rifleman74
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Activity: 658
Merit: 21
4 s9's 2 821's
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January 25, 2018, 05:55:48 PM |
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The pool hash rate for the last day is roughly 43.43PHs which means the 5Nd 'ramp' is roughly 14days 22hrs. Not 22 days, it's down to just under 15 days. MINE ON WITH KANO-SAN!
music to my ears (over the whine of the S9s) .... thanks for the clarification. I just saw on a previous post that it was 22 days. it changes, as the pool hash rate increases, the ramp up time decreases (on both ends). Crack that block! |
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ricknamer
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Activity: 126
Merit: 1
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January 25, 2018, 06:06:49 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance!  And the chicken? |
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rifleman74
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Activity: 658
Merit: 21
4 s9's 2 821's
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January 25, 2018, 06:13:21 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance! And the chicken? never done a chicken dance? |
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A.Delaney
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Activity: 266
Merit: 13
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January 25, 2018, 06:24:06 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance! And the chicken? It’s a superstition to bring good luck. There is no actual chicken. Sports players do similar things to bring good luck to the sports season like not shaving or not washing their jersey. In this case it’s a dance called the chicken dance. Look it up on YouTube. I’m sure there are a ton of chicken dance videos. |
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rifleman74
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Activity: 658
Merit: 21
4 s9's 2 821's
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January 25, 2018, 06:28:09 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance! And the chicken? It’s a superstition to bring good luck. There is no actual chicken. Sports players do similar things to bring good luck to the sports season like not shaving or not washing their jersey. In this case it’s a dance called the chicken dance. Look it up on YouTube. I’m sure there are a ton of chicken dance videos. There were a few chickens with Pedro Sorrano. |
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samsilver
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Activity: 15
Merit: 0
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January 25, 2018, 06:38:38 PM |
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That estimate is incorrect we are already at 2.23 T difficulty and looks like we are probably going to add another 15%. Looks like it should change in 17 hours or so. I used to trust the numbers at btc.com but not sure I do at this point, they have been having some issues lately. I'm hoping for 16% or less increase at this point by tonight's adjustment. A lot of hashrate was pointed other places and/or shut down yesterday to stop the pace from reaching a 20%+ increase. I was already hoping for it to slow down from this last 15% increase but a ton of power and machines have been pointing at BTC the whole time, since all coins have been down in price and there wasn't anywhere else to go this past 10-12 days for SHA-256. Difficulty increased 16.84% |
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clgrissom3
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1032
Carl, aka Sonny :)
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January 25, 2018, 06:40:38 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance! And the chicken? Actually the chicken thing started a couple of years ago when a guy said he was eating chicken when we hit several blocks in a row. So the ritual became if we needed some extra good luck during slow times we all needed to eat some chicken. It seems that the chicken eating ritual became the chicken dance along the way somehow. |
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tke1600
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Activity: 29
Merit: 2
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January 25, 2018, 06:44:14 PM |
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That estimate is incorrect we are already at 2.23 T difficulty and looks like we are probably going to add another 15%. Looks like it should change in 17 hours or so. I used to trust the numbers at btc.com but not sure I do at this point, they have been having some issues lately. I'm hoping for 16% or less increase at this point by tonight's adjustment. A lot of hashrate was pointed other places and/or shut down yesterday to stop the pace from reaching a 20%+ increase. I was already hoping for it to slow down from this last 15% increase but a ton of power and machines have been pointing at BTC the whole time, since all coins have been down in price and there wasn't anywhere else to go this past 10-12 days for SHA-256. Difficulty increased 16.84% My next hope is that it stays flat since no new S9's should be shipping out until March now. |
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clgrissom3
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1032
Carl, aka Sonny :)
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January 25, 2018, 07:12:15 PM |
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...
Difficulty increased 16.84%
My next hope is that it stays flat since no new S9's should be shipping out until March now. I hope it stays flat also but there is a shipment due in February...at least I hope it is because I have one on order for the February shipment. |
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tke1600
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Activity: 29
Merit: 2
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January 25, 2018, 07:16:14 PM |
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...
Difficulty increased 16.84%
My next hope is that it stays flat since no new S9's should be shipping out until March now. I hope it stays flat also but there is a shipment due in February...at least I hope it is because I have one on order for the February shipment. Dang. I didn't know they had any going out during Chinese new year month. I guess another "positive" is that Antpool and BTC.com had a big stretch of 10-20% above luck last week, which is like 40% of the network hashrate. Let's hope they have normal luck or something this time. |
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kano (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 4522
Merit: 1844
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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January 25, 2018, 08:23:56 PM |
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The JP node just disappeared off the net (20:17 UTC)
I'm awaiting the provider to sort it out.
Edit: it 'reappeared' at 20:25 ... will wait and see if it is OK before assuming all is fine ...
Everyone mining to JP will have now reconnected but will take up to 5 minutes to fail back.
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rifleman74
Member
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Activity: 658
Merit: 21
4 s9's 2 821's
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January 25, 2018, 08:26:09 PM |
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That estimate is incorrect we are already at 2.23 T difficulty and looks like we are probably going to add another 15%. Looks like it should change in 17 hours or so. I used to trust the numbers at btc.com but not sure I do at this point, they have been having some issues lately. I'm hoping for 16% or less increase at this point by tonight's adjustment. A lot of hashrate was pointed other places and/or shut down yesterday to stop the pace from reaching a 20%+ increase. I was already hoping for it to slow down from this last 15% increase but a ton of power and machines have been pointing at BTC the whole time, since all coins have been down in price and there wasn't anywhere else to go this past 10-12 days for SHA-256. Difficulty increased 16.84% My next hope is that it stays flat since no new S9's should be shipping out until March now. There are Avalon 8's coming online then. |
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Yrth
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Activity: 123
Merit: 21
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January 25, 2018, 08:32:18 PM |
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The pool hash rate for the last day is roughly 43.43PHs which means the 5Nd 'ramp' is roughly 14days 22hrs. Not 22 days, it's down to just under 15 days. MINE ON WITH KANO-SAN!
music to my ears (over the whine of the S9s) .... thanks for the clarification. I just saw on a previous post that it was 22 days. The best place to check for the up to date 5nd is https://kano.is/index.php?k=payout |
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kano (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 4522
Merit: 1844
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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January 25, 2018, 08:35:04 PM |
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OK, so for Kano and the others who were explaining to me about the Shares %, we are now over 100%, but there is no block. Does that mean we are having bad luck? Just curious, still trying to figure it all out. Thank you for taking the time.
That CDF table thingy ...  0.39346934028737 50.000% 1 in 1.6
0.63212055882856 100.000% 1 in 2.7
0.77686983985157 150.000% 1 in 4.5
0.86466471676339 200.000% 1 in 7.4
0.95021293163214 300.000% 1 in 20.1
0.98168436111127 400.000% 1 in 54.6
0.99326205300091 500.000% 1 in 148.4
0.99752124782333 600.000% 1 in 403.4
0.99872735771441 666.666% 1 in 785.8
0.99908811803445 700.000% 1 in 1096.6
0.99966453737210 800.000% 1 in 2981.0
0.99987659019591 900.000% 1 in 8103.1
So e.g. 1 in 20.1 blocks is expected, on average, over time, to be over 300% Long term, average % is what matters - and it should be close to 100% - as shown on the Blocks page |
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leowonderful
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Activity: 1624
Merit: 1129
Bitcoin FTW!
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January 25, 2018, 08:49:15 PM |
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I don't know what difficulty estimating sites you guys are using, but I've found BTC.com's estimator is decent enough after Bitcoinwisdom's estimator broke: https://btc.com/stats/diffSeems like some people weren't aware that Bitcoinwisdom was broken for quite some time and hasn't been fixed. |
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tke1600
Newbie
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Activity: 29
Merit: 2
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January 25, 2018, 08:51:22 PM |
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I don't know what difficulty estimating sites you guys are using, but I've found BTC.com's estimator is decent enough after Bitcoinwisdom's estimator broke: https://btc.com/stats/diffSeems like some people weren't aware that Bitcoinwisdom was broken for quite some time and hasn't been fixed. I think that one is still taking into account the extra blocks found yesterday when the difficulty was less, etc. Here is the best one that is up to date after each change in real time: https://diff.cryptothis.com/ |
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2tights
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January 25, 2018, 08:52:46 PM |
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firetreeactual
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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January 25, 2018, 08:56:57 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance! And the chicken? Actually the chicken thing started a couple of years ago when a guy said he was eating chicken when we hit several blocks in a row. So the ritual became if we needed some extra good luck during slow times we all needed to eat some chicken. It seems that the chicken eating ritual became the chicken dance along the way somehow. Maybe this post had something to do with that...LOL...  |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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rifleman74
Member
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Activity: 658
Merit: 21
4 s9's 2 821's
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January 25, 2018, 08:58:09 PM |
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OK, so for Kano and the others who were explaining to me about the Shares %, we are now over 100%, but there is no block. Does that mean we are having bad luck? Just curious, still trying to figure it all out. Thank you for taking the time.
That CDF table thingy ... 0.39346934028737 50.000% 1 in 1.6
0.63212055882856 100.000% 1 in 2.7
0.77686983985157 150.000% 1 in 4.5
0.86466471676339 200.000% 1 in 7.4
0.95021293163214 300.000% 1 in 20.1
0.98168436111127 400.000% 1 in 54.6
0.99326205300091 500.000% 1 in 148.4
0.99752124782333 600.000% 1 in 403.4
0.99872735771441 666.666% 1 in 785.8
0.99908811803445 700.000% 1 in 1096.6
0.99966453737210 800.000% 1 in 2981.0
0.99987659019591 900.000% 1 in 8103.1
So e.g. 1 in 20.1 blocks is expected, on average, over time, to be over 300% Long term, average % is what matters - and it should be close to 100% - as shown on the Blocks page Fortunately we got through that 800 and 900 awhile ago. Now let's get something done before 150! |
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EncoreMining
Jr. Member
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Activity: 77
Merit: 4
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January 25, 2018, 09:03:54 PM |
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Dancing increases the number of blocks we find. Obviously, some users haven't been doing their dance! And the chicken? It’s a superstition to bring good luck. There is no actual chicken. Sports players do similar things to bring good luck to the sports season like not shaving or not washing their jersey. In this case it’s a dance called the chicken dance. Look it up on YouTube. I’m sure there are a ton of chicken dance videos. There were a few chickens with Pedro Sorrano. It’s very bad to drink Jobus rum. Very bad. |
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