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2081  Economy / Economics / Re: Brexit: Rejoining EU takes record 14-point lead in latest poll on: November 02, 2022, 09:39:20 AM
This appears to be emerging as a controversial hot topic.

It's going to be ugly, that's clear. Sooner or later the brits will understand that the greater power comes in unity, even if it's imperfect, as EU is. Sooner or later they'll understand that no matter how their politicians try to patch theirs economy wounds (some of them they've created by leaving EU), EU could have been doing it better.

And yes, getting back will be tough. And not only as punishment in money, but also as other things to change - for example EU may impose UK no longer use their (odd) measurement units when working with international customers (which I expect to be really difficult to implement).
2082  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: <Bitcoin Creation> Dr. Craig Faketoshi Failed another Satoshi Test Again. on: November 02, 2022, 09:31:40 AM
He could easily prove it by moving a satoshi.  He chooses not to do so.  That should be the end of the discussion in my opinion.

Did you ever consider that maybe he just... can't?
If he could move one satoshi he would not involve the community into his shitshow.

Of course, he may just be a genius who tries (too) hard to prove the world he is not satoshi and we just don't understand his game. Grin
2083  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why doesn't Bitcoin consider a low interest rate mechanism to fight deflation? on: November 02, 2022, 09:22:42 AM
Why don't you end all of this PoS topics questions.

Well, why don't you stop trolling?
Whatever is happening in your mind, doesn't make it real. Sleep well.
2084  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why doesn't Bitcoin consider a low interest rate mechanism to fight deflation? on: November 02, 2022, 09:12:17 AM
Why not consider a fixed low interest rate mechanism to ensure that Bitcoin is more suitable for current economic activity?
For example, if you hold 1 bitcoin in an address, you will be rewarded 0.02 bitcoin after holding it for 1 year.
Interest is calculated and paid every year or before you will pay to another address.

Why award the wealthy instead of awarding those who actually work for it? No. As I said here, Bitcoin awards meritocracy, not oligarchy. And that's just perfect.
Is this meant to be just a more subtle way of asking "why not PoS?"? Because that was answered already in another topics.
2085  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: This days you can't predict what will make you vulnerable to hack, I need answer on: November 02, 2022, 09:02:51 AM
I need to ask.

I am not sure what you're asking. If this is only about altcoins, then please move it to the appropriate board. Else, it's simple: get a hardware wallet, stay away of shitcoins (and metamask) and you should be just fine, especially if you are careful what websites you're visiting and what software you install / run.
2086  Other / Meta / Re: [POLL] Should there be a 🍀 BTC AIRDROP 🍀 to Bitcointalk Merit Sources on: November 02, 2022, 08:59:41 AM
and most of the members applied as merit sources as volunteers.
Not really as majority of merit sources were appointed by theymos without even applying. They could of course refuse that role and ask to have merit source status removed if they weren't up to that task.

One can refuse the merit source status or one can simply not spend his sMerit. Easy.

What do you guys think ?

I guess that it could be a nice addition, or better said a nice surprise, but it should not be something permanent / mandatory, like a rule, because that would only bring unnecessary drama.
Merit sources do get - sooner or later - recognized in a way or another. Even the fact they've became merit sources means they are very active, hence recognized.
Those who care about the money do participate in well paying signature campaigns.

So, again, it should never become a rule or something that looks mandatory. But I am sure that a tip like surprise would bring some smiles here and there.
However, let's try not to break something that already works well, OK, please?
2087  Other / Off-topic / Re: Is this not shilling but information sharing? on: November 02, 2022, 08:45:12 AM
Is it possible that all those crypto influencers we know and hear stuffs about could face market manipulation charges under new regulation law that's coming? ...

Is there popular word ' Not a Financial Advice' not enough to safe them from what's coming?

Since they warned people about doing their own research too, isn't this enough to break them free?

I don't know the new regulations, but I had the same kind of question when Kim Kardashian was fined.
And I've got my answer for that case: no matter she said "not a financial advice", she should also have been stating that she was shilling because she was paid to do so.
See the answer here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5415840.msg61066113#msg61066113

And crypto influencers may indeed have the same fate because I expect many of them are paid to advertise this or that project now and then.
So the NFA part is sometimes not enough, by the law.
2088  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Is crypto winter just another name for crypto crash? on: November 02, 2022, 08:16:55 AM
I have a basic understanding of what a crypto winter is. I've also heard that every crypto winter cycle is followed by a rally. Can someone explain what it is and how it can be used to determine the best time to buy miners?

Just look at the chart for the whole timeline.
One example is this one, I don't know if I'll be able to insert the image here, however, the original link is https://resources.swissquote.com/sites/default/files/2020-04/graph1.png
Warning: this is a logaritmic scale chart, you may want to crosscheck with another price charts!


I see a cycle from halving to halving. Others see it from ATH to ATH. It doesn't matter, still a ~4 year cycle.
In second cycle the crypto winter was around the first 2/3 of year 2015. In the third cycle it was pretty much during the 2018 autumn and 2018/2019 winter.

The longer the "depression" lasts, the more the people call it crypto winter. But overall it's the worse part of the bear market, it's the period the price is the lowest in such a cycle and doesn't give any signs of recovery. It's the most depressing part for holders, it's the period some miners may be disconnecting their gears (for shorter or longer periods of time).

I am not an expert, but this is how I see it.
Also according to this chart, one year before the halving the price is already on a healthy rise. Maybe that's the moment you want for buying gear? I don't know, I certainly cannot give advise in that one. All this is more a price analysis/speculation.

2089  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Proof of Waste is Doomed on: November 01, 2022, 07:35:04 PM
So the developer thinks PoS more secure, less energy-intensive, and better for implementing new scaling solutions.

Actually that's what he says, not what he thinks. Never forget that tiny detail.
And, unfortunately for ETH, the reality is already showing how badly centralized it is.

The centralization aspect was quite evident right after the Merge, as 46.15% of the nodes for storing data, processing transactions and adding new blockchain blocks could be attributed to just two addresses.

Current staking activities look very centralized, with the leading liquid staking protocol Lido and leading centralized exchanges such as Coinbase, Kraken and Binance accounting for over 60% of the staked ETH.

Every altcoin in existence has a higher onchain transaction capacity and greater ability to scale onchain than btc flawed PoW design.

And still the altcoins are cheaper than Bitcoin. Wonder why...
Bitcoin doesn't afford to make experiments that can easily lead to mistakes. This doesn't make it flawed.
If you consider the new centralized ETH or BNB chains so much better, why don't you just remain at your bank account? Just because of its name?
2090  Economy / Speculation / Re: The real bottom is yet to come of BTC on: November 01, 2022, 07:17:12 PM
This time is different from the other, we are in recession. All macro factors there to downside the whole shares and crypto.

There will be more bottom ready. 13000-10000$ range is the golden. Lets DCA after 15K

Coming out with this "comprehensive analysis", people won't/can't take you serious. I hope you can understand that.
I could say that 30k is around the corner and I have pretty much the same chance as you.
Yes, speculation is pretty much worthless.


So the conclusion is that it could be safer to start DCA-ing now. But yeah, everybody should do as they think, since at least one of us may be wrong.
2091  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Stuck transaction since June on: November 01, 2022, 07:10:57 PM
Unconfirmed transactions are commonly dropped by the nodes' mempool after 2 weeks by default, if they aren't included into a block until then. You must have meant something else.

Some wallets or online services may be rebroadcasting the transactions, hence it can happen to be a bit longer than 2 weeks.
But as hosseinimr93 correctly noticed, the mempool was emptied for way too many times meanwhile, so there's no reason for the transaction still be stuck. That if it's a bitcoin transaction, from a bitcoin wallet.

bdcadc42-67db-41f2-856e-de700f218973

Those look like generic GUID (identifiers) to me, not transaction IDs in the way the blockchain uses them. Care to tell more about these numbers and maybe find out the actual transaction IDs?
(This is also why any blockchain explorer cannot help you: you are using something that's not transaction IDs).
2092  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which has better odds, lottery, online gambling, or sports betting? on: November 01, 2022, 07:05:22 PM
which has better odds, lottery, online gambling, or sports betting?

As odds for winning, best should be sports betting, if one knows the game and picks good. And worse is lottery, but the prizes are also big there.
The odds at online gambling are debatable, they depend on the game and the odds the user is choosing (if he can, for example at hi-low).

Shockingly, the chances of winning the lottery are absurdly low.

About what's written at Quora (not necessarily the "article", more the answers), well, I'm not shocked on how bad are people at math, but I'm shocked about how little they understand about the world they living in Grin
2093  Bitcoin / Electrum / Re: Repairing MacBook - electrum on: November 01, 2022, 05:36:29 PM
Is it "risky" to leave my MacBook Pro to Apple employees ? Should I take precautionary measures before going there ?

It doesn't matter they're Apple employees or any kind. Some people may take a look and steal, some not, no matter where they're working at.

This being said, unless you can get them (under whatever reasons) give your HDD (SSD?) back until they finish their job (drive staying always at your sight), it's safer you just get from start your funds out to another (safely generated) wallet and consider the old wallet compromised, just in case...

back up your Electrum wallet and then delete it from the MacBook before taking it to the Apple Store.

Well, he should wipe the file (and maybe the free space too), not just delete.
That's why moving the funds out is a safer approach.
2094  Local / Offtopic / Re: Spamming by phone? on: November 01, 2022, 05:14:35 PM
hello guys,
I have no clue from where  the leak comes from but today I got a call from Alba county from a guy asking me if I am aware about stocks and stocks trading. Conversation was in English, I could hear some oriental music in background. After about 5mins call explaining the guy that I am interested for now in crypto trading only and the only thing I need to know from him was the source from where he got my number, he said that he has connections with financial advisors and cannot tell the source, he has some sort of platform and he'll call me in a week.
I am wondering if you had some experience like this so far, the guy called me yesterday too but I was busy and I told him I'll call him back but there was nobody answering.

cheers

I would assume that the "phone number" is just a VoIP relay server and the caller can be from anywhere. That's also a possible reason why the number was not available for calling them back.

I was approached many years ago by a "financial" company trying to help. Since I didn't refuse them from start, at some point they started spamming me almost daily with phone calls from various "numbers" until I learned how to block them, one by one.

I would be wary with platforms advertised on the phone, I would check everything on bitcointalk first.
2095  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Is Iancoleman BIP39 Site Changed Domain from .io to .ch? on: November 01, 2022, 12:39:12 PM
I don't know if it's a legit or malicious clone of iancoleman.io and it doesn't even matter.
Any seed generation (or related tests) for addresses expected to hold money "currently" or any time in the future should be done with the code/page from GitHub (https://github.com/iancoleman/bip39) in a safe offline environment.

If you feel the website is not a legit clone (I can't tell right now, but I would assume the worse), you can easily add a line in hosts:
Code:
0.0.0.0 iancoleman.ch
2096  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Volume decreasing over time, what does this tell us? on: November 01, 2022, 11:23:15 AM
Is it significant in any way?
My impression would be that there are less people trading it and perhaps more storage going on? Or that a lot more trading is happening on other coins/projects/tokens whatever?
Looking from say 2017/2018 to now, it's pretty much a sharp declining line.

I am learning so feel free to enlighten me.

Well, you start comparing, 2016 had way bigger volumes (in BTC!) than we will probably ever see: https://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/volume/all?c=e&t=b
Reasons are many:
* it can be related to the fake volumes many exchanges were reporting and most probably during the years the reported volumes are getting closer to reality
* it can be changes in trading fees
* it can be somewhat related to the price (again, the chart I'm showing has the volumes in BTC, not in $); maybe the volumes in $ would tell a different story
* it can be related to big entities hoarding bitcoin

Overall I think that the numbers (related to trading volumes) are not telling the full / correct story and may be greatly misleading over long periods of time.
2097  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Could Bitcoin’s security be at risk as a result of this update? on: November 01, 2022, 10:03:31 AM
Waiting for your comments

Pure alarmistic crap only to get some views on a so called news site. Good enough comment?

Since the hash rate is on the rise, it's clear that the number of miners unplugging their gears is small. Even more, the price is actually over 20k, hence on a tiny rise. Plus, miners disconnected their gears in other crypto winters and Bitcoin survived. Now, with this huge hash rate (you conveniently shown the chart for only one month, instead of an entire year that shows we're pretty much at ATH as hash rate), some miners plugging out simply don't matter in the big picture.
2098  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: is there such a thing as "elevated", "premium", "xyz" wallet? on: November 01, 2022, 09:51:37 AM
A friend told me that he has an "premium" bitcoin wallet.  sometimes he called it gold level wallet.  what does this mean? 

does it mean he has shit load of bitcoin in his wallet?

Big words for something that's not even a proper wallet, but hey, that's how advertising works.
As said, it's most probably an account on a custodial service. I don't call it proper wallet because I expect your friend doesn't have access to the private keys (or seed) for that wallet, hence it's not really his.
And no, that name is not related to the amount of coins. It can be related to a trading tier or some subscription fee he may be paying.
2099  Economy / Economics / Re: EU solution to energy crisis: print more money and ensure economic crisis! on: November 01, 2022, 08:42:22 AM
It's a trend that means that there's (more than enough) gas on the market,
Not on the market but in the queue. And that's the biggest problem.

The demand only went down slightly (and will go down more if more industries shut down).

The supply has gone down because the imports from Russia were significantly reduced while the replacement is almost all in form of LNG which has to be received in LNG terminals and converted before pumped into the pipeline in a very hard and time consuming process. This has made a queue of tankers on the sea waiting to dump their cargo and move to next shipment. That forces the price to go down.

This is exactly like COVID time. The demand had slightly come down while supply was still flowing. So when the terminals reached their capacity they couldn't store the oil anymore and that caused the oil price to become negative for the first time in history (AFAIK). The price of petrol and other oil products were still up though.

I don't know, if I look at the charts, both futures and spot (maybe also here) gas prices are going down since August.
This looks to me more a normalization of the markets (both supply and demand) than caused (only) by the queues of LNG tankers. But I don't know for sure.

That's a little contradictory with some news regarding blackouts in different countries (although the scale is still small) and the warning they issued about possibility of a much larger blackout before Truss left the British office.

I don't know of blackouts in EU. I remember power outages in Middle East (but I may be wrong) this summer(ish), but not in EU.

Here I guess that nobody has expected this go this well this fast (I am also surprised). Of course, it may be just a false sentiment of the market; of course, Russia can reduce further the supply and the markets will become turbulent again.
But UK is not in EU and this may matter much more than they are willing to admit. Plus, clearly, there were/are fears the electricity will become prohibitively expensive and even so it may be missing, just because some politicians thought that relying mostly on Russian gas is okay. And the politics in UK are going from bad to worse since they've left EU. Even in the days EU had no issues, UK had gas/petrol shortages (allegedly because of the truckers).

In EU now coal is also being used for electricity again. Certain atomic power plants will do their job for longer. And the gas got cheaper too. There are now reasonably good chances we'll be OK even without Russian gas. Of course, at the expense of shutting down the most power hungry industries (steel, aluminum and many others).
But UK... I don't know...
2100  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin can be faster as VISA on: October 31, 2022, 07:37:48 PM
Reducing block time is bad for security. Just look at exchanges: the faster the block times, the more the confirmations they want for deposits.
Bitcoin ~10 minute blocks were pretty well thought and I would not expect that to change in the near future.

If one wants fast transactions, he should look at LN, not try to change a perfectly working bitcoin.
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