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2601  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 27, 2023, 08:14:11 PM
Ian Wright the former player said there is the possibility for Mauricio Pochettinos to get fired if he doesn't win the next two games in Cheslea.
Chelsea is going to face Brighton in the EFL Cup which is a hard game for them because in the past matches we saw Brighton have amazing performances, after that, they should face Fulham and this can't be hard for them because Chelsea won the game against Fulham in the last meet they had.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-12562655/Ian-Wright-worried-Mauricio-Pochettinos-Chelsea-future-ahead-two-win-fixtures-Blues-boss-winning-ONE-league-game-taking-Stamford-Bridge.html

There are 25 minutes left in the game and Chelsea leads 1-0, the first part of the plan is almost completed, although this is a knockout game so Brighton will 100% go all-in in the last minutes of the game.
I wonder if Pochettino is fired, who will be appointed as the new coach? It's unlikely Chelsea have anyone at the ready. Will they really repeat last year’s move with a “temporary” coach, whom in the end only worsened the situation.
2602  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: September 27, 2023, 08:06:01 PM
Hm... Sassuolo fights back and equalizes in the 54th minute. It’s good that Napoli confidently wins 2-0 and at least everything is fine there. I hope Inter will have enough time to restore the lead, because if they don’t succeed, my multi-bet will be burned (win of Napoli, Inter, Real and a couple more outcomes).
It will be very strange if Sassuolo can upset the leader of Serie A after they upset Juventus.
2603  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 27, 2023, 03:02:22 PM
At the moment, bookmakers' quotes for this game are as follows:

3.45 - 4.30 - 1.93

1.93 to win Bayern is quite rare to see in the Bundesliga, but obviously after the Super Cup defeat to Leipzig with a score of 3-0 this is an adequate odds. If it weren’t for the game with Bayer which Bayern couldn’t win, then I would be confident in Bayern because here they have 100% motivation. But as the game with Bayer showed, they are still not good enough.
This is an away match for Bayern Munich so naturally they get better odds. Moreover, their opponents, Leipzig, have been regulars in the top 4 since the 16/17 season, so I think even though Bayern Munich are the favorites, in the current situation it will certainly raise doubts. Maybe what makes me a little confused is determining who will win in this match and betting on one of the teams will of course still be dangerous for the results of our bet. So what is certain is that betting on both teams to score with odds @1.40 or over 2.75 goals with odds @1.47 is a safe choice so far.

This may be a safe choice, but the odds are too low. I see that BTTS No is listed as 2.78 and this attracts me more. In general, I think that the BTTS No bet is worth making in any case if the odds are not less than 3 (rarely, but such cases happen like last year in the Barcelona - Bayern game) and as you can see now the odds are quite close to this figure.
2604  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: September 27, 2023, 02:56:57 PM
The fact that Sancho does not follow the lead of the hysterical Ten Hag does not make him a bad player. I think he will find another club, but in reality he doesn't need to - after all, United are obliged to pay him a salary so he can stay at the club until the end of his contract without any worries. Personally, I assume that United will get rid of Ten Hag quite quickly - he is a weak coach with a provincial mentality and he has not fit to top clubs.
It's really ridiculous Ten Hag is restricting Sancho almost everything in Manchester United, he need to self introspection first because he's only a manager not the owner lol. Ten Hag, as a manager only allowed to not train him and not select him to play in the field. But if Sancho want to train by himself, using Manchester United's facilities, dining room etc, Ten Hag must not forbid him.

Ten Hag has been successful so far in that he constantly finds someone to blame and never takes the blame when things go wrong. So far, this strategy is working. Maybe this strategy works simply because the Glazers are more concerned with how to sell United profitably than how to develop it, who knows. But sooner or later they will kick him out because if United is not successful, it will lose value as an asset. In general, Sancho still has time for video games (as they write, he loves them very much), he just has to wait until Ten Hag is fired.
2605  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: September 27, 2023, 12:23:17 PM
Lecce could not show any presence in the match. It was a solitary game for Juventus. Even though they had more chances to score goals, they did so with only one goal. The 1-0 victory was important because it was enough for them to win 3 points. Lecce suffered its first defeat in a season that started well. It was a good match and Juve won.

After the defeat from Sassuolo, I was sure that Juventus would recover, so I added their victory to my multi-bet. And taking into account the fact that the victory turned out to be very modest and one goal was enough to cancel the victory, I would not say that it was a confident victory for Juventus.
Today Inter plays with Sassuolo and I hope to confirm its status as the undisputed favorite since Inter is also in my multi-bet.
2606  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: September 27, 2023, 12:15:07 PM
At the moment, bookmakers' quotes for this game are as follows:

1.92 - 3.80 - 3.85

Even though lille was favorite in this match but i don't even think this club has bigger chance than reims to win the game. Reim's performance is quite better than reims.
I would prefer to bet on handicap 0/0.5 for reim. In my opinion if this club will make at least more than 1 goal against lille. Lille has very bad performance at this moment. It's mostly ended the previuos game with 1 goal or even nothing.

Btts is also possible to happen in this match caused by my feeling said that if lille would be making at least 1 goal.

Lille is the favorite, but in my opinion the match looks very random and even +92% does not justify the risk. Both teams score a lot and concede a lot, while they have only 2 wins in 5 games. The game is completely random, so if I were to place a bet, it would be on Reims.
The risk is very high if we are taking 2x1. Reims scored more compared with lille in the previous match. Over 2 goals is still a sense choice in this match.

Hehe. I understand that an separate result does not prove anything because there is variance, but as you can see in this particular case, my analysis and choice was correct (however, I did not make a real money bet). +285% profit is excellent compensation for the risk. As for BTTS, which would also be correct, there was a small coefficient, it was a so-so bet.
2607  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: September 27, 2023, 12:08:20 PM
100%. In one of the interviews, he talked about this in detail and the main idea was that he had already earned a lot of money and this issue had been resolved not only for him but for the whole family. I am sure that he still has huge ambitions and is waiting for the moment when he can lead a top club again. If Ancelotti was able to return to the top after Everton, then why can’t Mourinho do this after Roma (with which he achieved success, by the way, unlike Ancelotti).

My question is which club that will be interested in signing him as a coach? I remember that the day when he was offering himself to the chelsea sea last season but chelsea was rejecting him(bad decision).
Mou's main aim to make more and more record in european competition. He never had interest to go to the saudi pro league. I would like to see him to coach ronaldo once again but it may seem my dream will not come true.

There is no point in speculating/guessing here. Last season we saw many degenerate decisions by club owners/management (Chelsea, Bayern, etc.) that were absurd and led to a worsening situation. In fact, anything could happen, even Mourinho returning to Chelsea or even Real Madrid (haha) so that there would be someone to manage Mbappe.
2608  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: September 27, 2023, 12:04:21 PM
I've added Barcelona to win outcome in a couple of risky multi bets, but I don't think they're guaranteed to win. The number of points scored does not reflect how difficult it is for them - for example, the game with Celta was definitely not a cakewalk and the victory did not look “logical”. I hope Barcelona wins (LOL, I'm actually a Real Madrid fan) but the result of this game will actually be very shaky.

Damn Barcelona!  Angry
But I’m also to blame, I felt that not everything might be so smooth, but greed forced me to add this outcome to the multi-bet. In general, so far everything is going in Real's favor: Real lost 3 points with the third team in La Liga (and Barcelona may also lose), and Barcelona lost 4 points in games with obvious outsiders. Unfortunately, I did not check the quotes before this round, but it is obvious that after this round they will again be strongly in favor of Real Madrid.
2609  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: September 27, 2023, 11:55:57 AM
Currently Sancho is not allowed to train at Manchester United and he is also prohibited by Ten Hag from using all facilities including the dining room in this team now and some of Manchester United players has attempts persuade him to apologize because this might be will save his career because Ten Hag only want his appologized then this issues is solved but Sancho doesn't want it and he seems doesn't really care about how Ten Hag to treat him and i think with his behaviour most likely Manchester United will sell him this winter or at least to loan him to other clubs but with this conflict i am sure most of clubs who want him will notice it and possibly Sancho will hard to gets new clubs

The fact that Sancho does not follow the lead of the hysterical Ten Hag does not make him a bad player. I think he will find another club, but in reality he doesn't need to - after all, United are obliged to pay him a salary so he can stay at the club until the end of his contract without any worries. Personally, I assume that United will get rid of Ten Hag quite quickly - he is a weak coach with a provincial mentality and he has not fit to top clubs.
2610  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: September 27, 2023, 11:49:51 AM
Thank God we won’t see another series of Real Madrid games against Chelsea, City and Liverpool for the third time in a row due to the fact that Liverpool and Chelsea are not in this Champions League  Grin
As for the favorites, in my opinion, if KDB continues his treatment, then Bayern can really be the number one favorite. City is in second place, Real is in third - unfortunately they do not have the top in attack, so they are a little weaker.

I follow you in this one, but im gonna wait a little more to see how strong really is this Bayern Munich, i think with Kane they are a serious contender, but also they are not the strong team that they were in other seasons.

About chelsea, what a luck for them to no stay in this UCL, it can be a nightmare.

In two days Bayern play Leipzig and it will be possible to assess their current form. Another question is that closer to the final part of the tournament, Kane will be more well integrated into the team, plus Bayern’s shape may also change (both in one direction and the other), so the game with Leipzig will show only the current shape and not the prospects.
As for Chelsea and the Champions League, now the number of participants is inflated and in fact in the group stage every team has a chance, they would be happy to participate, even if just for the sake of money.
2611  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 27, 2023, 11:44:08 AM
Chelsea is suffering bad days and even their new coach Pochettino can't help this team get out of their bad situation.
Domino Pizza started making fun of this team and the situation they have. These all can put this team under more pressure and make everything even harder for Chslea in the next games they are going to have.



Lol! Chelsea are truly terrible at scoring - only two teams are worse than Chelsea by this metric: Luton and Burnley. And with four more Chelsea are on par: Fulham, Everton, Bournemouth, Sheffield. As we can see, this is a very suspicious company (someone from this list will definitely leave the Premier League at the end of the season). Maybe we should really seriously discuss Chelsea's chances of relegation?  Grin
2612  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 27, 2023, 11:37:46 AM
If you ask about predictions about who will win the match between RB Liezpig vs Bayern Munich in the near future, I will still choose Bayern Munich as the winner even though the match takes place at the Red Bull Arena Leipzig. Even though it will not be easy for Bayern Munich to win there in the near future, I think RB Liezpig will also find it difficult to withstand the onslaught and attacks from Bayern Munich who are currently having their best performance in the Bundesliga.

At the moment, bookmakers' quotes for this game are as follows:

3.45 - 4.30 - 1.93

1.93 to win Bayern is quite rare to see in the Bundesliga, but obviously after the Super Cup defeat to Leipzig with a score of 3-0 this is an adequate odds. If it weren’t for the game with Bayer which Bayern couldn’t win, then I would be confident in Bayern because here they have 100% motivation. But as the game with Bayer showed, they are still not good enough.
2613  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +90170 units on: September 27, 2023, 11:32:53 AM
Thanks KTChampions for your faith and loyalty, but I don't mind losing this season, to prove that all systems fail eventually Wink
~

Hey, no! We are here to get rich in betting one way or another, using the system or relying on our insight  Cheesy

By the way, where are your bets against Chelsea? If I'm not mistaken, in one of the threads we discussed how betting against them can really help you get rich. If you are waiting for the odds against Chelsea to be the ones you like (closer to 10), then you shouldn’t wait - this team has fallen very much even in the eyes of the bookmakers.
2614  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: September 27, 2023, 08:59:44 AM
Вояки получают бабки, а в экономику ничего не возвращают в виде благ = количество денег растет, количество благ нет = деньги обесцениваются. Вы не можете это простое уравнение понять? Ручное управление лишь отдаляет (и усугубляет) неизбежное, хоть два курса будет хоть три а рубль будет дальше чахнуть.
Там задумка похоже в том что вояки должны возвращать квадратными километрами отвоеванного, только с эти как-то не очень. Да и эти 500к все равно остаются в стране - зачем воякам деньги если есть калашмат  Grin они женам отдают, а те вкладывают в кв метры новостроек. По сути государство ничего не теряет. А могло бы просто напрямую обновлять жилфонд, а тут двух зайцев сразу убивают.

Нее, вы схему совсем не понимаете. Булочник/строитель получая бабки возвращают в экономику булочки/постройки. Это типа обмен. И очевидные равновесия на рынках булочек/построек - цена эффективна (а если равновесие смещается то цена меняется).
Вояки просто получают бабки а в экономику ничего не возвращают. Это не обмен а наебалово - денег становится больше, а продуктов нет. Куда смещается равновесие и цена? Не в пользу денег = инфляция. Когда у вас 70% бюджета улетает на вояк, то тут просто не о чем говорить.
2615  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: September 27, 2023, 08:40:22 AM
~ Нужна работа? Кредиты? Добро пожаловать на войну. Если ты мацквич и завтра мобилизуешься - тебе сходу листают 500k из ферерального бюджета + 200к от мацквы. $7k за подпись Grin Так что если "бизнес" куда-то и уйдет - то на войну.

Вояки получают бабки, а в экономику ничего не возвращают в виде благ = количество денег растет, количество благ нет = деньги обесцениваются. Вы не можете это простое уравнение понять? Ручное управление лишь отдаляет (и усугубляет) неизбежное, хоть два курса будет хоть три а рубль будет дальше чахнуть.
2616  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: September 26, 2023, 05:25:48 PM
Пока ждем скама доллара, немного новостей для дарагих рфян:

Quote
«Путин готовится к вечной войне».

По данным Bloomberg, по статье «национальная оборона» правительство намерено потратить в следующем году 10,8 триллиона рублей — на 70% больше, чем в текущем (6,8 трлн), в 2,3 раза больше, чем в 2022-м (4,7 трлн), и втрое выше показателей довоенного 2021 года (3,5 трлн).

Если же учесть суммарные расходы на силовиков, включая полицию, Росгвардию и систему ФСИН, то Россия уже побила рекорды позднесоветского периода. В сумме на статьи «национальная оборона» и «национальная безопасность» (3,5 трлн рублей) приходится почти 40% бюджета против 33% в 1990 году.
https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/09/25/lukashenko-zapretil-belorusam-pokupat-ispolzovat-i-hranit-droni-a107977

Не забываем о том что треть бюджета засекречена

Итого примерно 70% бюджета будет просто улетать в трубу. Так что даже если бакс и вовсе запретят и прочие финты в виде ручного управления экономикой будут применяться (вроде бана на экспорт бензина/дизельки) это никак не помешает рублю валится вниз ибо расходы на войну = всегда инфляция так как деньги выплачиваются, а материальные блага в экономику не поступают.

С соотношением 70% в трубу и 30% на "реальный" сектор (и там тоже не забываем про разворовывание и "дофинансирование" например ПФ) я хз как долго рубль еще трепыхаться будет.
2617  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [POLL] Using AI to predict outcomes on: September 26, 2023, 05:10:39 PM
Hehe. What I already wrote about in this thread is getting closer - the other day OpenAI released a new version of ChatGTP and now the neural network can work with video and audio input. From this to the moment when the neural network can massively receive data in this way (for example, watch an entire season of Serie A in a couple of hours) is quite a bit. After this, the neural network will be independent of humans in terms of obtaining data and, most likely, the meaning of forecasting with its help will increase exponentially.
2618  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: September 26, 2023, 04:51:25 PM
@buwaytress - something just occured to me. As things currently stand, you can basically find a game with equal odds and stake 3 4 3 on 3 different outcomes, thus guaranteeing yourself ~10 points per round.
I don't think that anybody did it, but it would be good to add to the rules that you can bet on only 1 outcome per game just to be on the safe side.

Would be quite a dick move if somebody was protecting the lead late on in the competition, but would actually be allowed as per current rules.

It seemed to me that the interface does not allow you to place even two bets on one game and not as many as three (I checked the possibility of making a Double Chance bet).
In any case, it is hardly wise to “save” 10 points instead of increasing them - after all, it is difficult to lead so much that you will be reliably protected in case someone guesses the outcome with odds of 6 or even higher.
2619  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 26, 2023, 04:45:46 PM
The only possible reason to see bayern lose bundesliga trophy this was is leverkusen. I see that if leverkusen is only worthy competitor for bayern right now. Dormund was almost making it last season but 1 mistake made dortmund being trophyless last season.
The thing that is worrying me if real madrid will take xabi to be a new appointment. It will make leverkusen backs to the its mediocre form. I can't even imagine it to happen with leverkusen caused by xabi is a very important coach for leverkusen.
Signed kane from totenham doesn't mean bayern can win bundesliga easily. Leverkusen is the only biggest wall to make it happen this season.

Leverkusen is as strong as bayern right now. The duo bayern is now in the title race for bundesliga trophy this season. The second leg for duo bayern will be very interesting caused by the game will be happening away for bayern munchen.

I think you overestimate Bayer, they are good and temporarily successful, but even this season Leipzig achieved more - they took the Super Cup from Bayern and did it as painfully as possible - with a score of 3-0. By the way, bookmakers agree with my opinion:

Fc Bayern Munich 1.20

Rb Leipzig 11.00

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12.00

Borussia Dortmund 15.00

But in fact, all this matters little since Bayern will become champions and no one will stop them, and the odds of 1.20 look like a gift.
2620  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 26, 2023, 04:20:59 PM
I see that with this defeat, Chelsea's chances of leaving the Premier League have increased to 1 in 51  Grin This is a small chance, but for comparison it is 1 in 251 for United and 1 in 501 for Brighton. But at the same time, Chelsea still has a good chance of entering the top 4: 1 in 5. This is only 20%, but is this not enough for a dream?  Grin
I don't know how long the crisis in Chelsea will last or how quickly it will end, but it looks like their fans will mostly suffer.
I have just understood that that from last season that Chelsea changed their management and also change their coach, the blame of non-performance has always been on the coaches and not on the Chelsea management, neither do we have them on the individual players. Some persons have begun to say that pochettino is not a good coach that he needs to leave Chelsea.
If Thomas was not a good coach and also Graham Potter was not a good coach then we know that Lampard was not a good coach and pochettino also is not a good coach who then will be the best coach for Chelsea?

Good question. Chelsea had a kaleidoscope of both coaches and players (who were selected not by the coaches but by the management), so the blame can safely be laid on the management. Another question is what to do about it. If you fire Pochettino now, the kaleidoscope will continue; if you don’t fire him, then maybe Chelsea will lose their last chance to rise from the depths to at least the Eurocup zone (I’m not talking about the Champions League, but at least the Europa League).
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