date: Monday, June 1st @ 19:15 CEST

Fnatic is completely out of form and their in game play is disastrous, as well as individual plays. However, there is no doubt about their top quality. In their last 5 matches, they have won only against GODSENT with a close 2-1 result. They have 2-9 win-loss map ratio, which is pretty terrible if we know that they’ve played teams like Spirit and Movistar Riders, teams that should be way bellow their level. MAD Lions are actually a pretty decent Danish team, that can do a lot on the international scene. They showed pretty solid performance vs mousesports few days back, when they took the match with clean 2-0. Their players Bubzkji and sjuush are the best fraggers of the squad, and if they show a good individual performance, they can surely surprise very unstable fnatic currently. Very risky bet, but when I saw the odds, I had no doubt about it. At the end, this is BO1 and surprises will happen.

GL all! More bets on my spreadsheet! GOOGLE SPREADSHEET

MY TWITTER: rand1919
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June 01, 2020, 03:23:30 PM
 #993

RAND1919 VIP  Roll Eyes

Hello everyone.

First of all, thank you for believing in me and showing so much support. This is the first time I've did something like this. It was a nice experience for me and i have learned a lot on the way. It wasn't easy like I thought it would be, and It gave me a lot of stress, since I wanted to make you all happy for the service you paid for.

May is over, and we finished in a minimum plus. Here are the results of my May VIP bets (down bellow on the image).

First 2 weeks were really hard for me, I didn't find the proper way to do it, and I do think I burned out with wrong betting strategy (mass bets, unreliable bets).  We were down like 30% in ROI at some point, and almost 30 units in minus. However, after listening to your advices and suggestions how to improve the service and bets, last 16 days were a blast. We had:

+ 20 Units
~ 65% win ratio

We manage to pull it off in the end and with 54% bet win ratio overall, we ended up 1 unit in plus at the end of the month.

Money and unit management is not easy, even if we have 50% win ratio, we must bet smart in order to profit at the end. And I want to continue that trend in June. I want to do smart bets, much smaller bet amounts and more quality bets.

I would understand if you are not interested anymore after that fiasco in first 2 weeks of May. I apologize to everyone because of that, mistakes happen, especially in the betting world. Nothing comes over night.

🚨But for those who want to continue, please PM me here in the next 2 days, so we can sort out the entry for June. Everyone else will be removed from the chat (thanks for supporting me during May).

To enter VIP for June, please contact me at: randd1919@gmail.com

Best Regards and Happy Betting,
rand1919

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June 01, 2020, 04:09:50 PM
 #994

^^ Yeah we had some tough weeks at start but I really liked how you opened up and took suggestion of members which is impressive and the first time I've seen coming from a tipster. Well yeah mistakes happen but at least you learned and got us out of the dark feeling we were having. Still I love your picks and specially your analysis and insights.

I might sub up again in the middle if its allowed, maybe in first week of June. (know its my loss but idc much about that)
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June 01, 2020, 05:42:13 PM
 #995

Rand is knowledgeable and on point, its not always easy but he is gifting you his knowledge.


From what I have seen he has hit a significant amount of nice bets. Definitely worth a follow.


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June 01, 2020, 06:37:57 PM
 #996

First of all, thank you for believing in me and showing so much support. This is the first time I've did something like this. It was a nice experience for me and i have learned a lot on the way. It wasn't easy like I thought it would be, and It gave me a lot of stress, since I wanted to make you all happy for the service you paid for.

Bold part is the biggest problem, always trows my tips for few percent because i get too careful.

Good for you if you managed to adapt to paid tips that fast. I used to do free and paid tips for tennis and occasional football game long time ago but the pressure was not worth it. People expect a lot from you even when you are giving free tips and for paid ones they expect results immediately. If you have a few bad days, or weeks name calling and insults start very quickly. I remember a year which I ended with 10K Euro plus (started with 10K and ended a bit over 20K) and had to read trough insults half of that year. I usually have good and bed spells lasting even for about a month and in my experience people don't have enough discipline and bank to power trough that.

After that I decided no more dedicated tips, the money earned was nowhere near enough to cover the other part and it all start to feel like a work instead a pleasure.

Appreciate your free tips, especially ones that come with explanation, and hope you will do them in the future as well.

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June 02, 2020, 09:06:20 AM
 #997

What happened in these games yesterday? my bets seem to be stuck.

Winstrike vs FlytoMoon

Vitality vs Ence

Next to Ence it says PUSH  I have no idea what that means, never saw it before.
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June 02, 2020, 09:34:19 AM
 #998

Vitality vs Ence

Next to Ence it says PUSH  I have no idea what that means, never saw it before.

Vitality-Ence ended as a draw. This tournament doesn't have extra time in group stages. You probably made a bet on winner market so bet is void (push). Meaning it is counted as odds 1.0 or in other words as you didn't even played it. You should get your stake bet if it was single bet or just paid the rest of the accumulator like you didn't play it in case you got other game correct.

Good for you, I made that bet as 1x2 without realizing draw is possible outcome and lost the nice multi ticket.

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Globb0
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June 02, 2020, 09:43:28 AM
 #999

Vitality vs Ence

Next to Ence it says PUSH  I have no idea what that means, never saw it before.

Vitality-Ence ended as a draw. This tournament doesn't have extra time in group stages. You probably made a bet on winner market so bet is void (push). Meaning it is counted as odds 1.0 or in other words as you didn't even played it. You should get your stake bet if it was single bet or just paid the rest of the accumulator like you didn't play it in case you got other game correct.

Good for you, I made that bet as 1x2 without realizing draw is possible outcome and lost the nice multi ticket.

It is in a multi, but it was a 2 way bet win or lose. So thanks for explaining that.

I just need FlyToMoon to have won to complete 2 or them.
rand1919 (OP)
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June 02, 2020, 11:12:38 AM
 #1000

[DOTA 2] And here we go. It’s time for the ESL One Birmingham EU/CIS playoffs. After the group stage, we have the best 8 teams that will face off in the double elimination bracket. Day 1 of the playoffs will start with the 2 lower bracket matches.

ViKin.gg - FlyToMoon: flytomoon, 1.54 @ MY BETSLIP
HellRaisers - Team Liquid: Team Liquid, 1.25 @ MY BETSLIP

MATCH: VIKIN.GG VS FLYTOMOON

Date: Monday, June 2nd @ 16:00 CEST

Good Vikin.gg’s group stage performance was expected, as well as their top 4 group placement. Basically they’ve won almost all matches they should’ve won. Well except their match vs Unique, which they surprisingly lost with 1-2. They have ended their group stage run in 3rd place of group A with 4 wins and 3 losses. Their losses vs Nigma and Secret were expected, but their loss against Unique really surprised us, even if it was in the last round which didn’t matter too much for them. Vikin.gg are playing really good but from the last 5 matches played they have only 2 wins. On the other hand FlyToMoon is one of my favourites teams in the competition for sure. Sometimes they are playing so good, that they are impressing us all, but sometimes they’ve got lost in their drafts and mid to late game. However, they are showing results, and that is all that matters for them. They’ve ended their group B run on 4th place with 4 wins and 3 losses, same as Vikin.gg. They had some nice wins vs NiP and OG, and they took a map off VP.Prodigy which is really a hard thing to do lately. Overall their performance was decent, and they are performing good in all tournaments they are playing. However, they still need that 1 step to improve and to be able to fight the best teams. Overall in this match I do think FlyToMoon are slight favourites, and this match will be much closer than the odds are suggesting. However, my brain and heart is telling me to go with FlyToMoon. I think they have a 60% chance to take a win from Vikin.gg and knock them out. It will be a high pressure match for sure as the loser is going home and is knocked out of the tournament.

MATCH: HELLRAISERS VS TEAM LIQUID

Date: Monday, June 2nd @ 19:00 CEST

I’m not even sure how HellRaisers ended up top 4 in the first place. For example, NiP has a much better map win-loss ratio, and they have a positive 2-0 result vs HellRaisers themselves. And if you ask me, NiP should be in the playoffs now instead of HellRaisers, as they’ve deserved it more. I don’t know who created those ESL rules, but they have no sense at all. This match is the battle of 3rd place group B team HellRaisers vs 4th place group A Team Liquid. Both teams ended up their group stage run with 4 wins and 3 losses. Only CIS team that’ve managed to take a map off Team Liquid in the group stage was Natus Vincere, but in the end NaVi lost with 1-2. Liquid lost to Nigma, Secret and Vikin.gg, which means they can be beaten for sure, but I’m not sure if HellRaisers can beat them. Most probably not. Most impressive results for HellRaisers were 2-0 vs FlyToMoon and 2-1 win vs OG (which ended group stage with disappointing 1-6 win-loss ratio). I think that from the HellRaisers match vs NiP we can learn a lot. HR lost 0-2, and Team Liquid kinda reminds me on NiP sometimes. Liquid are big big favourites here, and if all drafts and early game goes by their plan, they will take this series with 2-0. Team Liquid ML win bet is the safest way to go if you can find the good odds. No way HellRaisers can win that match, maybe they can surprise us with a map, but that’s the maximum we will see from them.

Low shitty odds today, but safe bets today. You can parlay those 2 matches even. GL all!

MY TWITTER: rand1919

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