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561  Economy / Economics / Re: Lyth0s' Economic Troubles Thread on: February 06, 2015, 04:47:19 AM
News 2/5/15

It Will Now Cost You 0.75% To Save Money In Denmark: Danish Central Bank Cuts Rates For FOURTH Time In Three Weeks

Quote
It has become a weekly thing now. In its desperation to preserve the EURDKK peg, the Danish central banks has cut rates into negative, then cut them again, then again last week, and moments ago, just cut its deposit rate to negative one more time, pushing NIRP from -0.5% to -0.75%, its fourth "surprise" rate cut in the past 3 weeks!


--I imagine that Denmark will soon also have to unpeg themselves from the Euro and more countries will soon follow. You cant simply start printing 60 billion Euro a month for 2 years and just hope that other countries "buy" your inflation from you.....unless your currently the world reserve currency such as the USD, but who knows for much longer that will last. Also with the USD and Euro falling on hard times that gives the BRIC's (Brazil, russia, india, china and south africa's soon-to-be version of the IMF) to potentially come in and make some major changes.

Greece and Germany can’t even agree to disagree

Quote
...Schaeuble stressing that bailout promises must be kept if Greece is not to lose international trust and confidence and, lastly, Varoufakis pointing out that Greece will never recover under the weight of its current debt load.

Greece and its European partners — including Germany — have to come to an agreement before the current bailout program ends on Feb. 28 or Greece is at risk of running out of money. However, during Thursday’s press conference Varoufakis stepped up his push for a bridge loan to buy time for negotiations with the country’s creditors.

--Time is ticking before Greece could default. Germany ~= ECB and neither wants to really work on keeping Greece from defaulting. I really wonder what Greece will end up doing under these circumstances...

Very weird: Corporate bond rates go negative
Quote
In an unprecedented event, the yield on Nestle's corporate debt went negative this week.

That means investors are essentially willing to pay for the right to park their cash in the safety of the Swiss chocolate company. The bonds might as well come with a note saying: "In Nestle we trust."

"You're looking at something that's never happened before. It's a brand-new phenomenon," said Richard Salditt, a credit analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. "Strange things are going on in financial markets."
--Just found this. Even companies that are being considered as "safe havens" for money have a negative yield rate! WTH is going on in our financial world today. Tongue


That's all I have for today. Maybe tomorrow will be more interesting.
562  Economy / Economics / Re: Lyth0s' Economic Troubles Thread on: February 06, 2015, 04:11:14 AM
thanks lythos! very interesting and I find your comments insightful.

Thank you stonerider, I appreciate the feedback Smiley
563  Economy / Economics / Re: Lyth0s' Economic Troubles Thread on: February 06, 2015, 04:10:38 AM
Not sure if OP is looking to moderate this thread, but I'll add this to the stack of news today

Denmark rates go negative on 4th cut in 3 weeks

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-05/it-will-now-cost-you-075-save-money-denmark-danish-central-bank-cuts-rates-fourth-ti

I kept the thread open to moderation in case discussion gets too off hand or if I get flooded with personal insults etc.

Great article find. I will add it to my list today Smiley
564  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Trading Simulator] A fun & free Speculation Game - ACTIVITY CHECK until 02/07 on: February 05, 2015, 03:09:23 PM
Ha, nice. It seems that I'm assumed by default to be an 'active' bagholder Cheesy

Or maybe my occasional off-topic rants in here help.

I would be offended to not be considered an active bagholder Smiley
565  Economy / Economics / Re: Lyth0s' Economic Troubles Thread on: February 05, 2015, 03:24:29 AM
2/4/15 News


Volatility in currencies nears highest level in two decades
Quote
Only after the Asian financial crisis in 1997 and the days following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, have currencies been more volatile, said Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategist David Woo


--Currency volatility is increasing without any graphical evidence of a return to stability.

U.S. stocks end lower as ECB reject Greek bonds as collateral

Quote
Just when U.S. stocks were rebounding, late-day news that the European Central Bank is rejecting Greek bonds as collateral sent stocks south, with the S&P 500 finishing lower on Wednesday.

After a four-day rally, which sent oil price up more than 20% oil prices fell sharply Wednesday, with March WTI crude CLH5, +0.87%  dropping nearly 9% to settle at $48.45 a barrel.
As a side note...looks like bitcoin volatility is almost lower than oil volatility

ECB blocks banks from using Greek debt as collateral
Quote
The European Central Bank said Wednesday it would suspend a waiver it had extended to Greek public securities used as collateral by the country’s financial institutions for central bank loans.
--Greece has less than 3 billion euro in reserve for government expenditures. Now without being able to raise additional funds through selling of there junk bonds (high chance of being unable to pay them back) they will have to borrow from the ECB's emergency lending program at higher interest rates which leads to even more debt. At this point if Greece was unable to find additional money to fuel their expenses their government will become bankrupt within the next 4 weeks (but creditors are almost always more willing to take restructurings to at least get some of their money back)


Euro/USD is slipping: https://www.google.com/finance?q=EURUSD&ei=_2TQVNnWH4uNrQGCpoHQBA will we reach parity this year?
566  Economy / Economics / Re: Lyth0s' Economic Troubles Thread on: February 03, 2015, 05:57:29 AM
2/2/15 News

Australia cuts rates after long calm; Aussie dollar dives
Quote
After almost a year and a half of holding its policy interest rate unchanged, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut by a quarter percentage point Tuesday, citing weak inflation and a stronger-than-desired currency. The move put the cash rate at a historic low of 2.25%. With the interbank market having priced in a 60% chance of a cut, according to Reuters, the Australian dollar fell sharply on the news, dropping to 76.72 U.S. cents from 78 U.S. cents just before the announcement. Stocks rose, meanwhile, with the S&P/ASX 200  up 1.1%, extending its pre-decision gain of 0.3%. In comments accompanying the move, RBA Gov. Glenn Stevens said that the consumer price index "recorded the lowest increase for several years in 2014," and " it appears likely that inflation will remain consistent with the target over the next one to two years," given weak growth in labor costs. Meanwhile, Stevens repeated the RBA view that the Australian dollar remained "above most estimates of its fundamental value, particularly given the significant declines in key commodity prices."
--I expect them to begin QE within the next 2-3 years


China debt party nears the end of road  
Quote
As China enters its third year of slowing growth, there is growing concern the debt reckoning cannot be kicked down the road any longer, and the days of almost unlimited risk-free credit are coming to a close, writes Craig Stephen.
--China is much more fragile than most people think


Demand for residential mortgages continues to soften
Quote
Demand for residential loans continued to weaken, despite the fact that banks have made it easier to get a mortgage, according to a survey released by the Federal Reserve Monday. “Weakening demand for residential loans...is broadly consistent with the weakening in home sales activity in recent months,” said Millan Mulraine, deputy head for U.S. research at TD Securities.
--I believe we've been in another housing market bubble for the past 1-2 years, it may pop this year alongside the stock market. IF the fed does decide to increase interest rates this year I would then expect housing prices to drop even further.


Euro Parity with Dollar by Year-End
Quote
A stronger-than-expected reaction to the European Central Bank’s asset-purchase program and increased risks of a crisis to the euro bloc have added to the pace of the common currency’s downward trajectory, says Barclays’ currency research group in a note to clients.

The bank predicts the euro will weaken to $1.08 by the end of June, and to $1.05 by the end of September. But Barclays anticipates that by the end of the year the euro will be trading at a 1-to-1 ratio with the dollar for the first time since 2002, the year it entered circulation as a physical currency. That forecast is down from Barclays’ earlier prediction that the euro would trade at $1.07 by the end of 2015
--But aiming for 2% inflation is good! Right?
567  Economy / Economics / Lyth0s' Economic Troubles Thread on: February 03, 2015, 05:55:25 AM
I'll try to keep this thread updated with the latest important economic troubles of the fiat world with small commentary and how it relates to bitcoin when appropriate.
568  Economy / Collectibles / Re: Limited Edition Maxcoin aluminium Wallets , with your name engraved on backside on: February 01, 2015, 06:51:14 AM
Is the QR code engraved as well or is it a print on?

569  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Trading Simulator] A fun & free Speculation Game - 61 participants on: February 01, 2015, 05:29:20 AM
Just checking in.

Lyth0s = 6th largest bitcoin holder.
570  Economy / Economics / Re: A huge storm is coming on: January 31, 2015, 11:47:02 PM
QE 4, 5, 6, 7 will arrive in some months/years.

My personal opinion is that the USD will never see the end of a QE 5.
571  Economy / Collectibles / Re: 2015 Kialara Labyrinth: Production Update on: January 26, 2015, 10:11:35 AM
I was disappointed to see you sell the first 100+ coins on ebay instead of for bitcoins as usual. I bought a 2014 coin, not quite sure if I will be purchasing a 2015 coin though.

Amazing works of art, but selling them for bitcoins (even if you use a payment process to turn it into fiat) just makes more sense to me.
572  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 08:15:28 AM
http://cryptocoineconomics.com/ up up up gentlemen.
573  Economy / Economics / Re: How can I make my BTC work instead of HODLing them? on: January 24, 2015, 07:21:42 AM
"Investing" your bitcoin is likely to lead to scams and losses. Just hold, that is your safest bet. If your up for risk check out okcoins futures market and learn how to trade before putting any future orders in.
574  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2015-01-17] Video: Mike Maloney bullish on Bitcoin on: January 20, 2015, 07:11:37 AM
great, great find. Thank you.
575  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Spread the Word, Spread the Coin on: January 20, 2015, 06:36:23 AM
Great job:)

Id recommend getting them to use Changetip, sending tips to friends for fun over twitter or youtube.

also if they like games, they can get the latest bundle (changes weekly) for $3 - or less if they want:
humblebundle.com

also dont forget they can search http://coinmap.org/ to see whats near by, or check this article: http://www.coindesk.com/information/what-can-you-buy-with-bitcoins/



HumbleBundle is a great idea!

And over the past 2 days I've gotten 6 new people into checking out bitcoin using changetip's service which is now on facebook as well Cheesy

Times are changing my friends.
576  Other / Off-topic / Re: CryptoCrypt - Invitation on: January 20, 2015, 06:34:22 AM
I saw gweedo is one of the mods there. Try asking him for invites.

Excellent thanks for that advice.

To everyone else, it's where some of the true bitcoin believers (cultist or w/e other word you'd like to use) are hanging out without all the forum trolls that now flood this place.
577  Other / Off-topic / CryptoCrypt - Invitation on: January 19, 2015, 07:05:11 AM
Hello, I've been on the freenode for cryptocrypt and can't seem to find anyone on it. If you are already a member of cryptocrypt.org can you please either send me an invitation code or get a site admin or goat to hook me up with an invitation code?

Thanks for your help!
578  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Trading Simulator] A fun and free Speculation Game [59 participants] on: January 19, 2015, 03:53:21 AM
Buy @ $213.00 with $85.76, Total = 0.40263BTC

I am now the 5th largest bitcoin holder Cheesy
579  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Trading Simulator] A fun and free Speculation Game [59 participants] on: January 19, 2015, 03:52:10 AM
Buy @ $213.00 with $85.76, Total = 0.40263BTC
580  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 09:26:00 AM
cant believe that there are still fools around willing to pay more than 200 usd for a bitcoin. Huh

You mean "fools that buy when the price is low"? Or do you believe that some fundamental aspect of bitcoin has become worse and thus the price of $200/coin is somehow now too high?

I assume you are one of the guys that "buy high" during mania's and "sell low" as it drops? If so, I thank you, for without people like you my now daily coin purchases would cost me much more Cheesy
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