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Current amount of posts (Including this one): 3177
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(applying with the assumption that the Futuur campaign is ending)

Wealth and power go hand-in-hand, and always have. I'm not disputing that there are a lot of powerful people behind the scenes, people who are effectively unaccountable and who have huge influence over national and international policy.

Instead, I'm taking aim firstly at the idea that the same governments who demonstrate relentless and serial incompetence and lurch from crisis to crisis are somehow able to effectively manage an immense and secret global conspiracy, and then secondly at the idea that the people who already have all the wealth and power have anything to gain from such a sinister and clandestine endeavour.

You don't need vaccine microchips to control and mentally subjugate the population. Newspapers and TV channels do this perfectly well already.
You don't need to forcibly reduce global population when population growth is falling to near-zero anyway,

I'm not sure. Form is vitally important, particularly in the latter part of the season... and Fulham only have one defeat in their last 5 games. Newcastle are right in the mix for relegation... and even Southampton up in 14th could soon find themselves in trouble... they're in freefall at the moment and struggling to pick up anything. I know they're 8 points clear of Fulham with a game in hand... but if you're losing all of your games then that gap can close very quickly.

I'm unsure on this one. The weather is getting increasingly unpredictable as a result of climate change, but I wouldn't rule out another year of record-breaking high temperatures... it is certainly trending that way over the longer term.

I'm not worried, either... the faster it rises the faster it falls. A pullback was inevitable. Look at where we've come from: a couple of months ago we'd never even hit $30k before!
The only reason the price drop looks so extreme is because prices are higher this time around. Whenever we drop from an ATH it's the same. Look back at previous ATHs and examine the percentage drops. This is absolutely nothing to be worried about.

I generally try to rebut these assertions using facts and logic, but let's try a different angle.

Think about all the things that governments try to do quite openly, and consider how inept and incompetent they are, how prone to factionalism, infighting, money-grabbing and self-advancement, how the ostensible aim of any project is in fact a much lower priority than filling their wallets and massaging their egos, and how almost any new endeavour comes in late and over-budget, if it ever comes in at all. Consider how difficult it is for them to keep anything a secret, when there's always someone on the inside who is willing to leak the story to news outlets for a few $$$.

This all happens within countries, and when they are doing things openly. Now extend this by thinking about how national governments interact with one another, and how the factionalism and mistrust grows even more.

This is what the world is like. This is what people in power are like. You see it every day.


Now you ask us to believe that these governments are capable of working together, with what must be thousands of people, in secret, without fighting, without leaking the story, without anyone noticing, and on top of this actually achieving what they'd set out to do, which is... what? The whole purpose of the clandestine endeavour is to cement the power and wealth of those who already have all of the power and wealth? The aim is to get what they already have anyway? It doesn't make sense. And at this point you may as well throw in the 5G masts, the Illuminati, the cure-all-bleach-drinking, the secret labs, the chem trails, the vaccine mind-control and all the rest... because it doesn't make the underlying premise any more absurd than it already is.

Yes. Vettel is definitely over-rated. Perhaps he had more motivation when he was winning titles with Red Bull, or maybe he's just one of those drivers that can win from the front but crumbles when they face a challenge. But certainly his performances in the Ferrari have diminished his aura of being a world-class driver. It will be very interesting to see how he performs in the coming season.

Global warming doesn't mean that every part of the world will always be warmer than it was previously. It's an average. The most obvious manifestations are things such as summer heatwaves, droughts, flooding, yes... but also increased unpredictability as warming disrupts normal global weather patterns.

Think about the extreme cold and snow that has been battering Texas. Think about the warming of the Arctic and how this might affect air flow. The cold air is normally contained in the polar vortex around the north pole. Consider how warmer polar air might interact with the jet stream to create unprecedented cold weather further south.

Here's my latest bet. There has already been a lot of investigation into the versions circulating late in 2019, and nothing so far has shown as SARS CoV2. There are plenty of coronaviruses, including the common cold, and I'm (fairly) confident that given how rapidly and dramatically this one spreads, there won't be any traces found prior to that initial outbreak in China. Only betting in Ooms because I don't think the odds will swing much, and I don't want to lock up the bitcoin for that period of time.






Yes, it's a shame and I hope they come back with a new campaign. I have to say I'll definitely continue using the Futuur site once the campaign is over, I'm having a lot of fun

Yes, I know. It's depressing. They don't listen to 'normal' people, and I just hoped that they might listen a bit more to one of the richest and most successful people on the planet, who is ultra-high-profile, and especially given his very public prediction of the Covid pandemic.

The fundamental issue is that governments are short-termist and are reactive rather than proactive. They're generally elected for just a few years before the next election cycle, and so have no incentive to fix anything that will become a problem in the future, even if there's 100% chance that it will become a huge, overwhelming problem.

I was going to suggest NFTs, too... but it's a lot more of a digital thing, and the OP doesn't do digital. Having said that, if you are an artist and you're interested in crypto, then NFTs are definitely something to look into.

Basically if you just want to let people know that you accept bitcoin, then I think it's a simple two-step process:
1) Get yourself a bitcoin address. If your only aim is to accept bitcoin payments and then convert to 'normal money' rather than hold the bitcoin long-term, then setting up something like a Coinbase account might be sufficient.
2) However you advertise your art, just tell people that you also accept bitcoin. If they ask to pay in bitcoin, then tell them the price and give them your address. Or simpler than the address, the equivalent QR code.

No, it was mine. I can kind of understand it as a wall of numbers is a bit irritating. I was just trying to demonstrate how large N^1000 can be, and that possible doesn't mean easy.

But you still need to prove your assertion that P=NP. It's not up to other people to disprove an "I think". You can argue the case either way, certainly, I'm just not convinced that "I believe x. Prove me wrong" is a solid basis to start from.

Serena Williams hasn't got many chances left to win that elusive next grand slam. Wimbledon this year is probably her best chance, and second-best the US - the French seems less likely.
I think her main problem is that aura of invincibility is fading. People aren't scared of her any more, and that can make a huge difference.

And yes, as you predicted Osaka won the final fairly easily.

I don't need to prove you wrong, I agree with you. It was a simple demonstration to the OP that N^1000 is a big number even with N=2, and a counter-argument to his statement that "I don't think large polynomials are relevant."

Nothing merit-worthy really, and I wasn't seeking any. Bit confused by your reaction. Also a bit harsh to say it sucked; I thought it was a fair contribution to the discussion.

And I believe the onus of proof in this thread is on the OP. If none is forthcoming, then: OP < P vs NP.

Is the $1,000,000 millennium prize not sufficient incentive for proving your 'solution' to P vs NP? You'd also achieve worldwide fame and recognition as a genius, and if you're eligible then a Fields medal would seem likely, too.

Quite possibly. Institutional investment does seem to be the main driver of the current bull run. It may reach a point where people start to think it would be foolish not to have a small bitcoin position.
A 'small' allocation in percentage terms for a growing number of large institutions can have a significant impact on price.

Also 1 trillion to 2 trillion is of course not the same as zero to 1 trillion. If you look at bitcoin price history on a linear scale chart, you learn very little. If you view the data logarithmically, then clear patterns emerge.
Finally, bitcoin is not a company, so there's no sense saying it's "as big as Microsoft" or "as big as Amazon". If bitcoin is a currency, or if bitcoin is a store of value, then 2 trillion is not a problem.

The flip side of all this, of course, is that prices can also fall. Steady increases in general are good, sudden huge increases are much less sustainable.

For reference, 2^1000 is...

10,715,086,071,862,673,209,484,250,490,600,018,105,614,048,117,055,336,074,437,503,883,703,510,511,249,
361,224,931,983,788,156,958,581,275,946,729,175,531,468,251,871,452,856,923,140,435,984,577,574,698,574,
803,934,567,774,824,230,985,421,074,605,062,371,141,877,954,182,153,046,474,983,581,941,267,398,767,559,
165,543,946,077,062,914,571,196,477,686,542,167,660,429,831,652,624,386,837,205,668,069,376

And the estimated number of atoms in the observable universe is a mere 10^80, which is a comparatively tiny...

100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000




... but I agree with you that exposed public keys are where bitcoin is potentially vulnerable to future technology.

Firstly, this is silly. P vs NP is not something where you can knock up a quick proof. I think P ≠ NP. Prove me wrong.
If you can demonstrate a proof, then go and claim the millennium prize and pick up a Fields medal while you're at it.

Secondly and less frivolously, even if P = NP, this does not mean that anything can be solved quickly, it just means that anything can be solved in polynomial time. Not necessarily quick at all.



The biggest potential threat to bitcoin security is probably a sufficiently powerful quantum computer (which we don't have yet) running Shor's algorithm to derive a private key from a known public key. This can be done quickly (if you have the powerful QC). ECC can be broken.
Hashing, on the other hand, is more resistant to quantum attack.

Having said that, whilst I'm not willing to bet on the question of whether bitcoin will drop below $20k, I have bet on the below. With a current marketcap of $960 billion, it looks promising...

Yes, the familiar Djokovic miracle that we see match after match, tournament after tournament...


I know it rankles with his fellow professionals, too, as you see them call him out on it every now and again. But the thing that makes it so ridiculous is that his talents and abilities mean that he is already one of the greatest players of all time. There is no need for the ridiculous theatre and mind games.