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2041  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reality Winner has been released from prison. on: June 30, 2021, 03:54:44 AM
The plot thickens! NSA responds on Twitter - https://twitter.com/NSAGov/status/1410025399032193027

They deny the allegations, I am shocked!. Again, no proof that these allegations are true atm, but, you also have to be a dolt to take the NSA at its word when they are accused of misconduct. After all, the CIA/NSA do not treat their whistleblowers kindly, and unfortunately, the snowden leaks tell you that the NSA will mislead Americans at any cost, so long as they can save their own bottom line.

What strikes me as odd is the amount of liberals that now all of a sudden treat the NSA with kid gloves. So because they rebuke a right wing figure, their word is now objective fact? Interesting...
2042  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reality Winner has been released from prison. on: June 29, 2021, 07:10:53 PM
Similar note, right wing Fox News host Tucker Carlson alleges the NSA is spying on him - https://thehill.com/homenews/media/560656-tucker-carlson-says-biden-administration-is-spying-on-him

He claimed a whistleblower reached out to him and informed him the NSA was monitoring his electronic communications, and was going to leak a story that he was reporting on. The whistleblower repeated to him aspects of the story that were not publicly available, only available in his digital communications. Disclaimer, yes this could be a nonsense story, so I'm putting an "If this is true" label operating under the notion that things never do happen, when in fact they do. In any event, this wouldn't be the first time we've had the government spy on journalists. And perhaps the inconceivable thought that the US does not engage in 3rd world corruption by silencing the media isn't so inconceivable after all.
2043  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: June 29, 2021, 03:30:51 AM
Huge vaccine info - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/28/health/coronavirus-vaccines-immunity.html

Studies demonstrate that antibodies from the vaccine can potentially last years, meaning there won't be a need for booster shots granted that the vaccine is still effective against the variants. There's also been a few studies demonstrating that you can mix vaccines (with limited effectiveness), so if there is a shortage of Pfizer doses, you can become fully vaccinated by utilizing a moderna dose. This will be great for developing countries that have a vaccine shortage. In fact, I've seen other studies suggest that mixing vaccines might even be more effective, but proceed at your own risk. I'd generally only mix up vaccines if I had no choice.

That's what the vaccine companies are hoping. Just think. No more profits for us. Whoopee.

Of course, since the antibodies last for years, when the next 20 years of flu seasons come along, the reaction will be so overwhelming, that the medical will have a big job on its hands protecting the people from their own immune systems. Yes! More money for our coffers... or considering it all has to do with Covid in some form or other... more money from the coughers.

Cool


You know, if the idea was for big pharma to make a metric ton of money off this thing, and look, I'm not denying that they have, you would think the immunity would last a mere months, no? And you think they would make the vaccine perform poor against variants, yes? The conspiracy doesn't even add up if you look at the clinical trail data, no sense in making a 95 percent effective vaccine if the grand conspiracy is to keep jabbing people seasonally.
2044  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: June 28, 2021, 07:07:20 PM
Huge vaccine info - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/28/health/coronavirus-vaccines-immunity.html

Studies demonstrate that antibodies from the vaccine can potentially last years, meaning there won't be a need for booster shots granted that the vaccine is still effective against the variants. There's also been a few studies demonstrating that you can mix vaccines (with limited effectiveness), so if there is a shortage of Pfizer doses, you can become fully vaccinated by utilizing a moderna dose. This will be great for developing countries that have a vaccine shortage. In fact, I've seen other studies suggest that mixing vaccines might even be more effective, but proceed at your own risk. I'd generally only mix up vaccines if I had no choice.
2045  Economy / Economics / Re: If we have crypto Why people still buy stocks? on: June 27, 2021, 02:22:09 AM
Do most people here trade both crypto and stocks?  IF you had to only do one. most people would choose crypto right?
I think many but I'm not one of them.

Since you're asking this on a bitcoin forum, yes. Many will choose to trade crypto rather than in stocks. But if you'll ask the same question in a stocks forum.

You'll know the answer.

Choosing one or the other is quite hard, because both of them offer different advantages for an investment portfolio. Owning stocks offers the right to receive dividends each year, which is a nice cash flow if you pick the right kind of stocks. While with crypto currencies we have much higher upside potential and a good inflation protection. The thing with stocks is that it was the most lucrative asset class over the last 50 years, and many of our parents and grand parents invested in them. So if you receive a stock portfolio from your grand parents after their death, should you really just sell all of it and go into cryptos? I would say better not, diversifying money is the best way to reduce overall risk.
It's not that really hard.

If you're more literate with the crypto market and you're already good at assessing the risk that it has then you can basically invest any time at your will.

Actually, there's not that much difference from stocks and cryptos aside from being own by a company and not being volatile, in crypto there's no actual company that owns a certain crypto but it's the devs that have made it.

And in crypto, there's also dividends which is the same as the stocks.


Yeah no, this isn't true at all. Crypto "investments" work off pure speculation. The only concrete numbers you generally work with are historic trends and maybe info about other currencies - meaning if you see USD beginning to tank, you might be able to make some predictions on cryptos. Financial reports on publicly traded companies are out there, the sales numbers, revenue, profit, ect. I'd argue stocks are similarly volatile to crypto, just to a lesser degree. The giant companies don't really have a problem with this, but smaller company stocks vary a lot day to day.
2046  Other / Politics & Society / Re: India covid19 crisis on: June 27, 2021, 01:06:48 AM
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/india-covid-cases.html

NYT covid case chart for India has the cases going down, so hopefully the worst part is behind us but the problem is, Covid doesn't actually go away unless you reach herd immunity, and India is far off. So my prediction is that things will subside, and then there'll be some more spikes. So it's all about whether India will get their act together and start rolling out vaccines (I am not optimistic).
2047  Economy / Economics / Re: Trump regrets not banning twitter as he hails Nigerian government for doing so on: June 26, 2021, 11:52:43 PM
All the social media platforms are intermediary and the user is responsible for the contents they put out and the only times twitter flags someone if they are propagating fake news and promoting hate speech and if that is their policy then what is that a government can do about it. Twitter as a company is not interfering in politics as far as i know but it is a mass media and the users are using it as a tool to spread their political views.

It is a joke that Twitter doesn't interfere in the politics. Twitter CEO and the other important board members have clear political views, and there is sufficient evidence to prove that their actions were driven by their political ideology. Twitter, Facebook and Google all have actively interfered in politics using their monopoly in the market. Intermediaries doesn't differentiate between the users. But Twitter has selectively banned and flagged users according to their ideology and this means that they are not an intermediary.


Sums it up pretty well, twitter acts as a publisher when they begin to censor certain tweets that don't even conform to their own rules. If you even remotely suggest that sex biology exists, and that men and women cannot transition to the other sex, you'll be removed from the platform, meanwhile death threats against police or anyone right wing are completely fine. I'm inclined to say screw the platform and move somewhere else, but there isn't a solid alternative.
2048  Economy / Economics / Re: Amateur Traders Cause Bubbles on: June 26, 2021, 06:54:42 PM
What a load of rubbish.

It's as if they haven't seen the state of the real estate market and how that is the biggest bubble out of anything over the last couple of decades, almost solely driven by institutional investors and developers.

This is a blatant attack on retail investors and their ability to make decisions. The best retail investors are just as capable (if not more so) than biased Wall Street analysts that recommend stocks/funds for their own gain.


Well I'm convinced there might be another real estate bubble by intuitional investors, like the fine folks behind Blackrock that are buying up homes at 1.2x-1.5x the home's value.

Obvious play here is so they can monopolize a local area and force people into the renters class, but by paying out 1.2x-1.5x on every property, you start to create an artificial housing bubble. With USD inflation, housing prices were already increasing with people dumping out their dollars on physical properties, and it's not the amateur's that were doing this.
2049  Economy / Economics / Re: Antivirus Pioneer John McAfee Commits Suicide on: June 26, 2021, 12:38:36 AM
Actually, it is not clear whether he committed suicide. Because there is no proof about it yet. Maybe he wanted to commit suicide when he heard that he was going to be taken to the USA again. Or maybe, someone planned to kill him and did it.

And speaking of that, I found this source….

Link: https://www.businessinsider.com/john-mcafee-instagram-deleted-following-q-post-after-death-2021-6

However, Instagram deleted his post and account immediately. Maybe someone had full access to John McAfee’s official Instagram and made that cryptic “Q” post.


There is not a grand conspiracy behind his death. Dude was a nut job that might've went senile over the last 3 or 4 years. He was a brilliant programmer, and big bitcoin proponent, but that doesn't change the fact he was involved in some white collar crimes and the feds were after him. He got some tattoo suggesting that he would never kill himself and tweeted out suggesting that people were after him...I chalk that to him being a lunatic.
2050  Other / Politics & Society / Re: UK Recording over 10.000 cases on: June 25, 2021, 08:28:57 PM
US cases begin to rise due to delta variant: https://www.sun-sentinel.com/coronavirus/fl-ne-coronavirus-june-25-20210625-75nycnybqzfjdpjujrocvhbb6a-story.html

Unvaxed individuals are vulnerable to the delta variant, and if you have one vaccine, you only have some protection. This probably also means we're going down the road of seasonal Covid, where it never gets under control, and people end up needing to get boosters every "season", and that's "if" the vaccine ends up working against all these variants. You're going to see repeated outbreaks every where, not just the UK.

2051  Economy / Economics / Re: Founders of South African Bitcoin exchange disappear after $3.6 billion 'hack' on: June 25, 2021, 08:23:17 PM
It sounds like an insider job. The excuse given by the promoters, that informing the authorities would slow down the recovery of the stolen funds sounds just ridiculous. This was just a delaying tactic, so that these criminals could move the funds to some off shore tax haven. Anyway, now the users can blame themselves. One of the golden rules of investing in cryptocurrency is "not your keys, not your coins". These people did the mistake by keeping their coins in an exchange wallet. Now all they can do is to regret.

Of course it was an inside job. South Africa is a lawless country with rampant crime and government corruption. The scams run nonstop. Their police force and legal system is so utterly worthless, these people could admit they ran with the money and pay some small fine, and keep the rest.

Never, ever, trust an exchange, reason XXXXX.
2052  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reality Winner has been released from prison. on: June 24, 2021, 10:33:53 PM
How did I not hear about this? I am pretty active on political Twitter but Twitter didn't tell me this.

Seems a bit suspicious.

I remember her trending on twitter as "Reality Winner". I ended up clicking on the hashtag and it was related to some NSA scandal, never made the connection it was talking about a person named "Reality Winner". It's not so suspect because twitter trends and hashtags disappear all the time, especially the political ones. International politics has the same problem, EU hashtags disappear after trending for hardly any time at all.

They'll trend orange man bad for days though!
2053  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Are you worried about the delta virus variant? on: June 24, 2021, 02:14:45 PM
Gamma (Brazil) is 140% more transmissible and is responsible for many deaths here, and people who survived the early variant had it worse when they were hit by gamma.

Some people are simply not affected but many people will. Since the very beginning it was known 1 out of 4 died and 1 out of 4 did not even had symptoms, with about half having it bad and needing medical care even remaining with aftermath difficulties.

Its not good, and even vaccinated people can spread it to non vaccinated people, people should keep their distance and masks and avoid going out unless necessary, else the virus will never stop and keep mutating and returning to kick them back again.

I'm telling you there is people here who had the early variant, survived, and then gamma killed them. It seems that Delta and Kappa (India) are doing the same.

The gamma variant has an increased mortality rate from what I've researched but it's definitely not 1 out of 4 people that get it die. Quite literally the Covid death rate across all age demographics combined is 1 percent. If you're young and healthy, it's something like .01 percent, whereas if you're above 70 and unhealthy (obesity, diabetes, heart disease, all the rest) than it's in the range of 20+ percent lethal. Definitely not 25 percent...
2054  Other / Politics & Society / Re: so john mcafee committed suicide.. over taxes on: June 23, 2021, 09:47:04 PM
I've seen a lot of conspiracies about it already, lot of people think he got Epstein'd, apparently. US doesn't mess around with financial crimes, he was gonna rot in a federal prison for the rest of his life after a life of luxury, no surprise to me he killed himself. I would feel sympathetic, but it isn't too difficult to follow the tax law and not get caught up in white collar frauds. If this was just a case of someone avoiding taxes, slapping them with a huge fine and calling it a day seems fair, because let's be honest, wealthy people dodge taxes all the time and plenty never get caught.
2055  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reality Winner has been released from prison. on: June 23, 2021, 03:33:36 PM
I thought "Reality Winner" was some sort of ironic joke, it's an actual name LMFAO.

I read her wikipedia page and it says she leaked the docs to The Intercept (this org's coeditor is  Glenn Greenwald, the guy who snowden leaked his documents to), and it says she was caught because the Intercept sent documents to the NSA to verify them, and the NSA saw that there were creases in the documents which led them to believe they were hand printed and physically stolen, not some sort of hack. Great job by them handling whistleblowers, truly.
2056  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Are you worried about the delta virus variant? on: June 22, 2021, 07:58:03 PM
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01696-3

Quote
Delta is moderately resistant to vaccines, particularly in people who have received just a single dose. A Public Health England study published on 22 May found that a single dose of either AstraZeneca's or Pfizer's vaccine reduced a person’s risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms caused by the Delta variant by 33%, compared to 50% for the Alpha variant. A second dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine boosted protection against Delta to 60% (compared to 66% against Alpha), while two doses of Pfizer’s jab were 88% effective (compared to 93% against Alpha).

The vaccine works against the delta variant, just not as well as some of the more mainstream variants. There probably will end up being some sort of strain that doesn't jive well with these vaccines, forcing everyone to get the jab again. Not like the mutation rate of Covid is too high, it's just everyone has it, so a mutation is inevitable.

Good for us though, the delta variant doesn't seem to be more deadly, so we're okay for now.
2057  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: June 21, 2021, 11:39:31 PM
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9652287/The-Pentagon-funneled-39million-charity-funded-Wuhan-lab.html

Even Dr. Fauci seems to admit that there *might* have been some US funding that was eventually funneled into the Wuhan virology lab, but the problem that a lot of bureaucrats have to answer is why they were so reluctant to tell everybody why the US government was potentially involved in gain of function research in some shady Chinese virology lab with poor hygienic standards. The research itself was probably not nefarious, but science does come at a price of millions of deaths and irreversible economic damage. Was it short sighted to invest in gain of function research conducted by a communist government with the risk of things going sour? Or is it just the price of doing business?

Perhaps we may never actually know whether this virus got leaked from a lab or if it actually did come from a wet market. I just think there's a lot of people reluctant to conduct a full investigation because it might lead to uncovering something embarrassing.
2058  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why can’t you ask for refund if the teacher sucked?? on: June 21, 2021, 08:46:46 PM
You can ask, the Uni will probably just tell you to piss off. The customer is always right doesn't apply to institutions of higher learning, so if you do end up attending of these institutions, you better hope you do your research and check out the rankings, because you aren't entitled to any refunds.

If you also happen to take a course and get taught some Marxist propaganda, that's apparently a feature now a days too, not a flaw.
2059  Other / Politics & Society / Re: British Airways confirms four vaccinated pilots have recently died... on: June 20, 2021, 02:15:23 AM
Did the vaccinated pilots catch the COVID-19 virus again and die or ended up dead after vaccination?  Huh

Actually what usually ends up happening in these cases is that people will take the vaccine and catch Covid before the vaccine has a chance to work. The most effective vaccine is at 95% anyways, meaning  5% will still end up getting Covid if they are exposed. And secondly, you can still catch Covid in the period before the vaccine is fully effective or before your second dose.

No conspiracy.
2060  Economy / Economics / Re: Aren't we the reason why BTC is becoming too much centralized? on: June 19, 2021, 10:12:31 PM
I think it was a property of the wealth in the past, and was, kinda, in recent times but with USD and other currencies beginning to crash, expect more and more of the middle class/averaging working man to start picking up on BTC, either as a long term investment or something they expect to use often. The poor can't afford the price swings like the rich can, but the middle class is usually a bit more resistant.

A middle class would never go for hodling option TBH because they look for quick gains rather than long holds as they have a family they need to look after while also maintaining that "upper middle class" image in the society. Such people can't afford to buy 1 full BTC ATM because of its price of course, but they won't even buy a fraction of it after watching too many negativity spread in the markets as well as quick selloffs if they're new to this. They will fear of losing some % of their capital and then would need to redeem their fiat in loss.

I think you're right to an extent, but perhaps in the future things will change. Like I said, I'm putting this in the perspective of USD going into the dirt, so people with money will look to put their net worth into something other than liquid cash. Middle class are a bit slower to diversify into other investments, but if they're forced to, I think they'll choose BTC over precious metals/stocks.

Thing that scares them is the volatility, but at some point USD becomes more unpredictable than crypto if you don't stop endless printing.
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