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721  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2021, 10:55:32 AM
Format is too small
Also bought fabric cleaner
No fit in haiku
722  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2021, 10:47:16 AM

Biltema dinner
Meatballs with mashed potatoes
And rust remover




My belated Sunday haiku.
723  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 09, 2021, 10:49:52 AM
. Being your own bank is tough shit.
Once again the Digital gold is like the physical gold.
I have a few grams of gold on my body, I could be forced to give them to someone against my will, but it’s a bearable risk.
I have a few more grams in my house, hidden on a safebox hidden somewhere.
I also own a few gold pounds. Those are in a safe box at the bank. Protected with a meter-thick 5 layers safebox all surrounded by water.

I can’t understand how this approach isn’t followed for common people and ppl tend to store huge money on a mobile phone, or in a random wallet on their computers.
There are professional for the custody (want a name? checksig.io).
This doesn’t make a lesser bitcoiner if you give your coins to someone that knows how to store them (definitely, not an exchange).


That's the important point here, People in general don't want to, and some can't, do all the hard work that is involved in being your own bank, that's one of the reasons we have banks in the first place.
That's also the reason banks won't go away, they will simply do with peoples btc what they are now doing with peoples cash. There will be some more years of resistance of course, especially in western countries with well functioning fiat currencies, but it's just a matter of time.

And that is also a future attack vector for governments. They can outlaw being your own bank and force everybody to route their btc through the legacy system and thus get the same amount of control of your btc that they now have of your cash.

Edited.
724  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 09, 2021, 10:42:50 AM
There are people in a better position to argue about software hacks or scams.

I got involved in two cases this week alone, basically from friends of friends whom's - the lack of knowledge combined with stupidity - led them to lose their funds.

1) Used his phone to create an account - without enabling 2FA - then bought BTC.
He then logged on to his account from his WINDOWS 7 laptop, only to get hacked and have his funds stolen within the hour.
(if he had pressed on the email link, he would probably have been saved)

Hear that Arrie? Windows fucking seven.

2) Invested funds that went X10 the last 10 months - in an “investment firm” somewhere in the UK.
Now the bitch that has been talking to him 3-4 times a day for the last year (and is very polite as I’ve been told), wants him to add more funds (1/10) so that he can withdraw his profits.
Absolutely a scam from end-to-end.

3) Another friend called me and told me that he finally decided to invest:
- Oh great, where?
- Binance.
- Ouch, did you buy BTC?
- No, I bought shitcoin1, shitcoin2, shitcoin3 and shitcoin4.
- For crying out loud!



I’ll say it again - stupidity seems to be the rule here.
Greedy noobs, beware ffs, and DYOR.

I haven't had any btc on my computer since 2014. My Binance account has 2FA and the rest is stored in non custodial addresses/wallets thank you very much.
I still trust a version of windows where I myself decide what, when and if I downlod a "upgrade" over a version with forced "upgrades".
725  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 08, 2021, 11:26:50 AM


Many WO merits for this.
726  Economy / Collectibles / Re: FREE RAFFLE- MyBitcoinMint Silver round on: October 06, 2021, 04:45:19 PM
53 - Arriemoller

Thank you!
727  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2021, 09:04:11 PM
For the lolz in about a decade when I am re-reading this comment; bitcorn just re-crossed 50k and is mooning. My guess for price in 2031 is... 750k.

That's awfully conservative.
728  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 05, 2021, 11:12:54 AM
I read everywhere that Facebook is down, but I just logged in to my account and it works fine.
729  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 08:12:17 AM
Another Sunday
Feeling some melancholy
Don't really know why
730  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 07:56:45 AM
Greta is a little girl that had a school project about climate change and she got some attention so she went with it.

Her life has been hijacked by exploiting adults in the same way that Macaulay Culkin, Michael Jackson, Miley Cirus had their childhoods stolen from them for some big publicity moves by their parents. Not to say they didn't want it but parents should protect their kids from such fame at such a young age.

Now she's talking about all the world needs now is friends. This is a plea from child Greta saying she wants a normal life with regular friends and all the things she was sheltered from. I do not doubt that she will end up like Miley Cirus when she wants to have sex and goes to the extreme ala Madonna to go to the extreme on that as well.

She's a mentally challenged little girl that should not be carted around to international meetings with people asking her opinion on things she does not have the extensive background in other than parrotting the talking points she's being given.

Her speech at the UN should have been the end of it, go to college and grow up and maybe take up the lucrative climate change career afterwards.

I have no hostility for her, just feel bad for her.

She could also be doing all this because she want a future and not global warming, just a thought. Sometimes the simplest explanation is the correct one.

She is being promoted by a PR firm making millions on her fame, that they made. She herself is just a pawn in their money making scheme.
It's not a well hidden secret either, there are lots of articles on the internet about the back story, I also wrote a post about it some years back.
731  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 07:45:42 AM


This is all wrong.
What kind of a sound system are they setting up?
I cringe hearing the resulting midrangey mess with my mind's ear.
These people definitely can't party.


Military? I was assuming it was some kind of proximity deterrent system.

DIY  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7UZHEHhdek
732  Other / Off-topic / Re: Request for Donations to Provide Funding for Biliary Atresia Surgery for Infant on: October 03, 2021, 07:25:21 AM
Bumping, and also, Infofront, could you please give us the total amount raised i pesos, it's a pain having to convert the euros to pesos and adding it all up to see the total.
It's kind of cluttered there in the beginning.
733  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: October 02, 2021, 11:53:13 AM
"A group of German celebrities have started the campaign "alles auf den tisch", which literally means "everything on the table". It's a reaction to the shocking lack of indepence and critical oversight that has been exhibited by journalists ever since the pandemic began. The purpose of the campaign is to break through the blinkered media narrative that exists in relation to covid, and allow a wider range of thoughts and opinions to get out.

In order to accomplish this, the celebrities have interviewed a large number of doctors and scientists who have thus far been sidelined by the mainstream media, and put the interviews up on their site allesaufdentisch.tv. The campaign appears to have been pretty effective so far, since the site crashed on launch due to the massive amount of traffic it was getting. Luckily it's up and running again now. As a part of the campaign, I was interviewed by violinist Linus Roth. We talked about happenings in Sweden, the covid death rate, and lockdowns. The interview is short but sweet, only around twenty minutes long. You can watch it here."

https://sebastianrushworth.com/2021/10/02/covid-everything-on-the-table/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tV1cVmA34tA&t=105s
734  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2021, 09:47:32 AM
Odds on serveria & Cryptotourist docking once we break the ATH?
I swear all this bad blood is only because of the mini bearish market we’ve been in for 4-5 months.

Go on, urban dictionary search docking, I dare you:D



And while you are at it, search Swedish cigar.

Girls only? Laaaaame  Cheesy

Isn't Homer Canadian?

Most likely you're right. mea culpa.

Well, Swedish cheese should apply to males as well.  https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=swedish%20cheese
735  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2021, 09:41:00 AM
Part of me is fucking concerned if I’m honest.

My gut is telling me S2F falls apart soon. In shambles and an afterthought by March 2022.

Hope I'm wrong, but I think we should expect a slower rise than some are anticipating.

seconded.
But by all means, i don't follow the "fool of the bulls" argument from Torque. Bulls know how capitulation looks like, wait for it then and get in (around the infamous "mindrust point").

Even though I can recognize some value in a buying a dip approach, many of us need to be careful with any such approach that is going to hold large quantities of our fiat waiting for dips that do not end up happening.

Of course, we are going to feel smart as fuck if we end up buying upon a mindrust kind of moment.. but those kinds of moments are definitely difficult to identify and/or prepare for.

I am not really writing my response for you OOM, but instead about your seemingly misleading comment in regards to your rendition of your buying on the dip intentions/practices.

Let's say that anyone who has already accumulated a decent bitcoin stash, but that same person is trying to time some of the BIGGER BTC price swings in order to get some additional profits from what is a somewhat inevitability in bitcoin, which is decently high volatility.  So, a kind of presumption is that person is already pretty well prepared for UP, they just want to supplement their BTC stash with some additional BTC from the quite likely inevitable BTC price dips.  My suggestion would still be to figure out some kind of a formula that attempts to anticipate the most extreme that we might expect any dip to be able to go, and to stagger buys at various points on the way down, and surely still hopefully being able to take advantage of the most extreme aspects of the extremes... if those extremes were to end up happening.  

One possible measurement would be to use weekly moving averages, and I consider the 208-week moving average (currently $16,000-ish) to be the now current measure of extreme of BTC price lows for bear markets and the 104-week moving average (currently $24,000-ish) to be the now current measure of extreme BTC price lows for bull markets.  Accordingly, staggered buy (buy on dip) orders could be set to go down to something around those levels of extremes..

I hilighted the part my "seconded" was referring to. The slower than anticipated price rise.

Oh?  maybe I misinterpreted part of what you were saying, then?

Definitely. But it forced me being more precise, which is good.

Quote
Some WO's granny predicted 80k (we don't know if € or $, yet), and i feel this could also be the top in 2021,

If it is in the WO then it should be in dollars... because that is our trading pair reference in these here parts...

And surely $80k seems like a very small blow-off top, so it does not seem too likely.. at least in terms of the various credible BTC price prediction models that we have, currently.
The granny wasn't a WO, afair the WO wrote that he didn't ask about the currency and she only said 80k, as a fortune teller. (Did i forget to mention that?)
The WO in question must have been a europe based member then. Was it 600Watt? I don't even remember which of WO's are european, excluding el_dude, xhomerx10, fillippone, Arrie and gyrsur (where is he, btw?), along with some dudes sporting low quantity posts in WO.

Still, my memory seems to improve slowly over time.

Quote
while it absolutely says nothing about 2022, maybe in Q1 we can see double figures or three times as much before possible blowoff or consolidation.
All just SOMA.

I doubt that it is very meaningful to separate calendar year and talk separately about what might happen in 2022.. because for all intents and purposes, we are in the middle of a cycle and a bull run, so the ONLY real question remains when the bull run portion is over.. Is it already over?  Not sure yet, but seems like, not.


I agree.

Quote
As for moveing averages, i'd search for those that fit past cycles best.

The 104-week and the 208-week moving averages work, so I suppose it depends on what you are trying to achieve... I try NOT to give too many shits about the various happenings in the middle of a cycle.. but I am somewhat concerned about bottoms or potential bottoms.. so call that part of my bias and the reasons why I have recently been trying to employ the 104-week moving average and the 208-week moving average in terms of expressing some of my concerns.
I set them in cryptowat.ch and looks like they make good sense.

Quote
I don't care if i set most of my orders higher, just to avoid remaining, sitting on a bag of slowly decreasing fiat money.

Fair enough.. there is likely a balance in terms of how much fiat to hold... and peeps are going to come to differing conclusions regarding their comfort levels in those regards.
I violate that balance regularly, tho.
A bit risky, but then again, i can always sell some corn when in urge of needing fiat.
Most of the time the price went up, the tax-free holding time of 1y passed, so it's a net+
One time i think i sold at a loss, but i "gained" so much more with the bigger, held portion of the stash, and i was even able to buy back most at a lower price, all in 2018/2019.


Quote
Seven replies while i was typing... holy f... i'm slow  Roll Eyes

Yes.. you are a slow poe.. I must admit.

 Tongue Tongue

This is due to the fact i have to re-read basically every sentence if it makes sense, check for editing errors, repetition...
Hard work for a brain like mine, which is running on reserve in some parts. I used to be a perfectionist. You can scratch that with a condition like poor working memory.
Plus the time i have to consult an online dictionary for words i randomly can't translate myself. I could sit down and think, but this would take much more time and even more time because of secondary effects of taking too much time to build sentences.
We all know that little pause events, when we ask to ourselves "wait, what did i want to say/do?" - I experience this constantly. Misplacing tools all the time, when i do manual work is also something i had to get used to. With such condition, you really have to take care of self-esteem and watch out that you don't start to hate yourself.

Like so, when returning from the online dictionary:
What did i just write before? Let's check... Hmm, feels like i already wrote something like this in this reply, let's see...
Great, i didn't. So what was it all about? Gotta re-read the paragraph i'm replying to... Oh, yeah, that was it. That's what i was about to reply, let's continue.

It's between a couple of seconds and half a minute, where i can keep an idea which i was following, without repeating it to myself.
Short term memory is ok-ish, long-time memory is great, but the buffer and storage/retrieve routines in between don't work right.
The good part: Once something gets into my long term memory, it stays there. Question is if i can remember it at the time when i need it.

I remember everything before my little exhausting flu almost perfectly, though.
The self-repetition habit changes my mind though, it makes almost everything heard last stick for a while. For example, when i go shopping and they play some music in a store, as soon as i get out, the song is repeating in my mind, until it get's cancelled by the next input-stimulus. If it goes on for too long, it kinda burns itself in a little. My car stereo is turned off most time, because of that  Grin Man, do i love silence, btw  Smiley

EDIT: writing all this took me another 5 in-between replies, FYI. (less than 50 minutes) Which is not too bad, considering the word count.


Isn't Homer Canadian?
736  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2021, 09:26:37 AM
Odds on serveria & Cryptotourist docking once we break the ATH?
I swear all this bad blood is only because of the mini bearish market we’ve been in for 4-5 months.

Go on, urban dictionary search docking, I dare you:D



And while you are at it, search Swedish cigar.
737  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 30, 2021, 03:43:10 PM
Anybody like to share their thoughts on the current market, price action?

It looks weak AF to me. I mean, I think everything is OK & we should rally in Q4 but we really need to start moving up soon. Part of me is fucking concerned if I’m honest.

738  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 29, 2021, 02:37:54 PM


Sad day…. Lost one of my very best friends today, a dog and it’s unconditional love.

A day where I really learn what pain is.

I'm so sorry for your loss, that is so painful.
739  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: September 29, 2021, 02:32:08 PM

Ok, that was actually kind of funny.
740  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 29, 2021, 02:25:12 PM
Ignore Lists are like mute buttons. I prefer to see everything and use my scroll wheel.

I get this point in theory.

In practice, time is opportunity cost. I want to maximize my funtime here, and part of that involves curating my experience, much like I do with muting/blocking accounts on Twitter (where I fucked off to, during my absence here)

There are some people I will never agree with, and don't care to read their opinions/content, because it literally is a waste of my time, and a net-negative in my life, so I prefer to curate my experience to optimize time.

I agree with Bob, I have very few on my ignore list, but the ones I have are just time thieves as I see it.
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