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1261  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: September 16, 2021, 04:47:16 PM
I do agree that it was Verstappen that was in the wrong here, however after what Lewis did back in British gp and not getting any penalty at all and winning so many points? I feel like that makes no sense to give Max this much penalty as well. They should have either given both of them the same penalty, or they should not have given them any penalty at all, you can't have one and not the other.

I'm not sure about your argument.
Hamilton was judged predominantly to blame at Silverstone, and got a 10 sec penalty in the race.
Verstappen was judged predominantly to blame here, couldn't get a penalty in the race because he crashed out, so gets a grid penalty in the next race.

It's debatable which is worst out of a 10s in-race penalty or a 3-place grid penalty. Probably depends on the circuit. But we can't say one got a penalty and the other not at all - this is clearly untrue. And they can't have the same penalty, when the first one is an in-race penalty, and the second one happens when the driver is no longer in the race.



I think the cause of all this is Max is famous for never backing out of a manoeuvre, whereas Lewis in the past has backed out. But at Silverstone Lewis decided two could play that game, and he wasn't going to give any ground either. So we now have two drivers who, against each other, will not pull out of the move under any circumstances. Result so far: two crashes. And after this latest crash, the situation certainly will not change. We can expect dramatic clashes every time they come head-to-head now, with neither willing to cede position.
1262  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Doctors beg people to take the vaccine on: September 16, 2021, 10:10:02 AM
The whole Covid-virus/Covid-vaxx thing is a big money hoax thing being used to trick the masses to swindle money from them.

I really don't understand this argument. Maybe it differs by country, but here the vaccines are free to everyone, and the main supplier is AZ, who are producing the vaccines at cost, with no profit. Healthcare is provided for free, with no need for any private insurance. Where does the 'money swindling' come from?

As for the government motivation to create a 'hoax' virus and force everyone to stay at home, etc... this doesn't make any sense at all. The lockdowns here were implemented way too late and lifted too early, because the government really wanted to keep everything open. Their initial strategy was to keep everything open and achieve herd immunity by letting everyone catch the virus. When they realised this would result in a high death count that would hurt them at the next election, they backtracked and went for lockdowns instead, waiting for the arrival of a vaccine to achieve herd immunity a different way. Closing businesses and forcing people to stay at home has saved lives, but hurt the economy. Our government is interested primarily in the economy; they were and remain very reluctant to have lockdowns and social distancing etc. The rapid vaccine rollout was seen as key to getting back to 'business as normal'. Vaccine deployment is not a goal in itself, it's a route to an end state where the economy is back to 100% and that precious money starts flowing again. A pro-business government has no motivation to hurt business.
1263  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: September 16, 2021, 10:06:02 AM
We had a few surprising results. One of them was the draw between Paris SG and Club Brugge.

Yes, I was quite surprised by this one. PSG should beat just about every team in the world, and only really be challenged by a very few, the likes of Man City, etc.

However I have to say that the Man United result is a bit of a surprise, but not a huge surprise. It was inevitable that Ronaldo would score, he always does... but Man United have weaknesses, and the signing of Ronaldo does nothing to address them. He's a great goalscorer, but he doesn't contribute much outside that... his general lack of involvement is well known, and will likely be detrimental to Man United as a team. I understand the signing from an emotional standpoint, but logically it makes little sense. I don't think he makes them a better team.
1264  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The KRAKEN Rises !!! on: September 16, 2021, 09:53:32 AM
the Kraken continues to rise.

As you're the only one who can see it, please could you advise when it is expected to break the surface and finally emerge? If it's been rising all this time, then it's moving very slowly.
Perhaps there is some immense weight attached to it, which is slowing it down? It does appear to be clinging desperately to innumerable frivolous and demented lawsuits... perhaps if it let go of all this waterlogged paperwork, it might feel less encumbered, and be able to finally surface so that we can all see it for what it is...
1265  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 15, 2021, 03:48:21 PM
It could be neck and neck between them, battling for #1.

If we are asking whether he can overtake Djokovic by the end of the year, then there's no need to look at current ranking points, and who has what from last year to drop.

Instead we only need to look at the race points, from the season so far. Medvedev has a 2,000 point deficit, or thereabouts. It's a big ask to overcome that by the end of the season. Even if he won everything, it would need Djokovic to score very very low points.
1266  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Doctors beg people to take the vaccine on: September 15, 2021, 03:43:17 PM
Let's correct some of the junk
It is being irresponsible for one's own life to  inject toxin with unknown short or long term health effects.

Vaccine does NOT provide immunity to the virus
Vaccine does NOT protect from getting the virus
Vaccine does NOT reduce deaths form infection
Vaccine does NOT reduce circulation of the viurs
Vaccine does NOT reduce transmission of the
Aka not a vaccine, back in the days people were smart and ask money for medical experiments

Let's correct some of the junk.
It is irresponsible to peddle unsubstantiated nonsense that contradicts the publicly-available evidence from vast and diverse datasets.

Each of your five 'vaccine does not' statements is incorrect* and I have provided the data to prove this many times.
You are either unwilling or unable to back up your assertions with evidence... because they have been proven to be untrue.

I suspect you mean that the vaccine doesn't provide 100% immunity, doesn't reduce your chance of dying from CV19 to 0, etc... Well, of course not. No-one ever said that the vaccine conferred immortality or other super-powers.

In effect, you are saying: the vaccine isn't perfect, it's merely very very good... therefore we shouldn't take it.

Plumbing new depths of absurdity.



* Including the fourth statement, where you misspell 'virus', and the fifth where you give up even trying to type it.
1267  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 15, 2021, 05:51:19 AM
There are still 2 ATP masters 1000 tournaments that give quite a lot of points if Medvedev wins it, actually his win at the US Open will not necessarily make him able to win the remaining ATP 1000, only if that happens the point difference with Djokovic will be smaller and his chances of replacing Djokovic are very likely, however Djokovic's record as the most weeks in first position will still difficult to surpass other players maybe even this will last a long time.

I don't think he's likely to overtake Djokovic in ranking points. If we look at the race points, he's still 2k behind. We have to remember that Medvedev has 1,500 points from last year's ATP finals to defend.
But a lot will depend on Djokovic's motivation. I can't see that he has anything left to achieve outside the slams. How does he maintain his motivation in lesser tournaments?
1268  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Doctors beg people to take the vaccine on: September 15, 2021, 05:46:23 AM
- vaccines protect from getting serious symptoms, but doesn't protect you from getting the covid entirely

Why then force these vaccines onto children who don't get serious symptoms in the first place?

Because anyone who catches it can spread it to others, even with only mild symptoms, even if entirely asymptomatic.
Having the vaccine doesn't make you immortal, it doesn't make you immune from all harm, no-one ever said it did... but it protects you very well.
1269  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Socialists in Bitcoin(talk). on: September 14, 2021, 04:24:36 PM
I got double-charged for an item in the supermarket the other day. No word from BLM on that. So they're in favour of shops double-charging people, right?  Roll Eyes

BLM's central discourse is not based on structural double-charging, as it is on structural racism, and BLM does not praise your supermarket, as it does the Cuban regime, so I'd better not waste my time answering this next time.

The purpose of my ridiculous point was solely to highlight the absurdity of your argument. But we can return to it, if you wish. I was attempting to distill all of the below into a few sentences, but let's have it in long form:



I know about the structural racism in Cuba because some time ago I met people who lived there, but googling:

"Manuel Cuesta, 57, an Afro-Cuban government opponent, says "there are the vestiges and remnants of symbolically cordial racism, structurally hidden, installed in the economic, institutional and political dynamics" of the country."

Source: Racism in Cuba: banned by law, alive on the streets.

Not a word from BLM about structural racism in Cuba.

Okay, so "there are the vestiges and remnants of symbolically cordial racism, structurally hidden, installed in the economic, institutional and political dynamics of the country." Well, of course. Is there a country where this isn't true? What is your point?

I mean, we can take another excerpt from your link:

Quote
Cuba used to have an open problem with racism until the communist revolution of 1959. Some buildings had signs saying "no dogs or blacks" while there was also racial segregation that saw black people barred from some clubs and schools. The government has enacted policies to address centuries of inequality due to slavery, which was abolished in 1886, and to promote access to higher education and public office.

So, yay for the communists! ... right? Which kind of undermines your point.

My point is that after the section I quoted, comes this sentence: "But racism persists."
My point is that you often insist on an absolute either/or, and resolutely refuse to consider shades of grey, whether on Venezuela, Cuba, or on the concept that is entirely shades of grey, that is entirely compromise: capitalist democracy.

Racism in Cuba is of course a complex issue, a real world situation with millions of people and many years of history. The elimination of racism, sexism etc., is an ongoing struggle, everywhere. A perfect solution will not be found, but every step in the right direction is to be welcomed.

Your article begins with:

Quote
The Black Lives Matter Global Network Foundation is facing backlash after calling for the end of the U.S. government’s embargo on Cuba while praising the country for its “solidarity with oppressed peoples of African descent” amid  historic anti-government protests.

The BLM comments are clumsy and poorly-timed, yes. But the US embargo has of course had a profoundly detrimental effect on Cuba. This is undeniable, surely? But I will not attempt to claim it is the only problem. The government is hugely at fault, too, as I believe I mentioned some time ago in my criticism of the Cuban regime, and its attempts to stifle press freedom. It's not either/or. It's both. The Cuban government over the years has done some good things, and many bad things. It should be perfectly possible to support the good things, without this being taken as tacit support for the bad things, without this being forced through outrageous contortions into your mangled argument that BLM=bad.


Quote
It is a movement that complains about the alleged structural racism in the USA, but not only does it not say a single word about structural racism in Cuba, it defends the dictatorial Cuban regime

This was where you started. The "alleged" structural racism comment I will let slide but again, to anyone with even a slight interest in data (which, on this specific topic, I've posted several times before), it's reminiscent of a certain freedom-lovin' fact-hatin' frequent flyer on the P&S board.
Your argument is that BLM isn't interested (or not interested primarily) in reducing structural, endemic racism in the US because... what? They're secretly (or, in your view, overtly) champions of repression?



I am becoming irritated, and these posts are both overly lengthy, and veering away from the focus on bitcoin. I'll try not to post in this thread again; I'm sure we will pick up these topics again later on, somewhere else, and may perhaps even, eventually, reach some common ground.

Back to bitcoin...
1270  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Do you trust the co-vid19 vaccine ? on: September 13, 2021, 06:18:34 PM
They found it does work.
I'm glad there's someone else with a brain in this endless nonsense thread. Thanks.
Yes, of course it works, as we all* knew full well. But you can't use facts and evidence to convince these people; their positions are entirely emotional; they are anti-vax zealots, anti-vax with a slavering, religious fervour, and nothing will shake them from their irrational beliefs.


CDC, UK Government & Oxford University find the Covid-19 Vaccines do not work
As I say, you won't be convinced by something as outrageous as evidence, but I shall keep trying. Perhaps you might be interested in this paper, published today, by the Office of National Statistics?

Deaths involving COVID-19 by vaccination status, England: deaths occurring between 2 January and 2 July 2021

Quote
Between 2 January and 2 July 2021, there were 640 deaths involving COVID-19 in people who had received both vaccine doses, which is 1.2% of all deaths involving COVID-19 in that period (51,281 deaths). There were 458 deaths involving COVID-19 in people who received their second dose at least 21 days before the date of death. Deaths involving COVID-19 accounted for 0.8% of all deaths in this group, compared with 37.4% in unvaccinated individuals.


* All of us who are capable of understanding basic mathematics.
1271  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The KRAKEN Rises !!! on: September 13, 2021, 04:00:46 PM

HUGE: Random person alleges an unsubstantiated nothing. Kraken shakes his head sadly. Nothing to feed on here. Kraken sinks below the waves once more.
1272  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 13, 2021, 03:52:03 PM
I do think that Djokovic has beaten himself with all the pressure he mounted on himself

Yes, I think that. I said a few pages back that the one person in the tournament who can beat Djokovic is Djokovic himself, and that is what happened. A great performance from Medvedev certainly, but Djokovic was well below his usual standard. If Medvedev had faced a Djokovic who was playing at 100% or even maybe 85% of his ability, then the outcome would have been different.

I'm sure he beat himself, and there are quite striking parallels here with Serena Williams' ongoing failure to win that elusive final grand slam. Her task is perhaps somewhat easier because a) it's a single slam, she doesn't have to win all 4 in the same year, and b) she doesn't have to beat Nadal on clay to do it!
1273  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: September 12, 2021, 05:40:17 PM
They are both in fault, if they will have a penalty they will both have.

The decision is already in, Verstappen takes the penalty, none for Hamilton (see my post above). As with Silverstone, the word is "predominantly". As with Silverstone, the important thing is that both drivers are physically okay. But the battle will continue through the remainder of the season. I wonder if it happens again the stewards will take more drastic action?


And I don't think this next bit is acceptable at all... Verstappen on the radio, "That's what you get when you don't leave the space", his car literally on top of someone else's while he's radioing in, and the message is not "Is he okay?" or "Is he alive?"... it's basically "F*** you".

1274  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: September 12, 2021, 05:23:59 PM
It was Hamilton’s fault...  Just like Silver Stone.

But it was good for Verstappen.  He retains the lead in the driver’s championship.  Hamilton screwed himself over.  Lmao.

The stewards' decisions is that Verstappen is predominantly to blame. He takes a 3 place grid penalty at the next race (plus 2 points on his licence).
I'm sure he didn't mean to plant his car on top of Hamilton's, but this sort of thing in football is called a professional foul - it did appear that he deliberately took Hamilton out, so as not to lose points.

But I think both drivers need to cool down before one of them gets hurt. At Silverstone Hamilton was found predominantly to blame. The word "predominantly" occurs both times, and is key here. Neither driver wants to give an inch.


Lmao.

I don't think that's appropriate. If we didn't have the halo, a driver would be dead.
1275  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 12, 2021, 03:47:52 PM
I did not think that the finals would be this much one sided. Leylah tried her best, but maybe this just was not her day.

I don't really think it was that one-sided. Leylah was very competitive, and a threat throughout. Raducanu played better, yes, but even at 6-4 5-3, Leylah was still in it with a break point. If she'd won that point, we'd have been back on serve and potentially heading for a third set. The quality throughout from both players was just phenomenal, as if they'd been playing these sorts of matches for years.


And that statistics is so awesome that she has played more matches in this tournament than her whole career. So proud of this little dynamite of a tennis player.

It's fantastic, yes. Us Brits have been starved of top level tennis players, we've only really had Andy Murray, and it's so nice to see another winning a major. And it's great that she has mixed ethnicity, Romanian and Chinese parents. And similar for Leylah, who is another top talent, Filipino and Ecuadorean parents, and representing Canada. Seeing stars emerge with this sort of background helps to reduce racism and xenophobia.
1276  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 12, 2021, 02:06:26 PM
Djokovic said that this match is the most important match of his career. If he wins this, he will have won US, Australian, French Open, and Wimbledon in the same year. This would make Djokovic give his heart out for the match. I'm hoping he will win it.

I do wonder how players at this level manage to sustain their motivation, when they've already won everything so many times already. Obviously this current target for Djokovic is a huge one, but after that, what is left? Only the Olympics, and that is years away. Is it possible that if he wins this match, then he will start to drop away from the top of the game?
1277  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Socialists in Bitcoin(talk). on: September 12, 2021, 01:48:18 PM
Today the only unfair advantage is that you have a more prepared candidate, with more merits to get a job and the job is given to a less prepared candidate because she is a woman or an ethnic minority. That is the only unfair thing today.
And how often does this happen? All the time? Or hardly ever, and isolated instances are widely publicised by racists? You can't imply it's a general principle unless you can back this up.


We live in the most egalitarian societies in the history of mankind.
Agreed. But this shouldn't be seen as a reason to stop improving, or to deny that problems exist which need to be addressed.


I am against modern man-hating feminism, which once it has achieved equal rights, what it wants is revenge.
There's no point in responding to this with anything other than an emoji.  Roll Eyes


Not a word from BLM about structural racism in Cuba.
I got double-charged for an item in the supermarket the other day. No word from BLM on that. So they're in favour of shops double-charging people, right?  Roll Eyes


what you do is to put pressure on social services, push wages down and give less social benefits to the natives, so you can not be surprised that the native worker stops voting for you because that is what you have sought. It is not about any kind of alienation by which he wants to be part of an elite.
The pompous fools who vote right-wing because they think (or want people to think) they've "made it" and are now part of the elite are only a subset of right-wing voters. There are of course other reasons people vote for right-wing parties. Some are racist, yes, and get scared and enraged when the billionaires who run tabloid newspapers blame immigrants for all their woes.


I see a leftist tendency also that if you do not support massive immigration (only the controlled one) you are racist, that although you do not say so it seems that is what you imply, and nothing further from reality.
No-one is perfect. I give some of my money to charities. Could I give more, without significantly impacting my way of life? Certainly, yes. Perhaps this makes me a hypocrite... but there are degrees of hypocrisy.


I am talking about Muslims. [...] For saying that I risk my life in France.
I would argue that you're talking about a small subset of a very large group. If someone in a red t-shirt attacks me, should I hate everyone in red t-shirts?


Great strawman arg. I am claiming that this is true to a significant percentage.
Well, then show some numbers.


Of course I have read 1984, but what you are doing in the paragraph is assuming as a premise the conclusion you want to reach.
Another point on which we will never agree, I think. For me the evidence is crystal clear, and is demonstrated every day.


The left-wing politician who has put more obstacles, more regulations and more taxes on the labor market, in addition to filling the country with immigrants at too high a rate, which put downward pressure on wages.
Here in the UK we've not had a left-wing leader since the 1970s, probably since 1976. And yet, nearly 50 years later, it's still the immigrants who seem to be to blame for everything. Isn't that strange?
1278  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 12, 2021, 06:30:30 AM
sho won in straight sets too, and with that win she is the first qualifier to win a grand slam, that is insane, and also it's been more than 40 years since a British woman won a singles grand slam, she came out of nowhere and won, the odds where for sure really high at the beginning but who would have thought.

There was always a lot of expectation that she would have a good career, to the level where she would get seeded for the big tournaments, and maybe, potentially, even challenge for one... but that was supposed to be years down the line, after patiently building her game and her experience so that she could go from being a great junior to a fully seasoned professional. It wasn't supposed to happen now, in only her second proper tournament!

Go to the US Open website, and look at her history. Prior to this tournament, she has played 6 WTA level matches in her career. She's not just won the US Open in straight sets, but she's played more matches at the US Open this year than in the entire rest of her career so far!

It was a great match from both of them, I think they should both be near the top of the game for years to come. Astonishing.


1279  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The KRAKEN Rises !!! on: September 11, 2021, 12:22:23 PM
It's about to hit the fan!

This is probably a bad idea. You've been waiting all these long months for a Kraken to appear, and the instant your precious beast emerges*, you want to direct it into something that has spinning blades?




*No, that's not a euphemism. Yes, it does conjure some unfortunate images.
1280  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 11, 2021, 12:17:20 PM
Djokovic had to go over 5 exhausting sets against Zverev and only won the 5th set clearly when it was 5:0.

The longer regeneration phase could be an advantage for Medvedev tomorrow.
With players like Djokovic I don't see how this would disadvantage him. His had times that he would play a 5 set match and still win the following match six love, come on his being doing this for years and a reason he still remains number one. Come the finals day expect him to win this game.

I don't think it will disadvantage him, either. Even if he lost the first two sets, I'd still expect Djokovic to win. He needs a decent challenger, but there aren't any now that Federer and Nadal are gone.
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