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2661  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +90170 units on: September 23, 2023, 01:17:11 PM
No wins yet here, very sad. I have, of course, had sweet hits this early season but none featured here as I didn't feel they were that great value but City at home is always a great opportunity if you consider how hard it gets for them at times.

I'll share exact odds as am out and couldn't login book. But at Sportsbet it was roughly 19/1 IIRC with a boost.

100 units at Sportsbet on Forest to fight the impossible and WIN vs City.

Update stats later today.

If City lose today it will make me very happy (I hate them  Cheesy ). But if I'm not mistaken, Haaland should score a few goals today - he had a certain break in this matter, usually it ends with a double or a hattrick.
It's really a shame that there are no wins yet, but with average odds of 10, the streak without a win could easily (probably 50%) reach 15 games. So we wait  Smiley
2662  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Warning] Don't share your casino account! on: September 22, 2023, 10:10:37 PM
Most likely, the offer was from those who cash out stolen credit cards or something like that - it’s very easy to offer generous commissions if the money is originally someone else’s. I don’t really believe in syndicates that can do anything in the field of match-fixing, but in any case, such murky proposals should be ignored - there is not a single option that this is completely legal and then you will not have problems after collaborating with such figures.
2663  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: September 22, 2023, 10:00:58 PM
It's funny to read multi-page discussions about how Real Madrid lacks a strong striker (I pretty much agree with this by the way). I just remember the era of Ronaldo and how he was criticized “for empty-net goals”, “he’s just a finisher”, etc. That is, he was literally criticized for doing his job Grin For some reason, it turns out that if a team does not have a good finisher, then all the work of the midfield can often be useless.
But as for Real this season, I think with Vinicius on the field and Bellingham, the available strikers will be enough. The main thing is that injuries do not affect the squad that Ancelotti has assembled.

Honestly I was worried about Real Madrid's performance for this season before it started. Because I thought they would surely bring a striker such as Vlahovic to have a more reliable attacking line. But they didn't and I had doubts about their season. However the current look of them is way different than I imagined.

Bellingham is really playing like not only a midfielder but also a striker right now. He is already top scorer in the squad. Even in Vinicius' presence in the lineup Bellingham is coming one step forward thanks to his high effort.

Because of this situation I also started to think Vinicius - Rodrygo (or Joselu) duo in the attacking line will be good enough.

As Ancelotti says, Joselu is good in the second floor (but so far this is not reflected in the results) and I think even with these two strikers Real will have enough variability to open up someone else's defense. In general, a good even composition, it is clear that a top striker would be the cherry on the cake, but even without him Real should take the title, but in the Champions League a lot will be decided by randomness.
2664  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Ballon d'Or discussion and odds on: September 22, 2023, 09:53:44 PM
Haalad won three precious trophy last season, but Messi won the golden trophy which is the world cup. This has made him to be superior to Haalad in their achievement. This is the reason why Messi will win it. We all knew that apart from the world cup, Messi didn't put in a good performance in the European leagues.

Haalad performance in all leagues was superb but he wasn't able to do this in the world cup because his country didn't make it. I think that this will be the last Ballon'd 'or for Messi and this is the reason why Haalad should continue with his excellent performance so that he can win it next time, since the world cup wouldn't be used as a criterion.

I'm already tired of listening to tales about the World Cup and its importance  Grin
Maybe you can explain to me how Xavi and Iniesta, who won the 2010 World Cup (where Messi completely failed - zero goals and zero assists) did not receive the Ballon d'Or?  Roll Eyes And in addition to this, Xavi and Iniesta won the European Championship in 2008 and 2012. But Messi (who was unsuccessful at the 2011 Copa America) received four Ballon d'Ors.
2665  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 22, 2023, 09:44:31 PM
Pleases my mind to see someone agree haha. Manchester United fans are a funny lol; they want to continue to blame players for a coach bad tactical setup or lets say tactical failure. Also, the Manchester United board has managed the Sancho saga poorly for a team without replacements.

What to do for ten hag? he should go back to footballing basics, players playing in their positions and enough of forcing positions etc. Up next is Burnley after 3 losses in a row.

Ten Hag has the mentality of a provincial coach - where you can play boss and dominate the players. In big clubs and with star players it doesn't work - you can kick Ronaldo out and put pressure on everyone else, but it won't lead to anything good. According to leaks, after the game with Brighton there was a brawl in the United dressing room, before that there was also news about tension within the team. Ten Hag does not contribute in any way to solving problems, he only accumulates them. But there is hope that he will be replaced soon; I would not be surprised if the players deliberately play poorly, “draining” the coach, so to speak.
2666  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: September 22, 2023, 06:23:39 PM
It's funny to read multi-page discussions about how Real Madrid lacks a strong striker (I pretty much agree with this by the way). I just remember the era of Ronaldo and how he was criticized “for empty-net goals”, “he’s just a finisher”, etc. That is, he was literally criticized for doing his job Grin For some reason, it turns out that if a team does not have a good finisher, then all the work of the midfield can often be useless.
But as for Real this season, I think with Vinicius on the field and Bellingham, the available strikers will be enough. The main thing is that injuries do not affect the squad that Ancelotti has assembled.
2667  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: September 22, 2023, 06:13:07 PM
It seems that Man United management still really supports Ten Hag at Old Trafford, the series of defeats that befell The Red Devils squad is not entirely Ten Hag fault. Because Ten Hag was not strengthened by a complete squad, because several key players were injured and there were players who were rested due to personal problems. So I think it makes sense that Ten Hag hasn't been fired, but if with a complete squad Ten Hag hasn't consistently won, I think he will be fired.

If you look at the amount of spending budget spent by Ten Hag, The Red Devils should not be sitting in 13th position on the standings. The EPL match against Burnley will be an opportunity to improve the situation. If he fails to get three points, Ten Hag will be under a lot of pressure.

Ten Hag bought those he wanted twice (last season and this season) everyone is experiencing injuries (for example KDB) and various kinds of scandals so this cannot be an excuse to justify poor results. Now, due to a conflict with Ten Hag, United is going to sell Sancho for 50-60 million, taking into account the fact that he was bought for 85... an excellent achievement. However, there is a chance that before the winter transfer window Ten Hag himself will be fired and Sancho will not have to be sold  Grin
2668  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: September 22, 2023, 06:05:15 PM
Soon we are going to have the Madrid derby in the next week, Real Madrid against Atletico Madrid, and this won't be an easy game for Atletico Madrid at all, mostly because of the recent performance we saw against Lazio and Valencia in this season.
Diego Godín the former legendary palyer of Atletico Madrid was the target of many Atletico Madrid fans and they did not agree with what he said about the team. Diego Godín said Atletico Madrid is changing and they don't have good performance anymore.
The bets are not bad for this game winning the chance for both teams seems near.



On the one hand, I’m annoyed by such low chances of Real (probably because I’m rooting for them haha), on the other hand, I’m glad that Real seems to be undervalued and it’s profitable to bet here. One of the most important games of the season, Real needs to win since Barcelona will play Celta and gain 3 points, even a temporary loss of leadership (for example in case of a draw) will be very unpleasant.
2669  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: September 22, 2023, 05:55:20 PM
With money spent to buy star players and pay they high salary, it has been changing the league to be more exciting and attractive with star players from Europe as well as television companies in European countries. Matches in the league become more exciting and have better quality as well as competitiveness.

Problems are they bought many old players who will not be able to play like 2 or 3 more years with good performances or longer. Will they spend big money again to buy other old star players again?

It's hard to maintain such spending to maintain the league quality and Saudi Arabian clubs hardly to succeed if they want to buy young star players from Europe. I don't imagine this will happen soon before the league quality becomes much better. At a quality level which can help young star players from Europe can play in Saudi Professional League but still be called for their international duties. That time has yet come and the sustainable growth of the league is still very slim.

I wonder how you determined that the league's sustainable growth is very slim? I think if we talk about the quality of the game, it is obviously higher than what it was before the arrival of Ronaldo and the subsequent wave of transfers. But in one or two seasons the League certainly cannot reach the level of the top leagues in Europe, and all the same, for those who watch mainly European games it will seem weak. I think we need to wait a couple of years when the generation of old stars leaves and their place (already prepared) is taken by young world-class players, then it will be possible to compare and if we don’t take the top 5 European Leagues, then I wouldn’t be surprised if the Saudi one is already at the top level.
2670  Local / Разное / Re: Как в рф вольготно крутить фиат? on: September 22, 2023, 05:48:07 PM
Щас,  смотрю, обмен на Бестчендж по направлению с  тезер ТРК-20 на Киви - рубли идёт с плюсом по курсу. При курсе Мосбиржи 97 рублей за доллар за тезер дают аж 100 Киви-рублей рублей - на 3 рубля больше. А совсем недавно и 104 рубля видел. При том пишут, что Киви функционально ограничена. Я последние месяца 2 картой Киви уже не пользовался... Подскажите, какой функционал у карты остался и почему обмен тезера на Киви идёт с плюсом?

А что вообще ожидается по Киви, не знаете? Какое будущее?

Странный вопрос для рфии, тут довольно сложно прогнозировать, но выше я уже писал - о выполнении регуляторных требований Киви отчитались, в пул компаний платящих повышенные налоги вошли так что может все хорошо будет.

Кстати, вот там кто-то недоволен комиссией 3% на пополнение счета мобильного, а ведь со счета мобильника можно деньги и на карты банковские скидывать (если ничего не поменялось то почти у всех операторов так), так что даже сейчас функционал у Киви почти такой же как был и раньше.
2671  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2023/24 | Qualifiers on: September 22, 2023, 05:43:14 PM
So let me put this in perspective for some people. Manchester United lost against Brighton 3-1. And then Brighton lost against Athens (some people might not even know that this is a name of a club, to be honest) 3-2. First of all that's how bad Manchester United is right now.

But anyway, let’s talk about that Europa League for now. In this match, the defense of Brighton was really bad. Remember that Athens did not have too many chances in this match. But whenever they were able to go to the final third of the opponent they were able to pose some serious threat. They had only 24% of possession. And they were able to win the match with that. Honestly, congratulations to them.

If we continue this reasoning (United played 3-4 with Bayern), we can assume that AEK = Bayern?  Wink
It seems to me that Brighton does not attach much importance to the Europa League because they are doing well in the Premier League and need to concentrate on the main competition. Plus, of course, underestimating the opponent played a role. Now their prospects have worsened significantly, taking into account fairly strong rivals in the form of Ajax and Marseille.
2672  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: September 22, 2023, 05:36:44 PM
This is an important clarification, thank you! 10 default picks for the entire season?
So if the majority agrees with your choice, do you make this bet or, on the contrary, the opposite? In my opinion, if the majority chooses some outcome, then there is a high probability that the cash flow has already indecently reduced the odds for this outcome, so it is worth making the opposite choice.
Not exactly, I just use them as data input. For instance I like both to score on a game where odds are quite high for that market, maybe around 2. And I am not sure if I am viewing the game wrong or bookies.

Then I lock my pick and check what others picked. If everyone went for results like 2:1 or 1:2 or scoring draws, it is perfect confirmation of my decision and I place the bet. If I see a few of 0:0 picks I either drop the game or maybe lower the stake. All depends on who is making the picks as well as well a bunch of other parameters, like how certain I was in outcome to begin with.

I didn’t think about this option (although I remember that you are a BTTS specialist). In this case, the opinion of other betters can really be the basis for checking your conclusions, I agree.

Although my prediction goes wrong most of the time on football matches, but it went average on both Superbru and odds-based pool in the first round. The only mistake I made by picking Benfica on my parlay bet on a sportsbook. Didn't expect that Benfica would lose against Salzburg.


~

Good multi bet. It’s a pity that Benfica’s red card in the early minutes left no chance. Well, to be fair, Bellingham's winning goal in the 95th minute was a real salvation for everyone who bet on Real Madrid. As for PSG, despite their failures in Ligue 1, the coefficient was very generous, apparently taking into account the strength of the other opponents, it will remain in this area throughout the group stage games.
2673  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC Fight Night 228 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday) on: September 22, 2023, 05:28:23 PM
11. Rafael Fiziev
10. Bryce Mitchell
9. Marina Rodriguez
8. Bryan Battle
7. Ricardo Ramos
6. Dan Argueta
5. Tim Means
4. Jacob Malkoun
3. Mohammed Usman
2. Mizuki Inoue
1. Montserrat Rendon

NOT go the Full Distance 5
2674  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: September 21, 2023, 07:43:56 PM
Today Neymar played his 3rd match with Al-Hilal the results are the same without any significant contribution and what is more surprising Al-Hilal failed to get 3 points today, they only drew 1-1 against Damac, even though Damac is not a strong team, they are at the bottom of the standings lol. The battle for the title is increasingly open with 6 other clubs only 2-4 points difference from competitors. In the next hour, Al-Ittihad will play their 7th match then they will take over the standings with a total of 18 points then tomorrow's big match between Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli one of them will lose a point or only get 1 point.

Everything is very simple:

After Neymar played for the national team, he went to Spain where he was photographed in night club surrounded by girls. Despite the fact that his girlfriend (as I understand it, there was no official marriage, but he has her) is pregnant. Neymar is a piece of unprofessional crap, he doesn't care about football, it looks like he will degrade with increased speed in the Saudi League. As always, he is only interested in parties and entertainment.

For Neymar, football is definitely not a priority (and apparently never was even when he played in Europe).
In three games with obviously weaker teams where Neymar took part, Al-Hilal was able to win only one  Grin It can be assumed that in games with stronger clubs things will go even worse. I wonder if Al-Hilal will have enough strength to carry Neymar and not suffer too much in terms of results? If not, they will either have to keep him on the bench (which will be very strange considering his salary) or accept the fact that they will have -1 player on the field. I am sure that they will not be able to force Neymar to play and be disciplined.
2675  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: September 21, 2023, 04:27:49 PM
Sad news for Atlético. It seems to me that this will be a continuation of the stagnation that has been going on in the club for several years. I doubt that Atlético will win the title again “using the old textbooks” or reach the Champions League final as they once did.
The club owners are not very interested in the performance of the club. They are more interested in profit maximization. As of 2021, it was reported that Diego Simeone is the coach who has generated more revenue than any other coach in the world. It was estimated that he has generated up to €1billion from sales and transfers of players for Atletico Madrid. I think Simeone should leave the cub because he is now experiencing the principle of diminishing returns. But the problem will be who to replace him since quality coaches are rare. Simone is a good coach, he might be able to win trophies if he leaves Atletico maybe to England.

I don’t think that Simeone’s merit in Atlético’s transfer successes is so great - rather, it is the merit of scouts and management. Simeone’s model itself does not imply that the player “blooms” in it; on the contrary, everyone turns into gray cogs. By the way, Simeone has held the position of the highest paid coach for many years in a row (since 2019) - he receives 3.3 million a month. It's funny that the coach gets paid more than many players.
2676  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: September 21, 2023, 04:19:41 PM
Neymar has played two matches with Al Hilal. Where he still hasn't shown his quality as a goal-hungry striker because in those two matches Neymar was only able to provide 1 assist. I think fans are exaggerating if they immediately expect Neymar to score lots of goals for them in his debut match. Of course he needs time to adapt his playing style to that of his teammates. Moreover, his teammates are not yet able to read the direction of Neymar's movements, so it will be difficult for Neymar in his debut match with Al Hilal.

However, with the quality he has, I am sure Neymar will be able to make a lot of contributions to Al Hilal's front line this season. So far, the top European players who have joined the Saudi Arabian league team have needed time to adapt because everything seems to have changed 100 percent for them in their style of play or in the tactics used by their coaches.

After Neymar played for the national team, he went to Spain where he was photographed in night club surrounded by girls. Despite the fact that his girlfriend (as I understand it, there was no official marriage, but he has her) is pregnant. Neymar is a piece of unprofessional crap, he doesn't care about football, it looks like he will degrade with increased speed in the Saudi League. As always, he is only interested in parties and entertainment.
2677  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: September 21, 2023, 03:14:36 PM
For the first time since 89 (if I remember correctly the news I read this morning), United lost three games in a row, conceding more than 2+ goals in each. Obviously they are playing poorly and the goalkeeper is not even close to De Gea's level yet.
As for Bayern, what irritates me is how easily they concede goals when they are leading, this lasted all of last season and so far there has been no improvement. Yesterday Bayern had a margin of safety and they should have scored more goals. A close score should not mislead anyone.
Looking at what Manchester United did in this match, I'm honestly skeptical about them in the Champions League. Even the few goals they scored were not free from mistakes made by Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich also did the same thing, but I see them more than Manchester United. I think Manchester United's journey will not be long if they continue to play like this. I won't rule them out, but they have to improve their performance, whether it's in attack or defense, including their new goalkeeper who still makes a lot of mistakes, even though he can make some saves.
~

From your words it follows that United seems to have the best chances in the Premier League (in my opinion, no). Considering that in addition to Bayern, the group also includes Galatasaray and Copenhagen, it is difficult to imagine that United will not qualify. But it is obvious that they will not take a place higher than Bayern, which means that in the 1/8 finals they will play with the team that will win their group and this may be a very strong team. United can count only on a lucky draw.
2678  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: September 21, 2023, 01:13:26 PM
Yes, Superbru itself locks your forecast as soon as the game starts. I almost never press Lock and all my predictions work. By the way, I see that you received a point for Napoli’s victory - you see, even without making a prediction, you received a certain number of points since Superbru counts the unmade prediction as the pick of a favorite.
But in any case, it is better to make predictions in advance and not press Lock - if you change your mind, you can change them, and if you forget, at least your deliberate picks will remain.
You have 10 default picks and if tokeweed did not put in result for any game yesterday, that means 2 left.

No need to lock your picks ever, unless you want to check what others chose before the deadline. When you lock it you can check those results and maybe use it for betting. Like I am doing sometimes to check if my choosen outcome is the one most people in the pool agree with.

This is an important clarification, thank you! 10 default picks for the entire season?
So if the majority agrees with your choice, do you make this bet or, on the contrary, the opposite? In my opinion, if the majority chooses some outcome, then there is a high probability that the cash flow has already indecently reduced the odds for this outcome, so it is worth making the opposite choice.
2679  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: September 21, 2023, 01:09:10 PM
African countries are very weak economically and very little money is spent on football in African countries. As African countries, several teams including Senegal, Morocco and Nigeria qualified for the World Cup and they performed fairly well in the World Cup tournament, but the 2022 World Cup has been different. Apart from Brazil, Argentina, France, Germany, Spain, Croatia, we never imagined that Morocco could play in the semi-finals. Morocco had prepared well ahead of the World Cup so they expected good things but it was probably beyond the expectations of the players that they would do so well. Morocco, who qualified in the semi-finals of the last World Cup, is now quite strong in football. Morocco will perform well again in the upcoming World Cup if they qualify for the World Cup.

At almost any competition, someone from the crowd of outsiders achieves success, simply due to the mass participation. Taking into account the fact that there will be even more outsiders at the 2026 World Cup, I am sure that again some team that was assessed as weak will go quite far. But it’s far from a fact that it will be Morocco. By the way, first they need to qualify, despite the fact that Africa has increased the number of its representatives, this can be a problem.
2680  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: September 21, 2023, 12:47:50 PM
I forgot to make my picks for the second round of the midweek fixtures.  :/  I wanted to do it last minute before the matches start but got a bit busy irl.  If I make my picks and not lock them, does Superbru take those picks and locks by itself?  I prolly might start doing that.  Kicking myself right now.

Edit:  Looking at the scores and thinking what I would've predicted, I don't think it would've made a huge difference.  Lolol. 

Yes, Superbru itself locks your forecast as soon as the game starts. I almost never press Lock and all my predictions work. By the way, I see that you received a point for Napoli’s victory - you see, even without making a prediction, you received a certain number of points since Superbru counts the unmade prediction as the pick of a favorite.
But in any case, it is better to make predictions in advance and not press Lock - if you change your mind, you can change them, and if you forget, at least your deliberate picks will remain.
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