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841  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Apple Approves Bitcoin Wallets on: June 02, 2014, 09:57:31 PM
Whether or not you like Apple, I think it is interesting to think of Bitcoin as the disruptive technology that it is and how much of a pain in the Azz it would have been for Apple to continue with this ban for a long time. I mean Bitcoin is getting larger and larger and yet "Not on the IPad or IPhone." That reaches a point of negative returns.

Disruption happens in ways that are hard to see coming. After all a Black Swan is likely to have Black Swan babies. The Protocol is out.
It is adopted because you have to adopt it. It saves you money and then in a few years it makes you obsolete.
And who knows the affect the technology has on Apple.

Disrupt Bitcoin, disrupt...

Its about sharing
842  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: June 02, 2014, 08:44:20 PM
What this all means is that their Titan project is at risk of being temporarily stopped or postponed while they try to settle grievances with sour customers and lawsuits.  Look at Hashfast and how quick they went down the tubes.  It was only 30-60 days for them to file for bankruptcy.  KNCminer is in a worse position than Hashfast.  They are doing the same thing.  Trying to compensate delays with increased hashrates, but what is worse is that KNCminer shipped used and defective equipment as brand new.  That puts them in a whole heap of trouble.

KNC was using their datacenter from December-onward. They amassed a mega pile of BTC, they did this for several reasons. One, was to provide refunds to customers on their 2014 projects, because they knew folks would demand refunds. This allows them to essentially return money to the consumer, without actually losing any money from their liquid assets. They also used the BTC to float other ventures, not on the books. And few know the full extent of their projects.

Regardless of any legal action pending against them, they are a step above the normal wealthy folk. They'll do well for themselves for the remainder of their life, because they know how to shift funds and operate a smart business.

Even if I'm wrong about their tapeout process--which is fine, nothing bad about being wrong--they're still well within their time frame of Q3 delivery, which is what I've stood by. Whether shipped in June or August.. or even December, the multiple petahashes are coming.

Re-focus back on AT, it's almost the close of the business day for them and there's still no response back to issues. And you know they're keeping an eye on this thread.

You bring up a point that I'm sure many are starting to see.
If you want to buy lots of coins but don't want to move the market, you have few choices:
You can buy them offline in dark pools. But word is that is getting harder.
You can make an arrangement with Bitpay or the like (I would think) and buy their coins as they come in.
Spend a crap load on miners and just mine them...
Huh
843  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Apple Approves Bitcoin Wallets on: June 02, 2014, 08:32:08 PM
This looks like it, maybe why we are once again going up after the big drop off.
This might really start things rolling.

http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-apps-in-the-app-store-2014-6

Quote
It looks like Apple has updated its app developer guidelines today to allow for Bitcoin apps.

The new clause under section 11.17, which was flagged by folks on Twitter like investor Bill Lee today https://twitter.com/westcoastbill/status/473555837982900226, reads:

Apps may facilitate transmission of approved virtual currencies provided that they do so in compliance with all state and federal laws for the territories in which the app functions.

That sounds like Bitcoin!
844  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: June 01, 2014, 03:58:49 PM
Judging by the comments here, it looks like KNC is going to be later to market than they stated with the Titans. In particular because they are already late with their Sha256 miners.
Nothing is set in stone and there are some smoke and mirrors going on.

I don't believe AT has answered the questions regarding CE and the power supplies? (They can just ship them separately though I believe.)

And the tension builds, seems like this "gamble" might pay off here though...

IAS

You know the Titans and the Neptunes are on completely different development cycles right? Your statement is based on a few posts, one by a person who doesn't know the difference between a super Jupiter and a Neptune and believes KNC are months behind their Neptune Q1/Q2 shipping date (Q2 ended yesterday in case you didn't know).  Yet you choose to ignore the huge amount of valid posts pointing out the enormous flaws in Alpha's development.

The KNC statement says they will announce FINAL TAPEOUT in a few weeks. Have Alpha announced FINAL TAPEOUT? No. They are still in tapeout. So what gives you the impression they are so far ahead?  They are still trying to stuff more chips in, re-designing the case, sourcing larger power supplies and have yet to get CE certification. On top of that they are going to use "risk lot" chips which brings reliability into question.  But yet you say this "gamble might pay off"?

I've got some great Syrian real estate if your interested. Huge development potential. In need of slight modernisation....... Tongue

Personally I have no idea when KNC are going to ship. Q3 would be great. I paid with mined LTC so I'm not wetting myself like some people on these forums. But I do know, with the reactionary, seat of the pants way Alpha operate. I'm glad I didn't go with them.

I don't know but assumed there was no mingling regarding the Titans and Neptunes with development cycles. But, I can't imagine KNC being this far behind with their Sha256 machines and then being on time with the Scrypt ASIC's. That would just smack the Sha256 customers in the face imo and they are recently on thin ice there. Not that KNC should hold back on the Scrypts, but my understanding with the tape out is that they are still a ways a way from getting the chips. I guess it depends on how one looks at their statement, but at face value, it looks like they are farther away.

I am no expert here, perhaps we need clarification on a final tape out. AT started their tape out a while ago and paid extra to have the chips in their hands quicker. They said they are on track. I can only take that for what it's worth. The things pointed out about AT are not ground breakers to me - the PS issue, larger case, etc. That can be worked out. The smaller unit was said to be expandable a while ago, so I had no questions about heat and air flow. Not sure about the larger unit though.

Just a crypto guy for now, so I'll pass on your real estate offer. Plus, I hear the neighborhood is not all that safe these days.

Its about sharing
845  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: June 01, 2014, 11:54:43 AM
Judging by the comments here, it looks like KNC is going to be later to market than they stated with the Titans. In particular because they are already late with their Sha256 miners.
Nothing is set in stone and there are some smoke and mirrors going on.

I don't believe AT has answered the questions regarding CE and the power supplies? (They can just ship them separately though I believe.)

And the tension builds, seems like this "gamble" might pay off here though...

IAS
846  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: May 31, 2014, 07:33:50 PM
I dont know if cancel or go on with the order... dunno

Have you looked at the litecoin mining calculators?
The 50Mh/s unit IF delivered in July should return a profit. Depends a bit on if LTC keeps crapping down on us.
I think the average result of the calculators was 3 point something LTC a day on the small unit.
Anyone do any calculations on the miners and LTC difficulty? I used a 3% rising difficulty, not sure if that is a good setting or not.


Did you do any side calculations to take into account the net effect of all AT gear hitting the network? I believe they originally had 2,500 machines selling in batch one--might be off a little on that number. Also bear in mind the other petahashes coming from other distributors in June/July.

Just off the hip, I would've used 20% difficulty hop. This is without looking at any data sheets.

And when KNC's stuff hits the market, the gloves will be off. They're coming out of tapeout on their first gen units, in fact they should already be working with the chips right now to reach their Q2/Q3 delivery projections (I'm personally thinking July/August). Not sure if you follow KNC, but their first gen gear will triple LTC global hashrate. And their 2nd and 3rd batch orders are processing.

I didn't do any further calculations, but I started the difficulty at 15000 instead of the current 8900 the calculator gave.
20% hop? Wow, but if KNC and the others deliver we are talking ASIC's and not GPU's. Guess that is believable.
What are some of the numbers you have run. Would be appreciated. Say for a late July delivery.
847  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: May 31, 2014, 05:04:03 PM
I dont know if cancel or go on with the order... dunno

Have you looked at the litecoin mining calculators?
The 50Mh/s unit IF delivered in July should return a profit. Depends a bit on if LTC keeps crapping down on us.
I think the average result of the calculators was 3 point something LTC a day on the small unit.
Anyone do any calculations on the miners and LTC difficulty? I used a 3% rising difficulty, not sure if that is a good setting or not.
848  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: May 30, 2014, 09:37:55 PM

The monetary base of USD/EUR etc wouldn't be able to cope with that - even if conversion is taking place at just 25% of BTCs (>1trn USD per year required).

Until a few months ago, QE program in US alone was buying 1trn a year in treasuries and mortgages.

Funny you should mention that. I just printed an article on that to show my students, especially the bankers.  Grin
Any idea on the level now?

This should almost be criminal. All that money just sitting in banks or going to stock buy backs and such?

Nice place to start.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-06/500-billion-2013-corporate-buybacks-half-qe
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304020704579276633464650694

ps - Argentina has an exchange. This is the start of another wave imo...
849  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 30, 2014, 07:37:10 PM
Just another artificial pump. All of you just need to pray that those few  who are actually controlling the whole BTC market will not dump it all in the next few weeks.



When the dollar finally has its crashing part, these times will look like cheap times.
Argentina just got an exchange. A shit storm is a brewin...

Most of btc's early adopters are truth and liberty seeking folks.
Give them more credit...
Lol, do you really believe in this freedom and liberty shit?
Bitcoins were created by some very smart people, who most probably are controlling it right now. Who is using bitcoins in real life? Nobody. It is just an artificial medium for  cash laundry, for selling some useless hardware (miners) for very high price.
Many drug  and paedophile dealers are really pleased to have something like bitcoin, so they can do their stuff totally undercover.
That is it. Any mentally  healthy  person would build his business on BTC, any smart person will invest money in BTC  because it is controlled by few people, and you never know what will happen tomorrow: will they pump it? Or maybe sell everything and wave you bye bye?

Listen to the early adopters, not a matter of belief as they aren't dumping, they are promoting.
Those really smart people couldn't write code all that well, so I strongly disagree with you there.
Are you even serious with your Who is using it comment? Probably, but I'll let you figure out how wrong you are on your own. Just google the stats and follow the trendline.
Cash is cash, if it wasn't used for illicit things, it would be pretty shitty. But, if you make one mistake, you are toast.
Live and learn, watch and be astounded. And bookmark this and come back in one year, let's see how things pan out.
850  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 30, 2014, 07:17:28 PM
Just another artificial pump. All of you just need to pray that those few  who are actually controlling the whole BTC market will not dump it all in the next few weeks.



When the dollar finally has its crashing part, these times will look like cheap times.
Argentina just got an exchange. A shit storm is a brewin...

Most of btc's early adopters are truth and liberty seeking folks.
Give them more credit...
851  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: May 30, 2014, 07:04:30 PM
As bitcoin begins to really ascend, what do you all see happening to the price of alts in bitcoin terms?
I see the prices in btc dropping a lot, but in $ rising. In a way this might be starting.

Imagine bitcoin a $6,000, i sust can't see alts keeping up there, and nor would all
Be worth it. I think we will see a falling out imo of many lesser alts. I think
This will be market driven through dumping the alts back into btc.

I thought that would be the case last year, but then somehow PPC, LTC and some others somehow rose in line with Bitcoin and increased their own USD valuations by massive amounts.

I see last year as a test that set precedent for the movements of the alts. Of course we cannot be certain this will always be the case.

Fair point and one I'm still pondering, hence my high priced example.
But on second thought, once btc is up that high, it will mean adoption is on another level.
What is probably fair to say though is what I already alluded to, we are going to have
more of a disparity in price between the different tierd layers of alts.
Will be interesting going back to these early "pizza posts"...
852  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: May 30, 2014, 06:12:43 PM
As bitcoin begins to really ascend, what do you all see happening to the price of alts in bitcoin terms?
I see the prices in btc dropping a lot, but in $ rising. In a way this might be starting.

Imagine bitcoin a $6,000, i sust can't see alts keeping up there, and nor would all
Be worth it. I think we will see a falling out imo of many lesser alts. I think
This will be market driven through dumping the alts back into btc.
853  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: May 30, 2014, 05:02:01 PM
I believe it is ridiculous to think that in 3 years bitcoin will be
-As big in market cap as the U.S. dollar.
-Fully intergrated with all merchants and all consumers
-Full integrated into wall street
-The currency of choice in the mainstream with all consumers clearly choosing bitcoin over fiat
-All employees salaries are paid in btc, all bills are paid in btc, you pay your rent and taxes in btc, etc.

This is the type of thing that the $1,000,000 mark would imply, and I think it would take a lot longer than 3 years. I think it would take it 10 years at least.

That would mean that the 'trendline' needs some serious adjustment - perhaps it is a different shape altogether than a simple exponential increase.

It depends on what variables you are looking at.
For example, USD is an important variable.
If it breaks down quicker from here, we will just see a shift of wealth.
Those places to shift to are limited.
If you look at fewer variables in the price discovery formula, then a high
Price of bitcoin doesn't fit that kind of linear thinking.
854  Other / Off-topic / Re: TrueCrypt NOT Secure (or) Truecrypt.org Hacked... on: May 30, 2014, 08:30:58 AM
from reddit:
Quote
They also removed the section in the license that required you to reference TrueCrypt if you branched or used it. Basically they are opening the door for a fork. The license change, the US comment change, the removal of hidden partitions, insecure errors that get thrown and telling users to use insecure software instead. They are screaming loudly to fork it due to an NSL.

Great, more government "intervention". Looks like 7.1a is going to be a torrent classic, with the hashes of course...
Once the developers start talking this is going to get a whole lot more interesting.
855  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: May 30, 2014, 08:27:36 AM
So far as I know, historically no mining ASIC maker has ever hit their planned energy efficiency targets.  Avalons first chips consumed about 150% of the planned amount, where BFLs consumed 450%.  I don't have numbers for Hashfast and Cointerra but I hear they had the same problem.

I would advise Alpha to prepare for similar results, and to plan accordingly when designing the PCBs.  Use extra copper to make fatter traces able to handle more amps, design in pad provisions to add more voltage regulators and power connectors if they turn out to be needed, etc.  The same goes for the cooling system.

I  wouldn't compare the first ASIC's to the current ones regarding efficiency. They have learned a lot from those that have come before them and made efficient steps along the way.
If you constantly look to the past for your answers to the future, you will end up back where you started. Bitcoin, if anything, is the antithesis of that.

I'm curious as there seems to be a lot of hate going on here.

How about posters post in their threads whether or not they even have an order? I have a feeling next to none of you (except for those that have already openly stated it) have orders with A.T.
So the larger question is, why is what AT does so interesting for you all? Are you playing the role of Robin Hood, or rather are you representing other ASIC companies or Huh

After all, its about sharing...
856  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: May 29, 2014, 10:02:16 PM

You can't remove chips, but I would imagine you can remove boards.
Your earlier complaint was rediculous, if you didn't realize it. You are essentially complaining about free hashing power.
Now, if you can't handle the added electricity, then fair enough. But I'm pretty sure these boards (not chips) just plug in.

 Wink

Your belive that you can expand the capacity by factor of 3 from already pumped-up case design is ridiculous. My concerns were about amount of heat generated not about juggling with chip boards. The only reasonable explanation is that they don't have the case yet but that cast a big shadow on July delivery. EU regulations concerning the PSUs is another issue.

It is not my belief. AT said a while ago that the smaller miner could be upped substantially. I forget the amount, but that info must be around. I forget where I read it though.

Adding more cards, if the design is good, would just involve more fans. AT needs to comment on this at some point.
857  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: May 29, 2014, 09:42:19 PM
Obviously the powerful or rich can spy on everybody's finances now, easily, pervasively, and routinely, no matter what we do.  So privacy as we have known it is effectively over

I think anonymous currency will eventually lead to the collapse or crippling of the state.  People will just hide their money and they'll be unable to finance the bureaucracy/control grid that gives them the power to do things like that.  So on one hand, the "global ledger" is a severe globalization and possible enslavement tool, but then anonymous currency counter balances that aspect, or possibly overruns it entirely.

Anonymous currency = Atlas Shrugged

I think the state is doing a great job of collapsing itself.
I think a bigger cause of the demise of the state, will be a blockchain backed decision making process, making the states secretive and corrupt nature finished. And with that the corruption, wars, etc.

Related will be what technologies like nxt and etherium will do to "business".

I'm not sure of the importance of an anonymous btc. Don't think we even need a separate anonymous currency, but I think regulators may lead to one.

The event horizon here, I think, is more than we can imagine....
858  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner on: May 29, 2014, 07:15:09 PM
Retro72 - great points, hope to find out.

What for? You can always use just 1/2 of the chips as you have stated before. Wink

You can't remove chips, but I would imagine you can remove boards.
Your earlier complaint was rediculous, if you didn't realize it. You are essentially complaining about free hashing power.
Now, if you can't handle the added electricity, then fair enough. But I'm pretty sure these boards (not chips) just plug in.

 Wink
859  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][MRO] Monero - Anonymous Currency Based on Ring Signatures on: May 29, 2014, 07:12:15 PM
So I've been buying up some MRO at the current low, and I've been watching it closely from its beginnings. The market is doing some unusual things, and I have a tentative analysis. I believe the buy pressure is not being adequately represented in its price movements. I suspect this is because of a combination of two factors:

1. A large proportions of the hash being from botnets (where the operators immediately dump), and
2. The relatively high emission rate.

This creates a disproportionate downward pressure on price that differs from other coins, and which appears to be consistently outstripping buy pressure, despite strong interest in the coin. This is not a good thing, and it may drive the price into the ground. Without the expectation that the price will go up, fundamentals don't matter a bit. Miners and investors will lose confidence and move on.

There is a solution to this: write a GPU miner. In its current form as a CPU only coin, if the MRO market doesn't ramp up buy pressure to consistently match/exceed the expected constant dumps from botnets, the coin will fail. And it's easier to scale up botnets than it is to scale up the ordinary userbase, so this disparity may worsen. Your average GPU miner is more likely to hold than your average botnet operator who's looking for immediate turnover and who doesn't care if the coin lives or dies. Perhaps equally importantly, a GPU miner would massively increase adoption among the community, which is another thing currently holding MRO back.

I know people here may be currently enjoying nice profits from CPU mining, and may not appreciate the suggestion of a GPU miner. Personally I'm more concerned about the longer term future of the coin, and I think Monero has a vital role to play within the anonymity niche. Its fundamentals are good and I'd like to see that reflected in its market performance. I'm willing to put a good chunk of MRO towards a bounty for an open source GPU miner if there's enough support for it.

Interesting observation and suggestions. Are GPU's not as easily bot net'd? I haven't heard of that problem on LTC, so wonder... I imagine many GPU miners are on Linux and also mining only rigs, so that might help lower the incidents of bots.

My one real fear with CPU coins is just what you mentioned btw.
860  Other / Off-topic / Re: WARNING: TrueCrypt is no longer secure! on: May 29, 2014, 05:51:34 PM
So, an industry standard (so to speak) encryption program, is suddenly no longer secure and that is all?
Is there a canary here? Looks like it...

Has to be.  It makes no sense otherwise.  If not, it seems they were forced to shut down by certain US agencies.

It looks like NSA is getting to the point where more and more people just flat out don't respect them and are willing to do whatever because their heart says so.

Further, they appear to be in a bit of a self inflicted Chinese finger trap, and easing up just lets us a bit more free. Lose lose for them and for us win win.  Grin
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